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dsaavy

846 karma · joined July 5, 2018

I run a company that provides data capabilities for understaffed marketing teams - MergeYourData.com

Reach me via email: dan@ the above website name

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dsaavy··on The Unreasonable Math of Type 1 Diabetes
This "variance reduction" strategy is also an approach by Dr. Richard Bernstein. Basically smaller doses means smaller mistakes. It's a great approach in my opinion. Obviously the key is sticking to a low-carb diet for that to work, along with tweaking your basal insulin dosage.

For me, this approach worked when I switched from Novolog to Novolin R, which has a slower effect rate. I use shots so it helps match the blood sugar profile of eating higher protein and fat meals. If you use a pump, you can adjust your bolus to give a % upfront and a % over a period of 2-3 hours so that you can match the slower glucose production from protein. In Bernstein's book, he had some typical ratios for grams of protein to insulin that turned out to be pretty close for me.

It obviously doesn't solve everything but I certainly feel better when I'm at 60 and have 1.5 units on board compared to if I had 7. The Novolin R makes me feel even better because I also know my blood sugar can't drop too fast, where Novolog I could be dropping 6-7 mg/dl per minute. So I have time to react and let my body absorb some simple sugars before it's too late.

Just a personal anecdote, maybe someone will find this useful!

dsaavy··on Dear self: we need to talk about social media
I liked the style of this blog post/self-addressed letter. I found myself brainstorming many of the methods for Quiet that the author mentions.

Side note: I've always wondered how much potential is lost in the current generations because of the constant distractions (of all kinds). The type of deep and creative thinking that comes from boredom and a lack of interruptions can drive great change and ideas from a personal and societal perspective.

The switching cost of focus changes is a real issue in thinking in deep ways. And the cost of doing it frequently is definitely a drain and cause of atrophy in overall focus ability. Trying to rein in your ability to focus for longer periods of time is HARD. It's mentally and even physically uncomfortable.

dsaavy··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (December 2021)
MergeYourData.com | Onsite (US Only) | Orlando, FL | Full-time https://www.mergeyourdata.com/careers

Roles: Data Engineer, Senior Tableau Developer, Junior Automation Developer

MergeYourData.com are small business consultants specializing in automation and analytics. We look to help everyday businesses build or optimize their daily tasks, while extracting valuable insights they can use to run their business.

For all the listed positions, you'll be:

- Gathering requirements, planning, and building solutions with clients

- Working on a variety of problems using a variety of tools

- Delivering solutions utilizing cloud platforms

- Communicating and documenting your work both internally and with clients

Check out our careers page to see what we offer full-time employees and to apply for positions.

dsaavy··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (November 2021)
MergeYourData.com | Onsite/Remote (US Only) | Orlando, FL | Full-time

https://www.mergeyourdata.com/careers

Roles: Data Engineer, Senior Tableau Developer, Junior Automation Developer

MergeYourData.com are small business consultants specializing in automation and analytics. We look to help everyday businesses build or optimize their daily tasks, while extracting valuable insights they can use to run their business.

For all the listed positions, you'll be:

- Gathering requirements, planning, and building solutions with clients

- Working on a variety of problems using a variety of tools

- Delivering solutions utilizing cloud platforms

- Communicating and documenting your work both internally and with clients

Check out our careers page to see what we offer full-time employees and to apply for positions.

dsaavy··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (October 2021)
MergeYourData.com | Onsite/Remote | ONSITE/REMOTE | Orlando, FL | Full-time

https://www.mergeyourdata.com/careers

Roles: Data Engineer, Senior Tableau Developer, Junior Automation Developer

MergeYourData.com is a small business consultant specializing in automation and analytics. We look to help everyday businesses build or optimize their daily tasks, while extracting valuable insights they can use to run their business.

For this position we're seeking someone who is an experienced Data Engineer, familiar with the start to finish process of a data pipeline project. You'll need an in-depth understanding of data, databases, data modeling and ETL processes, and cloud platforms.

