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nck4222

1,377 karma · joined August 10, 2010

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nck4222··on Programmers generate every possible melody in MIDI to prevent lawsuits
By that logic, the library of Babel owns the copyright on every piece of literature that could be written, which would be a terrible idea.

https://libraryofbabel.info/

nck4222··on Monopoly was invented to demonstrate the evils of capitalism (2017)
It's not just property values/landing percents. If you can get a "low value" monopoly more quickly through the auction, because combined players happened to land on all the orange spaces first time around the board but they're all "rationale" and "know" that orange is low-value (I don't know if it is, just an example), then that opens up an opportunity for you to swoop in.

That might not happen every game but it is advantageous to get a monopoly sooner rather than later. Like I said earlier you can also factor in how much money your opponents have when deciding whether to go to auction or pay list price. If everyone is cash poor that opens up opportunities for you to get deeds for low cost, increasing the properties future rate of return.

The randomness in the game means you can't just pick one optimal strategy and apply it to every game and every opponent. And if your opponents change strategy (or your opponents change), you need to adapt your strategy to accommodate for that as well.

edit: As far as the math goes, here's one such article that goes over it: https://ideas.ted.com/heres-how-to-win-at-monopoly-according...

another edit: There's also a limited amount of houses/hotels the bank has, so there's strategy around getting houses first and leaving your opponents unable to build up their monopolies (another frequent house rule is that there unlimited houses too buy from the bank). If multiple players are trying to buy houses at once and there's not enough, the houses are auctioned again to the highest bidder (hello capitalism housing shortages).

You can also sell properties you own, or choose to stay in jail (frequent house rule is that you can't collect money while in jail, but this isn't an official rule).

nck4222··on Monopoly was invented to demonstrate the evils of capitalism (2017)
Right, that goes back to my original comment:

>there is an element of strategy in Monopoly (or can be, if you take the time to learn it).

Buying every property you land on immediately from the bank for listed price is not an optimal strategy.

nck4222··on Monopoly was invented to demonstrate the evils of capitalism (2017)
>Park Place you have to land on it first.

Not necessarily. The games rules include an auction that is frequently removed in house rules. What's supposed to happen is if the player who lands on the space (Player A) doesn't buy it from the bank, the property is auctioned to all players.

Maybe no one owns Boardwalk yet, and Player A doesn't want to try and get the Park Place/Boardwalk monopoly. Or maybe Boardwalk is owned by Player B but Player B doesn't have any cash, so Player A thinks they can block the monopoly while paying less to the bank. Or maybe Player B does have the cash but Player A knows that B is desperate for the monopoly, so they want to drive the price up and force them to pay more.

There's more to than just rolling dice and landing on spaces.

nck4222··on Monopoly was invented to demonstrate the evils of capitalism (2017)
Believe it or not there is an element of strategy in Monopoly (or can be, if you take the time to learn it). Not all spaces are landed on equally, and not all properties have the same return on investment.

Playing with common house rules tends to remove elements of strategy.

nck4222··on The Animal Origins of Coronavirus and Flu
Is there any sense for how accurate the case numbers are?

I've been thinking about it and I can't fathom how we would know of every case.

What percentage of adults who get the seasonal flu go see a doctor and get diagnosed, 10%? Coronavirus symptoms mimic the flu and can even by asymptomatic in people, meaning people can easily attribute symptoms to a bad cold/flu or not even notice them. On average someone with coronavirus spreads it to 3-4 other people. It's estimated that the virus started infecting people in early January, but China didn't start quarantining people until 3 weeks later or so.

I just don't see the math adding up, all it takes is a handful of people not seeking treatment in order for it to start spreading without our knowledge. There has to be thousands of additional cases around the world of that just aren't diagnosed, which is how we're suddenly seeing unexpected diagnoses in places without any previous outbreak like Iran.

nck4222··on What Coronavirus Does to the Body
Coronavirus isn't like the flu in this regard, and is actually less severe the younger you are, including children.

No one under 10 has died from it, and only one person under 20. The mortality rate for people under 50 is about .2% (compared to 2.3% for all cases).

So far it's basically a logarithmic function of age.

The lung damage piece is obviously frightening, and we obviously still have a lot to learn about it as we're not sure why children are able to fend it off so easily yet.

nck4222··on MVC is dead, it's time to MOVE on (2012)
MVC does not comprise all layers of an application. You might as well be asking which layer represents the repository layer while you're at it.

