They haven’t sufficiently demonstrated correlation for me. I think the last chart demonstrates it’s a lot more complicated. Just one example… How many obscure art films are there with highly-selective audiences which receive perfect critical scores and perfect audience scores that mostly serve to add bias to the correlation? The movies we’re responding to- which could easily be a list of movies many average joes “care about”- shows negative correlation.
Yikes. Call me philistine, but seeing that Last Jedi score peels the scab off the idea that there is any intellectual value remaining in their job.
I’m not sure about the critics of yore, but, as all of your scores evince, I am drawing the impression that modern critics either 1. self-select as part of group of certain demographics or 2. deliberately pander to that group of certain demographics “as the wind heads in that direction”. Not really something an intellectually honest individual would find value in, and if they belong to your tribe, you can probably find more well-written diatribes on Twitter.
Meat prices are up close to 30% for me in NYC since January. I am aware meat prices don’t dictate inflation numbers but I’m really having a hard time believing any official estimates at this point. The actual Covid numbers over the past ~1.5 months (use imagination) look extremely “smoothed downwards” as well, not that they were ever accurate (although certainly the US was one of few countries willing to or capable of providing public numbers). The underrated thing about Trump was his administration wasn’t capable of hiding their incompetence.
Reading this thread is surreal. If this is the litmus test for being an adult, we’ve really jumped the shark as a society (certain groups, anyway). It’s like watching a group of domesticated cats debate which characteristics makes them a tiger.
Honestly, I find certain topics, like the need to procreate, are impossible to reason for or against; I might as well be handing out Bible copies. But, an obvious argument for procreation is an aging population, coupled with swelling national debt largely affected by the need to take care of them and a decrease in youth which can produce products to reduce this debt. I have not seen any intellectually honest way of dealing with this beyond “automation will solve everything”. That’s just one example, anyway.
Secondly, I don’t think your data on single parent families really disproves anything, specifically because that data is highly confounded by drug addicts, high school dropouts, unwed couples, accidental pregnancies, and dozens of other factors. If we’re to reason in good faith, the advice I and others are advocating for is that you don’t need to be a homeowner with a 200k+ salary, although of course you should be a reasonably mature, employed adult with a mature partner.
I think it’s in poor faith as well to reduce this to “if you feel a need to have children, you’re irrational and still stuck in go-forth-and-multiply mode”. But, again, this is not an issue anyone can find common ground over with reason or data (which you can find to support any conclusion), and I expect the HN crowd falls on a particular side of this on average, so I won’t argue further.
Someone who refutes conventional medical knowledge, which was presumably crafted in part by women and is likely regularly scrutinized by a large body of female medical researchers, as sexist without any counter argument, does not sound like someone to take seriously, let alone are they a good partner choice.
This is the type of modern wisdom that the person you’re responding to is deliberately contradicting. This modern wisdom is why our birth rate (at least for citizens) is so catastrophically low. Sure, you can’t be a 20yo janitor with a housewife, 3 kids, a home, and new iPhones every 2 years, but plenty of people go for kids before they’re “ready” and make it just fine.
That’s only one limited side of it. The very limited tax contribution you’re making towards their education pays off in spades for you. When you’re old, they’re fully funding your social security, providing you with healthcare, keeping you alive militarily for a long time after you have any practical value to society (well, it’s true). If they were not, and only people with children only could take advantage of the resources of the young and healthy, you wouldn’t make it to old age. Parents end up putting up the bulk of the capital to produce these highly profitable resources, and let’s face it, you’re reaping the disproportionate benefits, especially as you get older. Also, I don’t have any data, but I would wager the safe majority of childless adults are not due to infertility. I’m not saying people should be forced to have children or anything- but it’s hard to take seriously the argument that childless people are victimized by slightly excess taxes.
In this context, people born in the US who circle Caucasian when filling out their college applications honestly, and this Brooklyn white journo caste is typically middleclass+.
Yes- that’s roughly what I’m saying as well - they would shut up more if they were beholden to a corporation that feeds them a lot more. I conclude differently than you in that I take issue with what I interpret to believe would be society bribing them to achieve this outcome. Many of them have a deeply negative impact on society, so it sounds like paying off someone to stop a temper tantrum, which is a hard pill to swallow for me.
I am definitely not a Christian but I find that statement blatantly ridiculous and counterfactual. A Christian will hold a firm set of values for their entire life, whether or not they actually practice those values (not a Christian-specific problem). The average Brooklyn liberal will give Lindsey Graham or Biden a run for their money on flip flopping as the breeze changes.
At the very start of the article, I was deathly afraid the author would conclude these people should be paid more. Most of the white (not going to sugar coat this) liberals in Brooklyn don’t actually have any firm values of their own; they’re just floating along with the cultural tide and trying to fit into the bubble. If they had their own money, they would definitely shut up more-whether or not they contribute anything to society and deserve more is a separate question.
