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kashunstva

2,467 karma · joined September 23, 2021

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kashunstva··on Owner of ICE detention facility sees big opportunity in AI man camps
I wonder how long it will take them to link the dots to join their businesses.
kashunstva··on Trump administration can't process tariff refunds because of computer problems
They _could_ have a fix in 45 days apparently. I’m skeptical; and the cynic in me would say that they are hoping people will forget about it in the midst of the next autogenerated crisis or distraction.
kashunstva··on Satellite firm pauses imagery after revealing Iran's attacks on US bases
If I’m reading the article correctly, imagery over Iran is available to clients; but that of U.S. assets is not. Seemingly this is explained by:

> Planet also holds lucrative contracts selling overhead imagery to the US military and US government intelligence agencies.

Nice company you got there. ‘Be a shame if you lost those U.S. government contracts.

kashunstva··on The happiest I've ever been
Financial Independence, Retire Early
kashunstva··on US orders diplomats to fight data sovereignty initiatives
> american tourists

Tourists? Shouldn’t they be working?

kashunstva··on DHS pausing TSA PreCheck, Global Entry programs amid funding lapse
Weren’t they able to purchase two Gulfstream G700’s for Ms. Noem’s use during the last shutdown? I think they could find the money if they wanted to.
kashunstva··on Warren Buffett dumps $1.7B of Amazon stock
> harmful donations…

Her philanthropic work and contributions focus on racial and LGBTQ+ equality, HBCUs, affordable housing, etc… Real “harmful” stuff there… /s

kashunstva··on Ring owners are returning their cameras
> special level of delusion to think you're pulling one over on the billion-dollar company

Except that’s not the only reason to participate in such a boycott. Perhaps they simply do not want to participate in one voluntary node of participation in the surveillance capitalism network.

kashunstva··on Reading and writing can lower dementia risk by almost 40%, study finds
Given that dementia can result from various pathological processes, I wonder what it is about dementia that leads you to conclude that these forms of cognitive stimulation cannot possibly reduce one’s risk. I agree that the title is misleading, though, in large part because it assumes causation, whereas association is about all one can say. At least both absolute and relative risk were mentioned in the write up; that’s rare to see.

The original paper is behind a firewall of course, so I cannot access it. Possibly they controlled for other measures of SES? I don’t know.

kashunstva··on The US is flirting with its first-ever population decline
> Becoming a parent is basically a destruction of the self.

I am a parent and have definitely felt very stressed on account of children. But as for feeling like my "self" was destroyed, I can't really say I ever experienced that; and I'm not even sure about the idea of a fixed immutable self anyway. I'm not advocating for having children, or against having children; but I don't think I was crushed as a human being because of my choice.

My last child is graduating from high school this year. She's a violinist and I'm a pianist. I've always accompanied her since she was 3; and we do a lot of musical collaborations. I definitely feel like my sense of self is expanded by all of this. But maybe I just got lucky.

kashunstva··on The US is flirting with its first-ever population decline
> it could be better for everyone

Unless the life-expectancy also falls significantly, the rising dependency ratio would become an even larger problem.

kashunstva··on CIA suddenly stops publishing, removes archives of The World Factbook
> Donald Trump is wickedly smart.

I highly doubt that. Certainly not in any conventional sense of the word. A former professor of his at the Wharton School characterized him as the “dumbest student he ever taught.”

More objectively, linguistic studies have demonstrated a considerable decline in the complexity and scope of his language. And recently while trying to defend himself against claims of cognitive decline, he could not recall the term “Alzheimer’s”, instead tapping himself on the head until an aide filled in the word for him.

kashunstva··on "The Stanford scam proves America is becoming a nation of grifters"
https://archive.is/dVusK
kashunstva··on Marc Benioff Says Trump Should Send Guard Troops to San Francisco
> some tech CEOs harbor the fantasy of becoming a progenitor of the human race

Musk's project to create as many offspring as possible (Wikipedia has the count as "at least 14.") is suggestive.

kashunstva··on Marc Benioff Says Trump Should Send Guard Troops to San Francisco
Hardly surprising to see another billionaire acting in ways that appear opportunistic and self-serving.

Who knows what Benioff actually thinks - he supported Democratic presidential candidates as recently as Hillary Clinton's last run. Now we see effusive praise for Trump and his policies. Rather than a rightward shift in his political and moral convictions, I imagine this is a naked appeal to the president's legendary susceptibility to flattery ("I fully support the president. He's doing a great job.") I'm not even sure if Benioff and his peers have such convictions.

kashunstva··on Americans increasingly see legal sports betting as a bad thing for society
> I can see it being a good thing if done carefully.

My experience with raising three kids is there’s a limit to the amount of messaging that gets through with any fidelity. So, the only financial teaching I did with them, was the stocks, bonds, diversification, risk and prudence schtick. I could see the attempted teachable lesson about gambling losses going sideways and crowding-out the rest.

kashunstva··on Apple takes down ICE tracking apps after pressure from DOJ
> Why are we asking for profits companies to fight our fights?