You can add other layers and frameworks in addition to using MVC. That doesn't mean MVC is pointless.

nck4222··on Jeff Bezos Commits $10B to Address Climate Change
Which is the point of the tax deduction in the first place.
nck4222··on The outsize influence of middle-school friends
>something to the effect of that I didn't get to enjoy having friends, I just got to miss them.

>I am typically watchful and quiet, on the periphery of any group.

>I have faked it and been unable to make it

I know other people who moved several times as kids, and these are very common sentiments among them (and many other people as well, who didn't move).

I don't have much else to say, other than you're not alone and I hope you find peace with this.

nck4222··on The outsize influence of middle-school friends
I don't mean to suggest that moving is never the right decision, but yes those results personally give me pause in whether it'd a good idea to move. Also it seems in general more thought is needed around what can be done to help kids with the transition when moving.
nck4222··on The outsize influence of middle-school friends
Anecdotes about personal experience, people you've met, and unsourced trivia don't disprove studies about populations as a whole.

Celebrities may have a much higher rate of suicide (2.9%) vs the general population (.013% in the US): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/13524696_Suicide_in...

That doesn't seem like the opposite conclusion to me.

I wouldn't be surprised to find out that moving could possibly give you skills, deficiencies, and desires that make it more likely you become an actor either, but that seems like a little more like speculation at this point.

nck4222··on The outsize influence of middle-school friends
Tangentially related to this article, but moving/uprooting children can have fairly large negative consequences that affect them the rest of their lives.

Here's one article [1] that found:

"Elevated risks were observed for all examined outcomes, with excess risk seen among those exposed to multiple versus single relocations in a year. Risks grew incrementally with increasing age of exposure to mobility"

Examined outcomes consisted of "attempted suicide, violent criminality, psychiatric illness, substance misuse, and natural and unnatural deaths."

There are many more studies if you search for them that show a range of affects including worse academic performance and one I found that included a higher rate of hospitalization in kids who moved (although the cause was unclear).

It's a traumatic event.

[1] - https://www.ajpmonline.org/article/S0749-3797(16)30118-0/pdf

[2] - http://theconversation.com/moving-home-can-affect-your-child...

nck4222··on Nintendo Play Station Super NES CD-ROM Prototype
Those quotes are interesting. Seems like the prevailing opinion is that Nintendo made a mistake cancelling this deal with Sony because it opened up the door for Sony to become it's largest competitor.

In reality it seems like it was Sony's intention all along to use this as a stepping stone to competing with Nintendo directly anyway.

nck4222··on SQLite Is Serverless
On the one hand, the term serverless is really frustrating to me.

On the other hand, there's a certain amount of amusement I get from seeing "the cloud" become a marketing buzzword in the mid-late '00's, and now seeing the same thing happen with "serverless."

When you look at the implementation of the two "technologies", they're about 95% the same. Yet somehow they're pitched as these big revolutions.

In another decade when terminals or p2p become popular again we'll be hearing about some new buzzword like "Terran" computing, or "social" architecture or something.

nck4222··on It's too late to collect sand
Regardless of legality, you shouldn't be taking sand as a souvenir. Beaches are a natural resource for both people (recreation) and animals/plants. They provide food, breading grounds, habitats...

Leave no trace.

nck4222··on Cold-Water Swimming
Huh, I just updated to that version and I no longer have the flag either, guess they got rid of it... One more reason to primarily use firefox.

Looks like there are extensions in the chrome store that essentially do the same thing though.

nck4222··on Cold-Water Swimming
chrome://flags/#enable-reader-mode

Firefox has this feature enabled by default and displays an icon in the address bar that you can click to reload the page in reader mode.

nck4222··on U.S. drinking water widely contaminated with 'forever chemicals': report
>The fact that power swings from Republicans, back to Democrats, back to Republicans, and so on, illustrates that there is a very weak majority in this country

That only holds true if you believe that the two political parties accurately represent the views of the people.

Political views are a spectrum of opinions. Boiling them down to one of two parties means you lose the majority of views. In the end you vote with the party that most closely resembles your opinions, but because the US has two choices, the party you choose doesn't end up representing your beliefs in a lot of cases. It just represents your beliefs more frequently than the other one.

nck4222··on U.S. drinking water widely contaminated with 'forever chemicals': report
Well they didn't foresee the formation of political parties. That alone upended a great deal of how the different bodies were supposed to interact.

