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jazzyk

1,989 karma · joined September 1, 2013

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jazzyk··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
Whether it is the Sirs/Ladies, or the Elkanns or the Rothschilds, they are interested in continuing the current status quo, enriching the 1% that they belong to, at the cost of everyone else.

The Economist used to be pro-small-business free market. At some point they started justifying outsourcing as "free trade", which benefited big companies like Apple, etc. and stagnated or starved small businesses (and the productivity/innovation that comes from it), not to mention labor providers (even highly educated ones, such as software engineers :-))

This has proven to be quite bad for the US and Europe (except the 1%, whose interests The Economist represents through ownership) - and it may get even worse when money-printing will stop working at some point.

jazzyk··on IMF Says Great Lockdown Recession Likely Worst Since Depression
You make sense, unfortunately our "market" economy does not.

Many of today's incumbents WILL exist in two years' time, because they are the recipients of "helicopter money" to prop them up, even if they deserve to die.

The real losers will be small and medium businesses who will get some token (not enough to survive) help, so that politicians can claim that everyone was helped.

jazzyk··on IMF Says Great Lockdown Recession Likely Worst Since Depression
I wholeheartedly agree with you, but the fault lies with the Federal Reserve, which has been promoting reckless behavior for years now.

Artificially setting interest rates so low (say 1%) that by saving money, you are actually losing money to inflation (real inflation at least 5%, if you include healthcare, real estate and higher education) promotes over-leveraging and that's what we got.

jazzyk··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
Please read carefully.

The Agnelli family owns 43.4%, members of the Rothschild family own 21%, other big corporate/rich families interests own the rest. Lots of "Sirs", "Ladies" and "Baronesses" on the board of directors, as you can see below.

From the Wikipedia page:

Pearson PLC held a 50% shareholding via The Financial Times Limited until August 2015; at that time Pearson sold their share in the Economist. The Agnelli family's Exor paid £287m to raise their stake from 4.7% to 43.4%, while the Economist paid £182m for the balance of 5.04m shares which will be distributed to current shareholders.[2] Aside from the Agnelli family, smaller shareholders in the company include Cadbury, Rothschild (21%), Schroder, Layton and other family interests as well as a number of staff and former staff shareholders.[2][3]

The current members of the board of directors of The Economist Group are: Rupert Pennant-Rea (Chairman), Zanny Minton Beddoes (editor-in-chief of The Economist), Lady Suzanne Heywood, Brent Hoberman, Sir David Bell, John Elkann, Alex Karp, Sir Simon Robertson, Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild, Chris Stibbs and Baroness Jowell.[12]

Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild publicly supports many politicians including Hillary Clinton.

jazzyk··on IMF Says Great Lockdown Recession Likely Worst Since Depression
No, it is just helicopter money distributed (to some) by the Federal Reserve.

"Whatever it takes" to backstop the stock market is apparently working.

jazzyk··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
Very well written indeed, unfortunately owned by globalists since 2015 (check out the ownership change, if you are interested [1])

I had been an avid reader for 30 years, cancelled my subscription around 2015-2016, and I was not even aware of the new ownership at the time, I just sensed the change of their ideological orientation and did not like it one bit.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economist_Group

jazzyk··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
One book NOT to read: "The Ant and the Grasshopper" by Aesop.

He got it completely wrong - for quite some time, Grasshoppers have been routinely bailed out with money stolen from the Ants (through interest rates way below inflation).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ant_and_the_Grasshopper

jazzyk··on Seen everywhere in last U.S. crisis, moral hazard is nowhere in this one
Do you really believe that Bezos and the top 1% will pay the bill? The rich have an army of accountants to find a way to not pay.

No, it is always the middle class (Upper- and middle-) that ends up paying the bill. Mostly through decreased standard of living.

jazzyk··on The global oil market is broken, drowning in crude nobody needs
Yes, but the Saudis reportedly need to charge ~$80/barrel to balance their budget - and oil is their only source of income.

I am really not sure what game the Saudis are playing.

jazzyk··on From Spain to Germany, farmers warn of fresh food shortages
That's because they would never be able to afford basic things like:

- college education ($30K-$75K/year, preceded by purchasing a shack for $800K in a good-school town)

- health care ($25K/year for a high-deductible family plan)

What's the point?

Or do we consider education or healthcare luxury now?

jazzyk··on Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call
This.

Yet, all my highly educated friends think Federal Reserve has been doing a great job at "stabilizing the economy".

Ignorance is strength, after all.

jazzyk··on Was corporate profit growth a bubble inflated by "financial engineering"?
Real-estate is assets, of course.

But I think the inflation in health-care/education is caused by lack of competition.

As in - you can choose to not buy a new coat this winter, but you HAVE to buy health insurance. You HAVE to buy college education for your kid or otherwise s/he won't be able to ever start a family (working as a barista, or some such).

Also, none of these services were outsourced to cheaper location (because they can't. although a good number of people have been going abroad to get their medical degree, etc.)

jazzyk··on Was corporate profit growth a bubble inflated by "financial engineering"?
Yes, but it all started in 2008 (to me, the starting point was really the 1998 government bailout of a private business - a hedge fund LTCM [1]). It was all downhill from there.

