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metaphor

4,146 karma · joined September 7, 2015

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metaphor··on Disney discontinues DVD and Bluray production in Australia
Interesting. I'm not familiar with tax code implications down under. Would you mind expanding on it a bit?
metaphor··on Disney discontinues DVD and Bluray production in Australia
Take a look at the numbers under DMED --> Content Sales/Licensing and Other --> Home entertainment.

Last fiscal year[1; p. 42], Home entertainment generated $820 million revenue (down -19% YoY) while the overall sub-segment profusely bled -$287 million in operating losses.

This past quarter[2; p. 44], the trend continues at $148 million revenue (down -36% QoQ) with the sub-segment still bleeding -$50 million in operating losses.

Disney's problem within DMED segment appears to be that Linear Networks has been floating Direct-to-Consumer's massive growth burn for several years, but cash flows from the former are fading faster than the latter is tracking towards being operationally profitable.

Speculating, what if what we're seeing is a sort of A/B test in a much smaller market where cutting a revenue stream with relatively high opex is an attempt to steer those high-retention consumers towards Direct-to-Consumer?

In any case, investors have certainly expressed their dissatisfaction by severely punishing Disney's stock. With the residual impact of lockdowns in Shanghai and Hong Kong still being felt in DPEP, all the recent negative press surrounding Disney World/DeSantis feud in Florida, and now union strikes, Disney is without a doubt in a tough situation.

[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1744489/000174448922...

[2] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1744489/000174448923...

metaphor··on Linux surpasses the Mac among Steam gamers
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37003241
metaphor··on Linux surpasses the Mac among Steam gamers
> ...but nobody is saying "hey, I'll just use this as my daily driver now".

Seriously, the hubris[1][2][3][4][5] of it all.

[1] https://old.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

[2] https://old.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

[3] https://old.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

[4] https://old.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

[5] https://old.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

metaphor··on Linux surpasses the Mac among Steam gamers
> I imagine neither me or you are typing these comments on a server or a Steam Deck.

Stop imagining. I'm quite literally mooching around in bed posting this from Firefox on a Steam Deck in desktop mode docked to my bedroom TV. This[1] isn't your father's Oldsmobile.

[1] https://store.steampowered.com/steamdeck/#SaleSection_24468

metaphor··on Linux surpasses the Mac among Steam gamers
Apparently[1].

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B2m-TpHtg2U

metaphor··on Linux surpasses the Mac among Steam gamers
...never mind that the Steam Deck has an entirely capable desktop mode[1], and people are indeed using it[2].

[1] https://help.steampowered.com/en/faqs/view/671A-4453-E8D2-32...

[2] https://www.reddit.com/r/SteamDeck/comments/12sgnw7/what_do_...

metaphor··on Modern action films fetishize the body even as they desexualize it (2021)
To be sure, the PG-13 rating[1] wasn't introduced until shortly after the 1984 film[2] was released.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motion_Picture_Association_fil...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghostbusters

metaphor··on Apple reports third quarter results
> The price is high, but is the performance worth it?

The numbers reflect Mac revenue down -24.2% YoY to date; if it's worth it, the market certainly hasn't voted with their wallets yet.

metaphor··on Apple reports third quarter results
> Its incredible that "Services" brings as much revenue as Mac, iPad and wearables/accessories combined.

That's not the story the numbers are telling:

               23 YTD    22 YTD  Change
               ======    ======  ======
  Mac          21,743    28,669  -24.2%
  iPad       + 21,857  + 22,118   -1.2%
  Wearables  + 30,523  + 31,591   -3.4%
             --------  --------  ------
               74,123    82,378  -10.0%
  Services   / 62,886  / 58,941   +6.7%
             ========  ========  ======
               +17.9%    +39.8%
Even with Mac sales getting smashed hard YTD, Services would still need to generate ~18% more to be comparable in revenue; $11.2 billion delta is not insignificant, even with games buried in footnotes[1; p. 37] being played like:

>> Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.

[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/320193/0000320193220...

metaphor··on Ask HN: Do you still use a hand held/desktop calculator?
HP 35s on desk, CalcTastic app[1] on mobile.

[1] https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.shaytastic...

metaphor··on How the Rich Reap Huge Tax Breaks From Private Nonprofits
All this talk of "data" is quickly feeling unmotivated without an ounce of cite.

To be sure, use of the terms "progressive" and "substantial" in context here is quite misleading at face value, and every time you handwave this federal receipts as a percentage of GDP metric as if it somehow magically supports an argument that the wealthy are paying their equitable and sustainable share, it comes off even more as disingenuous.

We need only disaggregate this total metric and recognize a long declining trend in tax receipts on corporate income as a percentage of GDP[1] to see how such an argument falls flat on its face.