Half of congress is now lead by the executive branch, which completely undermines the checks/balances between them, which is the basis on how the government is supposed to be function. Never mind the judicial branch, which also frequently votes on partisan lines.

nck4222··on U.S. drinking water widely contaminated with 'forever chemicals': report
>it was in the end based on fallible guesswork

Right, that was my point. I wasn't suggesting they invented democracy.

nck4222··on U.S. drinking water widely contaminated with 'forever chemicals': report
>Democracy is mostly a facade

in the US anyway.

But I agree, the US government isn't functioning 1) as originally intended or 2) for the benefit of the majority of the people it 'represents.'

Although it's worth noting that 'as the forefathers intended' carries more weight than it typically should. Their intentions were mostly based on philosophical guess work, as they didn't have a whole lot of empirical data or existing republics/democracies to base their new government on.

It honestly seems like like they intended the US government to function a lot more similarly to the EU than what we currently have. Although the EU has its own sets of problems, but at the very least seems more representative of the people than the US government.

nck4222··on U.S. job openings post biggest drop in more than four years
Or alternatively:

3) this will cause prices to start dropping, which increases uncertainty, and causes additional sells.

4) thus we enter a loop where uncertainty increases, which causes more selling, which causes price decreases, and the market crashes.

Market prices are largely a function of market confidence. If confidence erodes, so does the market. It's how bubbles burst.

nck4222··on Christopher Tolkien has died
I think it's hard for many people who are emotionally and/or deeply connected to something, see it changed, modified, and reinterpreted by someone else.

Even in the world of software, how many of us have worked on a project for a long time only to hand it off to someone else, and find it hard not to have strong opinions about how they work with it, when it's no longer our responsibility?

nck4222··on I quit contracting 6 months ago
>What's the take-away for us?

My takeaways:

1. If your goal is to try and make money, being focused on one idea at a time is probably better than deep diving in to several narrow niches.

2. I shouldn't be discouraged by not (yet) generating income myself. Despite lots of stories of success and people telling you otherwise, it's a hard thing to do, especially if you work a full time job.

3. I'm really glad I don't bother with the effort of micro tracking my time like this. On the surface it seems appealing but after reading this it seems like it takes a lot of effort, and doesn't provide much value.

nck4222··on Researchers find inverse correlation between advertising and life satisfaction
The research wasn't done to test a "blatantly disingenuous" claim, it was done to determine the effect of advertising on mood.

They're able to quantify how much of an effect it has on happiness as well.

"Our analysis shows that if you doubled advertising spending, it would result in a 3% drop in life satisfaction. That’s about half the drop in life satisfaction you’d see in a person who had gotten divorced or about one-third the drop you’d see in someone who’d become unemployed."

That's a pretty significant amount, and if confirmed could certainly be used as an argument to regulate advertising, or a way for therapists to help improve the lives of their patients, or in many additional ways I haven't thought of in the 30 seconds I've spent thinking about it.

I wouldn't be so quick to be dismissive of "blatantly obvious" scientific studies.

nck4222··on Researchers find inverse correlation between advertising and life satisfaction
That question is addressed in the article:

"Their line is that advertising is trying to expose the public to new and exciting things to buy, and their task is to simply provide information, and in that way they raise human well-being. But the alternative argument, which goes back to Thorstein Veblen and others, is that exposing people to a lot of advertising raises their aspirations—and makes them feel that their own lives, achievements, belongings, and experiences are inadequate. This study supports the negative view, not the positive one."

nck4222··on The MTA is going after an Etsy artist over a New York subway map it didn’t make
Also pointed out in the article, the "copy cat" map was made 2 years before the official MTA map that it's so similar to.
nck4222··on Have Aliens Found Us? (2019)
I feel like there has to be a razor stating something like "It's more likely that our expectations were wrong due to a lack of initial knowledge, rather than the explanation being aliens."

Because it seems like time and time again someone proposes aliens when in reality it's just some phenomenon or variable we hadn't observed yet.

nck4222··on The Cannonball Record has been broken again
The "well they drive fast in Germany every day" argument doesn't hold water either.

1) Even on the parts of the autobahn with unrestricted speeds, 130km is still the recommended upper limit, and you're more liable in a collision if you go faster than that.

2) Many people in Germany don't agree with unrestricted speeds, and politicians have compared it to gun law debates in the US.

3) Germany has higher than average deaths per 1000 km driven (for an EU country).

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