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iamthemonster

1,308 karma · joined February 8, 2020

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iamthemonster··on Is-even-ai – Check if a number is even using the power of AI
This is pretty useless to be honest. It's good for telling whether a number is even, but in our industry we need more powerful functionality. We also need to know whether a number is odd.
iamthemonster··on The effect of physical fitness on mortality is overestimated
Thank you for your response. I've certainly found keto seems to inspire quite a tribal approach in many people - the r/keto subreddit has a certain dogma that is rigidly enforced, there's a pro-saturated-fat pro-meat tribe etc.

I initially gave keto a shot for two weeks, and I found unexpectedly high benefits in increased energy, weight loss and an end to some long-standing stomach ulcer issues. So my two-week trial has ended up lasting 3 months.

It's been frustrating that trying to learn about keto is like drinking from a firehose of bullshit, because I'm really rather enjoying my extra energy, weight loss and lack of stomach pain and ulcers. I actually feel 20 years younger.

I'm quite skeptical of the long term elimination of whole grains though, so soon I'll be easing off keto with some vegetables and whole grains.

iamthemonster··on The effect of physical fitness on mortality is overestimated
Which study are you referring to for keto having a negative impact on cardiovascular health? I've unfortunately found studies and metastudies reaching all sorts of conflicting conclusions on keto.

The top metastudies on a simple google search both conclude positive effects on CVD.

iamthemonster··on Square's $399 Handheld accepts tap-to-pay at your table
I was really surprised how easy it was to set up Square to simply receive tap-to-pay payments on my phone. I ran an incredibly busy after-school cake sale, maybe 100 transactions in twenty minutes? It was pretty great. It just felt unusual to hold out an upside-down phone to request payment.

For a small establishment that's looking to keep down the upfront costs, it's absolutely simple to just use a phone for POS transactions.

iamthemonster··on Coffee for people who don't like coffee
Ah yeah, I'm in WA and although things have really advanced a lot in the last ten years, there are still plenty of cafes that "you don't really go to for the coffee" and it's more normal to just have one set of beans on offer. A lot of cafes, you just go there for the ham and cheese croissant or smashed avo or the great view. I reckon less than a quarter of the cafes would really be "coffee specialist cafes" where you'd get multiple roasts on offer.
iamthemonster··on Coffee for people who don't like coffee
It's quite interesting how coffee is treated in different cultures.

In Australia, coffee would normally be consumed as a dark roast, but with texturised (that is aerated and steamed to create a microfoam).

Dark roast coffee is less acidic, and when made into an espresso + texturised milk drink it becomes very sweet and smooth tasting.

Light roasts used in espresso-based milky drinks are not so pleasant, and are more prone to astringency, especially if you use the same grind size, temperature and shot volume as a dark roast (which home espresso makers probably would, but cafes would know better).

Light roasts are best with pourover or French Press methods and served black, which are not really methods that are as common in the Australian tradition.

I'm quite surprised that someone who didn't like dark roasts would find light roasts less challenging, but hey I'm Australian not Swedish.

iamthemonster··on Evidence of controversial Planet 9 uncovered in sky surveys taken 23 years apart
You speak English too well - you have surpassed English speakers. None of us know the difference between further and further.
iamthemonster··on Why Archers Didn't Volley Fire
Check out Tod's Workshop youtube channel. It's only entertainment, but he has a far more realistic overall testing of arrows' armour-piercing capability.

A lot of the tests are firing perpendicularly at plate armour that's held in front of a hard surface with no gambeson underneath. When you take account of arrows often arriving at a slight angle, and humans are a movable pile of meat covered in thick cloth with plate on top, then the ability to penetrate deep enough to cause a significant wound is reduced.

Never eliminated though!

But if arrows really did pierce plate armour, and I was a knight in a battle then I'd just get myself a 6 foot tall 3 foot wide, heavy wooden shield and hide behind it until I got to close quarters. But the fact is people didn't bother doing this because they found a less cumbersome shield more effective, and that suggests that rich plate-armour-clad knights weren't dying left right and centre from arrow fire.

iamthemonster··on Intel to announce plans this week to cut over 20% of staff
Find me an American-owned company that doesn't have plans to cut 20% of staff. It just seems like the norm nowadays.
iamthemonster··on Big Oil Is Offshoring Its Prized Engineering Jobs to India
Yep I've had experience with offshoring engineering to low cost centres where nobody in the entire staff has ever set foot on an operating oil / gas facility.

It pushes all the actual decision-making, risk management and design back onto the client, until a scope of work is written that spells out everything in such excruciating detail that the low cost centre just need to copy paste it.

