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garbawarb

762 karma · joined April 20, 2023

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garbawarb··on Amazon demands proof of productivity from employees, asking for accomplishments
This is usually an early warning that layoffs or firings are coming. Also, if Amazon's managers don't know what their reports are doing and their impact, then what are they doing?
garbawarb··on U.S. is withdrawing from 66 international bodies
It's pretty clearly "we're going to advance American interests and we don't care what others think." Taking matters into their own hands rather than relying on allies.
garbawarb··on Japanese electronics store pleads for old PCs amid ongoing hardware shortage
Which makes it easier to consume more.
garbawarb··on The Waymo Ojai Will Soon Offer Autonomous Rides Around the U.S.
Is Waymo not an American customer?
garbawarb··on ChatGPT Health
Part of being a fallible human is recognizing when you're not sure of something.
garbawarb··on US Job Openings Decline to Lowest Level in More Than a Year
That makes the US a more compelling place for foreign capital to invest in talent though.
garbawarb··on US discussing options to get Greenland, incl use of military, says White House
I'm seriously trying to understand the long-term goals here. So the US goes to war with Canada and Europe, cutting off relations with them forever. Probably they try to take over Canada too and succeed. So now they have control over all of North America... How is it worth antagonizing their closest and strongest allies? They'll own more territory but cripple themselves in terms of global trade. A lot of Americans would surely be against their aggression too, not to mention the oeople in the territories they take over. A lot of that damage has already been done, since the US has always been fickle and unreliable but now we're seeing just how far they're willing to go. Is that just it? They want physical dominance over the Americas at the expense of economic gains?

Any chessmasters here who can see into the future?

garbawarb··on Is the Fate of the West Being Sealed for Good in Greenland?
What's the book?
garbawarb··on 2.4M H-1B records show $50k gap: staffing vs product companies
Part of this is that employers stubbornly refuse to start PERM until you've started on the job. There's no legal reason to do this and it means adding even more months to an already long and uncertain process, compared to doing it when you've accepted the job offer.
garbawarb··on 27M Fewer Car Trips: Life After a Year of Congestion Pricing
But a good mass transit system, pedestrian/cycling infrastructure, and efficient urban design are already proven ways of doing that.
garbawarb··on 2.4M H-1B records show $50k gap: staffing vs product companies
It's kind of an aside, but it also prevents the individual from doing the most economically efficient thing. I mean, suppose an H1B worker wanted to start a startup and hire some Americans to work for their company. They're legally not allowed to do that and create those jobs. Technically they need a business visa, but how would they get one if they can't start the business in the first place?
garbawarb··on 2.4M H-1B records show $50k gap: staffing vs product companies
It's really shocking how hard it is for a skilled foreigner to get an EAD-like work permit that allows them to freely change employers. It takes 3+ years for most, and I think up to 15+ if you're from India. Of course the ability to suppress wages explains it.
garbawarb··on US-based multinational companies will be exempt from global tax deal
Nah. The United States has the biggest lead and it's on the decline, but who's on the ascent? China? It'll be a long long time before any other country comes close to U.S. economic competitiveness.
garbawarb··on Influencers and OnlyFans models dominate US 'extraordinary' artist visas
The word "extraordinary" has some overblown connotations here. This is the only visa for artists (and it's not even an immigrant visa), and all you need is a track record of success. Which puts you above an ordinary artist, so yes, that's the definition of extraordinary. But the colloquial meaning of the word suggests it's meant to be reserved for some elite 1% of creatives which isn't true.
garbawarb··on Mayor Mamdani Announces Complete Redesign on McGuinness Boulevard
In this case, cycling infrastructure. But in general, measures that support walkability, non-car transportation, and pedestrianisation.
garbawarb··on Mayor Mamdani Announces Complete Redesign on McGuinness Boulevard
Americans will visit European cities and say "This is so nice. I wish I lived here!" And then when their city tries to make steps towards adding the things that make them so pleasant, vehemently oppose them.
garbawarb··on HPV vaccination reduces oncogenic HPV16/18 prevalence from 16% to <1% in Denmark
> Infection with HPV types covered by the vaccine (HPV16/18) has been almost eliminated. Before vaccination, the prevalence of HPV16/18 was between 15–17%, which has decreased in vaccinated women to < 1% by 2021. However, about one-third of women still had HPV infection with non-vaccine high-risk HPV types, and new infections with these types were more frequent in vaccinated than in unvaccinated women.

I wonder if we'll those non-vaccine strains will eventually become the most prevalent.

garbawarb··on Zara uses AI to dress models virtually rather than book new photo shoots
You already don't get this with fashion photography. "The model is 6'1 and wearing a size M" is meaningless when you don't know their weight, dimensions, or whether they've clipped the back to make the garment appear trimmer for the photos. Trying an item on in person is the only way to know whether it's good, and that's the potential AI disruption I'm most interested in.
garbawarb··on Foreign tech workers are avoiding travel to the US
That's not true because no other country is even trying to take the lead, economically speaking. China is the only country that pursues innovation nearly as aggressively but they're not a desirable immigration destination. Canada and European countries are in the best position to step up, but they're not doing so other than being more welcoming than the US in accepting skilled immigrants. The economic incentives (capital markets, risk-taking, business-friendliness, talent density) haven't changed at all and if you're good at what you do, the US is still the best place in almost all cases. Enough that it's still often worth moving there despite how immigrant-hostile the country is.
garbawarb··on Foreign tech workers are avoiding travel to the US
The only constant is that things are always changing, and getting more hostile for foreigners. It's disingenuous to blame Trump when this is what U.S. voters chose.
garbawarb··on ManusAI Joins Meta
What is it doing for you that other agents like GPT/Claude wouldn't do?
garbawarb··on Is Proton leaving Switzerland?
Are Germany and Norway better?
garbawarb··on AI is wiping out entry-level tech jobs, leaving graduates stranded
Those are just as normal as H1B and any other category.
garbawarb··on AI is wiping out entry-level tech jobs, leaving graduates stranded
What exactly are the normal immigration routes? Employment-based immigration (H1B) is the only avenue that makes sense for a skilled worker. And usually skilled immigrants are the ones a country wants to attract.
garbawarb··on Roomba maker goes bankrupt, Chinese owner emerges
This was the main reason I bought a Roomba last year. It wasn't clear to me that any competitor could match their repairability and availability of parts.
garbawarb··on Prove It All Night: With no fame or fortune, what keeps a band onstage? (1999)
Maybe it's just optimism talking but I foresee a cultural shift towards favoring live performance. When people spend so much time looking at screens and being alone at home, they long to be immersed in a live sensoral experience.
garbawarb··on Canada's accelerated pathway for H-1B visa holders
This is pretty silly when H1B is a lottery system controlled by a foreign country. H1B holders aren't necessarily "highly skilled professionals," they're a random selection of people who meet the minimum qualification of basically just having a Bachelor's degree and a job offer.
garbawarb··on How private equity is changing housing
It's interesting to think of the second-order effects of this. If these corporations can't invest in housing, they'd direct their money elsewhere. Maybe we'd see a stock market or commercial real estate boom. Maybe a proliferation of new ventures.
garbawarb··on The era of jobs is ending
Who said anything about quality? Preserved and processed foods are necessarily lower-quality but they sure are economically efficient.
garbawarb··on The era of jobs is ending
Who needs jobs if you have food and internet entertainment in abundance?
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