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drob518

2,916 karma · joined March 14, 2022

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drob518··on Muse Spark 1.3
Simon, at this point I really wonder if teams aren’t gaming this. You should pick a random animal doing a random thing every time.
drob518··on Muse Spark 1.3
Okay, but the comment I reacted to was not that. It was simply (paraphrasing) “I won’t use anything from Zuck/Meta.” If it had been, “Be careful because I have insider information that Zuck/Meta is using Muse Spark to do <insert-nefarious-thing-here>, and here’s my substantiation for that…” I’d be okay with it. That’s interesting information that moves a conversation forward. But it wasn’t. It was just content-free “I don’t like Zuck” nonsense.
drob518··on Muse Spark 1.3
Gotta be honest that I’m tired of the “I hate Zuck and Meta so much” comments every time Meta does anything. Ditto Elon/X. Fine, I get it. I don’t like Zuck either. But the post is about Muse Spark 1.3. What do you think about that? If you don’t like it because Meta made it, then maybe just don’t use it and stay silent.
drob518··on The creator of Jujutsu has joined ERSC
Yes, really. You just proved the other poster’s point. He says “a lot of developers have not learned git IN DEPTH” and you respond by saying that’s not true because you’ve gotten away with just using a small subset.

Git is quite powerful, but the cli is a train wreck of complexity and inconsistency. Learning the options to one git command means you’ve learned the options to exactly one git command. No other git command is required to use the same terminology. Personally, I was stuck in “git basics land” (all the basic commands you list) until I adopted Magit in Emacs. IMO, the Magit team deserves a medal for making git usable at an advanced level.

I don’t have an opinion about jj yet, but no one can hold up git as a pinnacle of great source control. Yes, it’s powerful, but it’s a UI train wreck.

drob518··on SK Hynix CEO sees memory chip shortage lasting until 2030
DDR5 might be boring, but the high prices are strangling the tech market, including AI. It can’t keep this up much longer. Someone needs to step up and make more. I’m surprised the USA hasn’t offered money to TSMC, Intel, or Micron to expand manufacturing under the CHIPS act or whatever to help ease this shortage.
drob518··on OpenShot 4.0: Record, Edit, and Color Like Never Before
Of course the human UI should be first. Did anyone say anything different?
drob518··on SK Hynix CEO sees memory chip shortage lasting until 2030
New title: SK Hynix CEO is desperate for memory chip shortage to last until 2030 or longer

Fixed it for you.

drob518··on OpenShot 4.0: Record, Edit, and Color Like Never Before
That was the first question that popped into my head as well. We’re now in the age of “AI all the things,” so it seems like every app needs an API or CLI of some sort. Everything needs to be machine accessible.
drob518··on Hy4 preview
Of course they are. Of course they do. Nobody should be surprised by this.
drob518··on A better SQL in 11 lines of code
Seems to be sort of triple store / datalog-ish.
drob518··on The Twelve-Factor App
Yep, agreed. Fly.io is the closest to Heroku that I’ve found.
drob518··on Inception-style curved map for turn-by-turn directions
Yea, I felt like I was perpetually at the top of a roller coaster and going over the hump, but never finding the bottom. And I like roller coasters. But no thanks. Not even sure what the benefits of this view really are.
drob518··on Nvidia agrees to acquire Hugging Face for $13B
Well, there goes the neighborhood. This is why we can’t have nice things.
drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
I’m sure someone does, but I’ve never seen anything other than vague statements like Anthropic’s “inference is profitable” comment. I suspect everyone is playing everything close to the vest because they aren’t yet public and they want to control the information flow to the street.
drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
I haven't noticed the Chinese models going up in price for the same model. They do release new versions of the models with different prices that are higher. But everybody is doing that. One fine point is that deepseek-v4-flash-0731 is really a different model than deepseek-v4-flash and it's priced higher.
drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
Of course. Pricing is always changing, but typically it goes down over time, not up. So, if you're showing artificially low pricing from the start based on a teaser rate, IMO, you shouldn't be using that to show where you appear on a frontier graph. Place yourself on the graph based on your expected long-term pricing. Then, over time, adjust your position based on your standard rate, whatever that might be. Games are always being played for things like this, but this seems excessive.
drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
Hm. GLM is more expensive in all dimensions than DS but it has a lower weighted average input? How is that?? Something seems off.