The O&G industry has been on a warpath on cost since 2015, and quality has gone the way of Boeing. There will be plenty more Deepwater Horizons to come.

iamthemonster··on A weird phrase is plaguing scientific papers
There is a long history of euphemisms taking over - one day we may say "unalived" as a perfectly normal replacement for "killed", just as we don't call bears "arkto" or "ursa" any more, we just euphemistically call them "brown things", i.e. "bero" in protogermanic hence "bear" in English.
iamthemonster··on A Reddit bot drove me insane
It was quite interesting that Reddit had its own unique culture during the rage comics and narwhal era. At that time, you knew you were on Reddit and not some other site. Whereas now, it's pretty homogeneous with every other site.

I agree with you about Reddit being around in 10 years - because I don't see its users having any reason to suddenly depart, given every other large community is largely similar.

iamthemonster··on Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?
I'm the original commenter, and quite simply you're right and I slipped up. It's not really using the terminology correctly for me to say "natural gas is ~75% hydrogen on a molar basis".

Whenever talking about hydrogen's physical properties etc on a molar basis, we'd be talking about H2. So if you had a mole of methane (CH4) we'd say you could make two moles of hydrogen (H2) out of it.

My point was really just that the gas companies' reserves of natural gas mean that they'll do anything to try to stimulate demand for blue/grey hydrogen, because their reserves of natural gas are reserves of hydrogen.

iamthemonster··on Military grade sonic weapon is used against protesters in Serbia
In Australia they were used for broadcasting audible messages and did not cause harm: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-18/coronacheck-sonic-wea...

We're not living in some oppressed totalitarian state here in Australia. It's a bit of a nanny state, and the media's pretty Murdoch-dominated, but it's about the same as any other Western democracy.

iamthemonster··on Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?
Grey hydrogen is produced from natural gas

Blue hydrogen is produced from natural gas with carbon capture

iamthemonster··on Why do transit agencies keep falling for the hydrogen bus myth?
I work for an oil and gas company. It has been specifically stated by my company that they are seeking support for hydrogen as a fuel because it adds value to their gas reserves - natural gas is roughly 75% hydrogen on a molar basis.

The idea is to stimulate demand for "green-ish" hydrogen (that is by grid-connected electrolysis); once demand for the hydrogen is there, it can be supplied by blue hydrogen. The O&G companies aren't super keen on green hydrogen made by dedicated renewables off grid, and they LOVE the approach of "we'll start off with grey hydrogen then we'll move to blue and green in the future".

This is very specifically a strategy to increase the amount of natural gas that can move from resources to possible reserves to probable reserve to proven reserves. That's how you increase the value of your company, which is how you get a fat bonus as a CEO.

You don't get a fat bonus by telling the truth or being right.

iamthemonster··on First ammonia-fueled ship hits a snag
Hmm maybe I shouldn't be so sure of myself then. The comparison between LNG and coal that I was referencing was the comparison between coal and LNG's lifecycle emissions on the basis of like-for-like electricity generation (so it was slightly apples&oranges for me to say that).

I'd assumed that a main engine's efficiency with bunker fuel was awful and with LNG was much better, meaning LNG had emissions as a shipping fuel.

But I think taking into account the methane emissions of upstream production (which varies incredibly wildly depending on the production environment) LNG from most of the world (particularly the USA) will be a worse shipping fuel on a global warming basis than bunker fuel.

Thanks for picking that up.

The cooling effect of sulphur dioxide emissions (which make sulphates in the atmosphere) is a whole Pandora's box that I'm unqualified to open but yes, there's a significant cooling effect from the SO2 emissions of bunker fuel and the 2020 rules change on VLSFO dramatically slashed the shipping industry's SO2 emissions (noting that SO2 emissions have also been falling across the board, and shipping is only one component of that). https://ourworldindata.org/data-insights/sulfur-dioxide-emis...

iamthemonster··on First ammonia-fueled ship hits a snag
Liquefied Natural Gas was expected to be a lower-emission alternative fuel compared to bunker fuel.

The proportion of LNG fuelled cargo tankers out there right now is about 2% but for new orders, about 30% of them are LNG fuelled so that small percentage will grow rapidly.

However, for United States LNG in particular, the LNG production chain actually has very high emissions of methane. The industry has been fighting to keep that as unclear and unquantified as absolutely possible, and there's a good reason for that - when you take into account the methane emissions along the whole value chain from drilling through liquefaction, LNG's climate impact (in terms of global warming) is no better than coal. I'm sure it's beneficial compared to bunker fuel, but the climate benefit is much much slimmer than first believed.

iamthemonster··on First Ammonia-Fueled Ship Hits a Snag
No the ammonia toxicity hazard is incredibly severe, it immediately burns your lungs and you die by choking on your own blood as your lungs dissolve. Whereas with natural gas leaks you can reduce the likelihood of ignition by intrinsically safe instrumentation and electrical components. In both cases, gas detection and automated shutdown and sectionalisation helps significantly.
iamthemonster··on First Ammonia-Fueled Ship Hits a Snag
none of those three, but I expect a combination of methanol, biodiesel and (only for near-shore and inland shipping) battery electric.
iamthemonster··on First ammonia-fueled ship hits a snag
2026 is still a very ambitious startup date for this. The International Maritime Organisation (IMO) has only just approved interim guidelines for the addition of ammonia to the IGF Code (use of gaseous fuels). There's a lot to it, but this is a good high level overview: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/imo-interim-guidelines-safety...

