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junto

7,464 karma · joined July 21, 2011

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junto··on Looking at the data behind prediction markets
From a technical perspective how does one start to work with this historic prediction market data effectively?

Where do you source it from? What tools are most effective?

I’d love to see a more technical article on how that would work as someone who isn’t a data scientist.

I looked on Hugging Face and saw there was a 163GB historical Polymarket dataset. Is that a good place to start?

junto··on PipeDream on the Acorn Archimedes
Brings back good memories of playing fun games with my siblings.

Our first computer was an Acorn BBC B Microcomputer.

junto··on Maybe you shouldn't install new software for a bit
Reminds me of the old adage “I don’t need to outrun the bear. I just need to outrun you.”

Once everyone takes the stance of waiting 2 weeks, we are all back to the same situation.

I don’t like the suggestion to “wait for others to be the unfortunate victims, so that I can benefit from their misfortune”.

Surely there’s a better way.

junto··on Pinocchio is weirder than you remembered
There are cultural differences here though. Brüder Grimm aren’t quite as toned down in Germany as we see in US stories being Disney-fied.

The U.S. was born out of Puritanism. That prudishness and absolutism continues to echo through into its modern culture. Most people don’t even realize it does.

junto··on Pinocchio is weirder than you remembered
I’ve never seen the Disney film. As a child I hated that story. My own children have no love for it either. If I was to guess, I’d say that there isn’t much of a character in that story to get behind and to empathize with as a child. Pinocchio is a selfish little shit. I can’t like him. As an adult I feel for his father’s desperation but even then I could never understand the story’s popularity appeal.
junto··on Dutch central bank ditches AWS and chooses Lidl for European Cloud
Lidl cloud is a resurgence in OpenStack?

I used to have quite a few customer hosted at Rackspace in the early 2010’s and I always thought it sad they dropped the ball when they got bought out by private investment and they fired most of the talent. I loved their API and the docs were really good.

junto··on GitHub Copilot is moving to usage-based billing
Quite honestly I love the GitHub Copilot CLI. I pair it with Squad and it’s awesome.

https://bradygaster.github.io/squad/

If I have the same repo also open in VSCode, it’s also aware of that fact, so you can give it context (a file or selected lines of code).

junto··on Eden AI – European Alternative to OpenRouter
Example: https://en.zalando.de/legal-notice/
junto··on A Roblox cheat and one AI tool brought down Vercel's platform
They have an interesting UI decision here. The environmental variables list look like they are passwords (masked with a view button) and the sensitive flag is obvious in the add blade after you read the advisory but not before. We are busy rotating secrets because they were not marked as sensitive.
junto··on Shares in shoe brand Allbirds rise 580% after it pivots from footwear to AI
Reminds me of dotcom era pets.com
junto··on H.R.8250 – To require operating system providers to verify the age of any user
Agreed. The whole topic is a Trojan horse for surveillance companies to siphon off data. We need to start asking which politicians are pushing this and who’s pushing them to do it. They’re either doing it for money or being blackmailed into it by the existing surveillance apparatus.
junto··on POSSE – Publish on your Own Site, Syndicate Elsewhere
Agreed. Edited to remove the snarky puerility reference.
junto··on POSSE – Publish on your Own Site, Syndicate Elsewhere
Edited as suggested.
junto··on Palantir extends reach into British state as gets access to sensitive FCA data
Information is power.

Power is leverage.

Leverage is easily applied to corrupt people.

Politicians are corrupt.

Quod erat demonstrandum

junto··on Gitana 18: the new flying Ultim trimaran
And they aren’t slow either!!

https://youtube.com/shorts/lste7qSyWlw

junto··on System76 on Age Verification Laws
Who do you think is applying pressure on certain EU politicians to keep pushing this topic?
junto··on System76 on Age Verification Laws
I’m tired of the U.S. nanny state with its pilgrim-religious historical backdrop of prudishness, infecting everyone outside its own borders.

Their ideas are deeply unhealthy for children and worst of all, lazily shift the responsibility of parenting from the parents to the state.