EDIT: Looks like they are swizzling around the pricing dynamically on that page, on both the GLM and the DS sides, so who knows.

drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
We need to figure out what the real pricing is for a going concern. Right now, everyone is subsidizing and discounting to grow (or maintain) market share. The big question is whether the steady state, market derived inference pricing is above or below what we’re seeing today. I honestly don’t know. Anthropic had said that inference is profitable, but they’re clearly not yet profitable overall with training and buildouts still happening.
drob518··on GLM-5.3-Flash
Seems disingenuous to draw frontier graphs with starter pricing.
drob518··on New Mac mini, featuring M6 and M5 Pro
Yep, for cpu I’m sure that’s true. It isn’t often that I wish the M1 was faster. But I need more memory. 16 GB was fine five years ago, but it’s getting cramped for me now.
drob518··on New Mac mini, featuring M6 and M5 Pro
Yea, that wasn’t going to happen.
drob518··on New Mac mini, featuring M6 and M5 Pro
I’m milking my M1 Air, too. It’s still going strong, and I just can’t justify replacing it. Would love 64GB or more memory, though.
drob518··on The New MCP Roadmap
I use Pi and I’m coming to the conclusion that mostly all I need is a bash tool.
drob518··on Every Model Cheats
Two words for you: Kobayashi Maru
drob518··on OpenRouter is joining Stripe
Well, it depends on how they deliver that savings. If it’s through something unique and defensible, something that only they (with some moat) can do, then yes, they can argue for a fraction of the savings. But if prices just go lower because things are commodities, then they are going to be viewed as middleman markup on top of already low prices. In that case, their value add is considerably lower.
drob518··on OpenRouter is joining Stripe
So… they’re both middlemen. And that’s enough to justify a $7B acquisition???
drob518··on OpenRouter is joining Stripe
> A company like OpenRouter that promises the cheapest tokens by the minute becomes essential on the low-cost margin.

Okay, I can see that, but if their value is just cost optimization, their ability to mark up the tokens becomes increasingly difficult as well. Or, people will build a router themselves to avoid paying the markup, possibly with reduced features, but someone will open source it. Heck, Claude or GPT can probably one-shot it these days. Either way, I think the whole OpenRouter model is going to struggle unless the market stays frothy.

drob518··on OpenRouter is joining Stripe
I don’t understand it, but good for OpenRouter. Personally, I think OpenRouter’s value is somewhat perishable. In the early AI market where there are a jillion models and anew one every week, it’s great to be able to try them all without having to create accounts and keys for each one. OpenRouter, which I use, makes this easy for developers to do. Add some cost controls and other “management” knobs and it works great. But the market is not going to be this frothy forever. As things settle down and commoditize, the value of switching on a dime diminishes as people lock into their favorite models. And with the OpenAI and Anthropic APIs being defacto standards for how to talk to models, it’s easy enough to switch to another model every so often, as long as you aren’t doing it multiple times per week. The other alternative is that OpenRouter stays in the mix but its pricing gets ground down and down. If it’s (nearly) free and still adds some value, fine. But that doesn’t justify $7B. So, yea, I don’t get it from Stripe’s perspective.
drob518··on OpenRouter is joining Stripe
Hm. This seems random. Other than the fact that they are both technology companies, is there anything else that they have in common?
drob518··on Companies promote incompetent employees to management to limit damage they do
Wow, move the goalposts much? Okay, I’ll stipulate that somebody, somewhere, at some time might have been promoted to get them out of the way. But I’ll tell you it’s definitely not the norm in any company that I’ve ever worked in, to the point that I’ve literally never seen it after nearly 40 years and having worked at all levels from 1st level manager to VP, from F500 to 2-person companies.
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