You'll be:

- Gathering requirements, planning, and building solutions with clients

- Delivering performant and reliable data warehouse solutions for analytics consumption

- Delivering solutions utilizing cloud platforms like Azure or Keboola

- Communicating and documenting your work both internally and with clients

Check out our careers page to see what we offer full-time employees and to apply for positions.

dsaavy··on No-code in manufacturing: automation without programming
As a consultant in the business automation and data space, the promised "paradigm-shift" is sort-of accurate but a little too optimistic in what the author believes the implications are.

No-code/low-code has been a game changer in many ways for businesses. It lets people dip their toes into improving their efficiency and productivity with low-hanging automations and simple apps. These things can have huge payoffs. And if you stick within that realm, it actually is a paradigm-shift to be able to build solutions as a non-tech person.

But there's always a point where you:

1. need more complex no-code/low-code solutions to get big pay-offs 2. have a mess of so many no-code/low-code solutions that they end up causing tons of maintenance/issues and you have trouble getting all your separate solutions to play nicely together

You end up spending a lot of money to get someone who is very advanced with those no-code/low-code tools (which usually ends up with code solutions inside of those tools), or end up building completely custom solutions anyway.

Also, there are a lot of nuances in what could be considered no/low-code. This article isn't too clear on which types of applications are considered no/low-code, and throws out everything from cellular-IoT infrastructure to MES. Is something like Tableau low-code? Or are we talking more about the Zapier kind of tools? Both of those examples have giant roadblocks once you get to a certain point, where you need some type of dev/architect knowledge to really get the most use out of the tools.

dsaavy··on Walmart releases more affordable analog insulin
This is the equivalent for Novolog (the fast-acting insulin formulations you're referring to), not for the older R variety they've been selling for a while now.
dsaavy··on Open Insulin Foundation
For anyone who sees this, the $25 vial is for Novolin R, which has a longer absorption rate than modern analog insulins. It's a great option for people on low-carb diets or those who have food absorption problems since you have more time to react to lows and it matches slower absorption of proteins and high fat meals if you don't have an insulin pump that can handle that type of meal for you.

But there's also a new release from Walmart for an analog insulin was just announced a few weeks ago! It's a Novolog equivalent and what many people are using today with insulin pumps and diets that have fast absorbing carbs: https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/2021/06/29/walmart-re...

The vials are around $70ish US dollars and the pens are around $85ish. That's a wayyyy more affordable rate (50-75% less) than paying out of pocket for Novolog or Humalog. Also keep in mind that manufacturers also have programs to assist you with insulin costs if you can't afford it.

dsaavy··on Organic and regenerative agriculture are revitalizing rural Montana economies
That sounds awesome. Best of luck.

You might have heard of this already, but for anyone else who might come across this comment, there's a site called https://getchipdrop.com/ where you can sign up to get a free truckload of wood chips from arborists that just did work nearby. Just beware that you can get a TON of chips dropped off so be ready to move all that matter lol.

dsaavy··on Organic and regenerative agriculture are revitalizing rural Montana economies
Very cool seeing someone else on HN take on restoring their backyard soil. I've been at it for two years in my quarter acre plot and the results are starting to show, so keep at it! Very interested in your bootcamp link so thanks for posting that.

Personal tangent: The property I have was a typical Roundup maintained monoculture lawn without any insect diversity, bees, etc. Now it's teeming with all types of insects and different native species that have re-established themselves and I've been able to use about half of the property for fruit and vegetable production. It's awesome to see the progress that's possible even in such a short time.

dsaavy··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (July 2021)
MergeYourData.com | Orlando, FL | Junior Automation Developer | Contract to hire MergeYourData.com specializes in business automation and data analytics for small to medium sized businesses. We build custom technical solutions that help companies grow who don't have dedicated analytics or development personnel. We have 30 hour work weeks with full-time benefits (Health Insurance, PTO, company devices, etc.).

For this position we're seeking someone who is a self-motivated learner, critical thinker, and familiar with basic development concepts like data structures and control flow. This is a true Junior position so you'll be doing a lot of learning and practice on the job.

