ineedaj0b

the price of metal, raw metal, coming out of factories like aluminum, steel, titanium is high because the cost of energy is high.

I think it’s 30%-40% the cost of smelting it. Unless you can drop the price of energy and cheapen the raw material cost, the entire manufacturing industry will be uncompetitive.

Primary smelters currently run pretty efficiently but are bottlenecked by two main factors in the USA: raw energy prices and regulations. (there’s likely some modern process improvements they could add too but those won’t increase productively as greatly).

To reduce energy costs… you’ll need about double the current energy production we have today. That sounds like a lot but it’s very doable (the US has been neglecting itself for 50 years). It could with a little push from the Government catch up in 10-15 years, think lots of nuclear and solar.

Oil is important but as lever to pull on because it affects China.

The invasion is meant to orient the US to fight China. We are cutting away the Middle East war baggage, trying to end the Ukraine war baggage so we can focus on China. Russia would be a nice ally against China.

China was moving around Lat Am and we are removing the communists from the hemisphere.

China likes oil. Loves oil but can’t get enough oil which is why it’s building solar and nuclear so quickly. The US can clamp down on the oil if Venezuela is an ally. So the US wants a strong Venezuela that can’t be used against us.

It’s hard to conduct war without oil.

The US has a strong incentive to make sure Venezuela comes out strong, and the Chinese have a strong incentive to not let that happen.

tldr: it’s all about china

the entire readership of this website is clueless, it’s an echo chamber. Unless you write a thoroughly detailed contra comment you get downvoted. If you say Elon is good you get downvoted. I do not want to source my comments, I work a job! Maybe Elon is sometimes good and sometimes bad. Maybe I don’t want to drop how I know something because my employer would be very mad.

You can no longer get the full picture because all the guys with alpha (investing term) left and post on Twitter/X now. All rando accounts without their faces. Anything interesting for AI is on there now and you can chat with the actual researchers too, you don’t need to bump into them at a shoes off party after work.

There’s a lot of very uncomfortable discussion on Twitter/X if you can stomach it, you’ll end up with a much clearer picture of the world. There’s a lot of dumb stuff on there too! You have to sift through it.

HN hit its Eternal September. There’s still some really great technical stuff you can find on here though. I don’t know how long the decline has been but it doesn’t seem to be getting better.

I agree we should be busting more monopolies in the vein of Teddy Roosevelt, but you are forgetting the monopolies and capture political parties have on the states themselves.

I know its a hot issue and I apologize, but if you look at Minnesota with its likely fraud: would their social welfare program numbers look better without the fraud? Could California be run better without its (also likely) welfare fraud? You might really want this but the leadership doesn't want to root it out. So you're left with voting for the opposition but how many want to do that? Nothing happens.

There's no competition in politics. It's two parties or nothing right now.

There's Californian billionaires who loudly hate the Government but can't get anything to change. I feel you are overestimating wealth's influence too some degree as well.

You can probably get that here in the US near a high school during team sports donation times.

Not a great car wash but probably $5-10 on the low end.

One should be uncomfortable the Arab States are doing so well. They have no democracy but seem to be thriving. Not expected post 9/11 imo.

those articles were written a plenty about the Davos Elite - even precovid. It’s a tad lazy now.

Sure there was some evidence of wealth concentration mattering. But there was also evidence against it (like Jack Ma). Power is still the ring to kiss.

And hopefully it’s very understood to the parent comment and agreers, wealth creation is not zero sum. When something new is created the pie gets bigger. All wealth inequality discourse is driven by that misunderstanding and a lack of building more homes https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S001429212...

Maybe your brick wall is the singularity instead and I misread you but I don’t think so.

Everyone hates living near the turbines. They are loud, an eyesore, kill birds in droves, and cause annoying flickering.

People don’t mind solar as much.

Wind cannot compete on solar for price especially with China reducing solars base cost each year.

We don’t need offshore wind or onshore. Wish the US focused more on Solar. Seems to be the smartest path forward.

