985 karma · joined May 28, 2012
We can't ban everything. We can make things safer.
I used to play an ok amount of bridge.
I enjoyed trying unusual systems, but playing against them were less fun. Sure you can play some advanced relay system, but even with open information about the system needing to figure out exactly how your relay system is built takes away the focus from the core of the game that is enjoyable: Finding the right bid, and then meeting it in play.
Not in separate rooms, but with a screen in the middle hiding your partner.
http://www.bridgehands.com/S/Screen_Bridge.jpg
Maybe its hard to get if you're not used to the game, but cheating like that is amazingly offensive.
Screens aren't used very often though - I wasnt a great player, but I played in the youth championships in Sweden a few times, and we didnt use screens, and I never once felt like it was needed - it's just not the done thing to cheat.
The bidding is a game that you can describe something like:
"Using an open channel, and an open communication protocol, communicate hidden resources in a precise enough way to mutually agree on what can be accomplished with you and your partner's resources combined".
The playing is a game of "Given a set of resources, maximize your results" (if you won the bid) or "Communicate with your partner and together maximize your results given your resources" if you did not win the bid.
Vague as hell, but sure.
The difficulty in the bidding process is based on incomplete information understanding what resources you have combined. There are a number of edge cases that can't be expressed well, so you need to have a collective thought processes to understand where you're going (and your opponents can also disrupt your bidding, so its not a clear channel either).
The challenge in the play is understanding what combination of playing orders will give you the highest odds. There is some amount of memorization (there are some squeeze plays that aren't obvious unless you learn them) but mostly it is pattern recognition, improvisation and odds calculation on the fly.
I'm underselling it - bridge played against relatively equally good opponents and with a good partner that you have played with for some time is imo one of the best games there are.
If most people searching for "goat" want to know what the word means in slang, that should be the top result. Possibly you could argue that you want a personal search profile that knows you value Wikipedia higher than other links, but for the default case it feels like optimising for highest odds of success makes sense.
Give me 15s with a crowbar and I will be able to enter almost any house. Crowbars are like 10 dollars at your local hardware store.
Physical security is almost always based on expected risk of detection and subsequent penalties, not prevention of ability to intrude, yet we somehow don't accept the same reasoning for digital security?
There is literally trillions of dollars worth of assets sitting around the world protected by nothing more than the idea of a closed door and some sort of expectation that a sheet of glass represents a barrier. Our society relies on a system where people respect the laws and have penalties enacted on them if they dont.
1. Learn to flex across roles
2. Be specific about roles in a project/team/task
Sometimes you need a bunch of strong dudes working together on something. When you do, it is extra important to be specific about roles. Who decides when there is a tie or you are stalled? Who facilitates view points? etc.
If you dont have the flexibility to gracefully and effectively not lead, you are pretty one-dimensional. That doesnt mean the passive aggressive "well it is X's project so I guess he decides" way, rather it means to fully support and believe in the group structure you've set up for this thing, whatever the thing is.
Roles are something you flex into and out of, not something that defines you or is something "you are". If you let a role define you, you will be a lot less effective in getting stuff done.
Aurelius says something like "How ridiculous and how strange to be surprised by anything that happens in life." As in, why would external events matter or be a surprise? Things happen. The only thing you can control is how you react to them and what you choose to do about them. That helps me at least. It's all about process, not outcomes. Outcome is a roll of the die, so all you can do is make sure your internal processes are sound.
There are times when I want the really great at one thing too and I don't want my Trello board to be a social network or so. I think it is more about identity of the product.
It being waste doesn't mean you dont need it - that's how waste builds up: you create stuff in case, or you save things in case, or you build an extra large buffer just in case. It's all done with good intentions. If one of your goals in life is to be effective you need to work to eliminate as much inventory as possible, same as the other types of waste.
Overproduction, Inventory and Overprocessing are the three most insidious types of waste - they seem like good things.
Why not gold plate the thing? Just add these few features in case you need them. Why not make a few extra just in case, why not save that thing that you may need later or maybe you will finish at some point.
The other types of waste are more clearly negative.
That is logistics both for people, data, and goods.
If you have just one temporary bottle neck screwing up the relative distance, causing a capacity shortage down the line you will have that pattern repeating if things are synced, whereas if they aren't, you will error correct naturally.
First thing I got when I moved to France (admittedly 12 years ago) was a checkbook. Hadn't heard of them since the 80s in Sweden.
Paper books are mostly read and dispose of for me anyway, and I don't typically re-read books, so e-books just give me the flexibility of not needing to bring 5-6 big logs when I go on vacation, and mean I dont need to run to the book shop when I need something new to read.It is also cheaper by a significant margin.
