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kashunstva

2,467 karma · joined September 23, 2021

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kashunstva··on The U.S. Is Quietly Pausing Some Arms Sales to Europe
> Either way, stupid aftermath doesn't seem to figure into the calculus of either Putin or Trump.

Maybe they can share the Nobel Peace Prize that the U.S. president so covets.

kashunstva··on Disney+ cancellation page crashes as customers rush to quit
Now fact-check Fox News.

Let’s just say that the alleged shooter’s political philosophies are likely complex and are yet to be fully understood.

kashunstva··on Disney+ cancellation page crashes as customers rush to quit
> I’m pretty stunned that there was actually momentum enough to take him off the air.

Very little was needed. The U.S. president had already ominously threatened Kimmel and other late night hosts the day after Colbert was canceled, weeks before the shooting.

I thought Kimmel was hilarious; but as they say, there’s no accounting for taste.

The most ridiculous thing about this is that the world doesn’t cleave neatly into “radical left lunatics” and the righteous real Americans. I still can’t tell what the murderer was. Whatever that was, he acted on his own impulses - ones that are not broadly celebrated, irrespective of claims to the contrary.

kashunstva··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
> My rural patients are so much more insufferable than my urban ones…

I retired from medicine, having spent my career at a well-known institution in the upper midwest of the U.S. Over the course of my tenure there, I took care of patients from all parts of the world, all walks of life. Some of my most cherished patients hailed from rural farm communities. Whatever that commenter’s issues might be, this doesn’t line up with my experience at all. The work of the physician is to tailor their work to meet the needs of the patient by understanding their needs in ways that may be difficult to discern through ways other than empathic understanding.

kashunstva··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
> it's very possible to increase the supply of qualified doctors to re-balance.

In many cases, the rebalancing that is needed is from subspecialties to community based primary care in rural and other underserved areas. Some new medical schools appeared in the 1970’s to address the need for more family medicine docs. What happened was completely predictable… more subspecialists. Graduates follow the money trail when choosing residencies and fellowships.

kashunstva··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
> suppose that Elon Musk never immigrated to the US

That’s certainly one version of how events may have been different - a sort of “It’s a Wonderful Life” scenario. (Though comparing Elon Musk to the kind and ethical George Bailey would be quite a stretch!) But it’s not inconceivable that other possibilities would have emerged.

kashunstva··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
Notably, the report was published in 2015.

As you said, the story is complicated. Even in 2015, a decade ago:

> There is one other stark difference: only upper-income families realized notable gains in wealth from 1983 to 2013.

During the period of analysis then, either consumption among the lower two tiers eliminated their available savings ability, or the real purchasing power over this period declined, leading to the same effect.

kashunstva··on Trevor Milton's Nikola case dropped by SEC following Trump pardon
> People with integrity don’t get rich.

There’s a definitional problem here. What is “rich”?

kashunstva··on Pressure on Canada to Export Water Will Be Immense (2024)
So Canada potentially has the ability to mitigate some regional freshwater shortages in the U.S… If it’s that valuable, perhaps someone should have tipped off the current U.S. administration before it engaged in a trade war with its former ally. I don’t recall hearing this come up during those discussions.
kashunstva··on When Knowing Someone at Meta Is the Only Way to Break Out of "Content Jail"
Meta has repeatedly demonstrated its disregard for free speech and privacy. Within the span of a year, it has utterly cowed to the demands of the current U.S. administration. I don’t think it’s going to be a place for promoting progressive causes such as reproductive rights.
kashunstva··on When Knowing Someone at Meta Is the Only Way to Break Out of "Content Jail"
The big LLM players are getting in on the act now, too. In May 2025, out of the blue my account with Anthropic was auto-banned. Your recourse? Fill out a Google form to appeal and wait. Over 4 months in, I’m still waiting. Early on, I did manage to correspond with a human called “Destiny at Anthropic” but now they’ve put up some AI chatbot. The answer is always “wait.”

At scale, the value of individual users approaches zero.

kashunstva··on John Grisham Still Wonders: Will Texas Kill Robert Roberson?
The capital murder conviction was based on postmortem findings that were regarded as pathognomonic of shaken baby syndrome and those signs are no longer considered reliable. The detective who led the original investigation now believes the man is innocent of the particular crime for which he faces execution. If the detective, with access to far more particulars in this case than any of us here is willing to say the pause button should be pressed, it’s worth re-examining.
kashunstva··on John Grisham Still Wonders: Will Texas Kill Robert Roberson?
Sadly, irrespective of the merits of this man’s legal appeal, if the jurisdiction is Texas, his fate is probably sealed.
kashunstva··on A postmortem of three recent issues
> My personal impression is that Anthropic has a high level of integrity as an organization.

Unless you consider service responsiveness as a factor of integrity. Still waiting on a service message reply from third week of May. I’m sure it’s right around the corner though.

kashunstva··on A postmortem of three recent issues
I would not count on any compensation. I was a Pro subscriber until the third week of May when I was no longer able to login due to some auto ban. No idea what triggered it but no one from support has bothered to respond to my appeals form submissions. A lost cause.
kashunstva··on U.S. sees 5.7M more childless women than expected
> neither would look at 2016 or 2020 or 2024 and decide "never mind" on their life-long commitment to family. And neither would anyone else.

