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ethanbond

13,235 karma · joined March 9, 2013

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ethanbond··on Could the cosmos, in fact, be conscious?
You don’t think “is dog conscious” is relevant to how we treat dogs?
ethanbond··on OpenAI: Start using ChatGPT instantly
So if you picked up the building and put it elsewhere it'd produce the same product but different politics?
ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
You oughta read the book :) People were already making the same argument in the late 1800s since even then wealth appeared to be detached from land. But it turns out it's not.
ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
I didn't claim otherwise.
ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
Totally. The point isn’t to make someplace a bad place to be rich, nor to prevent richness. The point is to prevent total capture of the economy by the wealthy. The fact that Singapore’s economy has grown so obscenely without the apparently corequisite skyrocketing inequality is pretty remarkable (even if imperfect etc).
ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
Skyrocketing wealth, skyrocketing quality of life, and decreasing wealth inequality?

It explains it as-is. It’s an economic powerhouse with almost zero drag on its markets (thus skyrocketing wealth) that also semi-effectively mitigates productivity capture by the upper classes.

ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
Do people no longer pay high prices to be near locations of high productivity?
ethanbond··on Reducing Wealth Inequality: The Wealth Time Limit
Easiest and most fundamental way is Singapore’s model of having public ownership of nearly all land and leasing it out on 99 year leases. All wealth (which is definitionally excess productive power) ultimately accrues to land value, so this is the only point of intervention you need.

In places with a strong concept of private ownership of land already, you can get economically identical effects from a high Land Value Tax.

ethanbond··on Cognition Labs Seeks $2B Valuation
Cults gonna cult

Looked this up and yeah, that’s insane. Their share price per user is above $1,000 while Reddit is $150, X is $80. Crazy stuff!

ethanbond··on Novo Nordisk facing pressure as study finds $1k drug can be made for $5
I… am not following this. Novo Nordisk for example is a Danish company.

I haven’t seen anyone say American pharma companies in particular need to make a ton of money.

The American-specific topic is that American consumers pay a ton more for drugs. That can be chalked up to lack of single-payer making American consumers incredibly easy to bully/negotiate against + all the rent-seekers who sit at various points along the care delivery system.

ethanbond··on Novo Nordisk facing pressure as study finds $1k drug can be made for $5
They almost certainly didn’t cure obesity. Food manufacturers are already scrambling to figure out how to make foods even more compelling and less satiating.

Regression to the mean, and our grocery selection will suffer further.

ethanbond··on Novo Nordisk facing pressure as study finds $1k drug can be made for $5
No it’s also ludicrously expensive to R&D a drug, even if you just count the costs of the successful program. You’d be looking at easily $50-$150MM just in clinical trial costs, not to mention the years or decades of preclinical work.

Factor in the failed programs and you’re looking at about $2B of spend in order to bring a drug to market.

ethanbond··on Return-to-Office Mandates: How to Lose Your Best Performers
Good point to identify collaboration as the more important variable, but of course plenty of orgs figure out how to collaborate effectively while remote. In fact, almost every org that achieves moderate scale will have to figure that out.

> From an IC’s perspective, I found working at a remote company to be…

What was your control group?

ethanbond··on Banner blindness
“Just some random employee” as in… the person tasked with maintaining security and safety of the facility?
ethanbond··on Banner blindness
It’s totally reasonable to scold people for using emergency exits (especially alarmed ones) without an emergency need.

It also doesn’t make you a bad person or stupid to subconsciously miss signage. But you should be okay with a bit of scolding in that case.

ethanbond··on Online Gambling Is Changing Sports for the Worse
Mobile gambling apps should be outright illegal nationwide. The degree to which mobile app makers have hacked people's psychology to get them to spend hours doing things that are counter to the person's own goals is insane. Mixing that with its own separately extremely addictive behavior, gambling, is a recipe for disaster. Where it gets really, really nasty is that it's quite hard to maintain and hide a gambling addiction when you have to go to the casino or track so often. But now you can get roped into this family-destroying activity from the couch sitting right beside your partner. Your drug dealer is perpetually a mere one click away, and dangling huge incentives in front of you from every TV screen in the country.

Politicians actively broadening access to these sorts of services should be (journalistically) investigated for bribery and/or their own gambling addiction. It is so blatantly anti-social so as to be indefensible.

ethanbond··on Intel Brags of $152B in Stock Buybacks. Why Does It Need an $8B Subsidy?
Errmmm... okay. The Biden administration actually has both talked extensively and taken several concrete steps against credentialism. Effective? I personally do not know. But it's blatantly false to say no one is talking about it or attempting to fix it.

