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dotnet00

8,010 karma · joined July 30, 2021

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dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
An American company, that the American government tried very hard to exclude and kill, built by the very immigrants it's attacking, the one that has twice now been threatened with contract cancelations just because the leader doesn't kiss the president's behind on a handful of issues.

It's rich seeing all this unearned bluster about having the lead due to SpaceX, when SpaceX had to drag America kicking and screaming into that position.

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
For the transgressions that the current generation had no influence in and can't meaningfully change, yeah, I think they mostly get a pass.

Though "zero points" is also probably a bit too harsh. I think Americans should be proud of their peoples' past accomplishments, but should recognize that they're distinct from their own accomplishments and kind of irrelevant to the current race.

The current space race is really just about the US trying to show that it isn't in decline, that it's still more capable than a rising China. So, "my grandfather was alive when America set foot on the Moon, so we've already won!" is kind of a sad statement.

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
New Glenn at least claims to eventually be able to put 45,000kg to LEO. Once in orbit, refueling or docking boost stages can come into play. With Vulcan, I have mainly heard of proposals involving modifying Orion to dock the service module in orbit after separate launches.

Supposedly, as of a week ago, LM sees at least some possible routes to having Orion without SLS to not outright give up on the idea, but doesn't have specifics for now: https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/10/once-unthinkable-nasa-...

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
2030 is just a little over 4 years away. They have a lot of hardware to develop and test. It takes time to develop good hardware, as the US is also realizing (again). It was about 7 years between the first flight test of any Apollo related vehicle and Apollo 11.
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
Do you have any evidence for any of your claims beyond not liking the idiot that owns the company?
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
The industry is going through growing pains, New Glenn is almost ready for payloads, Neutron is a year or two away from flying, and other small launch companies are in the process of pivoting to either medium launch or space services.

I'm not seeing what makes SpaceX government funded beyond just that it provides services to the government? The same as any other launch provider would be doing? At this point the vast majority of SpaceX's activity, and likely cashflow, is from its mostly self-funded Starlink.

SpaceX won the original HLS contract because their design actually had hardware in testing, actually met NASA's payload, landing area and testing requirements, had a clear path to commercialization and was willing to cover most of the cost themselves, as otherwise NASA wouldn't have been able to choose anyone given the limited funding allocated by Congress.

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
I don't think Shuttle's issue was that the material science wasn't there. The issue was the way the design was constrained, and the general aerospace culture at the time (that only began to change with "New Space").

Shuttle's heatshield would've been much less dangerous if it wasn't facing a giant ice and insulation covered external tank (like, if it was mounted on top of a booster), but the Air Force's demand for crossrange forced giant wings, which forced the lower mounting position.

They could've iterated on heat shield designs, particularly with attachment mechanisms, but every mission had to carry people, so you couldn't risk it, and anyway, the industry culture was already set in the "even the simplest things must cost large amounts of money and time" stage.

One of the key points that I feel a lot of people miss is that Starship is pretty much the first program actually doing the flight testing needed to understand the engineering requirements for an efficient fully reusable heatshield. They don't have much prior art to look at for tile spacing, mounting mechanisms, metal tiles or transpiration cooling. The fundamental materials haven't changed a lot, but we can see over test flights that SpaceX are figuring things out.

In the early days they used to lose tiles all the time, even after just pressure testing IIRC. Nowadays they may barely lose any tiles on static fire tests. Similarly, tile loss on reentry has decreased greatly, and we've gone from seeing plasma leaving the fins barely attached, to the latest test, where the fins were pretty much fully intact.

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
Blue seemed to be planning to use Boeing for their ISS-replacement proposal, but at this point I expect that they'd prefer to build on their New Shepard experience for a custom design. Starliner isn't really worth trying to fix (even the reliability issues aside, it's enough of a pain to do maintenance on that they couldn't just go in and replace valves on the ground).
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
Boeing has been pretty blatant about just not caring about performance on SLS, because, by being legally required to keep funding it, there isn't really anything NASA can actually do to hold Boeing responsible for underperforming.

