3,252 karma · joined December 21, 2010
That's why you need both. You can't solve physics just by thinking about it, and you can't solve it just by doing experiments. And "solving physics" may also involve solving math, chemistry, philosophy and even linguistics (after all "the new physics" may not be describable in our own language, and AI will need to come up with a creative way to explain it to us)
1. How do you expect AI to create these simulations? Will it program it itself? I assume that the answer is yes, if so a. it needs to know how to program. b. it needs to know how to efficiently use the hardware that it can access. c. it may need to know all the quirks of the software, hardware and operating system that it works with. d. it also will need to have a pretty good math skills
Someone will need to teach AI how to do all of that or it will need to learn by itself.. This will take time.And experience.
Such AI will need to run the simulation it created, analyze it, compare results, come up with a hypothesis, and do it all over again to refine the results. What if there is a wrong assumption about fluid dynamics that is caused by some wrong assumptions on a lower level, i.e theory of matter. How will that change the results and will AI need to go back a step lower to "fix" our understanding of matter? what if there are some issues with math that first need to be "fixed", or totally new math theories must first be created?
Of course AI will not need to have everything perfect, right from the beginning, and better theories will suffice, but to say that long-term experiments such as this, are not necessary simply because AI will solve physics is just wrong.
"The time frame in question when dealing with radioactive waste ranges from 10,000 to 1,000,000 years" [2]
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster#The_Exclusi...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioactive_waste#Long_term_ma...
:)
Source: Crystal Ball
And perhaps it's you who's wrong and stubborn and that's why people with more experience need to scream at you to get their point across?
But the big guys with their automated trucks will be possibly cheaper, and all these niche jobs jobs could potentially go to them.
Walmart alone has around 6000 trucks. When they start using autonomous trucks, there will be many unemployed truckers competing for these niche jobs.
If you manage to build something comparable to fb, and your profits will be around $700mln with 1.4 billion users, you will be able to pay each user 50 cents.. whoa... BIG is now a real possibility!
It's simple really - technology to automate a lot of jobs it already here. In most cases it's very economic to automate the jobs, and doesn't really take long. Many more companies are moving in that direction. However, some government contractors are required to have a specific number of employees. They get tax incentives to keep people working. That's holding back automation.. And there is one more reason - a lot of small companies, which are still majority of the economy, are run by older guys that are afraid of big changes, and afraid of technology. Their businesses work, and bring money, and they will not implement any changes until they absolutely have to. As the demographics shift, and people who are more open to automation come aboard automation will speed up.
When some tradesmen, or engineer loses a job because of automation, they first try to work on their skills to stay relevant in the field. They usually won't blame automation for being unemployed, but instead they blame their age, lack of specific new skills, outsourcing or the economy. Without a well paying job, they quickly drop from the affluent middle class to a poor low class. In the mean time, their peers don't see what the real reason for this is, and they happily continue working, hoping that it's not going to happen in their case. They have no incentives to support BIG as they already believe that a lot of taxes go to support the lower classes, and put unfair strain on them.
This shift from middle to low class, is already happening. To keep themselves safe, the high middle class, and the 1%'s will support militarization of police, and push even more entertainment options to the masses. People will rarely revolt, as it's easy to imagine that if you're a father and see your kids starving, you will either work even harder trying to support your family, or you'll drink, do drugs and abuse the kids because you may feel that you failed, and you will try to hide this feeling not only from them but from yourself.
x86 virtualization is about basically placing another nearly full kernel, full of new bugs, on top of a nasty x86 architecture which barely has correct page protection. Then running your operating system on the other side of this brand new pile of shit."
The rest of the rant is here:
http://www.electricmonk.nl/log/2007/10/25/virtualization-sec...