The company began to censor because people complained. Also, the federal government threatened them just days ago (I’m not sure if this sounds like a free market mechanic to me, what do you think?). People are free to call for censorship. People are also free to complain about the censorship. It’s part of the whole free market process.
What is the issue here? It sounds like you only like half the coin.
The entire purpose of an abstract is for fellow experts in the field to grok the paper quickly, not for the general public to get a hand-wavy interpretation of jargon.
And quite frankly, absurd practicalities aside, there is a lot of harm in having every paper accessible to all. There’s a wide divide between papers that have been accepted to a venue vs. important theory that has been debated and accepted by a scientific community and is worth presenting to the general public. And, the general public certainly cannot tell the difference.
I’m not sure what to make of this. But, Wallace belonged on Fox about as much as Megyn Kelly belonged on NBC. I think it’s safe to say, although likely to offend some, that he votes with his new network and has increasingly more in common with the current president’s views than the average modern republican. Next combine CNN very desperately needing adult journalists who are scandal-free following recent events. He’s certainly nearing retirement too so I’m thinking they offered him something with lower stress and a nice retirement war chest. Will be very surprised if he was pushed out of Fox.
Everything else aside, you’re claiming you know what you talk about when you make a post about midtown and send a link to UES? I don’t think you know the city at all
Frankly, you’re the one exaggerating. The above poster is discussing “high quality” apartments. 300k will get you 250 sqft or freshly plastered bullet holes.
I agree, that’s ideal when that option is available. Typically that project will be strictly within the confines of a grant and heavily influenced by your advisor, unless you’re lucky (or unlucky) and they’re extremely hands off.
I think it’s important to note that it’s a little misleading to think of it as being paid to go to school. In most cases, especially past your first year and unless you’re on some special grant, you are paid because you are working for your advisor on his research projects. You have a boss telling you what to code and they will have a large say in what you’re working on.
Just to clarify, haven’t seen it in others’ post, Ethiopia’s PM, Abiy Ahmed, has escalated rounding up ethnic Tigrayans to be slaughtered/sent to concentration camps over the past week after a major city was captured nearing the capital. He’s currently nearing the end of a war that he appears to have been fantasizing about long before he (mostly) instigated it. It’s blown up in his face, and you may as well start a pool as to when he flees the country at this point. So, I think an ivory tower debate over what Facebook has a right to do is a little over the top here. Honestly, Facebook may have saved lives by deleting posts like this, and the a$&hat who is largely to blame for destroying his country will not be PM for much longer, so the concern is mostly moot.
I agree that 2.6b is chump change relative to the US housing market. In fact, it’s not a large hedge fund, regardless of what they’re trading. I think the real concern here is if this model proves to be profitable and that 3b increases by several orders of magnitude across a much larger set of firms and funds. I’m not saying that will happen, but that is an alarming potentiality.
That’s one of the talking points parroted by HFT firm representatives defending their business. There’s a lot of research on it as well. I bet successful real estate firms will use that same argument. I personally have a hard time believing this will benefit the average consumer buying a home.
Real estate speculation has likely been around for thousands of years; it’s certainly not new. But, do you see any difference between A. individuals in the mid-2000s speculating on real estate based on individual whims and taking out mortgages they should not and B. large corporations with access to massive datasets previously unavailable, teams of PhDs trained to work on this, equipped with game-changing modeling capabilities that were computationally infeasible until the past decade, along with access to massive amounts of capital? In my opinion, the former case seems less of a concern than the latter.
Also, maybe I’m dense but I’m not able to see any relevancy to GME at all.
I disagree strongly with this sentiment. Clearly Zillow is not going to buy all the houses in America and turn us into serfs overnight - that is an absurd strawman. What? Zillow is far from the only actor here trying to enter this space. It's quite ridiculous to claim, as you are, that industrial-scale home speculation is doomed to fail since there are boom and bust cycles and therefore we don't need to worry. That's ridiculous. We really don't have any direct, past precedent for this type of situation. It is rational to be concerned here. The fact that Zillow failed on their initial attempt does not imply that this can't work - it just means they're one of the first making a serious attempt and, unsurprisingly, they got overzealous and it didn't work on the first try! Quant firms for the stock market in the early 90s did not work overnight even though the market was much more inefficient than it is now. It takes time for groups of highly qualified and very smart people to figure this stuff out - but, they will.
Do you really think toys or food or comparable to Facebook? You go into a store, you see the product your child wants, and 99.9% of the time you know exactly what it does. You cannot walk away from a child eating a happy meal for 5 minutes and come back and see them watching a porn video hidden in the hamburger.