IIRC they managed to extort additional money out of NASA for Starliner too (despite it being fixed price), for that exact reason.

SpaceX hasn't fallen to such tactics yet, but, agreed, it'll be too late to start on setting up competitors when SpaceX eventually does fall to that level (Boeing wasn't always so bad after all).

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
I think it's pretty much guaranteed by now, assuming that they don't get ravaged by war/internal strife, that China will have landed people on the Moon by the 2040s, and, to be fair, I'd say the same for the US having landed people there again, assuming that they stay on path instead of constantly canceling and replacing programs as they have been doing.
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
I don't expect democrats to be super vindictive to SpaceX, except if they think they can redirect that money to old-space companies like Boeing (which is less about being vindictive and more that most politicians are shamelessly corrupt).
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
Recently I saw someone claiming they voted for Trump because he hugged a flag once, and plenty of Americans proudly claim they voted for Trump so that he would "troll" their opposition.
dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
If they were serious, they'd properly look into ending SLS after the ones that are being built are launched, cancel the upgrade, go after the company that spent the entire launch tower budget before even starting construction, open up bids for rockets to fly Orion (probably Vulcan or New Glenn IIRC), and sort out their space suit issues.

Maybe also seriously threaten Boeing with cancelations and restrictions for their constant failures and corruption. We've had the espionage scandal that forced the formation of ULA, SLS's extreme delays and overruns, supressing Vulcan's capabilities to prevent it from impinging on SLS's blank check, Starliner's inability to deliver (and at this point it seems unlikely the station will be around long enough for their 6 flights), and the scandal that caused their disqualification from the original HLS bid.

Starship is being painted as the sole blocker in Artemis, but I can't think of any component of Artemis that has any contractors delivering competently and on-time.

We still haven't heard anything about the status of the EVA suits, which the US has an even worse track record on than rockets. My understanding is that they haven't been able to build and bring a new suit into use, for 25+ years now, and not due to a lack of spending.

dotnet00··on NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission
They're by far the ones with the most relevant experience and actually flying hardware (human spaceflight, propulsive landing, flight testing hardware for HLS), in the US.

I don't think it's going to take them a decade, but they probably won't be ready within Trump's term, and I think that's the real reason for this latest push.

dotnet00··on Today is when the Amazon brain drain sent AWS down the spout
I think you can still find those kinds of workplaces if you focus on research-oriented companies in "deep tech" (meaning those designing and building cutting edge hardware rather than advertising/social media).

I too had the pleasure of interning under some former Bell Labs employees, it really was a great experience.

dotnet00··on Today is when the Amazon brain drain sent AWS down the spout
Considering Long Island, I'm guessing these were X-ray optics?
dotnet00··on Alibaba Cloud says it cut Nvidia AI GPU use by 82% with new pooling system
The comment I replied to was dismissing a research paper describing innovation from a chinese company wrt more effective use of their hardware, by insinuating that it must be propaganda with no supporting reasoning.

Of course China has copied foreign technologies, I didn't say they haven't. My point is that you guys love to hang on to that as an excuse to dismiss everything from China even when they're obviously plenty capable of doing R&D in many fields, even with it having gotten its start off "stolen" IP.

America "stole" plenty of rocket technology from Germany, yet it's well understood that they eventually innovated on it and made it their own. But somehow whenever China's involved, you guys come out with your unsubtle bigotry.

dotnet00··on Calculating legally compliant rent late fees across U.S. states
Yeah, I get that landlords have financial obligations too, which is why I'm torn on it.

The mechanism exists so good landlords (who take the responsibility of having a tenant seriously) aren't scammed out by bad renters, but, it seems like most landlords aren't that way, instead utilizing every tool available to maximize their property value and minimize the ability for renters to own their own properties, regardless of the social harm they cause.

dotnet00··on Calculating legally compliant rent late fees across U.S. states
This is simply not true, the vast majority of people continued to pay their bills and rent on time through Covid despite financial pressures and suspension of most penalties.