Maybe we're not asking them to fight our fights, but to stop tipping the scales one way or the other. There's a difference between asking them to aid progressive or regressive causes vs. actually staying neutral. If it's too big a moral burden on Apple or Google, then allow us to run whatever we want on our devices.

kashunstva··on Talent Is Alignment
There is a science on talent development, famously popularized in part by Malcolm Gladwell in his over-simplification of the "10,000 hour rule," which he presented as "do something for 10K hours and you'll have mastered it." In fact K. Anders Ericsson maintained that the difference between the highest achieving musicians and the next tiers of achievement were associated with higher volume of _deliberate practice_. The differences were significant around 10,000 hrs. A later meta-analysis looked at the literature and found that practice accounted for far less of the measurable factors that explained the difference in outcomes - maybe just 12% or so.

I think the take-away from these discrepant studies of talent development is that it's a complex phenomenon likely involving genetic predisposition, other factors that influence neural "wiring", availability of opportunities to learn and develop (socioeconomic factors), and practice quality and volume.

If alignment is involved, it's alignment of these factors.

The caveat behind all of this is that the research is heavily focused on the factors that propel one into the high reaches of achievement. For example, Ericsson studied students in acclaimed conservatories. How these factors play out in how talent develops in "good-enough" practitioners is perhaps a different question.

kashunstva··on Highest bridge unveiled at more than 2,000ft above ground
The result of monomaniacal focus on GDP and DJIA as the sole indicators of economic success…

But the good news is that Musk reached $500 billion net worth, the Gini index be damned. /s

kashunstva··on Boeing has started working on a 737 MAX replacement
The AoA failure logic does not allow for manual reversion of the master/monitoring FCC. It still requires cross-checking sides in the event of an AOA DISAGREE annunciation. But since the update, MCAS is disabled in this scenario. As far as the FMC, the relationship between AoA vanes, flight control computers and CMD A/B is not configurable. But the non-failed autopilot channel can be selected.
kashunstva··on Abu Dhabi royal family to take stake in TikTok US
> more like an ordinary plane giveaway

I’ve been around aviation for a good portion of my life, and oddly enough, I’ve never encountered an “ordinary plane giveaway.”

kashunstva··on Bach Cello Suites (2024)
> I play viola

Username checks out.

kashunstva··on Bach Cello Suites (2024)
He was just in Toronto earlier in the year and played the entire Sonatas and Partitas in back to back concerts on sequential days. Spectacular.

Interestingly, his encores were just to replay a movement of Bach. I mean, after that, what else?

kashunstva··on Bach Cello Suites (2024)
…which of course is a good reminder not to make assumptions about domains in which one has limited or no knowledge. I too have spent my entire life in classical music - I’m a collaborative pianist. But I have to guard against making judgements about popular genres which I don’t regularly listen to.
kashunstva··on Demand for human radiologists is at an all-time high
You know, for most humans, empathy is a thing; all the more so when facing known or suspected health situations. Good on those who have transcended that need. I guess.
kashunstva··on Bach Cello Suites (2024)
> they were disregarded.

As were the Partitas and Sonatas for unaccompanied violin. It wasn’t until the great 19th century violinist Joachim began playing them in recitals that they came to light again. Even then it was not widely accepted. I believe it may have been George Bernard Shaw who had pretty harsh words to say about the very idea of treating these works seriously. My daughter is preparing for her conservatory auditions; and these works are now compulsory literally everywhere!

kashunstva··on Anti-vaccine groups melt down over RFK Jr. linking autism to Tylenol
> * there is no evidence linking acetaminophen to autism

This is not entirely true. Several large observational studies show a statistically significant (but small absolute) difference in rates of neurodevelopmental disorders including autism among children with and without maternal acetaminophen exposure. See this meta-analysis [0].

Now, the actions taken by this administration and what they are claiming about the evidence are a different matter altogether. Cause and effect are far from determined in the acetaminophen/autism relationship. But informational accuracy is not known to be the interest of Trump and RFK Jr.

[0] https://ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12940-...

kashunstva··on South Korea's President says US investment demands would spark financial crisis
> I'm more pissed off at Obama's inaction in the last 7 months

This. There’s a deep vacuum of leadership in the Democratic Party. Obama is a widely trusted figure on the progressive side and has nothing to lose by saying plainly what everyone can see. Only Gavin Newsom has demonstrated a willingness to do this. At the Federal level, though, the leadership is MIA. I mean Obama owes no one anything now; but I do wish he would just say what needs to be said.

kashunstva··on South Korea's President says US investment demands would spark financial crisis
> but perhaps your bingo card was more prophetic

Usually I read these “how could you/they not see this coming?” statements less in reference to a specific occurrence and more like “Given this man’s profound and enduring disinterest in history, culture, economics and the global political process, along with his demonstrated venality, how could you not see that bad things would happen, this being an example…”

kashunstva··on U.S. already has the critical minerals it needs, according to new analysis
> But you are going to find vegans working in a slaughterhouse.

Your first link is the first-person account of a vegan who went undercover to document the abject cruelty that exists in slaughterhouses. The pragmatism was in service of a mission to protect animals by disseminating information on such cruelty rather than the “I need a job.” type of pragmatism. There’s a moral distinction here.

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