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flexie

7,990 karma · joined July 16, 2012

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flexie··on Robinhood launches 3% checking account
For the past 30 years my European accounts haven't offered any interest worth mentioning - and neither did my American ones.
flexie··on Robinhood launches 3% checking account
This whole checking account / savings account, credit card/ debit card system that Americans have to deal with is so cumbersome and backwards.

For Europeans that don't know: Most Americans have (at least) those two accounts, and those two cards. They usually spend from their checking account with their credit card, and save on the savings account. When they spend on their credit card, they sometimes "earn" points, depending on what agreement their bank has with the major retailers. Salary is inserted on the checking account. Some people still receive salary on old fashioned paper checks. Some people still pay in stores using paper checks. Almost everyone, has a lot of paper dollars in their wallet since there are plenty of places in which you need it. Now, on regular intervals, for example at the end of the month, Americans then transfer money from their savings account to their checking account if the salary is not enough to cover. If they forget, they pay high interests and fees. Generally speaking, it's a hassle to transfer money to people you know and fees are hefty. When you use your credit card, no pin code is usually needed. There are regularly issues with your credit card being abused.

In the three European countries I have lived in, people have one account, and one card. Depending on your agreement with the bank, it can dip into negative (in which case you pay some interest, but usually not much). If it dips below the agreed max, let's say minus EUR 5,000, then you can't withdraw more until you receive your salary or until you insert money otherwise. People have one card attached to that card. When the balance on the account is positive, it is essentially a debit card. When the balance on the account is negative, it's a credit card. Usually, no points are earned on any spending. In most of Europe, you use your pin code if you use your credit card. Where in America, you regularly spend time on the phone talking to robots and objecting to expenditures you didn't make, that's almost never the case in Europe. People transfer electronically without any fees from account to account. If you go out, and your friend pays dinner, you can transfer your half directly from your smart phone using just his phone number (so essentially just using the contacts on your phone). You don't need Apple or Google pay or similar. It's your bank's app. No fee is charged.

flexie··on The cold start problem: how to build your machine learning portfolio
Hope that by ‘this life’ you mean the life of a software developer.
flexie··on Huawei Reveals the Real Trade War with China
Because even if South Korea joined North Korea and even if they doubled or tripled their wealth, they would still be too small to impose a threat to the US dominance. Australia, Canada or even large European nations are not seen as threats either. But a unified EU is seen as a threat by Trump.
flexie··on Canada has arrested Huawei’s global chief financial officer in Vancouver
It is ugly. The US and Canada is going down a rabbit hole.

The dictatorship of Iran is disgusting and dangerous but the US trades with countries governed by equally disgusting and dangerous dictatorships such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The US trade sanctions are imposed unilaterally and create mountains of troubles for US allies. Most of the world oppose the trade sanctions. Such sanctions rarely work anyways. It's a huge cost born not only by US companies but by companies in allied countries that have to obey US sanctions in order to avoid repercussions.

flexie··on Internal Tensions at Facebook Are Boiling Over
A lot of criticism from anonymous sources.

Even if they had names, would it even be worth mentioning what a bunch of hysterical 20-something year old developers are complaining about?

Yes, it's inconvenient for them that they bet on the wrong horse. But if they don't like the direction their company is taking, they can quit and find another job.

flexie··on China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buses, Taxis and Trucks
And why would people downvote this comment? Agree or disagree, but downvoting a completely harmless comment like this is just bad for the conversations here.
flexie··on Ask HN: Why not more hiring of junior devs, then on-the-job-training?
It is far from a myth. If it was a myth, salaries wouldn't be increasing so much, while the number of developers also increase. The demand for developers exceeds the supply so much that this is possible.

Do you know any other major industry, where people with little or no formal training can get in and up so fast? Where people in their early or mid twenties routinely make 6 figures? I don't.

The median salary is now above 100,000. https://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/software-develope...

That's roughly on par with chemical engineers but whereas (almost) all chemical engineers have at least a bachelor's degree, an increasing amount of software developers have no other training than online courses and still make salaries that would make other professionals with 4-5-10 years of education envious.

