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lenerdenator

7,347 karma · joined June 14, 2023

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lenerdenator··on iOS 27, iPadOS 27, and macOS 27
I take it this is the one that tosses out Rosetta 2 on macOS?
lenerdenator··on Mullenweg has returned as CEO after attempted board ouster
Yet another failure of corporate governance in this industry.

If you can pull a bunch of shenanigans to get around being fired by your bosses, then the system isn't working.

lenerdenator··on OpenAI bots knew about the RubyGems caching vulnerability
He did not fall out of a window.

He fell out of the sky. After his plane exploded. Happens all the time. Is tragedy.

lenerdenator··on Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
I'm not chastising them for anything. I'm explaining my view on the rationale of their leadership.

That being said, if you're talking about the 1953 coup, ask the British about that. Also, it doesn't take away from the fact that the 1979 revolution didn't install any sort of representative government, either.

lenerdenator··on Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
"The largest issue with Iran having nuclear weapons is that it almost certainly intends to use them against an already nuclear-armed power, Israel, in a way that really doesn't have any rational endgame."
lenerdenator··on Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
Believe it or not, they're not exactly a 1-to-1.

Up until fairly recently, Israel was a stand-out in the region for actually having things like decently fair elections and a political class derived from a relatively wide sample of its populace. Other countries in the region were either Arab nationalist republics, Islamic republics, or authoritarian monarchies. While it was ethno-theocratic, it was one that seemed to balance religion with secular demands, and as it is, most countries around the world have at least some basis in ethnicity. The US is a notable exception for this, for what it's worth. This has begun to fade as a more conservative sector of Israeli society has begun carrying more political power, but it's not to the same extent as you find in other countries in the region.

Nuclear weapons are indeed bad and we used to try to negotiate ways between major powers to reduce their number. We don't do that anymore, for a variety of reasons. The more of them there are in different, independent hands, the more likely they are to be used. If they're used, there's a real chance that nuclear-armed powers make severe miscalculations about who is firing what at where. For example, a USAF radar operator watching an over-the-horizon system pointed eastward sees a large number of missiles being launched, and may assume that they're Russian missiles aimed at the US, when they are in fact Iranian missiles aimed at Israel. They might make a potentially species-ending mistake as a result.

The largest issue with Iran having nuclear weapons is that it almost certainly intends to use them against an already nuclear-armed power, Israel, in a way that really doesn't have any rational endgame. Iran is a Shia Islamic theocracy. Beyond the Western-ish influence that Israel brings to the region, there are serious theological implications from the existence of Israel. Islam has a core tenant that there is no higher power other than Allah and that Muhammad is his prophet. Allah is the same god that exists in Christianity and Judaism, and Muhammad is held as carrying on the thread of prophecy that began with the biblical Adam.

There's a lot in common in the three major Abrahamic faiths, and like all other faiths, people interpret it in different ways. The Iranian regime - who definitely does not represent all Muslims, let's make that clear right now - interprets it as the basis of their power. They are a group of clerics and scholars who govern a nation through interpretation and application of religious jurisprudence via one head cleric, the Ayatollah.

If you are a person who either rules a society based on any religious jurisprudence, or are working under that person - as all of the Iranian government does - you can't have too much tolerance for things that might undermine that religion. The Iranian theocracy's interpretation of the line of prophecy that Muhammad is a part of is that he is the "seal of the prophets", meaning that there will be no further revelations or corrections to the line of prophecy until the end-times. Muhammad is held up as having revealed corrections to the line of prophecy, meaning that while Judaism, Christianity, and other Abrahamic faiths are of the same prophecy, they ultimately got some things wrong.

Now let's get back to the existence of Israel. A short description of Israel in the context of what I've described is that you have a people who now control some of the Abrahamic faiths' most holy sites, and they're doing it based off of what is seen as the "wrong" prophecy.

If people who believe in the "wrong" prophecy are firmly in charge of the sites you consider holy, what does that say about your prophecy and your claim to power based on it? Sort of reduces its power, doesn't it? You can't have that. Something has to be done.

In the eyes of the Iranian theocracy, that "something" is funding, training, and commanding militia and military groups who are sympathetic to your understanding of prophecy and having them strike out at the theologically inconvenient people. Developing more powerful weapons to use while doing so is a natural part of this. What's more powerful than a nuclear weapon? Nothing. So you make that your ultimate goal. What they might do with it, who knows, but again, simply having more nuclear weapons in the hands of more independent actors raises the likelihood of their use with potentially catastrophic results.

