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fny

7,717 karma · joined February 23, 2013

farazyashar.com
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fny··on Iran requires insurance on ships using Strait of Hormuz, fees likely to follow
I'd bet Iran will find a way remind voters in October.
fny··on Launch HN: TesterArmy (YC P26) – Agents that test web and mobile apps
How do you differ from othe companies doing automated testing?

Rainforest QA, for example, has been in this space for a while and also happens to be a YC company.

fny··on OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
They aim to undercut labor.

For now, businesses are getting addicted to cheap tokens. As the screws get turned, business will debate whether they should spend budget on humans or tokens. What's further devastating is that humans are also becoming addicted to cheap tokens. Much human output is nowadays a token slopfest. People are becoming dumber too. So the real business question will be spending budget on token monkeys or tokens.

fny··on Amazon CEO's talks with U.S. officials triggered crackdown on Anthropic models
To give you further perspective, Amazon has a $50B stake in OpenAI and a $5B stake in Anthropic.

If things were flipped, I highly doubt Amazon would be running straight to the feds.

fny··on Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5
The real story is that Anthropic went from being a "supply chain risk" to being a "national security risk."
fny··on Show HN: FablePool – pool money behind a prompt, and Fable builds it in public
Why not just give a project money and let them decide how to spend?
fny··on Siri AI
We need Siri API. Features like this are nonsensical in an era where I can wish up any feature or workflow for an app.

People outside HN will begin to expect they can do anything with a computer in the same way they expect to be able to say anything in a support chat. Using pre-LLM automated chat feels like a joke. You enter the chat expecting to having a conversation and instead you get a GUI phone tree.

This is exactly how it feels to use any of the AI tous from Big Tech and others.

We have entered the era of deeply personal computing. There are so many incredibly personal features that no mega corp could ever be expected to build. Now that lay people can build things, let them!

There's a podcast that I listen to which is translated to a bunch of different languages. It's exclusively on Spotify with no RSS feed. I have a cron that checks daily passes it to an LLM and notifies me as necessary. I did not code a line. I only set up an OAuth endpoint.

Enabling your customers to do things like this will make them incredibly sticky too! So please for the love of God, let me glue Siri into whatever I want.

fny··on Pentagon raised threat of Israeli spying on U.S. to highest level, sources say
America first
fny··on S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
Forget AI. Any company in the S&P could set fire to their entire business in a pivot to Labubus.

A certain amount of required scrutiny and experience derisks that possibility. Also remember pre-IPO the valuation isn't set by the broader market, so you don't know if any of these valuations are even real. Do we want to set a precedent where banks can put any price tag they want on a pig everyone is forced to buy?

Once these companies go through the same process Google or any other S&P member did, they're welcome to join the party.

fny··on Anthropic's open-source framework for AI-powered vulnerability discovery
I don't think the definition of "bad" is expanding. Rather the ability to detect and exploit "bad" is.
fny··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
Taxing X% ownership means you get X%. You don't pay for it. So if the bubble pops, you still get X% ownership. To your point, it may be smarter to tax the IPO valuation and buy more later.
fny··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
They do this in Alaska's fund with great success[0] and Alaska is a deep red state. It's primarily funded by oil and gas revenue and other mineral royalties. Also thats only (at least) 25% of total revenue, the other 75% the state spends directly.

Norway's oil fund is another famous example mentioned in the article.[1]

[0]: https://apfc.org/

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_Pension_Fund_of_Nor...

fny··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
> A.I. is built on our collective intelligence: our books, songs, artwork, journalism, computer code, scientific research, videos, conversations, images and ideas spanning generations

I know many here would scoff at nationalizing a private company, but AI is a usurpation of human knowledge and quite literally at times. (Every AI company was embroiled in copyright lawsuits and lord knows what Qwen et al are up to.)

In turn, everyone knows labor displacement is coming. My bet is the next recession will end up being brutal for this reason. To me, labor displacement and the social consequences are a potentially *catastrophic* negative externality. Should not there be a tax to offset the "frictional" unemployment? What happens when people lose a high skill job and will no longer be able to afford their mortgage?

Also, why are people always talking about AI as if its an angel or satan? The degree to which we're doomed is an open question, much like a tornado... so why aren't we thinking about taxes on AI like a tornado insurance fund?

fny··on A walking tour of surveillance infrastructure in Seattle (2020)
Your forgetting the nonsense a defense attorney will conjure.

How do you know he didn't buy the car from the thief?

We had a similar issue with the hit and run of my grandfather: even though video evidence found the car and later saw the suspect leave the car, the detectives worried a defence attorney would argue someone else may have been driving at the time the accident (e.g his wife), and therefore "beyond reasonable doubt" might be questioned.

