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etothepii

1,195 karma · joined January 29, 2020

James Robinson

Co-Founder of cactus.bm;

Email me at <first name>@<my company>

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etothepii··on The time I didn't meet Jeffrey Epstein
I ask because writing a paper with someone is a non secret operator.

I suspect there is no way to establish, if one has an Epstein number >2, what it is.

etothepii··on The time I didn't meet Jeffrey Epstein
How is this defined?
etothepii··on List animals until failure
This was a lot of fun.

The game mechanic of a count down timer made for much better play.

I was most surprised for bluebottle to be replaced with man o' war. We know the man o' war here in bermud by that name whereas a bluebottle is what I would call house fly.

etothepii··on Where to Sleep in LAX
If first class was full lie down from LAX it must have been transcontinental to JFK or BOS.
etothepii··on Where to Sleep in LAX
The sleepwear in First Class is by far the most bizarre thing about the whole experience.

I've never understood why First and Business Class that are so clearly mainly used by people travelling for work don't focus more on the business aspect. British Airways call it "Club" which I'm sure can only make it harder to be approved by finance. American call it "First".

In the main lounges provided by American Airlines there is often a person whose job it is to provide unlimited champagne but not a comfortable place to respond to emails.

etothepii··on How London became the rest of the world’s startup capital
Perhaps this is a feature not a bug.

High rents encourages startups to be founded by those who haven't coupled up and who choose to live together.

A company of 3 single founders in their mid twenties that rent a two bed flat and then live and breath nothing but their startup collapsing on the couch each night can make two $50k angel cheques go a long way.

Edit: SEIS allows a friends and family seed round if up to £250k in London that the government will rebate 78% of in taxes (50% immediately and 28% if the company eventually goes bust).

etothepii··on How London became the rest of the world’s startup capital
London pays more taxes per capita than the rest of country.
etothepii··on Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
Do you have any numbers on the number that get some number of upvotes? What about a chart of upvotes on Show HN?

I assume the vast, vast majority never get any upvotes.

etothepii··on Kidnapped by Deutsche Bahn
Because English has become the lingua franca for Europe. I suspect that now UK has left EU it will be much easier to accept this.
etothepii··on I know you didn't write this
I'm amazed by how few people appreciate the quote attributed to Abraham Lincoln, "If I had more time I'd write a shorter letter."

Why aren't people using LLM to shorten rather than lengthen their plans? You know what you meant so can validate whether the shorter version still hits the points you care about. Whereas if I use an LLM to shorten your email there is always a risk I've now missed your main point.

Cleaning up grammar, punctuation spelling etc is a good thing worth doing but adding padding is exclusively irritating.

etothepii··on If you don't design your career, someone else will (2014)
Deliberate planning is great but serendipity is important too. Some of the richest people I know made most of their wealth as a consequence of being in a position to act* when opportunities presented themselves.

My guess is that it's important not to be overly focused on the intermediate goals and the more debt you have the less able you feel to take risks.

*it may be more appropriate to say start than act as in the two cases that immediately come to mind they were both 10+ year journeys.

etothepii··on If AI replaces workers, should it also pay taxes?
The million dollar earn is a fantastic example.
etothepii··on If AI replaces workers, should it also pay taxes?
Apologies, in an attempt to be precise I have used convoluted language.

The point I'm trying to make is that assets such as land are not denominated in any currency and typically end up being held for such large amounts of time with such substantial transaction costs that's there would be a large cost involved in knowing what the value of the thing being taxed is.

If I pay you $100k, £100k or ¥100k we can use spot rates to work out how many € that is within much less than 1%.

If I own a piece of land how would you answer the question, "what should the value for taxation be?"

If you go with the last transaction price then this will have a substantial impact on properties that haven't been sold for a long time and encourage people to enter into transactions that look like sales but aren't (such a 999-year lease).

Leave it up to a government agency to decide and this agency will come under huge pressure to favour one type of activity over another. How do you value land owned by the government? What if that land is privatised? The UK's attempts to deal with this when it privatised BT completely destroyed the fibre to the premises industry in the UK for years.

etothepii··on If AI replaces workers, should it also pay taxes?
It really comes down to valuation.

