176 karma · joined April 18, 2012
P(RateOfSuccess|Successes) = Beta(α,β)
"In Bayesian terms, C3PO's estimate of the true rate of success given observed data is referred to as the likelihood."
BUT we know likelihood(rateofsuccess|data) = probability(data|rate of success).
I am confused.
Price transparency like this is the death knell for the likes of geico, state farm...etc.
As far as creating a model and deploying it to production, I cannot think of anything simpler and more wonderful to use than bigml. Outputs the decision trees /randomforests (via python api) in actual textual code. Hook that up to a Flask API and you've got your predictive web service.
0xdata.com is another one for more r/python users, can output gradient boosting models to straight up java objects (although that feature is pricey last time I looked into it), which of course is java so it's going to be pretty fast.
Really feeling for everyone out there still using PMML...
I would pay 30/month for some kind of external lockbox or some kind of capability to order anything I wanted to that box (outside my apartment, or would glady let amazon or google inside my place). Also , all/any pick ups or returns would happen from this drop off box.
For me, R was my first language, and then I learned Python, and beautiful things like list comprehensions, and it just clicks with my brain a bit more.
In pandas, a group by operation is beautiful
dataset2=dataset1.groupby([stuff], as_index=False).mean()
Same with pivot table...
When I did this with dplyr2 my work flow would be a few more steps, creating the "summarise" object and so forth and so on, which seems like more steps.
For example mydata=dataobject(query, connectionstring()) mydata.query() # get data mydata.data # pandas data frame mydata.write_to_db() # write to db method
etc.
Sounds similar to what youre doing here, although I don't know Java...
www.plot.ly
I used to program solely in R, but after discovering pandas I really have no need to go back to R. My project workflow consists of several IPython notebooks+pandas+sklearn.
Works extremely well in production, as in, on a flask web server, as well.
It basically removes all transaction costs involved with spending money and going out with friends.