Furthermore, we can see from the CBO report previously cited[2] that at the individual income level, the largest gap in tax liabilities by a massive margin is from underreporting of business income, i.e. flow-through from partnerships, S corps, estates and trusts, rent and royalty, farm, and nonfarm proprietor income...and that doesn't even account for the sophisticated evasion that's happening right under our noses as previously mentioned.

So if total receipts remain flat (as you point out) while receipts attributable to corporate income are clearly on a declining trend, it begs the question: who/what has been shouldering the implied delta?

It should come as no surprise that corporate profits after tax is strongly correlated to public debt as a percentage of GDP[3], of course, with a grift catalyst that comes along every few decades that allows the cart to lead the horse for truly outsized profits before the inevitable reversion to the mean expensed by even more public debt.

It should also be unsurprising that when public debt to receipts ratio[4] is levered over 6x with interest rates as high as they are (never mind the $82+ billion and snowballing negative carry by the Fed[5]), negative sentiment brews as private wealth locks in exit liquidity while the rest of the public braces to "socialize losses" in the long run.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=17rUd

[2] https://www.cbo.gov/publication/56467#_idTextAnchor018

[3] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=17s68

[4] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=17saE

[5] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RESPPLLOPNWW

metaphor··on How the Rich Reap Huge Tax Breaks From Private Nonprofits
The games played by the wealthy and well-advised are largely within the gray areas of tax code buried between legal avoidance and illegal evasion[1]...in other words, certain sophisticated behavior remains "legal" if the IRS never gets an opportunity to audit and pursue litigation against. Herein lies the moral hazard bullshit.

To tilt these game-theoretic bets overwhelmingly in favor of the wealthy, assert continuous political pressure to defund IRS activity tasked with holding these actors legally accountable while shilling it to the ignorant public with a bullshit title like "Family and Small Business Taxpayer Protection" to bait popular support[2; § 251].

The CBO too is well-advised[3], but the wealthy very much dislike projected outcomes summarized[4] as:

> The proposal, by contrast, would return audit rates to the levels of about 10 years ago; the rate would rise for all taxpayers, but higher-income taxpayers would face the largest increase. In addition, the Administration’s policies would focus additional IRS resources on enforcement activity aimed at high-wealth taxpayers, large corporations, and partnerships.

[1] https://www.nber.org/papers/w28542

[2] https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/3746

[3] https://www.cbo.gov/publication/56467

[4] https://www.cbo.gov/publication/57444

metaphor··on Intel returns to profitability after two quarters of losses
Likewise Nvidia...buried in supplemental CFO commentary[1] circa FY23 Q4:

> Starting in fiscal 2024, we are extending the useful lives of a majority of our servers, storage, and network equipment from three years to a range of four to five years, and assembly and test equipment from five to seven years. As a result, we expect favorable impact to operating income of approximately $26 million in the first quarter and $133 million in fiscal 2024 from a reduction in depreciation expense based on equipment balances as of January 29, 2023. The favorable impact will be primarily in operating expense, and to a lesser extent in cost of goods sold.

[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581023...

metaphor··on FBI Officer Speaks at Law School, Lists Food Not Bombs on “Terrorist Watch List” [pdf] (2006)
> Houston Police Officer Jeff Richard asks Food Not Bombs volunteer Shere Dore and another man if they will pass out food at a city-sanctioned location instead of the Houston Public Library’s Julia Ideson Building.

I was curious what this was about.

The article cites this page[1] on Houston Health Department's website which I thought was pretty clear and concise guidance. 61 Riesner St is listed as the city-sanctioned address.

I then wondered: How far is this city-sanctioned location from the Julia Ideson Building mentioned in the article?

Google Maps suggests it's just under a mile away; an 18-min walk or 5-min drive[2].

So the brouhaha is that this group racks up 40 citations for refusing to conduct affairs at a nearby city-sanctioned location in defiance of standing ordinance, then parades the civil disobedience on a t-shirt logo as a mocking gesture in court for the selfies because..."the work being done could also be seen as beautiful, fit for the steps of neaby City Hall"?

One step forward, two steps back...color me unimpressed.

[1] https://www.houstonhealth.org/services/permits/food-permits/...

[2] https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Julia+Ideson+Building,+550+M...

metaphor··on The economics of the Birkin bag (2016)
Had a conversation with a friend the other day where these backpacks[1] were brought up. After reading your remark, I now see what these list prices are really aiming at.

[1] https://www.goruck.com/collections/rucksacks

metaphor··on American universities have an incentive to seem extortionate
https://archive.is/ruREB
metaphor··on TSMC delays U.S. chip plant start to 2025 due to labor shortages
Is Intel voluntarily disclosing in Ohio job listings? Nope.