Many European countries have long had a culture of slowly increasingly responsibilities and freedoms to their children gradually, letting them slowly and safely test their boundaries. At least the proposed EU solution (for identity) tries to prevent overreach. The wholesale EU spying to “save the children”, which seems to be funded by the U.S. is a different topic and we need to continue to fight it tooth and nail.

The insidiousness lies with major tech companies and their pursuit of eyeballs on screens. The Internet was supposed to be something we used to learn, gain knowledge and connect. They took the internet over, bastardized it and made deeply addictive apps and games to keep you watching ads regardless of age.

These age checks are just for data collection and spying to sell the data to the highest bidder, which is likely governments in order to control and herd their populations.

The reason for this is easy to understand in the context of AI. In the future the only valuable asset will be a data and the access to that data.

In the future, any app will be built, replicated, deployed and maintained by AI. Apps, websites, especially B2B apps - their days are numbered.

If my business needs a billing system tailored to my business in the future, I’ll describe it and have an AI built and maintain it. That is not that far away in relative terms.

Our goal collectively (as technology advocates) is to make sure that this consolidation of personal data doesn’t happen. If personal AI is to be built, then the user should have full ownership and away from the spying eyes of groups like Palantir and the NSA. They cannot be trusted. The Jews learnt that catastrophically in Germany in the 1940’s putting their trust in a government that became authoritarian and evil.

What is digital will never die and what is digitally given cannot be taken back.

junto··on X offices raided in France as UK opens fresh investigation into Grok
The old “Rules for thee but not for me”.
junto··on Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon
I’ve been through several recessions.

Painfully I’ve learnt that you want to work in an industry that is largely recession proof.

Focus on industries that sell things that people need and will try to keep buying right down to their last buck.

Food, utilities, insurance. People don’t like sitting in the dark. People need water. People need to eat. People really don’t like living without insurance cover or to let cover lapse.

They don’t need Netflix, Disney+ or Prime. They don’t need Spotify. They don’t need training or e-learning. They don’t need luxury goods. They don’t need new motor vehicles. They don’t need holidays. They don’t need new iPhones or new computers.

Try and move now to an industry that has some security.

Investment wise diversification is key. Just pray that it doesn’t get so bad that banks start to fail.

junto··on Scaling PostgreSQL to power 800M ChatGPT users
At a guess CosmosDb NoSql was a good choice for dumping user contexts sharded rather than use Postgres schema or JSONB. Citus is the obvious choice for this with Postgres but Azure had poor support until recently 2024 they have preview Azure Database for Postgres with Elastic Clusters, which is basically Azure Database for Postgres Flexible Server with Citus extension installed. In the end they aren’t paying Microsoft what usual customer are, so even though CosmosDb NoSql is expensive (RU based) and the SDK is horrible, it probably served as a good stopgap until elastic clusters is fully out of preview. That’s my guess anyway.
junto··on Scaling PostgreSQL to power 800M ChatGPT users
Microsoft originally bought CitusData and rebadged it as Azure CosmosDb for Postgres Cluster. Microsoft have been recommending partners to now avoid that product. It does not and will not support Entra federated workload identities (passwordless).

The replacement will be Azure Database for Postgres with Elastic Clusters. I think it is still in preview.

Again it’s Citus based, but without the CosmosDb badge and it will support federated workload identities.

https://techcommunity.microsoft.com/blog/adforpostgresql/pos...

https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/postgresql/elastic-c...

junto··on Tally – A tool to help agents classify your bank transactions
Agreed but not just NuGet. David also was a key driver for SignalR and now Aspire (which is genuinely the most awesome tool I’ve seen for a while). He’s also extremely humble and doesn’t need to try to impress anyone.

I think it’s clear that he’s just doing this tool for fun and chose to share it. People shouldn’t mix up their anti-Microsoft autoeroticism and a person that happens to work for them.

junto··on Total monthly number of StackOverflow questions over time
I joined Stackoverflow early on since it had a prevalence towards .NET and I’ve been working with Microsoft web technologies since the mid 90’s.

My SO account is coming up to 17 years old and I have nearly 15,000 points, 15 gold badges, including 11 famous questions and similar famous answer badges, also 100 silver and 150 bronze. I spent far much time on that site in the early days, but through it, I also thoroughly enjoyed helping others. I also started to publish articles on CodeProject and it kicked off my long tech blogging “career”, and I still enjoy writing and sharing knowledge with others.