We're looking for candidates who are familiar and comfortable with technology. Your work will primarily be development using no-code and low-code tools, but still depends on understanding fundamental computer science topics.

- Must be in the Central Florida area - Excellent communication skills - Needs to have some type of relevant sample work to show (can be a small side-project or a detailed explanation of a project you've done)

Email dan@ the company name with a resume.

dsaavy··on Ask HN: Basic Tools for a Small Company
A little background to give context: I do automation and analytics consulting for small businesses (who aren't usually technical in their focus), but I think this advice can still be applicable to technically-oriented companies as well.

Well-established tools remove a lot of the headaches around maintenance, bugs, and lack of features that could slow down your operations. They tend to be pretty reliable and have all the options for easy license management, support teams that probably has had a similar ticket sometime in the past, and enough official documentation or forum activity to support many of the requests you might have.

For this reason, Office 365 and Google Workspace would be the best bets for email and all other common business apps (storage, word docs, spreadsheets, presentations, etc.). Almost everyone has encountered the platforms, know how to download and install apps on various devices, and will be asking for all the apps that come with Office 365 and Google Workspace. The platforms also scale easily to thousands of employees if you end up getting to that point. Biggest bang for the buck in my opinion.

Basecamp for project management. If your staff isn't technically inclined, then AirTable for all those "not a spreadsheet but not a full-blown application" projects that always pop up.

The rest of the tools are completely dependent on what type of business you run. In general, no-code/low-code tools can get you a very long way and make it very easy for employees to take care of low-hanging inefficiency fruit. They're great for both technical and non-technical employees because they can do certain things so easily. Zapier or Integromat are examples that will provide the possibilities to connect tons of existing apps, but also will allow your technical team to develop other solutions with their APIs and code steps that other team members can then use as well.

dsaavy··on Time flies in Google Earth’s biggest update in years
This is an incredible tool. I know there are other ways to look at timelapses of aerial views but this is just so easy and useable.

Watching the change of specific suburban areas in the US brings a lot of negative emotions for me. Seeing what used to be green areas slowly transform into more suburban sprawl, I can't help but think of the number of species who experienced their ecosystem's walls closing in on them.

As someone who builds a lot of data visualizations, this would be in my top experiences for the category. It's in a way... an art piece.

dsaavy··on Coinbase from YC to DPO
I think a more relevant metric would be the velocity of the Cypto market rather than the total value of the number of coins out there. Since Coinbase is taking a % of every transaction, if you send .1 bitcoin once then they get .5% of that. But if you send .1 bitcoin 10 times then they get .5% of 10*.1 (not the real % obviously).

I've seen numbers around 250k to 350k transactions per day for Bitcoin and more than 1 million for Ethereum. So if Coinbase can capture a decent percent of that market then you're talking about tens of millions in revenue per day (if not more).

From a quick search it looks like Coinbase had around $1.8 billion in revenue in the first quarter. That could/should grow along with popularity of crypto in general.

dsaavy··on Jump in cancer diagnoses at 65 implies patients wait for Medicare: study
This seems to be related to some of the discussion on this thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26646541

When incentives are created in a specific way, the underlying data and what it tells you can be significantly altered. Cool to see people questioning the reasoning behind this data rather than accepting it at face value!

dsaavy··on What Data Can’t Do
> *Numbers don’t lie, except when they do. Harford is right to say that statistics can be used to illuminate the world with clarity and precision. They can help remedy our human fallibilities. What’s easy to forget is that statistics can amplify these fallibilities, too. As Stone reminds us, “To count well, we need humility to know what can’t or shouldn’t be counted.”*

I do have a problem with her conclusion here. Are numbers really lying if it's actually an incorrect data collection method or conflicting definitions of criteria for generation of certain numbers (like the example used in the second to last paragraph)? She seems to be pointing out a more important fact, which is that people don't question underlying data, how it was collected, and the choices those data collectors made when making a data set. People tend to take data and conclusions drawn from it as objective realities, when in reality data is way more subjective.

dsaavy··on Morning Brew went from college newsletter to $75M in 5 years
Love your newsletter! It's the only thing I've found that curates diverse topics and viewpoints that authors written thoughtfully about. Thank you and keep it up!
dsaavy··on TurboTax Tricked You into Paying to File Your Taxes (2019)
I mean, if you're referring to the Taxpayer First Act (which specifically had stories around Intuit benefitting from the Free File provision https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a27091346/democrats-tu...) this was bipartisan and it's disingenuous to blame a single party.