The unit of account for tax is the currency of the relevant sovereign. Most contracts for income are denominated in that unit of account, even if it is not there is often a highly liquid market (FX) between units of account.

Most wealth is not stored in assets where the unit of account is that of the sovereign. This counts double for assets with a physical location.

This isn't something that can be easily hand-waived away.

etothepii··on The past was not that cute
This is an idea I have not encountered before but makes an enormous amount of sense. I wonder how one would create a hypothesis that could then be shown or not I the archeological record.

Slavery was certainly an integral part of both the Ancient Greek and Ancient Roman societies. It has historically been associated with the concept of a person being property which rather requires that one has a concept of property.

A very interesting insight, thank you.

etothepii··on UK House of Lords attempting to ban use of VPNs by anyone under 16
The House of Lords is the most democratic hereditary system in the world. The 90 of the 92 heredities are elected from amongst the available candidates.
etothepii··on The past was not that cute
Being stationary and cultivating grains allows a surplus that is much harder to achieve with hunting.

This allows the formation of a priest class that can tell you what the sky father wants you to do.

They may have had to but it need not be because it led to more calories for them.

etothepii··on I ignore the spotlight as a staff engineer
An observation here that wasn't quite made but in my opinion is supported by the narrative.

If you raise enough capital (whether social or financial) to run for 3 years then you can run for 3 years. If your bets are paying off 2 years in you can stick with the plan - no one will care how you used the capital in year 1 and 2 if there is a payoff in year 3.

The risk comes from being wrong.

etothepii··on Over-regulation is doubling the cost
Most likely it costs a lot because there isn't enough frequency of demand for it for more than one company to offer the service thus there is no supply. However, as it is a regulatory requirement the severity of demand when it appears is near infinite.
etothepii··on Where do the children play?
In England you don't have lollipop ladies/men?
etothepii··on One Handed Keyboard
Check out make caps lock great again.

https://github.com/Vonng/Capslock

etothepii··on Britain's railway privatization was an abject failure
> so that decisions about the railways we use are made closer to us

I believe this is a mistranslation of "so that decisions about the railways we use are made by me" or more precisely "so that decisions about the railways we use are made by the sort of people that like attending committee meetings and working their way up the inside of political parties"

The privatisation was very likely botched, however, it was not as if it was done in a secret - the "fire sale" only happened at "rock bottom prices" with hindsight. The nationalisation itself was fairly botched and it is hardly as if the decimation of Britain's railways implemented following the Breeching Report (completed on a nationalised rail system) was particularly effective.

etothepii··on Unexpected things that are people
A sufficiently long circle of corporations would be difficult to follow. Corporations can in some jurisdictions be secretary or indeed directors.
etothepii··on Work after work: Notes from an unemployed new grad watching the job market break
> For most of the industrial era, you could assume that any large physical operation, like a warehouse, would need a certain number of human bodies to move boxes and drive forklifts.

Were there forklifts for most of the industrial era? Given they were invented in 1917 (according to ChatGPT), No.

Unfortunately, I don't think it is "playing by the rules" to get a career specific education.

etothepii··on Dating: A mysterious constellation of facts
My guess is that most startup founders are in a relationship.

I've been in a monogamous relationship for nearly 16 years I would thus not be in a position to be a first customer.

etothepii··on YouTube is taking down videos on performing nonstandard Windows 11 installs
And the crazy thing is that while outlook is my life it's also unbelievably bad. Why can't I have the calendar and email client open at the same time? Why don't newly received email addresses appear in the valid auto complete for sending out calendar invites? Why is search practically useless?
etothepii··on Why is everything so scalable?
I've heard this a few times. Can you explain a bit more why you think that's a problem.

I've always made the assumption that once they become "not cheap" you now have the cost to offset investment against.

etothepii··on Things managers do that leaders never would
“Any man who must say ‘I am the king’ is no true king.” --Tywin Lannister
etothepii··on Things managers do that leaders never would
Does it go with his book, "knowing why you do something can be extremely helpful?"
etothepii··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
An equity minimum would deal with this.
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