habryka

I suggested 50% as more of an upper bound.

My current guess is I would be very surprised if these have very high efficacy, based on a number of studies on kind of similar vaccines I remember reading. I think the most likely outcome is that these have 0% efficacy, though I also wouldn't put less than 10% probability on them having between 20% and 50%.

But yeah, these are all just random guesses. Probably some biologists have better models here that could allow them to make better predictions, but there is no hard data.

Yes, though the vaccine is likely to have substantially less efficacy than current mRNA based vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna, though I think it's promising enough that some level of efficacy (like idk. maybe 50%, who knows) doesn't seem out of the question (whereas Moderna and Pfizer are likely 90%+).

Thank you! :)

LessWrong lead developer here: The commenting features are pretty embedded in the codebase, so a bit hard to say something specifically about that.

A number of people have asked us whether we could somehow make it a package and support the same commenting systems on other sites, but it would be quite a bit of work and really doesn't factor out very nicely.

Glad to hear you find them aesthetic! We put a lot of work into them over the last few years.

You're welcome! :)

(LessWrong.com team lead here) It's actually really useful for getting bug reports for the site, and we have a number of authors who we help a lot with doing various custom HTML and javascript integrations for their posts, and having a live-chat option for that is quite useful.

I think the "Need help?" text is just the default text Intercom comes with. I should maybe look into seeing whether we can replace that, though not sure what other text would be better.

Agree it's a bit weird for a blogging platform, but it really drastically increased the number of bug reports we get, and a lot of our most active users really like it. We also sometimes get people who ping us about moderation questions, or other issues with the platform they have. They could technically do that via the PM system, or email, but experience has shown that having Intercom really quite drastically increases people's willingness to message us.

(Main Dev of site here: Sorry for that! I should really get around to setting up autoscaling. Site should now be properly available again.)