For me - having access to a huge library at the click of a button, and less weight to carry around far outweighs any disadvantages of screen light, battery time etc.
Germany consistently operated at a net deficit of 6-8 B euro/year in terms of EU fees vs EU investment in Germany.
That same wealth transfer is taking place in the EU as well. Not on the same scale possibly, but it certainly takes place.
Greece's 6B net gain in 2008 makes up 1/9th of their total welfare spend in 2009 for instance (56B).
http://ec.europa.eu/budget/financialreport/2014/annex/3/inde...
https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=SOCX_AGG
I agree that it was not a good move to join the currency union for Greece. That was a bad choice by Greece, and a greedy move to manage finances short term with artificially cheap borrowing.
If I was to estimate I would say that for every 1 hour you spend making big genius decisions, you spend 99 hours convincing people why those decisions are right, listening to why they are not right, listening to what you should be doing instead, writing reports or communications, listening to what issues people have...
The houses themselves are pretty good actually, but sadly due to where they are and the amount of them many have become undesirable neighbourhoods.
Maybe (surely) there will be a squeeze on fees, but automation should move the income from active to semi passive for car owners.
Sweden built a ton of housing (the goal was a million apartments in 10 years or so) back in the 50s and 60s. Those buildings didn't have letterboxes inside, all with letter gaps in the doors (at least where I worked). Newer places typically have them downstairs now.
Mail volume varies easily by a factor 3-4 between days.
The cause would be high volume things would be things like utility bills that usually go to everyone inside an area on the same day or within a few days.
Full time employees were salaried, with 8h work day averaged over a month. When work was done, you went home. If you worked 6h one day, 10h the next you would not get overtime. Overall, I would guess I worked about 80% of the monthly hours, and I never hit overtime. Longest day I worked was 13h, shortest day was 3.5h.
Temps were hourly.
The extra time cost of adding a piece of mail to a route is mostly negligible. There are a few exceptions.
The first piece of mail that will take you inside an apartment complex adds a good bit of time (since you have to get off your bike and go into the building). I may have occasionally have forgotten to deliver something that was going to the 4th floor if that was the only thing in that apartment complex on a given day, and delivered it the next day instead.
The first piece of mail to a house doesn't matter - 95% of the time delivering to houses is the transport time between houses, not the delivery.
For us, routes were typically limited by physical effort and in-between transportation time, not the volume.
Houses were limited by the time of going from house to house, to about 2.5h time total. Apartments were limited by the effort of going up and down stairs to about the same time.
A usual route would be ~600 houses, or ~80 4-story apartment entrances. High rises were more limited by volume (and were typically mixed with 4-stories for that reason) so that a normal route would be maybe 8 high rises and 70ish apartment entrances.
I feel like there is room for an analogous quote about using the Poisson distribution compared to capacity reasoning.
In another life I was a mailman using a bike.
To do that efficiently you steer the bike with one hand, keep the mail on a tray in front of the bike and deliver it with the other hand as you keep biking.
When I was doing a new area I needed to bring a map to know what way to go.
Having that map be interactive and visual would have been a real benefit to me - it was an A4 sheet that I needed to stop the bike to read. Audio wouldnt have been as good, as I was veering, slowing down and accelerating a lot so the directions would have been confusing. It's a situation where something strapped to my arm would have been a lot more effective - a paper map was too small to strap to the arm, but an interactive map would have been perfect.
Google glass, or a flexible screen would have both solved that situation for me.
The intermediary steps are not so financially rewarding or even interesting, but the end game is significant.
Durable, flexible screens allow a whole series of new technology.
Off the top of my head:
Imagine a laptop with a screen that seamlessly folds in four. For travelling work you use a quadrant, for office work or presentations you fold it out to full size.
Imagine a screen that folds around your arm like a cuff - perfect for leisure activities like cycling or diving, or work that requires both hands (an alternative to google glass style displays).
If you can make something durable and flexible, there are a lot of new things you can do that you currently can't.
CEOs/presidents have even a larger amount of individual influence on what they do, as the roles are more open than say a CFO/CTO.
Sure - there are things they need to do, but there are also things they choose to do. Sure - when they do those things they are aware of their overall responsibilities, but they still choose among what things they do and dont do.
Protection of personal rights is not about a single solution, it is about multiple systems in a Swiss cheese model where privacy is one of those layers. Other layers are a judicial system, democratic elections etc. Stating that there are situations where one of the layers fail isn't proving anything, it is obvious that they fail some of the time. The question is if a layer adds something significant some of the time. Privacy does.