I have visited the site maybe once a year since 2017. It got to the point that trying to post questions was intolerable, since they always got closed. At this point I have given up on it as a resource, even though it helped me tremendously to both learn (to answer questions) and solve challenging problems, and get help for edge cases, especially on niche topics. For me it is a part of my legacy as a developer for over 30 years.

I find it deeply saddening to see what it has become. However I think Joel and his team can be proud of what they built and what they gave to the developer community for so many years.

As a side note it used to state that was in the top 2% of users on SO, but this metric seems to have been removed. Maybe it’s just because I’m on mobile that I can’t see it any more.

LLM’s can easily solve those easy problems that have high commonality across many codebases, but I am dubious that they will be able to solve the niche challenging problems that have not been solved before nor written about. I do wonder how those problems get solved in the future.

junto··on Total monthly number of StackOverflow questions over time
Notably the default Redis client for most .NET developers is still StackExchange.Redis.
junto··on Parental controls aren't for parents
I’m continually impressed by my 12 year old son’s ability to get around those restrictions. He recently got around his time limit with Brawl Stars by having his friends sending him Brawl Stars view links via WhatsApp. This opens links using Safari’s underlying engine (SFSafariViewController), which does not get considered by the safari app time block.
junto··on Web Browsers have stopped blocking pop-ups
There was a time in the mid 90’s where we could have gone down one of two paths. “Free” ad-supported-you-are-the-product”, or digital micropayments. The latter was hard, and didn’t mature until 20 years later. Instead we got the shitfest internet we see today.

What would the internet look like today if every visitor could drop micro-donations on content creators by simply clicking a donate button in their browser or on the website to support the content creators they appreciated?

Webrings led to DoubleClick. DoubleClick led to Google Ads. That led us to Facebook and the hyper-invasive internet we have today where everyone worldwide is profiled for their ad-worth. Fuck this timeline.

junto··on Web Browsers have stopped blocking pop-ups
I now have a Raspberry PI + Pi-hole running on my home network so none of my family see ads any more and nobody has to install any software themselves. You can also add your children’s devices to specific groups with extra block lists, to keep them a bit safer in the internet.

I got the Pi 5 to future-proof myself a bit and the entire kit cost about $160 and assembling and installing + configuring the network took 30 minutes.

I honestly don’t know why I waited so long to do it. I highly advise. I know it’s not perfect, and you have to do some tweaks around DNS-over-HTTPS but quite honestly it feels like it was the best money I spent last year by far.

junto··on Analysis finds anytime electricity from solar available as battery costs plummet
That’s mainly because German has fucked up the smart meter rollout. In their wisdom they separated the meter and the gateway when other countries just combined it. They also made it super secure (good), but then didn’t look at the fact that lots of people live in rented apartments and their meters in the cellars have really poor or no cellular connectivity. When Germany can finally do steerable dynamic loads properly at 95% of the market rather than under 10%, it will finally make a difference on steering pricing for such consumers as yourself.

Germany is investing in massive battery parks dotted around the grid. This will make a difference to supporting base load and offsetting coal, but it will take time.

If there’s anything about the Germans you can count on, is that they move slowly.

junto··on Unusual circuits in the Intel 386's standard cell logic
Possibly, but maybe the real difference is the subtlety between a planned deterministic (logical) result versus deterministic (black box) outcome?

We’re seeing this shift already in software testing around GenAI. Trying to write a test around non-deterministic outcomes comes with its own set of challenges, so we need to plan can deterministic variances, which seems like an oxymoron but is not in this context.

junto··on Unusual circuits in the Intel 386's standard cell logic
I’d argue that this was a limitation of the GA fitness function, not of the concept.

Now that we have vastly faster compute, open FPGA bitstream access, on-chip monitoring, plus cheap and dense temperature/voltage sensing, reinforcement learning + evolution hybrids, it becomes possible to select explicitly for robustness and generality, not just for functional correctness.

The fact that human engineers could not understand how this worked in 1996 made researchers incredibly uncomfortable, and the same remains true today, but now we have vastly better tooling than back then.

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