HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

lewis500

1,527 karma · joined May 30, 2013

lewislehe.com
submissionscomments
lewis500··on First analysis of how Uber and Lyft have affected roadway congestion in SF
"TNCs had little impact on congestion in the western and southern San Francisco neighborhoods."

Recently Supervisor Peskin apparently reached a deal to impose a "net fares" tax on the TNC's. I wonder if they will consider differentiating it by neighborhood: imposing larger charges downtown. Peskin has also lobbied for downtown congestion pricing although that is harder to implement, politically and technologically, than such a tax.

lewis500··on Harvard Asian-American discrimination case opens with packed courtroom
Can someone knowledgeable answer something: if the judgement goes against Harvard, would this apply to faculty and staff hires, too?

I recall in grad school being in an econ

lewis500··on The Scots Language
Yeah that’s who my mom is descended from and I’m from Alabama. What happened is There was a migration of scots Presbyterians to Northern Ireland, and then from Northern Ireland to Appalachia. In the south they call that ethnicity scots-Irish but over there I think they call it Ulster Irish. For a while there were a series of books about the scots Irish (eg “born fighting” by senator jim Webb and the chapter in outliers by Malcolm gladwell about why scots Irish are so violent—-for some reason all the books were about violence...I suppose because the people who buy the books want to thing if themselves as brave and dangerous).
lewis500··on The Scots Language
I was real interested in this article since my ancestors were about 80% scots or welsh. Welsh is undeniably a language, but Scots makes you wonder about the difference between a language and a dialect. I found this article by a famous linguist:

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/01/di...

It made an interesting point about English:

"English tempts one with a tidy dialect-language distinction based on “intelligibility”...But because of quirks of its history, English happens to lack very close relatives, and the intelligibility standard doesn’t apply consistently beyond it. Worldwide, some mutually understandable ways of speaking, which one might think of as “dialects” of one language, are actually treated as separate languages. At the same time, some mutually incomprehensible tongues an outsider might view as separate “languages” are thought of locally as dialects."

This is spot on. The first thing I did after reading the article was go to Scots Wikipedia. I could read the articles pretty well after a minute, since there seems to be a nearly one-to-one mapping between the Scots words and English words, and so I thought "this isn't a language." The grammar was different than standard english, but similar to the way some southerners talk. But had I grown up speaking another language maybe I'd have a different instinct about whether that intelligibility made it a language. Moreover, says something I chose written language for deciding whether it's a language or not: all english speakers are used to not being able to understand spoken english from other places and classes.

In the end, I suppose the whole difference is socially constructed and involves politics mixed with what people regard as common sense.

Random sample ("featured article") from the scots wikipedia: "The testicle (frae Laitin testiculus, diminutive o testis, meanin "witness" o virility, plural testes) is the male gonad in ainimals. Lik the ovaries tae which they are homologous, testes are components o baith the reproductive seestem an the endocrine seestem."

lewis500··on Denmark to ban petrol and diesel car sales by 2030
Our cities are "crowded" and "unlivable"?

If they're so unlivable then why do so many people want to live there that they're crowded? Especially when the country is full of suburbs...suburbs, where, in fact, most people live.

Our cities are way less dense than many European cities. In fact they are way less dense than they used to be in many cases.

lewis500··on Housing bubbles are universally destructive
This whole piece makes me ask what a bubble really means. The author admits to having been wrong about housing prices since 2000. But that’s okay because bubbles can, apparently, last decades. If a bubble can last a very long, but totally indeterminant amount of time, does it have any reality?
lewis500··on Hajnal line
Is this still true? I’ve read some eastern euoprean countries are suffering from very low birth rates.

Also interesting the US seems to have a sort of fertility zone right down the middle https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/84g2n5/states_and_...