China understands and is gunning for Nuclear and Solar. Geothermal and wind are nice but too location dependent.

this is an article about why you shouldn't live in the UK. I always think right-wing news makes it sound worse than it is.. I have a feeling it's truer than not.

Brexit was the tipping point.

Doctors do not get along and that’s too many Drs. Each patient often has multiple speciality Drs visiting them and reviewing their case up to 3 or 4 sometimes already. Imagine being on consult and trying to figure out which guy on a team of 4 you should talk to about such and such.

her at her worst is better than 90% of people at their best.

if you get through and into a good med school -match into surgery- you are Peak in a way very few are.

I don’t see this changing unless they reduce the requirements for med school; if they let anyone in who wants in and force that group to work 30hr shifts - you’ll get enough bad outcomes the system will change.

There was a study, I believe on nurses and shift durations. The study found the nurses were happier with shorter shifts - but the patients did worse. Patients come first.

I could see a group of Doctors loudly proclaiming love for Donald Trump (and mentioning very much how great he is) and pleading the case for a change and something happening. He is an interesting president.

I would be interested in hearing a european drs perspective, I heard they work shorter shifts (but no EU dr I met has confirmed, it’s like meeting a unicorn)

fine fine. Let me speak to you like you're a colleague and not a hn commenter that you can be upfront with:

As a practicing clinician, I must express significant reservations regarding therapeutic agents emerging from China, particularly those rooted in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM). In the absence of rigorous, peer-reviewed validation through randomized controlled trials (RCTs) conducted under Western regulatory standards, such interventions are frequently met with skepticism within the medical community. The prevailing perception among Western practitioners is that TCM-based therapies often lack robust empirical evidence, bearing a conceptual resemblance to homeopathic modalities, which are similarly contentious due to limited mechanistic clarity and inconsistent clinical outcomes. When considering novel pharmacotherapies developed in China, especially those in early-phase clinical trials or lacking approval from regulatory bodies such as the FDA or EMA, the Western medical establishment tends to approach them with caution. For instance, a colleague proposing a TCM-derived treatment would likely feel compelled to provide substantial reassurances to counter the inherent skepticism surrounding its efficacy and safety profile. This is not to dismiss the potential of such innovations outright, but rather to underscore the critical need for transparent, reproducible data to substantiate claims of therapeutic breakthroughs, particularly when these agents remain confined to regional use without broader dissemination in Western markets.

I used to wonder why drs never comment on this site and I'm starting to understand why

there’s some interesting treatment in china that seems promising. something about unclogging drains in the neck. friend told me it looked ‘possible’.

the whole western field is 15-20 years behind because some researcher lied about plaque data and everyone spent all their time chasing the lead. I think you’ll see useful therapies in 15-20 years from the west, maybe sooner if all the some ai hype pans out.

or the Chinese thing turns out to work! can’t tell myself. there’s probably an American who will try it at some point and publish a case study. Very tough to judge Chinese papers..

here’s an overview: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12121576/

Reddit can become a echochamber, a one sided flog machine, all good content decaying, no good or viable business after 10 years (propped up by YC investors), it’s even become a slur to denote a certain type of brain and eventually it will die off like slashdot and digg did.

But you won’t be able to take the Redditors off the internet. They be lurking, waiting with a perfectly annoying post ironic millennial reply.

I hope the TSE does well and expect the state with the largest concentration of energy tycoons and businessmen will figure out how to add grid robustness - a problem solved in nearly all states.

I always felt Chinese.

A lot of people here seem remiss to accept this but the claim was made, I think around 2018? And now the international community has gone and doubled checked - and it seems legitimate. 2025: the mainstream belief of descension changes.

What other base beliefs do you hold that will likely be false?