My wife and I are not conservative; but I would agree that no one is tracking the election results as a go/no-go indicator for child-rearing. My wife and I have 3 children, two of whom are adults so our decisions were made in a different era. Instead of bipolar political outcomes, I think many are affected by a sense of unchanging disinterest in the wellbeing of the great mass of people that populate the country. As long as the GDP rises, it’s good times, right? Few on either side of the political divide want to talk about the distribution of U.S. national income. Want more kids? Make life less difficult for families. Both major parties have completely failed to do this.

kashunstva··on U.S. sees 5.7M more childless women than expected
> even though these things are NOTHING compared to what people dealt with in history and still had kids

Until recent human history, though, humans had far less control over childbearing than now. And children in the past were relied on to provide supplemental labour to maintain the household which was, much more often than now, a farm. So at times there were very practical reasons for childbearing.

But agree, deeply held values enable some to overcome obstacles.

kashunstva··on U.S. sees 5.7M more childless women than expected
Along with the factors listed by others, I wonder to what degree that a pervasive dysphoria about the present and future is leading to a conscious decision to not usher more humans into the chaos and uncertainty that has become the American norm. I’m in my 60’s, secure and reasonably set; but even I feel an undercurrent of anxiety that pervades American life.
kashunstva··on Slow social media
> What are people using now instead of Facebook

Email, phone, text.

I have a few friends who won’t communicate outside of Meta products and I just don’t interact with them any longer.

kashunstva··on Wind turbine blade transportation challenges
> They're close enough in shape.

They are lift-producing devices; but I wonder how the inability to change the lift according to flight regime with leading and trailing edge devices would affect the viability of the solution.

kashunstva··on macOS 26 Tahoe: The Ars Technica Review
I don’t understand what human factors needs are being met here; probably none. Who is asking for backgrounds on Messages windows? Who is asking for these gratuitous animations? What is the design reasoning?
kashunstva··on China's Snub of U.S. Soybeans Is a Crisis for American Farmers
> ~75-80% of farmers voted for this administration.

It’s a curious study in the psychology of cognitive blind spots I suppose. Surely farmers in the course of their work understand the phenomenon of cause and effect. Why is it so difficult then to port that to the political sphere? This is a man, who regardless of one’s own position on the political spectrum, seems so grossly under-equipped - both in terms of education and disposition -to steer a large complex economy, that it beggars comprehension as to how these farmers could have made the decisions that most did.

kashunstva··on California says it can no longer trust Washington on Covid vaccines
> just 1 in 4 Americans believe that the recommendations for fewer vaccines from the Trump administration were based on scientific evidence and facts.

I suppose a follow-up question would be to ask whether the respondents believe that such decisions _should_ be made on the basis of evidence. It seems that many are perfectly fine with arbitrary or ideologically-driven decisions irrespective of the evidence.

kashunstva··on Repetitive negative thinking associated with cognitive decline in older adults
> Personally I think that reporting of correlations should be dropped altogether…

It really should be a shared responsibility to report and understand the meaning of statistically significant correlation. Unfortunately, few journalists seem to have much interest in understanding it. And given that their readership likely has about average (i.e poor) numeracy and iffy understanding of probability, it’s a bad combination. The widespread misunderstanding about the iterative way that science converges on truth also contributes to this problem.

That said, I would rather know about interesting findings such as this if for no other reason than to start digging for the original paper.

kashunstva··on You’re a slow thinker. Now what?
> I had to get an EKG done…

Must have actually been an EEG by the description, right?

kashunstva··on Repetitive negative thinking associated with cognitive decline in older adults
> Yes, it's an absurd situation for so many to be so unhappy when, by all measurements, this is "the best time to be alive.

Considering the United States only for a moment; the distribution of national income has not been so unequal since the robber baron days. At the same time the visibility of wealth to make upward comparisons has never been greater due to complete permeation of media, both traditional and social. If my share of income in real dollars was slipping as is the case for many, while watching the .1% pocket it, I’d be pretty doggone dysphoric.

kashunstva··on Repetitive negative thinking associated with cognitive decline in older adults
> DJT has been the best thing that has ever happened…

I am curious about whether your model of how the current Administration in the U.S. has benefited various countries so strikingly includes the United States itself.

kashunstva··on Why are so many young, fit, non-smoking women getting lung cancer?
I think the data presented at ASCO this year showed an increase in adenomas (benign, potential precursors of colon cancer) among marathoners. It’s unknown yet whether the that translates into an increase incidence of colon cancer in this population, though it would be prudent to assume so for now. The study was smallish n=100 IIRC so more research is warranted. Interesting to consider the biological mechanisms if this relationship holds up.
kashunstva··on If my kids excel, will they move away?
My wife, daughter and I are Canadian-U.S. dual citizens. We live in Canada. It is exhausting trying to reason through the decision of how to advise our 17 year-old on her post-secondary plans. She has opportunities to study at eminent institutions in the U.S. but is it wise? The broad attack on U.S. education at the hands of the current administration is extremely off-putting.
kashunstva··on Charlie Kirk killed at event in Utah
> It sounds like more of a loaded question than a problematic answer.

I honestly don’t know what the actual factual answer to the question is. 1? 2? But the question warranted an answer, even if it was “I don’t know.” Given that the answer to many questions about mass shooting, specific or otherwise, is “too many,” the answer he gave offered no factual data. Maybe he was prepared to offer something more fact-based and nuanced. But to me the answer he gave comes off as dismissive, lacking in additional data, and possibly ideologically-motivated.

I imagine the question was posed because many in the community adjacent to Kirk are looking for an excuse to see trans people further isolated and stripped of their rights. Forcing the debate - if we can call it that - into the world of facts doesn’t seem problematic to me.

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