The plight of the Palestinians just happens to be a convenient excuse for all of this. They're Arab and majority Sunni as opposed to the Persian and Shiite Iran. If there were a two-state solution as we spent most of the last 30 years working towards, it likely wouldn't satisfy the Iranians, which is why they don't recognize Israel at all instead of saying "we'd recognize you if you retreat to your pre-1967 borders and let the Palestinian Authority govern the West Bank and Gaza Strip."

lenerdenator··on NTSB issues investigative update on B-767 runway excursion accident in Miami
The way this was dealt with historically, for better or for worse, was to put the cheap housing under the flight path. The proles were left to deal with the noise. The Harlem neighborhood of Kansas City North is a good example of this. It sits next to MKC and has a flophouse motel, a car repair shop, and little else.

When aircraft got significantly faster, heavier, and larger with the advent of jet airliners, it became less of a noise issue and more of a safety issue. You can tell people to put up with noise, you can't tell them to put up with a huge airplane falling out of the sky onto their homes.

lenerdenator··on Remember Hong Kong
You're right. Violent authoritarian thugs are bad. There should be systems in place to sweep them away. Ideally, through peaceful means.

I'd be interested to see what has been implemented with regard to this under the stewardship of the CCP.

lenerdenator··on Remember Hong Kong
It's not propaganda. It's just the result of the policies that the CCP has implemented in the past, and given their death grip on politics in China, it could very well happen again should it be found advantageous to the survival of the party.
lenerdenator··on Remember Hong Kong
> Hong Kong belongs to China if you forgot

If that's not a healthy attitude to take towards a territorial possession, I don't know what is.

lenerdenator··on NTSB issues investigative update on B-767 runway excursion accident in Miami
I know that it's not a luxury that all metro areas can implement, but if you look at airports like Denver or Kansas City, there is a very, very good reason that those airports are out in the middle of nowhere. Lots of accidents happen close to the runway, either on takeoff or landing. It's better that it be in a field than a road or building filled with people.
lenerdenator··on Python sets and dictionaries can have quadratic-time performance
> Stanford

Mmmmm. Yep. There's yer trouble.

lenerdenator··on Amazon pilots ad services in ChatGPT
Oh, no question. But realize, that is their mindset.
lenerdenator··on Amazon pilots ad services in ChatGPT
It is the job of management to figure out how to make gains over the next 90 days, not make gains sustainable. The money available for consumers to spend in wake of their unemployment is the problem for whenever that issue occurs.

If there isn't a good way, you break the company up, sell it for scrap, give the resulting money to the shareholders, and they do whatever with it. It's the Jack Welch model.

lenerdenator··on Anthropic researcher says more than 10% chance AI "could kill all humans"
The risks of AI, while mostly hypothetical, have been understood for years.

If they were really this concerned about the risks of AI re: the survival of the human race, they wouldn't have joined a company working in such a space to begin with.

I hate to be this cynical, but part of me wonders what the financial angle is here.

You have technically brilliant people working in a white-hot target for investment and who can draw a high salary. Anthropic is a hyper-scaler that has the moat of high hardware prices and very little else. Every day, that moat gets a little smaller, and FLOSS models get a little better at being "good enough" for the price. You're an Anthropic employee looking to jump on the next big wave since the wave Anthropic is riding is starting to peter out. You go on the record across the trades and news sites talking about how dangerous AI is. That creates a need for someone to make it less dangerous. In theory, you could satisfy that need, for the right amount of money.

Again, I hate to be this cynical, but... it's the tech industry.

lenerdenator··on Flock Wants a Closely Surveilled World with No Exit
Given that their cameras are being shot, spray-painted, stolen, cut down, and bagged, I'd say that what they want is irrelevant.

Perhaps they could try a different market. The UK seems more amicable to such things.

lenerdenator··on Muse: Meta's personal AI agent, features and capabilities
Because people are apathetic by nature until things become a real problem.

It's not just Meta, either. How often do we have people on here talking about how amazing Chinese models are when the list of security breaches involving the Chinese government is extensive?

People want something easy, quick, and free. Do those things and they'll let you get away with anything.

lenerdenator··on DHS 'Predictive Policing' Unit Is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits
> When all it really needs is civic responsibility and an understanding that the government derives its power from the people, and thus the people always get the government they deserve.