I can think of 5+. Our ancestors thought a lot of things for certain and died never knowing. Technological advancement is so fast nowadays, I hope we get to live through more.

the fees are bought upon by the partakers of food and cigarettes.

do they realize the strain excess weight carries for organs? would it be cheaper in china or Europe to be that size? No. Logistically, other countries would not have equipment readily available and having your poor lifestyle choices subsidized doesn’t mean the cost isn’t there

he’s pushing for ‘office politics’ not national politics.

It does take a good deal of time. Another missed angle is how hard this group is to study: I imagine they never respond to surveys.

From what I know from a friend in that type of group London is no longer the place to park money. Not sure where it’s switched to.

it was a good witch hunt. we very much almost lost the Cold War to the soviets. the US public and government officials had no idea how bad it was in the USSR. The majority of intellectuals glazed the Soviet Union.

We witch hunted. We also got lapped by the FSB most years. What saved us was our economic engine.

Yes. Sorry. Get them mixed up.

Hm. I asked openly for information to change my opinion - show data, examples, anything - and you attack my character.

I get the largest amount of my news from Bloomberg. And you think I need to get laid. I have no issues with women or mental health.

This entire exchange, especially with your reply - means I’m right on the money!

I will find a way to short the UK. It’s all been going downhill since WWII, and the population alive hasn’t the gruff to fix the backslide.

I’ve been really sad getting older and having so much more context on Britain. My family weirdly had access to all of British TV in US growing up and they had fantastic programs.

Now, I feel they are a joke. They seem like a strong example of what absolutely not to do. Their cultural exports have sunk. The arrested citizens for social media posts seems draconian. The economy barely hanging on.

I understand the Media has a bias and they been hitting the UK hard since Brexit (liberals think it ended the world) and now even conservative/alternative media hates UK for the pro-immigration stances.

With all that said even trying very hard to find things to like about the UK in a neutral way (I am a fan of PG, who I assume makes very smart decisions) I think the country is completely toast. Worse off than SPAIN! I never had a high opinion of Spain but it looks more likely to outgrow its troubles than the UK.

Prince Andrew and Kate seem nice. The British countryside seems nice. But what else will these people ever be capable of again?

When I read or interact with Britains irl I lump them in one of the lowest buckets for intellectual conversation. Does anyone have any hope for Britain to share or at least data to tell me I’m wrong about the UK?

there's lots of near admission by numerous service members (retired now) who go on those war/special forces podcasts and admit they had their hands tied and told to stall. the 'brass' didn't want the war to end - unclear if it was the presidents of the time or the generals but we accomplished the mission those in charge wanted (forever war).

jd vance mentions that very thing multiple times in interviews.

i too knew a lot of NASA employed peopled and it’s always regrettable to lose a job but.. what the heck was our space program doing? i know they blamed changing leadership and changing budget but the space shuttle’s replacement program was run horribly.

the only working part of cape canaveral was whatever spy satellites they needed to launch.

thankfully spaceX does a pretty good job and while I wish it was still nasa leading the globe in space travel, the main decline of our era is unwieldy bureaucracy and not even nasa could figure out how to run a profit despite a monopoly.

i'm not outing myself to prove a point. keep your power levels hidden.

you can figure out with math, climate change is solvable with tech advancement. also the US has pretty clean energy, and likely always will because of fear from future administration changes.

one should be more worried about china or india polluting than the US.

it's tough to tell what's going wrong for you but concierge medicine will give you a full hour and be much more invested in finding the root of your issues.

keep in mind, drs are also trying to figure out if you're a reliable narrator (so many patients are not) or trying to scam for drugs. best of luck!

i worked construction for a summer (roofing) and a lot of guys were drunk or on something fun.

i imagine elon is pushing them to build much faster than normal and they'll try.. but you also can't be on anything working a fast schedule. i think zyns would be the only thing safe, adderall would leave you too dehydrated, painkillers sure but you also get clumsier ime, even advil had me feeling off.

construction is hard! i have no idea how the Japanese have such efficiency. they work fast and make it look relaxed.

money is not a finite supply. value is often created without taking from others.