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jaybrendansmith

1,235 karma · joined January 20, 2019

Running Product and Engineering teams for b2b
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jaybrendansmith··on Green card seekers must leave U.S. to apply, Trump administration says
It's shocking, actually. Horrifying, and again I say: They do all of the things one would expect them to do if their stated goal was the absolute destruction of the United States of America. They are traitors, no more, no less.
jaybrendansmith··on Curtis Yarvin and the Political Evolution of Silicon Valley Reactionaries
Increasingly moving out? They've taken over the entire government. We are well on our way to a dystopia. Nice job, everyone.
jaybrendansmith··on Frontier AI has broken the open CTF format
But it should be, right?
jaybrendansmith··on Frontier AI has broken the open CTF format
I'm not going to disagree with step by step videos ... those are a HUGE help. I'm really talking about solving problems using pen and paper, whether math or writing, is how my problem-solving patterns actually changed.
jaybrendansmith··on ABC News has taken all FiveThirtyEight articles offline
It's crazy. CBS has likely killed 'CBS News', '60 Minutes', and 'The Late Show', three brands worth likely billions if handled correctly. It's like they are scared of retaliation or something, allowing these brands to be destroyed for zero value in exchange. I've never seen anything like it in a free and open market.
jaybrendansmith··on London Police Deploy Facial Recognition at Protest for First Time
It's like they watched 'The Running Man' and said 'How cool would that be...?'
jaybrendansmith··on Frontier AI has broken the open CTF format
Everything we've learned in the last 10 years is telling us that computers do not help human education in the slightest. We remember better when we write with pen and paper. We learn better with whiteboards and paper books. The simple answer: Remove most computing from education entirely. Blue composition books, pencils, whiteboards is what trains humans. Calculators are helpful perhaps but it is quite possible that slide rules are better. We need humans that can critically think from first principles to counter the recycled information generated by AI.
jaybrendansmith··on US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war
None of the Trump administrations actions look objectively different than what a foreign adversary would do to destroy the United States of America. It's staring us all in the face every day. My children will pay for this their entire fucking lives.
jaybrendansmith··on Scouting's Real Crisis Is Not Marketing. It Is Decades of Neglect.
I like this revamp idea, actually. In the troop I help with, we have an older 'venture patrol', and separating these two groups (10-13 vs 14-17) makes a lot of sense. And I don't particularly like the idea of any boy or girl getting Eagle before at least 16...holding leadership positions is really important. I think this structural change would help keep boys and girls interested past age 14. But mostly, I think the organization, which has done over a century of good, needs money to get a branding facelift. If any of these billionaire types want to do good, they could consider that shaping the country's youth with a solid program focused on citizenship, moral judgement, and outdoor skills might be something positive they could be remembered for.
jaybrendansmith··on Scouting's Real Crisis Is Not Marketing. It Is Decades of Neglect.
The way the program is currently set up, the boy and girl troops are separated completely. There's been no negatives of including girls, only positives that I have seen, and I've been involved for almost 20 years. It's amazing what people construct in their own heads without actually investigating to see the reality.
jaybrendansmith··on Scientists warn Atlantic current at risk of shutting down
Europe needs to start taking this seriously. If they are really science-led and fact-based, they need to fund a series of additional studies to absolutely confirm a 37% loss by 2100, and run clean estimates and projections of the cost to heat Europe and replace shorter growing seasons as the AMOC slows over 25, 50, 75, and 100 years. They can then project the the total cost of the loss, and speak to the insurance and reinsurance companies to determine the cost of remediation. Money will move this needle, nothing else.
jaybrendansmith··on When Dawkins met Claude – Could this AI be conscious?
For consciousness, what is required is a 'master model' that is trained on grounded experience over time to understand, based on its goals, what inputs to focus on. Without this, even an LLM with continuity over time could not even understand what to keep in its context window, let alone what questions to answer or actions to take. You need the entire thing for consciousness, you cannot fake it, because what an LLM does now is simply instantiate a new 'self' every time it is asked a question or at least within a context window. Humans arguably do that every morning when they wake up, but they have this master model that is trained throughout their lifetime on what is important and what is not to their goals.
jaybrendansmith··on The Claude Delusion: Richard Dawkins believes his AI chatbot is conscious
But there are things worthy of worship that are not gods, money, self.