If you look directly on the Congress website, there are 20 Democratic cosponsors and 8 Republican cosponsors in the House for the Taxpayer First Act: https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/3151...

dsaavy··on WallStreetBets vs WallStreet: It's not about the money anymore
Locking out a specific set of actions for a specific set of investors based on the data you collect on them while allowing one actions (sell) that inevitably drives asset price downward since that's literally the only action people can take.
dsaavy··on [dead]
There's also the important topic of counties and states having more than 100% registration of eligible voters.

https://www.judicialwatch.org/press-releases/new-jw-study-vo...

dsaavy··on 'Who the hell elected you?' U.S. Senate tech hearing becomes political tussle
For anyone who wants to actually look at Section 230, it's relatively short: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/47/230

It seems like the relevant parts of the discussion are:

(b) Policy (3)to encourage the development of technologies which maximize user control over what information is received by individuals, families, and schools who use the Internet and other interactive computer services;

and then this one:

(c)Protection for “Good Samaritan” blocking and screening of offensive material (1)Treatment of publisher or speaker No provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be treated as the publisher or speaker of any information provided by another information content provider.

(2)Civil liability No provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be held liable on account of— (A)any action voluntarily taken in good faith to restrict access to or availability of material that the provider or user considers to be obscene, lewd, lascivious, filthy, excessively violent, harassing, or otherwise objectionable, whether or not such material is constitutionally protected; or (B)any action taken to enable or make available to information content providers or others the technical means to restrict access to material described in paragraph (1).[1]

(c)Protection for “Good Samaritan” blocking and screening of offensive material (1)Treatment of publisher or speaker No provider or user of an interactive computer service shall be treated as the publisher or speaker of any information provided by another information content provider.

dsaavy··on Twitter still hasn't unlocked the New York Post's account
All I'm doing is providing a quote from a government employee who is directly involved in the investigation. I don't know how else one can judge the incident other than from people directly involved in the investigation and by the contents of what has been released.

I don't see anything on Ratcliffe on Wikipedia that would make him a non-legitimate source? Could you point out what you're alluding to?

Stating that the NY Post story "is very suspect" isn't an evidence-based reason to lock their account permanently. In fact, there's a fine number of controversies around the NYT over the years, but I wouldn't support them being blocked from Twitter for any of those reasons. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_controversies_involvin...

dsaavy··on Twitter still hasn't unlocked the New York Post's account
OP here, the statement mentioning Breitbart alongside the NYT isn't meant to make them equivalent. It's meant to point out that I follow media outlets with major influence for their respective audience. Breitbart is unfortunately a favorite for Republican audiences alongside Fox News, which is why they're mentioned. It's important to track media outlets that have large influence over Democrat and Republican audiences to be aware of what the parties will use as "evidence" to their position and the downfall of those sources.
dsaavy··on Twitter still hasn't unlocked the New York Post's account
It would maybe be more understandable if the Director of National Intelligence hadn't made the statement he did [1], which was only a few days after the incident. Why wouldn't Twitter unlock their account then?

So unless there is a huge conspiracy that you have evidence of where the DNI is straight up lying to everyone, I think it's fair to say that it's not misinformation from foreign parties.

[1] "Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe on Monday said Hunter Biden’s recovered laptop and emails, which purportedly show Joe Biden had involvement in his son’s foreign business dealings, are “not part of some Russian disinformation campaign.”... "He continued: “Let me be clear: the intelligence community doesn’t believe that because there is no intelligence that supports that. And we have shared no intelligence with Adam Schiff, or any member of Congress.”

https://news.yahoo.com/dni-ratcliffe-hunter-biden-emails-134...

dsaavy··on Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Fivethirtyeight forecast
Apologies, my above explanation is actually wrong. The article is actually referencing the margin of the candidate. So it was a 82 point margin between Clinton and Trump in 2016, which is still difficult to interpret because it doesn't mention if this includes 3rd party votes. But assuming 98% of voters voted Clinton or Trump, this would mean that 90% of black votes went to Clinton and 8% went to Trump in 2016.