I love online courses, but try get a job as a chemical engineer (or any other engineering job) with just some online courses. As a software engineer that would only be an issue with some of the most sought after places, like Google.

Yes, I am sure there are a few thousand petroleum engineers in Texas and other niches that make more than software engineers, but generally, engineers make less.

flexie··on Pivot or Fail?
What he says about dilution is right. But there are other considerations:

- The founders are not sure they can raise money for the new idea and they might use the money left in the failed company.

- The failed company may have users that are useful to the new idea.

- The failed company may own the IPR necessary for the new idea.

- There is often transaction cost connected with starting all over and almost always time.

flexie··on Oil Demand for Cars Is Already Falling
And people stay in (inner) cities longer. Before, people had kids earlier and they moved to the suburbs when they had kids. Now they have kids later and more and more stay in the city even after having kids.
flexie··on Rocket Lab’s Modest Launch Is Giant Leap for Small Rocket Business
I want these indie space companies to succeed as much as anyone else here but you are asking a valid and sober question and I don’t know why you are being downvoted for it.
flexie··on Danish physicists claim to cast doubt on detection of gravitational waves
I think you misread my comment. I have nothing against immigrants. I am an immigrant as well, and I have lived in 4 different countries.

I also think it's a bit hard to say that he is "cursed" with his original nationality or "marked" for life. I don't know him but from his own page on the Niels Bohr Institute, he sure doesn't seem embarrassed or sad with his American background: http://nbia.nbi.ku.dk/members/jackson/ And why should he be.

I was simply asking why they call it the "Danish" 5 times in the article. I believe the answer is that they really want to stir up the idea of another Danish/Copenhagen school as opposed to the mainstream views in physics. That's it. And I doubt this little debacle will ever evolve into anything as important as the original Copenhagen school.

Now, I don't think it necessarily matters what nationality we identify with. To many people, nationality is a legal concept, not a matter of feelings. That view on nationality has the advantage of being clear. It's hard to know what people identify with. I am not even sure what I identify with anymore. A bit of different countries, I guess. Maybe none. As a legal concept, however, nationality becomes something that is objectively right or wrong.

As to who deserves the credit or blame (Denmark or the US), I have no idea. A huge part of what makes a great scientist is his upbringing, primary and secondary education. In this case, they guy got his entire formal education in the US, and spent several decades there before going to Denmark. Maybe it's not nation states that deserve credit. Did Argentina make Messi or did Spain? Or was is just genes and the fact that his family of football players? I don't know...

flexie··on Danish physicists claim to cast doubt on detection of gravitational waves
The article keeps talking about "Danish" this and that.

The only one of the so called Danish physicists quoted in the article is Andrew Jackson who is American. I believe this is the paper it all relates to: https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.04191 None of the authors are Danish, but most are related to the Niels Bohr Institute.

Andrew Jackson probably has a lot of Danish colleagues at the Niels Bohr Institute, which of course is in Copenhagen, and many of them might agree with him and some might have been involved in the study. He probably also lived in Denmark for many years and he might even have gotten Danish citizenship, family and he might even speak Danish. The same might apply to some of the other authors.

But you wouldn't call Einstein a Swiss, Austro-Hungarian or American physicist although he did most of his important work in those countries (and actually obtained both Austrian and American citizenship), would you?

I am aware of the Copenhagen school quantum physics/ the Copenhagen interpretation, and that the article might try to play on that old thing in the hopes that we might see a new Danish school in physics. But why?

flexie··on Three hundred and sixty years of United States caselaw
Very interesting! What scanner, resolution and tools for OCR did you use?
flexie··on Tesla Third Quarter 2018 Update [pdf]
You seem to confuse mathematical exponentiation with the common use of the word: https://www.dictionary.com/browse/exponential

On a side note, I doubt that you would ever find a growth rate in business or economy that truly followed a mathematical function.

flexie··on Tesla Third Quarter 2018 Update [pdf]
The supercharger network is indeed a massive advantage for Tesla. For now, it's obviously necessary, since the range of the cars on the road is generally limited to 200-300 miles. But even in 3-4 years, when new Teslas likely have a range of 400 miles, or in 7-8 years when the standard range is maybe 600 miles, it will grant drivers the certainty that even if they forget to charge at home or at work for several days, or even if they wanna do a road trip that exceeds the range, there will be the fall back of the super chargers.