jaybrendansmith··on The Century-Long Pause in Fundamental Physics
Can you briefly explain how the debates refute the basic argument? It's a somewhat interesting comparison he makes, even if AI was used to write that doesn't necessarily make the argument less interesting. I do agree that the end seems like motivated reasoning.
jaybrendansmith··on Pushed by Trump policies, top U.S. battery scientist is moving to Singapore
Completely predictable. Science will leave these shores, either due to lack of funding, threat, or ideological disagreement. The amazing post-WWII economy will become stagnant, then start to fail, just like an engine that is starved of oxygen it will begin to sputter and choke. And everybody will be shocked, and try to assert control to change the behavior, which will work briefly then make it worse. We can only hope that no good alternative will exist, so that the gains by the rest of the world are disperse enough to allow the US to recover if the current oligarchy is overthrown politically.
jaybrendansmith··on MAGA Is Winning Its War Against U.S. Science
Again, I don't understand why this post is flagged. Don't hackers care about science? Isn't this newsworthy?
jaybrendansmith··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
Paying taxes this year was more painful than it's ever been, because I am certain some of my money went to the billionaire grifters. If you think paying for good government is bad, try paying for horrible, corrupt government.
jaybrendansmith··on Sometimes powerful people just do dumb shit
I think this is spot on. Poor man wanna be rich, rich man wanna be King, king ain't satisfied till he rules everything.
jaybrendansmith··on Molotov cocktail is hurled at home of Sam Altman
One of most important things I've learned as I have gotten older is that optimization is all about degree. Is it good that housing prices are higher? No, clearly not. Is it good that I can get a 30-year mortgage when I am 25 and live in a house and eventually pay it off? Yes, it is good (I just paid it off last year.) Does the existence of that 30-year mortgage inflate the housing market? It definitely does if there is not enough housing. And yes I gladly paid 2x the cost of the house in interest, because I got to live in it the entire time vs. paying rent on someone else's asset. Good public policy must have specific aims in mind or there are many unintended consequences.
jaybrendansmith··on SpaceX Pushes Back Crucial Starship Test Launch
Doing something 10x as big is 100x as difficult. And the last 10% takes 50% of the work. With that in mind, Starship is right on schedule. Something will be operational by 2030.
jaybrendansmith··on Marc Andreessen's dangerously unexamined life
Marc is a poster boy for why a liberal arts education is essential.
jaybrendansmith··on FBI is buying location data to track US citizens, director confirms
But you cannot block them.
jaybrendansmith··on US blindsides states with surprise settlement in Live Nation/Ticketmaster trial
Rock is truly dead. Regulatory capture disguised as antitrust enforcement.
jaybrendansmith··on $800 Monthly Car Payments Are Hurting Car Sales
That too. I did a comparison with my brother recently, who lives in France. His effective net tax rate in France was 39%, my effective net tax rate in the US was 43%. That includes all taxes, what he gets from healthcare, etc. We really don't get a good deal here in the US, what we save in taxes gets eaten up by corporations.
jaybrendansmith··on Tinnitus Is Connected to Sleep
Don't think of an elephant.
jaybrendansmith··on Science Fiction Is Dying. Long Live Post Sci-Fi?
I gotta agree. All we need is corporate-run militaries and we're living in Heinlein's Friday. All the other dystopian predictions seem to be happening at once.
jaybrendansmith··on What if the Hormuz closure will not be brief?
This is all a double bluff to solve Global Warming. Make it impossible to trade oil, everyone will be forced to switch to solar and wind.
jaybrendansmith··on Tinnitus Is Connected to Sleep
This is my experience. It normally doesn't bother me, and I didn't think about it until I read this article, so now it is driving me crazy. Please let's stop posting articles about Tinnitus unless the article describes a CURE. Thanks.
jaybrendansmith··on $800 Monthly Car Payments Are Hurting Car Sales
Cars are not expensive. A $60,000 car, when calculated for inflation, costs the same as a $30,000 care did in 2000. What's not kept up is wages, including the minimum wage, for most of America. Had the Epstein class allowed wages to grow alongside inflation, as had been done since 1950, nobody would be complaining about affordability.
jaybrendansmith··on OpenAI agrees with Dept. of War to deploy models in their classified network
What part of "These people are fascists, and need to be stopped" are people failing to understand?
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