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lenerdenator

7,342 karma · joined June 14, 2023

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lenerdenator··on I'm the AGI that's wiping out humanity
Define "as the economy has gotten better".

Economic output has increased, but the value being delivered to the people doing the actual work has decreased. There's less durability of employment. People are more geographically mobile.

All of these generally make the idea of strapping yourself into taking care of a small human sound like a less enticing prospect. To a lot of people, a BC pill sounds a lot easier. Well, less risky, at least.

lenerdenator··on An algorithmic failure beneath the secret ballot
> this allows you to know whether your neighbor voted, but never who they voted for.

There's probably an angle I'm not thinking of here, but imho, it's absolutely not John Q. Public's damned business what a person does or does not do on election day.

lenerdenator··on Anthropic reported diary entry to police, woman faces felony charge
For better or for worse, Florida (wo)Man is eternal.
lenerdenator··on Anthropic reported diary entry to police, woman faces felony charge
In this case, let's assume the country is the United States, and the state is... oh, of course it is... the state is Florida.
lenerdenator··on Anthropic reported diary entry to police, woman faces felony charge
Well, let's say that you have a regular customer at a bar.

They get friendly and loose-lipped with the bartender over the span of months. Eventually they let slip that they plan on killing their spouse for a life insurance payout. At first the bartender thinks they're joking, but it becomes evident that there's an actual plan being acted upon and someone's life is very likely in imminent danger.

Does the bartender have a responsibility to go to the police?

lenerdenator··on OpenAI "rogue" agent activities found on Wikimedia projects
If it's their actual goal, we go from a "gosh darn it, our safety protocols just weren't enough." to employees of OpenAI, maybe including their C-suite, conspiring to reach political goals through hacking, which means a few decades in federal prison if someone got a jury to agree with the charge.
lenerdenator··on US closely monitoring case of lab worker who possibly died of plague in Siberia
If you think we don't care, well, get ready for a level of not caring that will be hard to fathom.

This is the successor state to the country that thought it could hide a cloud of nuclear fallout.

lenerdenator··on On social reality in China
> concentration camps

Concentration camps are an example of humans taking advantage of one another. Arguably, it's the ultimate example.

lenerdenator··on Mozilla shutting down Solo AI website creator
If we can develop projects on the scale of the Linux kernel and multiple programming languages, we can likely develop Gecko in a similar manner.

It won't be as easy, but the experiment of "let's drive value creation with free and open source software!", at least how Mozilla has done it, has failed.

lenerdenator··on On social reality in China
I would say that compassion is not a luxury; it's a necessity for human society to operate.

Societies thrive when humans cut each other a little slack. They die when people are constantly looking for ways to take advantage of others.

lenerdenator··on Mozilla shutting down Solo AI website creator
It wouldn't even be "ending it", really. It'd just be making it the focus of a true FOSS project.

So long as someone still has the source code for the latest build somewhere on the internet, and that code builds into a working executable, Firefox still lives. It's all of the other crap that dies, the crap that no one asked for.

FF needs to be run like the group handling the Linux kernel or the Python Software Foundation. There's a BDFL or a trusted group handling the general direction of the project, and volunteers who give their time to develop the code. Occasionally there are sponsors who throw a few bucks the way of the volunteers so more concrete efforts can occur.

lenerdenator··on Mozilla shutting down Solo AI website creator
That then begs the question: how much does Mozilla really need?

The AI push and all of their little side-projects that no one asked for are pushes to make money that they arguably wouldn't need to make if they stopped with their little side-projects.

I know that there's a bit of for-profit/non-profit mix going on with the corporate structure of Mozilla. Ultimately, if you make free software, just stick with the non-profit side of things. Make browser improvements, update documentation. That's it. That's all that Mozilla needs to do.

lenerdenator··on Meta Uses A.I. Data Centers to Avoid Billions in Federal Taxes
It cuts both ways.

Musk volunteered to illegally fire a bunch of federal employees on the grounds that gosh darn it, the deficit's too damned high, we need to get these troglodyte federal employees off the payroll and whip this place into shape and run it like a for-profit business because those are never ever inefficient.

If he's going to leave a bunch of people without a paycheck and health insurance through arbitrary firings because we're too deep in debt as a country, then he can also recognize that there's never been a business that has turned around a deficit without increasing revenues.

Zuck's not a part of the firings but seems to at least humor such downsizing efforts while existing in the MAGA orbit.

Trump himself may very well have committed tax evasion when he claimed a write-off for a casino that he had an interest in while also taking a benefit from the process.