Given that the amount of Teslas on the roads is growing exponentially these months, Tesla will probably have to grow the supercharger network too. Until recently, there were around 300,000 Teslas on the roads worldwide sharing some 11,000 charging points at 1,350 super charging stations. Soon there are twice as many Teslas on the roads. Next Christmas maybe close to 1 million Teslas in total. They will need to expand with new locations, more charging points per location and faster charging times.

Also, in 3-4 years there will be millions of old Teslas with today's "short" range that still will have to be serviced by super chargers.

Most importantly, many apartment dwellers, i.e. the younger buyers in the cities that will constitute a great deal of the core customer base for Model 3 and Model Y once prices drop to $35,000 or below, may find it more convenient to use super chargers in stead of charging at home. This is especially true, if charging times can be reduced a bit.

Going forward, Tesla can use the charging stations for all kind of things like promoting other products (solar tiles, powerwall batteries etc.) and even selling third party products, just like regular gas stations.

flexie··on The CumEx-Files – How Europe's taxpayers have been swindled of €55B
Danish tax payers have lost around EUR 1.7B. That's around EUR 300 for every Dane. Still a lot, but a lot less than they claim.

I have two takes on this: 1: The Danish tax authorities have been extremely careless in the administration of the rules. They didn't even check that the people owned the shares they claimed to own. Virtually all of it was approved by one employee with zero oversight. 2: Different international banks have either known what was happening, and willingly enabled it, or should have known. Money laundry rules oblige them to check when such giant sums flow in and out of such few accounts.

flexie··on Can moons have moons?
This is an exception to Betteridge's law, isn't it?
flexie··on U.S. Robocall Data
Robocalls used for unsolicited marketing, which is the bulk of it, is illegal throughout the European Union and has been so for around 15 years.

The ban follows form article 13 of the directive on privacy and electronic communications: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/en/ALL/?uri=CELEX:32...

The ban is not 100 percent effective - I receive a robocall maybe once every year - but it's pretty efficient. From the numbers I read here, it's some 99.9 percent effective. I have lived in 3 different EU countries and it wasn't a big issue in any of them.

Different countries in the EU have implemented the ban differently. But generally, businesses that use robocalls are fined on a per call basis. So it is an issue that can be dealt with by regulation. Companies breaking the rules are fined and the risk of being reported is high so it's not a viable business model.

I still receive spam emails, which is the same and is also illegal, but - and I don't mean anything else than to state the fact - almost all spam I receive is from outside the EU, such as America, Russia, Africa or Asia.

flexie··on Amazon raises minimum wage to $15 for all US employees
It’s not 30k/year for many of these employees. They are temporary workers that never know when they have work and when they don’t. It’s 15/hour.

Also, 30k is a decent wage for a young person with no dependants. It’s not enough if you have kids, not even in the midwest or deep south.

Comparing wages to the markets where Amazon sells its goods is interesting when talking competition.

flexie··on Amazon raises minimum wage to $15 for all US employees
$15/hour is still not much in the international market where Amazon sells its goods. In large parts of Europe it's less than what a warehouse worker makes. It's still barely enough for an adult to be able to pay his/her half of family expenses in the US. A lot of employees will still need a second job.

And it only comes now, 20 years after the company's founding, after it has huge profits (and can deduct expenses like salaries in the profits before paying tax), after it has crushed all competitors with extremely low wages that were only possible because many employees received government handouts too (so subsidized wages), and after it de facto has secured itself a monopoly.

And many employees are still on temporary contracts.