This would then mean that if 98% vote Trump or Biden in 2020, we'll see something like 84% of the black vote for Biden and 13% of the black vote for Trump. A 5% overall change using 2016 voter participation numbers is still somewhere around 700,000 vote change in the black vote, which is certainly not insignificant. Adding in the change in the Hispanic vote (a margin change from 37 points in 2016 to 23 this year), this could certainly change swing state outcomes.

dsaavy··on Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Fivethirtyeight forecast
I think you're misreading my statement, it's a 10% swing in the direction of Trump, not a 10% overall preference for Trump. From 82% favoring Hillary to 71% favoring Biden for black voters. That's a 10% change towards Trump's direction. If 16 million black voters participated in 2016 then that's around 13.1 million votes for Hillary and 2.9 million for Trump. If polling is correct this year and we see around similar turnout (not even an increase), then it'll be around 11.3 million votes for Biden and 4.7 million for Trump. So a 1.8 million vote swing in the black vote.

That's just a really rough calculation and doesn't account for the Hispanic vote either in that article.

dsaavy··on Reverse-engineering the problematic tail behavior of Fivethirtyeight forecast
I think polls being more representative of turnout amongst minorities could help indicate a potential black swan event for the election. If turnout does return to 2008 and 2012 election levels, polls featured in this fivethirtyeight article [1] indicate Trump is performing better amongst black and hispanic voters. Both demographics are seeing a 10-15% swing in support for Trump compared to 2016, which could theoretically cement swing states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

I don't think it's likely but if those polls are indicative of what's actually happening, we're talking about potentially a 2-4 million vote swing in Trump's favor. Here's a link to estimates of voter turnout in 2016 [2].

[1] https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-losing-ground-... [2] https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/05/12/black-voter...

dsaavy··on Facebook, Twitter block the NY Post from posting
Offering to cover someone's travel expenses is different than offering to pay someone to attend the speech. For anyone who has contracted before, that's an explicit difference that is usually discussed and agreed upon before the contract is signed by both parties.

If a contracting client offered to pay for your room and board and travel expenses, but not for your time in the office to work on the project, it's a bad deal. Or they could pay for your time in the office but not travel expenses. Or they can pay for everything. Those are three separate situations. By not clarifying which one it is, it's misleading. So if the client said we'll pay you to come work on this project and you'd have to travel to it, then you get there and they only pay for room and board, you'd be pretty pissed.

The lack of specificity is the same thing happening here in the reporting. Therefore it's misleading.

dsaavy··on Facebook, Twitter block the NY Post from posting
One thing that can be verified (as at least a unique release) after looking into the NY Post article more are the pictures they released. When I reverse image search them on Google and tineye, there are no other matches. This doesn't mean that they are necessarily real (they'd have to be verified as not being fakes), but they are certainly newly released.

A couple searches: https://tineye.com/search/85ed99ec3e5397597a1100ce7d54c0bf99... https://www.google.com/search?tbs=sbi:AMhZZiu3ByKtFe0xCIg4gz... (The Google one weirdly searches for fun when entering this URL)

dsaavy··on Facebook, Twitter block the NY Post from posting
Absolutely this can be trivially verified and needs to be. Release the emails if they're real so they can be verified. But also, isn't it the same thing with Trump's tax returns? All I've found so far is that the New York Times obtained copies, but they haven't actually released them to the public to be verified. If anyone can find the actual copies I'd like to see.

We need to take all of the press releases about "leaks" with a grain of salt, because I keep seeing "leaks" without actual content or verification. It's bullshit and why places that provide the actual contents of leaks are so important. Yes, certain publications are more trustworthy than others historically, but that doesn't mean they get an indefinite pass on providing verified information.

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