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guzey

285 karma · joined March 21, 2017

bio, econ, speeding up the future

https://newscience.org / https://guzey.com

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guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
Walker said this in [1] and I believe that this position is indefensible

At the time at the time of the book’s publication in 2017 (and today), CDC had no documents and no pages on its site that would declare a sleep loss epidemic.

As I noted in section Possible origin of the “sleeplessness epidemic” thing [2],

>Between late 2010/early 2011 and August/September 2015 [3-6], CDC had a page on its site titled “Insufficient Sleep Is a Public Health Epidemic”. More than 2 years before Why We Sleep was published, the page changed the word “epidemic” to “problem”, so that its title became “Insufficient Sleep Is a Public Health Problem”. … the fact that CDC itself changed the wording from “epidemic” to “problem” more than 2 years prior to the book’s publication, indicat[es] that they no longer believed in the presence of an “insufficient sleep epidemic”

Issuing a correction that would just change “WHO” to “CDC” in the next edition of the book – as Walker suggested – is deceptive. The CDC long ago (more than 4 years ago) removed the word “epidemic” from the article, and then removed the article itself.

If Walker believes that that is sufficient to state that CDC has declared a sleep loss epidemic, he might as well say that CDC has declared an epidemic of inhalation anthrax (and forget to note that it was declared in 1958 [3])

Also, Walker never explains why the source for this sleep loss epidemic claim in the book is a random National Geographic documentary.

[1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w3csz3s6

[2] https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#possible-origin-of-the...)

[3] https://perma.cc/72CZ-L9DG

[4] [https://perma.cc/23UM-849W

[5] [https://perma.cc/2E68-ZRL9

[6] [https://perma.cc/UJ4W-JHNY

[7] https://www.cdc.gov/museum/timeline/1940-1970.html

guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
There's no evidence that this was written by the author of Why We Sleep. This blog never links to Walker or to his social media or email, was never linked by Walker, and is not connected to Walker in any way other than using a "sleepdiplomat" handle (for all we know, I could've written that post).
guzey··on How Swedes were fooled by the book “Surrounded by Idiots”
I cover this objection in section 15.1 https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-common-object...
guzey··on Ask HN: What were your most impactful podcast episodes from 2019?
>sleep is incredibly important for your health.

do you have a citation on that? Sleep deprivation makes people sleepy and it does seem to have negative cognitive effects, but I'm not aware of evidence of negative health effects of lack of sleep.

guzey··on Ask HN: Best books you read in the past decade?
Got it. I apologize if my tone was too harsh. I do stand by all of the bold-font headings, but yes, primarily the post is directed at Walker.

My current stance on sleep is that we don't know much about it and we don't know much about how much exactly we need to sleep. I'm collecting some notes on sleep (very preliminary so far) here: https://guzey.com/sleep/

guzey··on Ask HN: Best books you read in the past decade?
>If I completely buy Guzeys citation, sleep deprivation works for half of people temporarily. So, kinda useful but not sustainable. It also ignores memory and other effects sleep has on mood.

You'll be interested in reading this study: "How to preserve the antidepressive effect of sleep deprivation: A comparison of sleep phase advance and sleep phase delay" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s004060050092 and googling the keywords from that study

Also, you again ignored the point I was responding to in that section.

guzey··on Ask HN: Best books you read in the past decade?
If you're interested in the clearest example of deliberate data manipulation, feel free scroll down directly to section 18: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-what-do-you-d...

Once you have such an obvious example of Walker deliberately fudging the data, all of the other points I make will read differently.

guzey··on Ask HN: Best books you read in the past decade?
Hi, I'm the author of that critique.

>Point 1: the chart bottoms out at 7, which falls within the range the book recommends. I'm fairly sure he recommends 7-9, and that the required amt varies from person to person. Another thought I had: metabolism and longevity go hand and hand. I mean, I just read a brand new paper from George Church's Harvard lab, showing that they reversed several chronic ailments in mice by inserting FGF21, which regulates glucose levels. And sleep absolutely regulates metabolism. Personally, I'm keeping my ears perked up when it comes to metabolism/circadian rhythms/homeostasis, etc.

The point you're making has nothing to do with the point I'm making in the relevant section. I take issue with Walker writing "the shorter your sleep, the shorter your life span". You seem to have missed this part entirely. If you say that the book recommends 7-9, feel free to quote the book because it definitely seems that he strongly advocates at least 8 hours. Example: as I showed in section 5, Walker takes 7-9 hours recommendation from the National Sleep Foundation and then falsely claims that they recommend 8 hours of sleep.

>Point 2: Depression is an incredibly complicated topic. It is a psychological construct, the net result of thousands and thousands of genes, filtered through a modern technological world, and then filtered through inventories, interviews, and assessments. For this reason, I am not at all surprised that Guzey was able to find studies that suggest that sleep deprivation might have some benefit for some people. I would HIGHLY recommend this new, open-access Nature review paper covering the genome wide studies on depression: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-019-0450-5. Its almost not worth pitting a complex phenotype like depression against another complex behavior like depression. But what the hell, let's brush with broad strokes: the significant genetic variants associated with depression have to do with regulating homeostasis (eg sirtuins). So I would not be surprised if good sleep is at least correlated with low levels of depression.

You missed the point I was making entirely. Walker wrote that there are no biological functions that do not benefit from a good night's sleep. I point out that this is false, as sleep deprivation therapy is a safe, effective, and a very-well studied treatment for depression.