It's too little and too late.

flexie··on M.B.A. Applications Decline at Harvard, Wharton, Other Elite Schools
Musk doesnt have an MBA.

But yes, Google and Microsoft hired MBAs as CEOs when they ceased to innovate at the same rate as before and started to be just ordinary companies defending a monopoly.

flexie··on Questions
Winter is not horribly dark and boring in Scandinavia unless you are super rich. It’s equally dark and boring for everyone. And virtually everybody in Scandinavia can afford to travel south to sunnier places for a few weeks, if that’s what they want.

I’d say proficiency in English and quite wealthy populations is what matters.

flexie··on The US has spent $1.5 trillion on war since Sept 11 attacks
Which of the wars following September 11 were necessary for Pax Americana?

Could it be that these wars exposed how primitive guerrilla forces can bleed the mighty American military dry? It's not like the world has seen a very convincing show of force.

I for one worry that the bluff has been called and that every dictator in the world now knows that apart from the threat of nuclear war, the American military's capabilities are far more limited than some perhaps had thought. When relatively poor and simple battlegrounds such as Iraq or Afghanistan cause trouble one or two decades on, then what could America do against more advanced enemies or against more enemies?

This is to me the biggest worry: occupying two such relatively simple countries is a challenge. The Russians, the Chinese, Iran, heck even the tiny Syrian government, can now see that America had lots of trouble with what is currently nation No 54 and nation No 111 measured by GDP. Yes, I know that GDP does not equal military strength and that the US was officially not fighting the Afghan government. But in reality, the US was fighting primitive guerrilla forces in a primitive country. And the US didn't really come out impressing anyone with their strength.

flexie··on Tesla Accounting Chief, HR Head Resign on the Same Day; Stock Plunges
I think that would be something like 5,000 cars per week times 52 weeks times the average price of 42,000 dollars per car
flexie··on Mercedes Readies First Tesla Rival in $12B Attack
The article suggests Tesla will produce/sell 24,900 Model 3s in 2018. That's roughly what they produced in Q1 and the production rate has increased since to the point where Tesla will likely produce more than 150,000 Model 3s in 2018, maybe even close to 200,000. According to the graph in the article, Tesla won't even reach that number in 2021.
flexie··on The missing profits of nations
And this is where the main issue is. Local newspapers, local advertising companies, global search companies that could have been; all of them are competing with Google on vastly unfair terms. Google is not paying tax. The others have to.
flexie··on EU fines Asus, Denon-Marantz, Philips and Pioneer $130M for online price fixing
Goes into the EU budget as is the principle with fines (vs damages). And when you think of it, it would cost a lot to identify and distribute $130M on the millions of customers harmed during many years and their combined losses are likely much higher than $130M.
flexie··on A Citizen Is Suing the US for Putting Him on the 'Kill List'
I like your point, but terrorism and war is conflating. I wouldn't want to ignore a terrorist that we know hides in Syria, and that we believe to be dangerous. That could be our moment of hesitating to kill Bin Laden. And unlike Bill Clinton, who had no drones back in 1998 and would have had to use a cruise missile strike, today it can often be done with no civilian casualties.

Sending in troops in this godforsaken places means losing more lives.

Say we have proof that a target is a known terrorist and that no civilians are around. Would you still risk the lives of 10 soldiers to catch him. Or of 2,996 and just let him go?

I do agree that the Americans probably don't have much proof of terrorism or other wrongdoing for many of the targets, and that so far they have stricken several times where civilians were around.

flexie··on A Citizen Is Suing the US for Putting Him on the 'Kill List'
In the best of worlds, we could catch the bad guys in a net, put pink, fluffy handcuffs on them while we talk with them gently, get to know them and understand why they did what they did. Then we could hug, and we would become friends, and one day after a not too long stay in our beautiful, green and lounge-like prison resort, we would let them out in society again and they would become productive citizens.

In our world, we sometimes have to fight. Sometimes, it's better to kill the terrorists than to risk that they attack us or to risk our soldiers getting killed in an attempt of bringing them in.

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