nemo44x

Database migrations are hard and inductive and often fail in some aspect. Why would you want to spend time doing them when you can spend time building the important thing after the migration is done.

Secondly - AI helps with happy path tasks for a migration. But most database migrations are complex beyond what an LLM can just spit out. There is so much context outside the observable parts of the database AI has access to. So I don’t think you have to worry about vibe coding eating the entire migration project.

Yeah building acceptance criteria first is the way. An LLM is a goal machine. It uses probability over and over to advance towards the goal(s). That’s all it is and wants to do. So giving it well defined and granular goals and guardrails will get the best results.

I’m implying that going anywhere in the Middle East (or a good deal of the world) has far more risk than going to the USA.

It’s why I said not those exact things. But already today when developing with agents you get best results from selecting it as much as possible so it can then logically break it into smaller contexts and iterate.

It’s not just dropping in case and getting a functional product. But more up front design seems to work best. Very explicit design.

I have some Euro friends that went to Dubai instead because the USA is “too dangerous” right now. I wish them safe passage back, but yeesh talk about irrational perspective.

Yeah and why I don’t think we’ll go back to that exactly. But software designed more deliberately and requirements that are more detailed and “documented” if that’s the right word?

I believe the old ways, which agile destroyed, will come back because the implementation isn’t the hardest part now. Agile recognized correctly that implementation was the hard part to predict and that specification through requirements docs, UML, waterfall, etc. were out of date by the time the code was cooked.

I don’t think we’ll get those exact things back but we will see more specification and design than we do today.

Developers will become admins. Responsible for supervising and owning the outcomes of increasingly agentic engineering outputs. Trust is the most important thing in business and it’s worth more than ever.

One leader was kidnapped and brought to America to face justice and another was killed in his own base and not a single American died.

Wow.

I’ve seen skills, etc haphazardly being launched with no constraints or guardrails. That more or less have admin access and can take actions that are not reversible.

It’s the monkey with a gun meme.

Correct. You will not be divided. You will likely be subtracted.

That’s a stretch. They’re saying that they are cancelling their contract and anyone that you can’t do business with both parties.

California literally does this all the time.

That’s not true at all. The people selected an executive.

The sovereign is the ultimate authority. In the USA “we the people” delegate the sovereign power to our elected officials.

They are now exercising that power in the interest of the people (they believe) that grant that power.

A level up, this is only the beginning of the political headwinds for AI. There will be a lot more, especially if constituencies begin to get displaced. I don’t think “job loss” will really occur, at least not in a dramatic way overnight. But I do believe there will be both aggressive regulation and very aggressive taxation of this technology in the near/mid-term.

Why wouldn’t the government just arrest their board and execs on charges of treason or something? At this point they could probably publicly hang them all and a plurality of Americans would cheer it. I don’t know if you appreciate how disliked tech is by the left and right alike.

Except that it’s sovereign.

The country is sovereign. It can just make a law democratically that changes things. The sovereign must act on whatever is in its best interest. The method of action is democratic in this case.

Yeah it’s pretty much over.

Cool. It won’t even be a blip on the earnings report. I guess a sales rep in Europe isn’t getting their preferred vacation this year. But other than that this is of no consequence.

I’ll still buy France’s wine.

They can’t fathom that their opinions are unpopular and probably wrong.

> The US is not like many countries in that it was formed by illegal immigrants…

That’s a good argument for vigilantly enforcing immigration laws. Look what happens when you don’t.

No one is fighting over the 30k people in Greenland. They are a colony of Denmark today and the argument is by what right? This is precedent. If the USA believes it is necessary to her security to liberate Greenland from Danish colonialism then what leg do the Danes stand on? They have a greater right to colonial rule?

They’d be far better off.

Ben Hogan once said something along the lines of:

"Reverse every natural instinct and do the opposite of what you are inclined to do, and you will probably come very close to having a perfect golf swing.”

The fact it’s benign means something, I guess. Slippery slope perhaps, but in this matter at this moment it doesn’t have any hope of changing anything.

The 4-year college isn’t a bad system but it has been asked to do a job for which it wasn’t intended. Many people just want an opportunity to develop useful skills within the context of a modern corporate business. Modern corporate businesses want a way to filter and sort potential employees for skills and readiness.

The four-year college isn’t good at either of these as it wasn’t intended for this. I don’t think the trade school model is quite right for this (there’s lots of soft skills to be learned) but it’s closer than the 4-year.

I was a hiring manager at a company that didn’t recruit from top universities for strategic reasons. In short we were smaller and a startup so it would have been difficult to compete. As we grew we had a presence at university job fairs but still avoided the top schools.

Similarly we avoided engineers from the Bay Area due to cost concerns.

The company was also a pioneer in the distributed work environment. A decade before Covid. So that opened a huge market for recruitment at that time.

Space is well named.

Despite all our rage we are still just rats in a solar system cage.