Still, not "since forever", only since 1998, or so.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management

jazzyk··on Some of the world's biggest economies are on the brink of recession
>Record low unemployment

The actual, real rate of unemployment is called "Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate" and covers all adults (16 or older) who are not working.

As you can see from the diagram on the BLS website, the participation rate is ~ 63% which is close to the lowest level in 40+ years.

Booming economy, for FAANG and Wall Street, perhaps. Just barely off the lows for most people, though.

https://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet

jazzyk··on U of Chicago projected to be the first U.S. university to cost $100k per year
Add ~$15K for room and board, though.
jazzyk··on Google, in Rare Stumble, Posts 23% Decline in Profit
>You can turn off Windows telemetry.

See, turning off telemetry (if it is even possible to turn it off fully) was implemented to be complex on purpose, so that most people can't do it and won't do it.

But Microsoft can still trumpet to the world that "you can turn it off if you want".

jazzyk··on Twitter says it will restrict retweeting world leaders who break rules
About 1 in 1500 to 1 in 2000 births [0.07–0.05%].

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intersex

jazzyk··on Forget philanthropy. The super-rich should be paying proper taxes
But in the supposedly socialist Europe, even lower income people pay SOME amount in taxes.

For example, in Spain, you pay 19% on the first 12,450E, and the rate quickly goes up to 45% for anything over 60,000E (average income is ~30K)

There are some personal allowances and deductions, but most people pay at least some tax.

jazzyk··on Forget philanthropy. The super-rich should be paying proper taxes
I agree with you on the democracy point, however:

Only 56% of all billionaires are self-made.

Others inherited their money (the Walton family, the Rockefellers, eetc.)

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/10/wealthx-billionaire-census-m...

jazzyk··on Why Japan lost its comparative advantage in producing electronic parts
MBA in itself is not a problem, but it should be required that MBA applicants have a 4-year degree NOT in business (preferably STEM).

Most CEOs and high-level executives in Japan and Germany (and many other countries) typically have:

- an educational background in the area they manage (say, mechanical engineering for car production)

- long careers/experience in that area

- passion for it (CEOs who race cars, etc)

Unlike executive in the US, who:

- have a 4-year business degree followed with an MBA

- jump from industry to industry (Carly Fiorina, etc),

- have no passion for the stuff they produce (they are typically finance or marketing guys)

The end result is that US companies turn into marketing/branding shells who outsource everything except for branding/sales or some kind of financial engineering schemes (GE)

jazzyk··on WeWork says will file to withdraw IPO
Yes, but this is at a time when the overall market is close to an all-time high.

What happens when the inevitable correction comes? The Fed will run out of monetary tricks, eventually.

jazzyk··on Men Are Waiting to Share Some Feelings (2018)
1. Women-only workout areas in gyms - quite common, never seen one for men

2. All-female colleges (many), there is perhaps one or two all-male, if they even still exist

jazzyk··on Strengthening Congressional Independence from Corporate Lobbyists
>As of 2015, 70% of Americans viewed big government as the "biggest threat" versus just 25% listing big businesses.

Wherever the government tries to "regulate" - unprecedented wealth transfer from ordinary people to special interests follows: the health-care(?) mafia, the higher education mafia, etc. Always sold as "think of the elderly/children".

Big Government -> Lobbyists (corruption) -> Corporatism

(In the US, Europe is a bit different, because lobbying is not as predatory)

jazzyk··on Supreme Court: Suspending Parliament was unlawful, judges rule
>David Cameron made one of the biggest political errors in modern history here.

By asking people to have a voice instead of deciding for them??

Direct democracy can work very well - just look at Switzerland, which is the envy of the world when it comes to governance. It may/may not be scalable, but important decisions like EU membership should be decided by the people, not the elite.

jazzyk··on How Adam Neumann’s Over-the-Top Style Built WeWork
The poster above is talking about the people who had invested in the company so far:

The We Company has raised a total of $12.8B in funding over 14 rounds. Their latest funding was raised on Jan 9, 2019 from a Secondary Market round.

https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/wework

jazzyk··on The Provocations of Camille Paglia
>Nature has no morality

But perhaps it does? Animals kill other animals only to survive (to kill them in order to eat them or to defend themselves from being killed/eaten)

Humans may be the only species who hurt other humans just for the fun of it - now _that_ is cruelty.

jazzyk··on Equifax removed the $125 claim payout option after millions submitted claims
https://www.bankrate.com/

Make sure you go past the "featured" ones :-)

jazzyk··on The U.S. Labor Market Isn’t All That Healthy
Nope - the statistics only covers working age (18-67)
jazzyk··on The U.S. Labor Market Isn’t All That Healthy
The only statistics which needs to be looked at is here:

Bureau of Labor Statistics: Civilian labor force participation rate

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS11300000

Let the data speak for itself.

jazzyk··on Sanders to propose canceling entire $1.6T in US student loan debt
I know at least a few upper-middle class families whose children went to get some easy, "artsy" degrees at $70K/year.

The parents had their children take on student loans, and bought themselves BMWs at the same time.

Now these kids graduated, are (predictably) struggling to make ends meet, and they may not be able to pay back their student loans.

Should the loans be forgiven in these case, as well? Who decides when and when not?

Also, the loan money did not only go to pay for tuition - I saw students doing homework on their top-of-the-line MacBooks sipping their $4 lattes all day long. Expensive vacations in some cases, too.

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