lewis500··on Cincinnati Joins the List of Cities Saying ‘No’ to Parking Minimums
Parking minimums are based on a handbook full of pseudoscience. When city engineers crack open the ITE handbook, it’s the equivalent of a doctor cracking open some old medieval text about humours.
lewis500··on A Texas-Sized Pavement Problem
They don't advocate having no roads and transit...just being more cautious about expanding whatever infrastructure you already have. They are a foil to the idea that infrastructure expansion is always an "investment." Their emphasis is on maintenance and staying in good financial shape so that you can afford to replace infrastructure when it wears out. It's actually not a very radical position which is why they're able to draw crowds in red and blue places both.
lewis500··on A Texas-Sized Pavement Problem
Why would you have to increase taxes to let people build corner stores? They aren't proposing government-run corner stores.
lewis500··on A Texas-Sized Pavement Problem
Strong Towns is much more focused on NOT building new roads than on building new transit. Overall, the message is that new infrastructure of all kinds can be unsustainable financially.
lewis500··on A new study says services like Uber and Lyft are causing urban traffic woes
I am more expressing surprise that a consultant can get their ideas covered so widely by posting a paper on their website. I searched and there are dozens of articles reporting these claims. I think it speaks to a general scorn for Uber and lyft that any bad news about them gets clicks. But the estimates could be true just like half the estimates or double the estimates could be true also.
lewis500··on A new study says services like Uber and Lyft are causing urban traffic woes
The Davis study doesn't make any of the big claims that are getting attention here. Being academic and from a good department, it is much more measured:

"Net vehicle miles traveled (VMT) changes are unknown."

"While this data provides initial insights into the travel behavior changes associated with ridehailing, it is still limited in that it does not provide a complete picture of individual travelers’ trip generating activities, the modes they used before ride-hailing services, and the potentially new patterns of behavior that have since emerged."

Meanwhile, here is coverage of this study: "Lyft, Uber increase traffic 180 percent in major cities, says report" https://sf.curbed.com/2018/7/27/17622178/uber-lyft-cause-tra...

lewis500··on A new study says services like Uber and Lyft are causing urban traffic woes
I don’t understand why this study is receiving so much attention. It’s not peer reviewed. It doesn’t contain actual data collection (the estimates are all extrapolated in a way the author considers reasonable, not measured data from traffic detectors or surveys). Schaller is not a researcher or engineer, but a consultant mainly working for taxi regulation.

That doesn’t mean it’s wrong. But I’m surprised the study gets so much press because some guy published something on his personal website.

lewis500··on LyX: combine the power of LaTeX with the ease of use of a graphical interface
Lyx is great. Although I’ve moved on to just typing straight latex, I probably would never have gotten started if it weren’t for Lyx. I still use it to set tables and such, because coding latex tables can be a huge pain. A great project.
lewis500··on Redux vs. The React Context API
This is great. Love the idea of passing components as props regularly. I have done this a few times before, but I guess in my head I still think of components as something "real" and so passing them down as prop data feels wrong somehow...but it isn't! Now that I have seen Dan Abramov bless it, I feel less guilty.

Off to refactor...

lewis500··on Markov Chains Explained Visually (2014)
vicapow wrote the code for this one; i take no responsibility for the horrors that await you
lewis500··on Markov Chains Explained Visually (2014)
keeps getting posted and going to the top, almost like HN is a memoryless process... :)

glad yall are still enjoying it.

lewis500··on Julia 1.0
> Because Julia is fast and expressive and extensible, in Julia everything can be Julia and not a mashup of other languages. I've been doing some work in Python recently, and it's painful to have Python lists, numpy arrays, Pandas series, and so forth.

This is exactly what I like about Julia. Even though getting started in Julia was tough (esp the older versions), once you get off the ground Python starts to seem like a very hard language, in that Python requires you to use these special libraries to run fast code. In Julia, the most obvious way to do something (e.g., for loops) is perfectly fine.

The main thing Julia lacks, for me, is an equivalent to Pandas. The DataFrames library lacks many very useful features of Pandas. But I am sure someone will tackle that.

lewis500··on Pittsburgh Bus Bunching (2016)
Yep and I also went to University of Pittsburgh. Not a coincidence.
lewis500··on Waymo’s autonomous vehicles are driving 25,000 miles every day
1042 miles per hour is a fast car
lewis500··on San Francisco's zoning makes it illegal to build apartments in 73.5% of the city
Regarding roads, it's not true that building roads can't alleviate traffic congestion---although there are special cases where building roads makes travel times. It depends on the network.

In general though we should expect building roads to reduce travel time. The fact that driving increases following road-building is evidence of this: why would driving increase if travel times between all origins and destinations stayed the same? Validated models of travel demand all depend on travel time, not the existence of roadspace. Just because driving increases upon building new roads does not mean it does so to the extent that travel times are unchanged.

