118 karma · joined May 4, 2008
It's a cute business, but there's no economic moat here. The principals acknowledge as much in the article. What would be more interesting is a business that challenged the status quo in the expediter side of the passport/visa business.
As far as developer experience, I don't do android, but it's so much easier writing and debugging WP7 apps than iOS, from the tools to the simple managed/unmanaged aspects.
That said, Mango isn't going to change things dramatically. It's a good update, but the apps and perception are the problem. Going to be a long haul for WP7, but I hope MSFT sticks to it because it is a good mobile OS.
NYC's another interesting data point (but merely that) -- violent crime rate is roughly the same as Phoenix's... one city with a heavily armed citizenry and one virtually defenseless, same results. Obviously, other factors matter more.
If you go down the list of US cities with violent crime problems in order, the unmistakable trend is they're all at the bottom end of the economic spectrum. Safe bet that the local unemployment rate has a lot more to do with crime than gun laws.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_cities_by_crime_r...
As far as referrals go: they matter. You won't get much repeat business so acquisition will be a concern (even with an growing divorce rate!). But people get a ton of advice from their friends when the go through the process. The same DJ that played at a friends wedding, played at ours, and now seems to show up at every wedding we go to. People ask my wife about our venue, go there and then call to find out which florists we down-selected to, etc. Point being word of mouth is probably a disproportionately large source of demand. I think that can help mitigate a low customer lifetime value.
Like fnid says, the way to address the problem is a function of changing American behavior and increasing the value of our exports while saving more. This requires us to put off consumption in this generation for the benefit of the next one--sadly, this is the last thing Americans are going to sign up to do, ergo the search for a magic quick fix.
The Chinese response to a "surcharge" seems pretty obvious. China does purchase a lot of US exports--they're financial products aka Treasuries. America needs China to keep buying this to keep its whole leveraged jenga-stack of an economy intact. Devaluing US debt would hurt China, but it would hurt the US a lot more.
Which Krugman is talking is usually an important distinction... brilliant economist Krugman or OpEd/best-selling author Krugman?
Also, people tend to overlook this but cloud isn't really about infrastructure or hosting. Sure those are the current analogs--cloud is about what happens next, and I think it's more about shifting architectural tenets so that we do what works well with cloud scale and lifecycle. When you do those things, other interesting things start to become possible (e.g., in the cloud, it's hard to have misaligned test and prod envs, not the rule like it is most everywhere else).
The commercial open sourcing of java will matter on the ecosystem and it's a good thing for java developers (which, despite HN demographics, there are still millions of). Particularly, when you consider the flaws of the JCP and Sun's control to this point.
Good going Sun indeed--stick to making awesome hardware.
The amusing part about the free tools argument is that the cost of tools is such a non-concern in the professional world. I work for large customers on large projects and tools, whether they be Microsoft, Oracle or IBM, no one's worried about that.
Then again, you might be talking about little side projects, my frame of reference is mostly multi-million dollar systems.
That said, even if you have a ton more professional experience than your response suggests, I don't trust people who say never glibly, nor does your question seem genuine.
You're implying the guy's a newb and it's him not the technology--just say as much.
You can build anything with anything. It's mainly about what personally works for you and what kinds of skills you want to end up with on the other side.
Good luck.
Two words: hanging chad
I think a MSFT+YHOO merger would have been massive fail, but it's Microsoft that ends up dodging the bullet here. Yahoo just takes one. Where exactly is Yahoo relevant anymore?