> The Department of Labor (DOL) is announcing an Advanced Manufacturing Registered Apprenticeship Accelerator Series that will support hundreds of employers to speed the development and launch of Registered Apprenticeship programs in high-demand occupations, such as industrial manufacturing technicians, robotics technicians, and industrial maintenance mechanics. Since the beginning of this Administration, the number of apprentices in advanced manufacturing Registered Apprenticeship programs has increased by 10 percent—and this effort will build on that growth.

The administration has backed numerous apprenticeship programs like BioFabUSA that explicitly do not require college degrees.

The administration created "Investing in America Workforce Hubs" in several cities to attract private investment into programs that, again, prioritize high-quality jobs that do not require college degrees.

So it is simply untrue that no one is saying credentialism is a problem and trying to attack it. The current administration talks about this to no end and has attempted dozens and dozens of substantial attacks on it.

Again, if you have ideas other than grant funding and tax incentives, I'm truly curious to hear them.

ethanbond··on Intel Brags of $152B in Stock Buybacks. Why Does It Need an $8B Subsidy?
No, companies don’t have to require them.

Agreed the loan behavior exacerbates the issue rather than mitigates it, but “the current solution is bad” doesn’t necessarily mean the same agent is able to produce a good solution. If you’re certain the government is capable of breaking it: how?

ethanbond··on Intel Brags of $152B in Stock Buybacks. Why Does It Need an $8B Subsidy?
It has worked just splendidly before: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merck_&_Co.?wprov=sfti1#Nation...
ethanbond··on Intel Brags of $152B in Stock Buybacks. Why Does It Need an $8B Subsidy?
Easy: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merck_&_Co.?wprov=sfti1#Nation...
ethanbond··on Intel Brags of $152B in Stock Buybacks. Why Does It Need an $8B Subsidy?
And how do you propose the government try to fix credentialism?

For all the talk about how useless degrees are, companies still choose to require them, especially the companies helmed by “college is a scam” zealots.

ethanbond··on MTA board votes to approve new $15 toll to drive into Manhattan
How much could they possibly pay people to use public transit that would have anywhere near the same effect magnitude?

> The US has a huge inefficiency issue, tax money is not used effectively, and a good fraction goes into carefully designed money laundering scams. More tax money here is like eating more to avoid stress

Citation needed

ethanbond··on Daniel Kahneman has died
And critically, scientific publications are incentivized likewise to publish the most outlandish claims they can possibly get away with. That same incentive affects individual scientists, who disproportionately submit the most outlandish claims they can possibly get away with. The boring stuff -- true or not -- is not worth the hassle of putting into a publishable article.
ethanbond··on Adam Neumann Submits Bid to Buy Back WeWork for More Than $500M
Don't worry, I'm aware that people can have different moral frameworks. I'm also totally comfortable saying that if "lying in order to enrich oneself at the expense of others" is not a solid indicator of "bad person" in your moral framework, then you're an asshole.

Note also that "asshole" has different connotations to different people. And yet... still a very useful descriptor to help isolate bad actors from the rest of society.

ethanbond··on Adam Neumann Submits Bid to Buy Back WeWork for More Than $500M
Wow… much insight.

How about the ”context” that those investors were investing in his company which had hundreds or thousands of employees who also had stakes in its financial health? And he stole the company’s money from those stakeholders and handed it over to himself personally?

How many degrees in Advanced Moral Gymnastics do you need to figure that one out?

ethanbond··on Adam Neumann Submits Bid to Buy Back WeWork for More Than $500M
Dishonest ones is a good start
ethanbond··on When did dogs become our best friends?
Aldi, the German grocery chain infecting our High Trust Society with their Low Trust Germanicism?

> It's not an anti-theft measure, just a little thing to encourage honest people to walk slightly further than normal.

... because they can't be trusted to do it without the deposit...

ethanbond··on When did dogs become our best friends?
"Demand DNA test results" == "check that they have a specific tag on their collar"

I didn't say they are going to, and you didn't say they wouldn't. You said they couldn't (because people "would just ignore it") and I said they absolutely could. Which is true.

Re "Real Americans", get a grip.

ethanbond··on When did dogs become our best friends?
Yet obviously there are many laws that are enforced and do have disparate racial impacts... So this is just an airing of grievances.
ethanbond··on When did dogs become our best friends?
I don't think a single parameter like that makes it "definitely" low-trust.

In Austria, people are required to deposit money to borrow a grocery cart while shopping for food. Not so anywhere I've been in the US -- ergo Austria is low-trust and US is high-trust? I think not.

https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/travelbuzz/2004272-euro-coin...

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