They all do it with the same excuse: money in private hands is better at creating economic growth than money in government hands. There's a point at which this is no longer true, especially when you take into account government debt.

If people just paid their g*ddamned taxes we're in a much shallower fiscal hole as a country than we are now. We're talking hundreds of billions in revenue each year [0]

[0] https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/the-tax-gap-what-it-i...

lenerdenator··on Returning from vacation? The government can search your phone without a warrant
"The previous administration is only doing what the last administration did!" seems to be the rallying cry of the Trump administrations.

If Obama and Biden really did suck that much, and if Trump's the savior that they claim, he should be doing less of it, not more.

Of course, that's blatantly ignoring the whole premise of Trump - a wannabe dictator implementing totalitarianism for the far-right in exchange for an opportunity to use the presidency for his personal gain in direct violation of the emoluments clause of the Constitution - but that would be the improvement, not just the targeting of people you don't like with the same tactics.

lenerdenator··on China funding UK research and sending it to Beijing's spies, MI5 warns
whataboutism.
lenerdenator··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
The problem is, some humans seem to be consistently drawn towards products or services that fit that description.

In the 1980s, if you wanted to gamble in my city, you went to a gambling den operated by the Civella crime family. If you got caught in a police raid, your life was ruined. If you got behind on your debts, the mob might take it out of you, literally. These were known risks, but people did it anyways.

Then, in the 1990s, there was a change in the casino gaming laws. Casinos opened with harm reduction measures in place. You can absolutely destroy your finances for life in one, but there are ways out.

These apps need regulation like in-person gambling has. Whatever they currently have, it's not enough.

lenerdenator··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
We need to see the kind of regulation of these apps and websites that you see with state gambling control boards. If you need to present ID to walk onto a casino floor, you should need one to log onto these services. Each time. You should be able to ban yourself at the device account level. The odds need to be regulated.
lenerdenator··on OpenAI still doesn't seem to have a handle on all of its rogue AI activity
That, in turn, allows for people to just point at the agent as a human analog and shirk responsibility. Understand: that's the goal of a lot of people who don't have anyone's best intentions but their own in mind.

Ultimately, they do nothing without humans in the loop. The prime mover here is a person who can bear at least some legal consequence for what the program does, even if it's just having to deal with an investigation.

lenerdenator··on Updated Google Maps shows destruction of the city of Rafah
1) Ultimately, money means more to foreign nations than what happens with internal affairs of their trading partners

2) Accusations of genocide, whether they stand up or not, are great fodder for whataboutism discussions. Let's say the world's two largest economies, the US and China, decided to start sanctioning Israel for what's happening in Gaza. You could expect other countries to start threatening actions against the US and China over their previous or current genocidal behaviors. These are obviously not things that the US and China want to deal with.

lenerdenator··on OpenAI still doesn't seem to have a handle on all of its rogue AI activity
> independent goals

AI does not have goals. These are statistical models of language patterns that people shape into different tools, and that people direct to do things. If I fire up an OpenAI prompt, and enter no input, it is not going to do anything.

No, someone at OpenAI is running the model with some sort of prompt and allowing it to just follow the numbers to do whatever it wants, up to and including breach of government computer systems.

Whether that means anything to the CFAA prosecution, I don't know. I'm not a lawyer, but the use of language treating these agents like they're something other than tools at the direction of humans is bad.

It's more like me firing off a rifle into the air on the Fourth of July with no regard for where the bullet lands. I knew that it must come down somewhere, but fired anyways.

I don't really see the harm in charging someone under the CFAA. Let's see if a jury agrees with the charge or not. If not, write new laws.

lenerdenator··on OpenAI still doesn't seem to have a handle on all of its rogue AI activity
I don't know if OpenAI's necessarily too big to fail. It could simply evolve and make a few changes - switch back to its original goal, fire everyone at the company who has spent more than an afternoon on Stanford's campus - and probably succeed with burning a lot less cash.

Remember, the original idea for OpenAI was to make open (thus the name) AI models that could only generate a maximum return of 100x for the investors. There was none of this hyperscaling, proprietary technologies, pure profit motive, etc. until later on.

I think it ultimately comes down to ideology. Simple financial math has nothing to do with it and never has. SV and DC, at least today, have a lot of beliefs in common. It can really be summed up as "divine right of CEOs". These are the "best and brightest" who came from the right parts of the country, who went to the right schools (even if they didn't finish their degrees), and ran in the right circles. They don't simply receive the opportunity to make unfathomable wealth and power; they're owed it. If they do something, by default, it must be right, and if a circumstance comes in their way, it's the circumstance that is wrong.