In the end, the detectives managed to collect enough evidence to seek a conviction, and the experience taught me a lot of "unreasonable" doubts are often considered "reasonable."

fny··on United Airlines 767 returns to Newark after Bluetooth name sparks alert
I'm pretty sure Madison would have jailed you if you showed up on his lawn with an "ARSON" sign.

The founders believed in private property rights as much as free speech. Property was even a requirement for voting in most states.

fny··on Vibe Coding Is Not Engineering
I mean the garbage people built without engineered components or architectures in days of yore: manual slop if you will.
fny··on Vibe Coding Is Not Engineering
I'm going to take this a step further. Software development is not engineering.

Software development is more like being a construction worker that uses engineered materials. The engineers, on the other hand, develop the structural components (steel beams, the actual dry wall), an architect designs the whole system, and a contractor manages it.

With vibe coding, you make yourself the contractor and turn agent into the other roles. You can choose to build a building without an architect (you or the agent) and without using engineered components (a proper database for example), which will likely lead to leaks or a full on collapse.

Frankly, this is no different to the franksystems build in midieval times.

fny··on GTA 6 Developers Unionize
You have the causality inverted. People want big tech on their resume because it makes them look qualified. People with top qualifications work at big tech because of pay. If low quality engineers worked in big tech, it wouldn't be a coveted qualification.
fny··on We should be more tired than the model
I encourage you to crack open a dependency tree for any project and ask: how many of these do I understand? Then open one and ask: do you really understand whats happening? How much of the code there do you even use?

The experience will feel uncannily similar to AI generated code. So treat slop the same way. Give it a good, well tested API, and file an issue or PR when something breaks.

fny··on Is AI causing a repeat of frontend’s lost decade?
"Frontend's Lost Decade" has nothing to do with a11y or semantic HTML. The original talk argues performance went to hell because of React and friends, which is why we have electron CRUD apps that consume 2GB+ RAM.
fny··on Private Equity Bought America's Essential Services
The S&P grew at ~15% annualized post GFC, and PE acquisitions of housing and essential services hasn't stopped.
fny··on Private Equity Bought America's Essential Services
A 30-year treasury offers 5% and A-grade corporate bonds offer 6.5%. You don't need to exploit essential services for the other 50bps.

[0]: https://fixedincome.fidelity.com/ftgw/fi/FIYieldTable?popupM...

fny··on Where does next-token prediction leave us?
I don't think its entirely class. I've met many people who have convinced themselves they have some special sauce--even in software! And even those who are insulated like doctors and plumbers don't realize they're still at risk from second order effects. What happens when half of their customers are broke? That possibility is not an exaggeration. Even if everyone re-skills over night, people will default on their mortgages at a scale greater than the '08 financial crisis.

And that's just one devastating outcome. There will be far more, and for some reason, no one is talking about them.

fny··on GPT Guesses Between 1 and 100
I wonder if Benford's law kicks in with larger numbers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benford%27s_law

fny··on Deepfakes Tore a High School Apart
We need a way to prove what's real.
fny··on Show HN: Agent.email – sign up via curl, claim with a human OTP
> The internet was made for humans exclusively, designed to keep machines out by default.

The internet is also not made for humans. For years I've wanted something like this for e2e testing or personal scripts (cron etc) and your UX is by far the simplest.

I love AgentMail. It's made email dead simple for agents and testing any paths for email. I even have a /agent-mail skill I use for when I want a design doc or artifact emailed to me.

That said, agent self sign up seems like a novelty. Setting up account programmatically via curl is however useful. I imagine most customers -- especially those willing to pay for your paid tier -- would provision accounts ahead of time or reuse them.

Free for all account creation could be an option but it will attract spammers and their ilk. Your reputation may end up in the toilet which would also break agent mail for me.

No bueno.

fny··on Cloudflare CEO on how he chooses which employees to replace with AI
> AI isn’t coming for builders or sellers, but it is coming for measurers. Tireless, independent, efficient and available, AI systems can now measure an organization with a level of objective detail and precision that was previously impossible even for the best employees.

Honestly not the apocalyptic scenario I had on my bingo card.

fny··on SQL patterns I use to catch transaction fraud
Interpretable models can create rules like what you see.
fny··on SQL patterns I use to catch transaction fraud
Isn't the point of ML that you learn these rules from the data? The right approach to me would be to use ML models to detect patterns that correspond with fraud and then evaluate them to see if any make sense. This way you might discover new hyptotheses.
fny··on Elevated error rates on Opus 4.7
I'm using Opus on xhigh 10+ hours a day, and I've only reached 80% of weekly limits when doing massive ports or refactors. I haven't once hit hourly limits, and I've used Claude very, very aggressively. I guess its a pain point for power users.
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