The cases of abuse are so egregious precisely because most people were just normal well meaning people doing their best to meet their obligations.

dotnet00··on Calculating legally compliant rent late fees across U.S. states
I don't know how I feel about the concept of late rent fees...

On one hand, you did agree to the payment schedule when you signed the lease, but on the other hand, tacking on fees to someone who is already struggling to pay, to support mainly parasites responsible for creating a lot of the issues facing young people, is also not great.

dotnet00··on Alibaba Cloud says it cut Nvidia AI GPU use by 82% with new pooling system
This is such a popular coping tactic from Americans when it comes to facing actual competition, especially from China. Everything they do must either be a lie or just stolen American technology, as if there's something inherently special about Americans that no one else has.
dotnet00··on Alibaba Cloud says it cut Nvidia AI GPU use by 82% with new pooling system
Unsurprising that someone with such beliefs would be too much of a coward to use their real account.
dotnet00··on What to do after detecting a signal from extraterrestrial intelligence
A popular sentiment related to this is that since we're on the only planet in the universe that we know to have the gift of life (and especially somewhat intelligent life), we have a duty to do our best to preserve it.

If we find definitive proof of extraterrestrial intelligence, I wonder how many will decide that it's okay to do anything regardless of its effect on our ability to continue existing.

dotnet00··on US falls out of 10 most powerful passports list for first time in 20 yrs
Not a citizen, but yes, I've had a shift in perspective lately and noticed a similar shift among other immigrants of keeping backup options in mind rather than thinking of America as a reliable place to be.

Even if we view the current situation as temporary and it goes away in 4 years, the knowledge that a large chunk of the population is just looking for an excuse to harass immigrants and destroy their life regardless of citizenship status, pulls America down to the level of many other places, which maybe have similar issues but do much better on other things.

dotnet00··on Promoted on Sunday, Fired on Monday: Inside a NASA Office's Sudden Closure
Yep, it is enough to have sound: https://youtu.be/GHenFGnixzU

IIRC we would've actually had audio to accompany video of the skycrane landing, but the mic had an issue at that time.

dotnet00··on Promoted on Sunday, Fired on Monday: Inside a NASA Office's Sudden Closure
The guys doing the cutting are also the guys responsible for NASA having no other options but to try to keep the ISS going as long as possible with any science that can be performed on it.

Some of them are probably old enough to have been screwing over NASA since the end of Apollo.

dotnet00··on A classified network of SpaceX satellites is emitting a mysterious signal
Seems like a pretty bad idea to be pointing a laser at the sky unless you're a government and can do the stuff necessary to not inadvertently blind pilots.
dotnet00··on TurboTax’s 20-year fight to stop Americans from filing taxes for free (2019)
Aren't you literally reporting those events when filing the related tax implications?

How is it gross for the IRS to know that when you have to tell them anyway to get the associated tax adjustment?

You'd just report it the year that it starts to apply, and then your future filings would have that accounted for.

dotnet00··on Gravity Can Explain the Collapse of the Wavefunction (Sabine Hossenfelder)
I guess you're pointing to: "Hossenfelder's more recent content has received criticism for her attacks on academic research[13][14] and for conspiracy theory-style portrayals of the physics community."?

She's been leaning very hard into clickbait and the shitty science journalist tactic of titles that obfuscate the lack of credibility of a claim, which is certainly unbecoming of a "real" scientist (mostly why I don't follow her content the way I do, say, PBS Space Time), I don't know if I'd say that's a conspiracy theory style portrayal though.

dotnet00··on SpaceX launches Starship megarocket on 11th test flight
I don't know much about Tesla's history, but with SpaceX, that definitely plays a role. While their success can be attributed to their engineering practices, their existence can be attributed to managing to get Falcon 1 to orbit on the last launch that the company could afford at the time, while many other companies, both before and after, have failed due to missing that "keyhole".
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