A lot of commentators believe that since ammonia is less inherently safe it will inevitably be less safe in practice. I am not convinced by that argument, and in general if there's a strong enough business driver then anything can be made safe. But what really swung me against the idea of ammonia as a shipping fuel is that the expected cost is barely any better than methanol (which is much more inherently safe) and is more expensive than biodiesel.

The shipping companies have a real conundrum on their hands - do they go ammonia, methanol, stick with diesel, or try to get near-shore and inland shipping onto electric? Ammonia-fuelled ships have to be THOROUGHLY designed from the ground up specifically for ammonia use; you have to be 100% committed to go down that path. Whereas biodiesel can simply be dropped in (you can of course choose to fill up with a biodiesel blend today, but nobody does because you can put emissions into the atmosphere for free).

Unlike solar cells or battery cells, I don't really see much chance for 'learning rates' and technology improvement to drastically drive down the cost of green ammonia. Falling electrolyser costs are nice, but they're only a portion of the process plant CAPEX, and the cost of the green electricity dominates the economics over the process plant CAPEX anyway. You could get electrolysers for free and still be unable to make cheap green ammonia. So for green ammonia to get adopted, a strong 'carbon price' needs to be in place, and I think that same strong carbon price would make biodiesel competitive.

iamthemonster··on US support to maintain UK's nuclear arsenal is in doubt
I don't recall ever having heard that line before, but it could only have come from one place: https://youtu.be/nX0cmGxdFKU?t=57
iamthemonster··on BP to slash green investment and ramp up gas and oil
Following the Deepwater Horizon / Macondo incident, Obama used the phrase "British Petroleum" consistently, despite the company having been called "BP" since the 2000 rebrand post BP Amoco. It was a deliberate, and successful, tactic that drew attention away from criticism of the federal government and regulator, who had so clearly been captured by the industry.
iamthemonster··on I put my heart and soul into this AI but nobody cares
I can only imagine that the "AI" look must be somehow intentional.

I recently discovered how to make very realistic images - you simply ask for your image, then you use the follow-up prompt "make it more realistic" and, most shockingly, it actually works. I never thought of doing it before because it's so stupid.

iamthemonster··on Andrej Karpathy: "I was given early access to Grok 3 earlier today"
If I had to explain current-day LLMs to someone from 2010, I'd use this paragraph as my opening quote:

"Grok 3 knows there are 3 "r" in "strawberry", but then it also told me there are only 3 "L" in LOLLAPALOOZA. Turning on Thinking solves this."

iamthemonster··on Life expectancy growth stalls across Europe as England sees sharpest decline
The article is saying that life expectancy is still improving in Europe, but it's improving at a slower pace than it used to improve in the past. In the United States, life expectancy started diverging from Western Europe in the early 90s and has had zero improvement in the last 15 years while Western Europe has continued to slowly improve.

The pandemic hit US life expectancy figures incredibly hard due to the very high levels of excess death compared to Western Europe, but presumably there might be a 'bounceback' due to natural selection of the aged population with the strongest immune systems and fewest comorbidities.

I've heard a lot of Americans comment on putting on a lot of weight while travelling in Europe. I can only imagine that Americans would be more accustomed to eating out for more of their meals. When cooking at home, I found the French to have a good sense of portion sizing and a cultural aversion to overeating; the sensation of being completely full was often described with a sense of discomfort and disgust. Whereas in Anglo cultures, being completely full is treated more positively.

iamthemonster··on BYD to offer Tesla-like self-driving tech in all models for free
Yeah I drive a BYD Atto 3 and it's a great car but the lane assist and adaptive cruise control lets it down significantly. I won't be getting excited about self driving this decade.
iamthemonster··on Taking a $15 Casio F91W 5km underwater
Then something happened which the Casio F91W did not intend. It was found by the most unlikely creature imaginable.
iamthemonster··on Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
"Manipulative Slot Machines (MSM)" maybe? "Zucktube", "Antisocial Media", "Ragescrolling"

I'm not sure any of those are quite perfect though. I fear that I'm sounding a bit like an old fart that calls it InstaFaceSnap.

iamthemonster··on More men are addicted to the 'crack cocaine' of the stock market
None.
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