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matthest

624 karma · joined October 30, 2012

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matthest··on Longevity Is Now a Factor When Picking an Embryo for IVF
I would argue this has more or less been the case for most of history, in a different form.

It used to be that most people died young. If your genes weren't strong enough, disease would've knocked you out before you became a teenager.

It's only relatively recently that we've made it possible for people of all genetic types to survive into adulthood.

matthest··on The ‘white-collar bloodbath’ is all part of the AI hype machine
Does anyone else think the fact that companies hire superfluous employees (i.e. bullshit jobs) is actually fantastic?

Because they don't have to do that. They could just operate at max efficiency all the time.

Instead, they spread the wealth a bit by having bullshit jobs, even if the existence of these jobs is dependent on the market cycle.

matthest··on People say they’ll pay more for “made in the USA” so we ran a test
I don't blame you. Our next president is going to have send you a Statue of Liberty or something to patch things up.
matthest··on Google is illegally monopolizing online advertising tech, judge rules
https://acdis.org/articles/news-ama-report-details-health-in...
matthest··on Google is illegally monopolizing online advertising tech, judge rules
First, let me say I'm glad the FTC is going after monopolies. True capitalism requires competition, not massive corporations.

That said, I feel like going after Big Tech is a massive misuse of resources. Not because it's not a monopoly (it is), but because there's a far more important monopoly that should be broken up: healthcare insurance.

Something like 7 corporations dominate 70% of the healthcare insurance market. The AMA had a study last year that concluded these insurance companies are charging monopoly pricing.

This is why Americans are paying astronomical prices for healthcare.

This is IMO by far the most pressing issue. Yet the FTC is seemingly spending all its time going after Big Tech, which has a comparatively lower impact on the quality of everyday Americans' lives.

matthest··on Sleep is essential – researchers are trying to work out why
How's your sleeping environment? Do you have black out shades? Keep your room cool?
matthest··on Sleep is essential – researchers are trying to work out why
Benefits to both I think.

A sustained walk maximizes digestion and subconscious problem-solving benefits. Short bursts, especially w/ kids involved, maximizes spiritual fulfillment.

Both are probably great for metabolic health.

matthest··on Sleep is essential – researchers are trying to work out why
Yeah, if you think about it in the grand scheme of things, this is true.

Our science is fairly reductionist. Nature is incorporating vast amounts of science, most of which we probably don't even know about yet.

matthest··on Sleep is essential – researchers are trying to work out why
Yeah. Nature is the ultimate form of science. At any moment, it's incorporating an infinite amount of science, most of which we likely haven't discovered yet, and may not discover for millions of years - if ever.

Nature developed over millions of years of trial and error.

matthest··on Sleep is essential – researchers are trying to work out why
Walking. Walk 3 miles a day. It gives you a drastically different set of benefits from running, and you can walk all day without worry of overtraining.

Running is great too. But be careful of doing it too much. Overtraining can break down your immune system and make you more susceptible to disease.

matthest··on Getting hit by lightning is good for some tropical trees
Earth has figured out the optimal way to operate over millions and millions of years of trial and error.

Our job is to get out of the way.

matthest··on Abundance isn't going to happen unless politicians are scared of the status quo
YIMBYism is having a much greater impact in red states.

Noah Smith (left wing blogger) has a fascinating article on it: https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/blue-states-dont-build-red-sta...

In Austin, TX, rent has been falling for 2 years because they've been building so much new supply: https://www.texastribune.org/2025/01/22/austin-texas-rents-f...

matthest··on Qwen2.5-VL-32B: Smarter and Lighter
The hard-to-swallow truth is that American models do the same thing regarding Israel/Palestine.
matthest··on GPT 4.5 level for 1% of the price
Another aspect is that China has more people than the US and Europe combined.

Massive labor force unrivaled by any in the world, all working to elevate 1 country.

Allowing capitalism, a competent government, and sheer volume of people - all critical to making their rise possible.

matthest··on 'Profit-Enhancing Middlemen' Fuel $200B Health-Care Chaos
Gov wouldn't need to pick a winner - it just needs the market to reach a critical point of competitiveness, at which the sheer amount of competition would be self sustaining, as it is in the restaurant industry, for example.

And if a monopoly were to form, it would step in.

matthest··on 'Profit-Enhancing Middlemen' Fuel $200B Health-Care Chaos
Well let's look at ridesharing as an example. It's basically dominated by Uber and Lyft, i.e., minimal competition.

The nature of the market is that you need a large network of drivers to succeed. That network is a powerful barrier to entry. And it likely requires a lot of funding to achieve.

A government could foster more competition within the industry by funding new start-ups, in an effort to bring the market closer to free market status.

This is what China does with many of their industries, and they do it really well. Despite their "communist party" brand, they are actually doing capitalism much better than the US in many areas.

matthest··on 'Profit-Enhancing Middlemen' Fuel $200B Health-Care Chaos
Those are valid examples, but conflated with the problem that there is limited competition in all the industries you mentioned. Which makes monopolies much easier for the existing companies with power.

Counter examples of capitalist industries that have lasted centuries without corporate concentration: restaurants, spas, bars, tailors, car washes, barbers, almost anywhere small businesses exist.