Is Samsung voluntarily disclosing in Texas job listings? Nope.

A "worse look" argument simply has no basis in reality when this corporate behavior is effectively status quo across all relevant competitors in the industry.

metaphor··on In 1961 a Gallup poll showed only 33% of Americans in favor of moon landing
> ...a waste of money

Here's a clue[1] at no cost.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NASA_spinoff_technologies

metaphor··on TSMC delays U.S. chip plant start to 2025 due to labor shortages
> I checked a few random job descriptions and none of them mentioned hourly wage/salary, which is usually a bad sign.

It's simply not a legal requirement in Arizona to disclose wage/salary range on job listings.

You need to look at TSMC listings in states like California[1] or Washington[2].

[1] https://ro.careers.tsmc.com/search/?locationsearch=CA

[2] https://ro.careers.tsmc.com/search/?locationsearch=WA

metaphor··on TSMC delays U.S. chip plant start to 2025 due to labor shortages
I suspect not...

BLS national semiconductor industry-specific occupational employment data[1] circa 2022 suggests there are roughly as many 15-1252 title-specific "Software Developers"[2] (13,220) as there are all positions categorized under 49-0000 "Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations"[3] (13,410)...never mind that what requires specialized handling is bleeding edge ASML EUV tech for which there is a single deeply backlogged global source of, substantially increasing risk to TSMC at what is clearly a critical phase.

[1] https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/naics4_334400.htm

[2] https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/naics4_334400.htm#15-0000

[3] https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/naics4_334400.htm#49-0000

metaphor··on TSMC delays U.S. chip plant start to 2025 due to labor shortages
DoD primes integrate COTS systems, many of which heavily integrate COTS components, e.g. FPGAs designed by Xilinx and manufactured by TSMC.

What the parent is referring to is DMEA's Trusted Foundry Program[1], of which TSMC is not an accredited supplier of foundry services.

[1] https://www.dmea.osd.mil/otherdocs/accreditedsuppliers.pdf

metaphor··on Why was the F-117 retired so quickly?
Correct.

The larger display unit in the center was the primary human interface for IRADS video fed from FLIR/DLIR turrets.

metaphor··on Why was the F-117 retired so quickly?
> The F117 deployment to Iraq was big news and widely reported and the US Airforce basically couldn't shut up talking about just how awesome these things were.

Desert Storm, sure.

12 years later for Iraqi Freedom? Nope. We were in the sandbox low key to kickstart Saddam's farewell/get-rekt party and back at Holloman much quicker than most other air expeditionary squadrons.

metaphor··on Guam: The America that Americans forget
Maleffa yu ni kostumbren taotao tano, kon todo i lengguahe; mampos Amerikanon pao asu yu pago...and yet any way I looked at it---whether as an ethnic native of the Marianas who grew up with wideband exposure to what definitely seemed like a pronounced bimodal economic distribution; or as a veteran who eagerly and proudly served for a decade; or as an assimilated American who benefits from the resources and opportunities the mainland has to offer---this article managed to stir up some deeply repressed emotions that brutally ripped my heart into three.
metaphor··on Uber Eats Canada Ran Production in a MacBook Air
Thanks for clarifying...updated.
metaphor··on Uber Eats Canada Ran Production in a MacBook Air
...over wifi??
metaphor··on Displayport: A Better Video Interface
Unless the standard has been substantially relaxed since HDMI v1.3a, it sounds like a downstream issue.

Citing § 7.5 normative language:

> An HDMI Source shall be capable of transmitting audio and video data streams with no more than ±2 msec of audio delay relative to the video.

metaphor··on Displayport: A Better Video Interface
> HDMI predates DP by 5 years...

- HDMI v1.0 initial release = 2002-12-09

- DisplayPort v1.0 initial release = 2006-05-01

To be sure, just under 3.5 years; HDMI rolled into v1.3 a month after DisplayPort v1.0 saw the light of day. Agreed on the impact of market inertia.

metaphor··on Uber, DoorDash Sue NYC to Stop Delivery Drivers from Getting a Minimum Wage
> ...fully owned fleets. The drivers are paid fair hourly wages...

> The rides are somehow cheaper, have no surge pricing, and from some insider reports, has profitable unit economics.

So a fleet of depreciating assets with a major infrastructure dependency, lower implied gross margins, and word from insiders of a positive bottom line without publicly disclosed financials to sanity check claims against. Curious to see what their balance sheet looks like.

The entire Asia Pacific geographic region, including India, accounted for 10.9% of Uber's FY22 revenue[1; p. 94]. It's likely more of an incidental snack than full lunch, but it would be funny if Uber lost out to what sounds like an upstart taxi company.

[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1543151/000154315123...

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