That's why you don't see a small motorcade of black Chevy Suburbans headed to these companies' headquarters from the local DHS field office. They aren't wrong; the expectation that the AI agent doesn't hack into government websites is wrong.

lenerdenator··on MongoDB CEO resigns to join Meta
I was thinking maybe investigations and prison time should crush Oracle's business model.

They bought Cerner early in the decade and have whittled it down to absolutely nothing. This is a problem when the software that Cerner sold was EMRs and I have people who used to work there telling me that the perioperative and anesthesia suites now have one person working on them, and no one's fixing issues.

lenerdenator··on MongoDB CEO resigns to join Meta
Web scale is old hat. We're now on planet scale.
lenerdenator··on MongoDB CEO resigns to join Meta
> One reason might be the share price has collapsed and he has no confidence in it coming back (pretty scandalous if he's the CEO!)

Is it?

Scandals require consequence. He's getting a new job at Meta. It'll take lawsuits to suss all of this out and those take years.

Worth noting: CJ wasn't just the CEO, he was also board member and president.

This is what happens when you don't have effective corporate governance.

lenerdenator··on Updated Google Maps shows destruction of the city of Rafah
Another one to look at is the maps of Ukraine [0]

[0] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/google-maps-...

lenerdenator··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
So they're dealing with the problem the rest of the country has been dealing with since everyone started wanting to move to California?
lenerdenator··on OpenAI agent hacked Australian government website, PM says
> Someone I know on Telegram found "fifty or so" Linux filesystems kernel bugs a few days ago, of which 26 were the first night while he slept; this was with Kimi which is one of the open models. He stopped it when the backlog of fixes to submit was too big, not because it wasn't finding more.

So in this anecdote, a model is presumably working on instructions from a human to complete a task.

That's what I mean by "It's unlikely that this is some AGI that spawned itself out of nothing and started doing this."

As for Altman being aware or not, well, that doesn't matter. His company's product hacked a computer belonging to an allied country's government. That means he doesn't know what he's doing. That doesn't happen if proper safety measures are in place, because if it does happen with safety measures in place, by definition, those measures aren't proper.

In saner times, this would have triggered a few black SUVs from DHS to show up at the company's headquarters to have a talk with him, likely without the public even knowing the hacking had occurred. Maybe a few days later, there'd be a press release about how Sam had decided to step down from his position and take time off. Perhaps the same would be true of other c-suiters at OpenAI. We'd just assume that investors had bought him out and wanted someone who would take a fresh approach, and wouldn't give it too much thought until a few years later when someone wrote a tell-all book about their time at OpenAI.

lenerdenator··on The forgotten battle of East Lansing
> At 2 a.m. Monday, June 7, 1937, Lansing police pounded on the Washburns’ door to arrest him and his wife, Nevah, but the union leader was on a train back from Detroit. His wife was home with their three young children, all under 10. Nevah was arrested and left her children with a neighbor. Several labor union leaders and their wives were rounded up that night by the Lansing Police Department.When Washburn returned to Lansing about an hour later and found out his wife was in jail, he hurried to a pay phone — he said police had cut the telephone wire outside their home before serving the warrant for their arrest — and started waking people up. He gathered with other leaders who had escaped arrest and, within the next few hours, the UAW had declared a Lansing Labor Holiday. Approximately 15,000 union members would not report to work that day to protest the arrests. The union members and their supporters took to the streets in a parade led by a gravel truck, Washburn recalled in the 1986 interview.

sigh

lenerdenator··on Toyota is taking the Corolla electric
If it makes you feel better, this is a concept. They probably won't produce the vehicle they showed, especially since customers are making it known that they want regular buttons/door handles/HVAC vents/etc.

... probably.

lenerdenator··on OpenAI agent hacked Australian government website, PM says
> Him having control would be an improvement on the reality.

Oh, he does. It's unlikely that this is some AGI that spawned itself out of nothing and started doing this. If he were a decent person, he'd simply find a way to investigate this internally, fire the people responsible, and find a way to set up guardrails around his product.

The problem is, like most people in SV, Altman seems to have a twisted ethical compass. He doesn't see these incidents as an issue, he sees them as an opportunity. He has both the thing a bunch of Western governments want (a superhacker agent that can do dirty work) and a crisis that can be used to craft regulations that favor OpenAI and thus his bank account.

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