mathdev

Voluntary isolation and support system for at-risk people (and possibly denial of care to those who choose not to isolate). Something along the lines of what the UK had been planning to do.

It's an ethical, not epidemiological question.

Likewise.

Both, but also with including the time spent under house arrest in life expectancy with full weight, disregarding the side-effects and tail risks of such isolation imposed on everyone, both social and economic. Most of all, with the irrationality and cowardice of risking everything for a few months (weeks?) of average life expectancy.

> But I have a 4.9% chance of being hospitalized

You are not taking into account the asymptomatic rate, among other mistakes.

It is amazing how the whole society can spiral into madness almost overnight. The COVID histeria reminds me of descriptions of the mood among the Hutu people in Rwanda in 1994, also driven by fear instilled by the media. We still have some window left to turn back from the brink.

Of course there is.

Took Hubei nearly two months with a complete shutdown. The West cannot do anything remotely close to a complete shutdown due to different social order and there being multiple loci of infection. Therefore, the measures will be exponentially less effective. So the lockdown will be indefinite - multiple years at least.

Unless we let a small number of old people die of natural causes, we are basically switching to a totalitarian system.

> I suspect this has happened in China and South Korea

How could it have if only a negligible fraction of the population caught it?

I thought it was going to be about training an economist.

I hope not. Much too late, I recently realised that I probably would not survive my WhatsApp history getting out.

Congrats, these micro (or nano ;) business success stories are the most inspiring.

I guess running a bootstrapped (small) online business with low touch sales.

Perhaps flogging would achieve the same goal while being financially neutral.

It has definitely reduced the tracking. Due to degraded usability I use European websites less, so fewer companies have my data.