Adam Smith's original capitalism required free markets, which fundamentally require high competition, low barriers to entry.

The low barriers to entry component is missing from the examples you described, which is theoretically where government should step in (and lower those barriers for new companies looking to enter the market).

In healthcare, however, government is essentially working with the companies to raise barriers to entry.

matthest··on 'Profit-Enhancing Middlemen' Fuel $200B Health-Care Chaos
I guess it depends on which definition you use at this point, but Adam Smith's original definition of capitalism fundamentally required free markets.

Of course, what we have today is not Adam Smith's capitalism.

matthest··on Gemini Robotics brings AI into the physical world
As a non-robotics/AI expert, does anyone know if this reconciles with the article from yesterday about how China is leading the race in robotics?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43331358

matthest··on Zelensky leaves White House after angry meeting
Copy/pasting from below:

The bet would be that in the long run (talking 5-10 years down the road after the EU has built their defense), the EU would still be more likely to ally with the US than China.

The current administration perhaps thinks that alienating them in the short run is the only way to get them to actually get serious about building military.

matthest··on Zelensky leaves White House after angry meeting
The bet would be that in the long run (talking 5-10 years down the road after the EU has built their defense), the EU would still be more likely to ally with the US then China.

The current administration perhaps thinks that alienating them in the short run is the only way to get them to actually get serious about building military.

matthest··on Zelensky leaves White House after angry meeting
I don't agree with the execution, but here's what I think this is what Trump is really trying to do:

Right now, it's basically the US vs Russia and China.

But what Trump is betting on is that it could be the US + EU + Russia vs China.

In order for this to happen though, the EU must build their own military.

The EU could and should be a superpower, but they're not. Instead they're living off the US military.

The US has been gently trying to get EU to boost its own spending. This goes as far back as Obama, and maybe even further back.

The difference is that Obama was somewhat passive aggressive with his approach. Whereas Trump is tearing off the band aid.

The public belligerence and positioning against the EU is an effort to kick them out of the parents' basement and get their act together.

Now, what is he doing regarding Canada and Mexico? That I have 0 clue. And his current stance honestly seems stupid.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
When you eat at a restaurant, are you making an informed choice?

I'd argue no. I have no idea if the cook that made my meal 30 seconds ago actually followed proper safety guidelines.

However, I think in general, the probability is decent that they did, as they are highly incentivized to do so. Because a failure to do so could mean the end of their business.

What I'm getting at is that there are specific scenarios where market forces are stronger than the ability to make an informed choice. And protect you as the consumer better.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
We're actually in complete agreement over this scenario.

In my original comment, I discussed why you can't have no regulations in an industry that's highly concentrated.

Deregulating only works if and only if the underlying industry is highly competitive.

The meatpacking industry is not highly competitive: https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2024/january/concentrat...

Hence, regulations are needed.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
I'm pro airline regulation given the current state of the market.

But you could also argue the airline industry is fairly concentrated. There are only so many airlines. If a Delta flight crashes, you might still fly Delta again in the future, because there are only so many options.

Now imagine if there were as many airlines as restaurants. If one Delta flight messes up in any way, people would never fly them again. They'd go out of business.

Of course, a market with as many airlines as restaurants isn't practical in the current day (maybe when AI robots become feasible). Hence, agree that airline regulations are necessary.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
It's not so much a theory as it is an attempt to understand what we already observe in the real world.

Why is it that restaurants, barbers, car washes, and other small business industries have thrived for so long despite minimal regulation?

One reason is the high competition. If you've ever run a restaurant, you know the importance of making customers happy. Because customers have so many other options to choose from. They can easily take their business elsewhere. So you have to perform.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
However, in reality, barbers (at least in the US) are not dangerous places.

If a barber starts acting in a way that makes their customers come down with infections, customers will take their business to the other barber down the street. If this new barber does the same, you will simply go to the next barber.

In this scenario, the first barber to treat their customers well (in a manner that does not pass on infections) will gobble up all the business.

Hence, it makes no sense for any barber to act in a manner that gives their customers infections, as they will quickly go out of business.

Same reason restaurants are naturally incentivized to cook their food as well as possible. 1 food poisoning case is all it takes for their business to go poof.

A true free market (as in, one where there's sufficient competition) keeps businesses in check, and protects customers.

matthest··on Plane crashes, overturns during landing at Toronto airport
As a half-Libertarian, the problem with a lot of libertarian logic is that it's too black and white.

Less government/regulation is good if and only if the underlying market is highly competitive. High competition protects consumers. Examples: restaurants, barbers, tailors, spas, almost anywhere small businesses exist. All ancient, well-functioning industries that are comparatively minimally regulated.

The problem with deregulating banks is that the banking industry is low-competition. A few corporations dominate the landscape. So deregulation just strengthens the predators.

All deregulation should be accompanied by an equal effort to foster a massive amount of competition within the industry. Otherwise, things can go south rather quickly.

matthest··on [dead]
Love to see it.

Regenerative farming is about to make a comeback in America.

matthest··on Larry Ellison wants to put all America's data in AI, including DNA
Agreed. But in the modern era, the abandoning of the Gold Standard so Gov could print money to fight in Vietnam was as major catalyst.
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