For the record, I do not support building many more roads. They have become very expensive to build and maintain, the maintenance backlog in some places is severe, and in a thick network like many US cities have they do little good. In some cases the pollution they create is severe and disproportionately impacts poor people. But I still feel compelled to nitpick this common misunderstanding about induced demand.

lewis500··on I’m leaving China
You can define culture many ways obviously, but my point is that you can distinguish behaviors that move with the individual to other places and those that are part of stable equilibria, where one's choice only makes sense in light of others' choices. The latter are like n-player "Stag Hunt" games. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stag_hunt

As an example, Singapore accepts a lot of Malays and Chinese every year (and most people are Chinese), but the country has "an obsession with queueing" (https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/no-time-wait-line-star...) and is very orderly w/r/t traffic laws and such.

lewis500··on I’m leaving China
Regarding the line-cutting/cheating he talks about.

I like to distinguish between "culture" and something vaguer, which is what type of equilibrium someone is trapped in. I started to think this way when I lived in Argentina. Argentina is very corrupt, but just across the river is Uruguay...the least corrupt country in Latin America by some metrics. Argentines and Uruguayos are culturally quite similar (the relationship is analogous to that between the US and Canada), but one country is much less corrupt. I mused about this to my Argentine friend and he said "The difference is that in Argentine politics, if you're not corrupt you'll get destroyed." (This is kind of exaggerated but it gets the point across.) So while the cultures are similar, individuals in each country find themselves in different equilibria: if you're the only corrupt person in a group, you'll get caught and ostracized; if you're the only uncorrupt person, you'll get forced out (the same thing happens to police departments in the US). It is impossible for an individual to change the equilibrium.

Likewise with standing in line: Chinese immigrants to America preserve much of their culture for a while but don't cut lines; if they did they would be called out for it, being among the few who do so. But if everyone around you is blatantly cutting, then maybe you'll do it, too.

lewis500··on How Helsinki Arrived at the Future of Urban Travel First
That is a remarkable cost for a structured parking space! In America the construction cost is like $20-30k (17-25k EUR). I bet you could find projects for more than that but nothing like 70k EUR.
lewis500··on Big Tech’s View of Universal Basic Income Is Deeply Flawed
Yeah all I see here is incoherent posturing.

"Most of them [the people living on RSA] indeed live out of poverty, but they are no incentivized whatsoever to get any extra training or even to find a job." This is a plain lie and, besides, has nothing to do with UBI. Regarding, the RSA, it diminishes more slowly than labor earnings (as you can see simply by reading the chart on its short Wikipedia page), so the more money you earn, the more money you get to spend. So there is an incentive to get training and a job. But in any case it has nothing to do with UBI proposals: the UBI idea is that your benefit wouldn't diminish at all as you earn more money, so the incentive to get a job and earn more is even stronger under UBI than under RSA. I think the reason this guy is surrounded by unemployed people living off RSA is that he lives next to defunct villages with high unemployment; these people can't get jobs because they aren't available. Thank god for the benefits then.

"I doubt they ever drove a couple of days in the backcountry." Blah blah some ad hominem about tech people being elite nerds that doesn't relate to the efficacy of UBI. I love the implicit claim that this dude gets it because he spends time at his summer home in the rough and tumble "backcountry" of the Loire Valley.

"To do so, it must take the long view and start to care about its stakeholders and not only about its shareholders. " Blah blah some word salad that doesn't mean anything specific about policy.

lewis500··on Employers will do almost anything to find workers except pay them more
I keep reading stories about how it's a puzzle that more jobs are being created but wages aren't going up. Part of it seems to be this new ingenuity at finding marginal workers and getting them to take jobs.

Paul Krugman has a theory that the recession has made companies averse to raising wages, because it's hard to claw wage gains back if there's a recession. So instead they are offering bonuses, because if a recession hits you can just say "we don't have money for bonuses this year" which is a lot easier than saying "everybody's salary is going down." I'd say, while the cause (recession) is right, the companies are doing even more than switching to bonuses: it's also aggressive recruiting, allowing remote work, making workplaces cool, inflating the job's prestige, etc.

lewis500··on Vermont’s Mormon megacity called off after preservationists sound the alarm
I'm joking. this is clearly the agenda of retirees and busybodies trying to keep things just the way they are, to the detriment of young people.
lewis500··on Vermont’s Mormon megacity called off after preservationists sound the alarm
Baffling why Vermont's population is aging rapidly, given its "charming village centers and idyllic surrounding farms and forests in four historic towns." This is what young people crave. Millenials just can't get enough charm/farms.
lewis500··on [dead]
If this guy had grown up in the 1880s, he would be writing articles about how horrible it is that the quaint villages of Brooklyn are covered over by monotonous brownstones, the quaint farmers replaced by rapacious businessmen and hard-drinking laborers with no ties to the area.
← PreviousPage 2 of 5Next →