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fred_durst

291 karma · joined April 24, 2014

http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/f/freddurst433184.html
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fred_durst··on Seychelles is an offshore magnet for money launderers and tax dodgers
I'm not quite sure about that. From my understanding you can do it in a way where eventually you lose the trail. Because of the legalities of what information each country shares, if you get it in the right order you can prevent it from leading all the way back.
fred_durst··on Seychelles is an offshore magnet for money launderers and tax dodgers
Its generally a collection of companies in various countries. They take advantage of the fact that each country has unique laws. By stringing them together you can eventually make it impossible to track to it's original source. It's kind of like one way encryption in a really stretched analogy.
fred_durst··on Introducing Yahoo Stores
I think they may be referring to the oringinal Yahoo Stores aka ViaWeb.
fred_durst··on Movie rental page on YouTube
I've actually been in that meeting where it was discussed about when someone would die. So I wouldn't be surprised. Either way, I can assure you it's part of the revenue forecast.
fred_durst··on Movie rental page on YouTube
But when you realize that these moments are built into the profit model when deciding to fund films, it is a bit sad.
fred_durst··on Movie rental page on YouTube
Top Selling: Dead Poets Society

): Nothing sadder than profiting off death.

fred_durst··on Tech's Fiercest Rivalry: Uber vs. Lyft
Can you try at least for one or two comments to dial down the snark. Seriously, I don't live in the Bay Area anymore so my tolerance for it is pretty low these days.

Anyhow, it's not a threshold business. The idea that there will eventually be a "number of drivers" that is too high is without any case study of modern business I can recall. Maybe you can enlighten me on some examples(see I can do that passive aggressive snark too!). I can't remember a single instance of over supply that destroyed the market maker's position. Sure many in the supply side(drivers in this case) lose their shirts, but the market makers typically do very well. The network is drivers and riders. Just like a dating site as a matchmaker. We all know that is lead by female adoption. Same analogue of driver adoption. Once you have enough network on the supply side you end up with a dominant share of the demand side which comes back around and gives you leverage over the supply pricing. That's where the profit happens.

Maybe you should dial down both the snark and idealism and read up on the historical business fundamentals at play.

For example, explain to me the several periods where eBay increased its margins to the determent of sellers and did not lose its dominant market position. Or 1 degree of separation, explain how PayPal continues to dominate.

fred_durst··on Tech's Fiercest Rivalry: Uber vs. Lyft
The network effect starts with the drivers. Whoever can become the reliable service by always having a driver nearby will become the first app opened. Right now consumers are going to where the drivers are, but eventually that will flip for Uber once it reaches the saturation point. Then Uber will proceed squeeze everyone(including the drivers).

Ebay is probably a good analogue for ride sharing.

fred_durst··on Tech's Fiercest Rivalry: Uber vs. Lyft
The FedEX UPS example doesn't apply because their services are limited by physical infrastructure. The have to buy/lease trucks and distributions centers. Uber and Lyft have no physical limits so the larger one can always undercut the other out of business once it has enough of a competitive advantage. Once Uber is the name brand service for consumers drivers will no longer have a choice and Uber can price squeeze Lyft to death.
fred_durst··on Tech's Fiercest Rivalry: Uber vs. Lyft
Because having enough drivers with their own cars available to pick up rides is totally not a network effect business. See I can make snarky sarcastic comments too.
fred_durst··on Tech's Fiercest Rivalry: Uber vs. Lyft
I think you are a bit naive to believe that both Uber and Lyft with survive long term. In a network effect business its typically winner take all.
fred_durst··on Uber's dirty tricks quantified: Rival counts 5,560 canceled rides
Free markets make men do amazing things.
fred_durst··on Glowing Plant Is One of Y Combinator’s First Biotech Startups
Do mean that EU regulations require you to monitor the plants once you sell them? Possibly to prevent an enterprising young man from planting 1,000s of these in the woods behind his house in order to have the coolest rave ever?
fred_durst··on Why I've Said Goodbye to Mobile in Favor of PC
Indeed, I found this bizarre as well. How did he get into this multi-platform quagmire? The #1 thing that makes you successful in software consulting is limiting and predicting scope. By far. 2 months into that multi-platform hell, at the very very most, the other platforms should have been shelved and the iOS version released. iOS is obviously going to be 50%+ of revenue anyway. At 3 months of burn you need to now figure out if anyone would even play the thing. Even if you just release a "preview" release called "Catch the Monkey: Golden Banana Edition" with 3 levels and enough altered art to make it feel like the next version is the super awesome special 2000 edition.

Honestly, I feel like he had a consulting firm. He managed to keep it above water for a couple years working insane hours, partly because he had this initial lead client which probably gave him a decent lead funnel by referral. Then a larger investor saw his client funnel came in and gave him X for 51% and the position of President, but took over running much of the operation. Finally that funnel started drying up like most enterprise services funnels do without lock-in and the free money for games dried up. Hence why he came back not as President but Programmer.

fred_durst··on White House launches “U.S. Digital Service,” with HealthCare.gov fixer at helm
I completely agree with that. I do not mean you should ignore those close to you, but instead meant that they should not be used as an excuse to have a negative impact on the world outside of that inner circle. Thank you for explaining that better than I was able to.
fred_durst··on Why I've Said Goodbye to Mobile in Favor of PC
The author of this post made some terrible business choices. The constant multi-platform time and money sink is what tanked his company. But who paid the price? The lowly worker, who had little to no say in those choices. How is the author surprised he is upset with him? When you work for a single employer you put all of your eggs in a single basket. You place an enormous amount of trust that your employer will make the right decisions that ultimate decide your future. And by reading this article it appears that those choices were awful.