>Point 3: I know almost nothing about FFI, but we have kept mice awake, and they do eventually die. I'm pretty sure humans would die too, but ethics precludes us from performing such a study.

You missed the point I was making entirely, again. Walker wrote that FFI demonstrates that lack of sleep kills people. I pointed out that saying that is completely false. What relation do mice have to the point I was making?

>Points 4&5: This is just fussing about Walker's writing and WHO. I'll have to agree with Guzey that Walker's citations and consistency are often weak. And I honestly couldn't care less about WHO. But I'm pretty confident that sleep quantity has declined with time across the world. I remain curious about the connections between light and circadian rhythms (I think retinal cells go straight to the superchiasmatic nucleus, the circadian rhythm controller). Also, sugar is a thing in the modern world.

Points 4&5: this again has very little relationship with what I was writing. In section 4, I pointed out that Walker has seemingly invented a sleep loss epidemic and attributed it to the WHO. This is not just an issue with citations. In section 5, I pointed out that Walker misrepresents National Sleep Foundations sleep guidelines, saying that they recommend 8 hours of sleep, while in reality they recommend 7-9 hours of sleep.

For readers of this exchange: if you're still unsure how serious my concerns with the book are, the clearest example is provided in section 18, where I show deliberate data manipulation by Walker. He simply edited out the part of the graph that contradicted his argument in the book: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-what-do-you-d...

guzey··on Ask HN: Favorite Nonfiction Books of 2019?
>i've read both the book and the Guzey piece and i think the most substantial insight in his rebuttal is that oversleeping can increase mortality risk

You're misreading my piece. It never claimed that oversleeping can increase mortality risk.

However, I do show that Walker repeatedly misrepresents important evidence, makes stuff up, lacks basic understanding of biology etc. etc.

guzey··on Ask HN: Favorite Nonfiction Books of 2019?
>there's a few issues that the author of that blog post has with some small assertions made by Matthew Walker.

This is not true. I point out that within the first 10 pages of the book, Walker misrepresents serious facts (the longevity and the cancer thing), makes stuff up (the WHO sleep epidemic thing), shows lack of understanding of basic sleep facts (the FFI thing), etc.

guzey··on Belarus’s Soviet Economy
You cannot use this as an example of a natural experiment. Natural experiment features external variation. In contrast, the amount of liberalization of the economy likely had a lot to do with the country's history, e.g. Ukraine's markets had been less developed than Estonia's before Soviet Union and as a result they couldn't afford to liberalize as much.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
You can start with checking my Section 4 of the essay.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
"worsening someone's health" refers to not getting therapy you need, based on Walker's misrepresentation. I believe this is exactly what I wrote in the comment you were responding to.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
This is actually hilarious because the sleep essay (this submission) was starting to take off, was clearly going to hit the front page, and then it got flagged! By the time it got unflagged by the moderators, it disappeared from the "new" page and by some miracle did not get completely lost..
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
I didn't look into this in particular but my impression from reading the literature is that this makes zero sense.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
I'm not sure if this is relevant. The point about Brewer's yeast is literally in the last appendix, here: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix I do agree that this is a minor point and included this mostly out of curiosity.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
Do you think most people know that Brewer's yeast is alive?
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
oops, I just mirrored the OP's spelling without thinking.
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
You might enjoy the section where I cover a little bit of his academic work, in case you missed it: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-but-this-is-j... :)
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
Thanks! Yes, your quote is another good example of the book's level of argumentation. Not going to include this because I get too many "nitpicking" charges against me already :)
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
See Section 2: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#no-a-good-night-s-slee...

People for whom sleep deprivation therapy would be helpful but who decide to avoid it due to Walker will have their health worsened by the book.

For a bit more speculative answer to this, see Section 14.1: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-common-object...

guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
See Section 2: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#no-a-good-night-s-slee...
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
Could you point me to at least one hyperbole in my text?
guzey··on “Why We Sleep” Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors
The criticisms should matter to you!

Why do you believe that his representation of research on REM/NREM, light and deep NREM sleep is scientifically accurate?

Why do you believe his representation of effects of coffein and sleep medication is scientifically accurate?

I cover this in sections 14.3 and 14.4: https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/#appendix-common-object...

guzey··on General Advice on Earth
My favorite one:

>No matter how full a reservoir of maxims one may possess, and no matter how good one’s sentiments may be, if one have not taken advantage of every concrete opportunity to act, one’s character may remain entirely unaffected for the better.

guzey··on How Life Sciences Actually Work
I thought a bit about publishing it somewhere but I honestly have no idea where and how this actually happens...
guzey··on Every productivity thought I've ever had, as concisely as possible
I experimented a lot with exercise. I found that it doesn't influence my mood, productivity, etc. at all, so I didn't include it. Admittedly, I'm an outlier here.
guzey··on Every productivity thought I've ever had, as concisely as possible
https://guzey.com/personal/how-to-use-your-wife/ :-)
guzey··on Every productivity thought I've ever had, as concisely as possible
This is a great idea and I used to do it for a while when I tried working from home. The problem for me is that I usually give on this ritual after a week or two. How long have you been able to sustain it for?
guzey··on Every productivity thought I've ever had, as concisely as possible
Note that there's only 625 minutes of working during this "15 " hours work day. So working 5 days a week this is less than 60 hours of work per week.
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