You've had people being apologists for all manner of bad forms of government around the world for at least the past 25 years. This shouldn't be surprising.

lenerdenator··on DHS 'Predictive Policing' Unit Is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits
> Sure, you trust your government today.

Most Americans really, really don't. Gallup puts Americans' trust in major institutions, including several parts of the government, at around 30% [0]

In OECD countries, trust in government sits at around 39% [1]

I would say that most people in Western nations don't trust their government. Whether they agree with what all their governments are doing is another issue-by-issue matter, but I would guess they don't love that on the whole, either.

[0] https://news.gallup.com/poll/712436/confidence-institutions-...

[1] https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-survey-on-drivers-...

lenerdenator··on I-have-ADHD: A skill to stop coding agents from burying the answer
Sycophantic behavior.
lenerdenator··on US Military disables ad trackers on troops' phones
Well, at least with Flock, "Your elected leaders voted to enter the municipality into the contract."

For the other part, well, them being tried would require them to be in a jurisdiction where the local prosecutor actually has the courage to do his or her job.

lenerdenator··on Corporate America is getting hooked on open-source AI
If he knew how to wear a suit and answer questions from politicians, there are several regulatory penalties over the last decade that Meta doesn't have to pay.

The job of a CEO is to have a vision that is compelling for the market and an ability to execute upon it, thus the "executive" in "Chief Executive Officer". Zuckerberg doesn't have this. What he does have is an absolute majority of voting control over Meta's shares, so his actual ability to do his job doesn't matter.

It's almost as if creating incentivizing systems that don't hold people to account is a bad idea.

lenerdenator··on Leaving VMware just got harder after Broadcom pulled VDDK downloads
This is what happens when you let business school grads do whatever they want to make money; particularly, gutting the company over the long run without having to make considerations for the people who did the actual value creation.

If you had to award bonds and/or equity and severance to the people you laid off in order to lay them off, you might have to look beyond the quarterly bump you got for treating customers, vendors, and employees like crap.

lenerdenator··on Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board
Technically, they do already kill people for profit.

When some coked-out analyst in Manhattan projects what a company will be able to earn in profit in the next fiscal quarter, people listen to him and thus, the company must perform to that standard. Budgets are set accordingly.

If you have a maintenance backlog at a company facility, and that backlog includes things likely to cause injury or death to workers or the general public, that backlog must be handled in such a way as to satisfy that projection. If that means that you don't spend money to replace a series of gauges that alert operators as to overflow of a dangerous chemical, or don't hire enough people so that the operators are too fatigued to do their jobs safely, that's what that means.

The US CSB documents these as the cause of the 2005 BP Amoco Texas City disaster [0]

If you don't deliver the quarterly numbers expected, investors get mad, and in our current system and regulatory regime, that's worse than people being killed.

[0]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuJtdQOU_Z4

lenerdenator··on Corporate America is getting hooked on open-source AI
Exactly.

Even that guy could read the situation.

lenerdenator··on Top Pentagon Official Contracted Personal Lawyer to Handle Minerals Deal
Eh. People have come back from worse. You can walk over the border between France and Germany.
lenerdenator··on Corporate America is getting hooked on open-source AI
The schadenfreude is that, at least for OpenAI, they were originally set up to make open models.

They were set up as a public benefit company and their returns were capped at 100x. They (well, Sam) went out of their way to put themselves in this death march to the IPO. If they had just done what Mark Zuckerberg did with Muse, they're not in this position.

Do you know how bad you have to be at the tech business to make Mark Zuckerberg look like a prudent-yet-visionary leader?

lenerdenator··on Top Pentagon Official Contracted Personal Lawyer to Handle Minerals Deal
Not really. They'll get over it. Just gotta make the hole the perpetrators are in deep enough.
lenerdenator··on US Military disables ad trackers on troops' phones
To them, the consent is using the device/service/whatever.

You see it in various bits of EULA and ToS all the time. "Continued use of <insert thing here> implies agreement with the license terms".

Now, is that at all feasible when you need a smartphone to do things like pay for parking in cities or to read menus at restaurants? No. Do the people in SV who think this way also try to wedge their products and services in every single nook, cranny, and crevice of our lives as a way to increase their net worth? Yes. Is this indicative that these people have severe antisocial or sociopathic tendencies that we, as a society, need to handle? I'm not a psychologist.

lenerdenator··on Top Pentagon Official Contracted Personal Lawyer to Handle Minerals Deal
It needs to be far more focused than the last one.

We can come back from this, but some people need to spend a significant amount of their lives in prison.

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