If he had any honor he would have given him 2 months severance and let him go, only to try an make up for the incompetence he showed running the new company into the ground.

fred_durst··on White House launches “U.S. Digital Service,” with HealthCare.gov fixer at helm
> Tell me why are random strangers just as important as my family and friends? Yours, too?

Because if you think you are more an important that the greater world around you, you become a liability to the rest of the world. The rest of us now need to protect ourselves from you because you have no regard for our well being. You are a burden. I realize you were not raised properly and much of that is not your fault, so I do not blame you. I only feel sorry for the world that now has to deal with you.

fred_durst··on Why I've Said Goodbye to Mobile in Favor of PC
While that is a noble assessment, if we look at similar industries to gaming we see that quality is rarely enough as well. Music, movies and writing have been under this model for many many years and proven that the reality is that no one really makes any money except a few at the top. They are all tournament economies at heart. VC's have come up with the pseudo intellectual term "Network Effect" but really its just the luck of a hit. Sometimes the Beatles do appear, but mostly its bands that have a couple years of success only to disappear. Part of that is because there is just soooo much competition. The signal to noise ratio is insane. This is because people create music, movies, art and now games and applications for the love of it. So even when sane economic incentives dry up there are still far too many submissions which makes any type of sustainable living still possible but highly unrealistic.
fred_durst··on Why I've Said Goodbye to Mobile in Favor of PC
Maybe most people realize that games are not really that important in general. That's why its so important to get them addicted as opposed to making a great game. People will pay a lot more to feed an addiction than they will to be entertained.
fred_durst··on White House launches “U.S. Digital Service,” with HealthCare.gov fixer at helm
> I can make life for family and friends better

You realize that that is also selfish, right? Why are your family and friends more important than anyone else's? I understand that many people these days don't feel any need to care about the larger world around them, but I do not understand why they need to be so brash and proud of it.

fred_durst··on White House launches “U.S. Digital Service,” with HealthCare.gov fixer at helm
Welcome to 2014, where people gladly and boldly proclaim their love of greed and selfishness. Some people work for the government to make the world a better place instead of finding ways to make people more addicted to Facebook or clicking on Ads to buy things they don't really want or need. I understand that you don't care about anyone but yourself, but is it really necessary to shout it from the rooftops?
fred_durst··on Google Invests in $300M Submarine Cable to Improve Connection Between Japan, US
> This will get it pretty close to the company’s data center in The Dalles, Ore., and give that facility a better connection to Japan.

That seems like enough to me.

fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
By "higher level" do you mean people who can convince others to do things? That seems to me to be the last higher paid/skill position that will remain for some time. Which causes me to fear that all we will be left with is aggressive sales people and business owners.
fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
Managing people is absolutely, 100% for at least the last 10 years, being aggressively and successfully being reduced to low skill labor. For example, things like ordering inventory, scheduling staff, pricing products are all done at significantly lower pay rates than were done in the past. The only thing that has slowed some of the automation is simply a shorter route to developing nation outsourcing.

The reason developing countries still dig ditches by hand is because it is still cheaper. The reason for that is not access to automation but the massive wage differential that makes that labor so cheap. Its the low cost of the labor that actually protects it from automation. So therefore it follows that expensive(high and mid skill labor which is even more scalable due to lower material costs since it can typically be automated without machines) will be the most profitable segment to either automate away or reduce to low skill labor.

fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
Exactly. McDonald's has never been afraid of automation. If this were really that viable, they would already be doing it.
fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
You're still only at $247,715

The reality is that the more the income gap grows between the servers and those served, the less profitable automation becomes. There is a reason low wages jobs are growing, not shrinking in the US.

fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
Plenty of construction workers still dig holes. Plenty of movers still move big heavy objects around. I wouldn't be so sure as much has been replaced as you might think. And it's not hard vs. easy but cheap vs. expensive.
fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
There are others, including myself, that believe low skill work is too cheap to be replaced in the near term. The exact opposite can be said for many currently "High-capability" people. That's why it's "software is eating the world" not "robots are eating the world". Mental process replacement is much, much more scalable than physical process replacement do to the raw material costs.

We're much more likely to see things like doctors, lawyers and plumbers replaced with low skill workers that simply act out the last physical mile dictated by either fully automated decision making or software provided decision efficiency that allows for example, only one doctor to diagnose every patient at a hospital. The last physical mile is much more expensive than high level decision making to replace at scale.

fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
Agriculture is unique in that farmers will vary their choice season to season based on what is cheaper. It shows that low skilled labor is still very competitive, simply because of how incredibly cheap it is.

There is much more incentive to turn an $80K a year programming position into a $30K a year lower skilled position using point and click tools to achieve the same task as the margin differences are much much higher.

EDIT: You must remember that machine automation is not infinitely and immediately scalable the way software automation is. With agriculture, automation providers can only manufacture enough to meet current demand and cannot simply lower prices increase volume and market share because they have real raw material floors to their costs.

fred_durst··on Burger robot poised to disrupt fast food industry
You are leaving out a lot of the total cost of ownership. $30K is the sticker price. You should be calculating the EAC(Equivalent Annual Cost) of the robot. Things like, insurance, energy, maintenance, eventually upgrade/replacement. Remember the labor to fix a robot is much more expensive(probably around 10x with tools and other overhead) than the labor the robot is replacing. I wouldn't say it's definitely cheaper with human labor, but it's far from an obvious difference.
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