All just thoughts from a programmer here - very cool you get to experiment with this kind of stuff in a practical setting. Hope it gets more practical soon!
Bummer the law is so slow on this.
627 karma · joined August 29, 2016
All just thoughts from a programmer here - very cool you get to experiment with this kind of stuff in a practical setting. Hope it gets more practical soon!
Bummer the law is so slow on this.
"AI is massive hype and shoved into everything" has more grounding as a negative feeling of people being overwhelmed with technology than any basis in fact. The faults and weaknesses are buoyed by people trying to acknowledge your feelings than any real criticism of a technology that is changing faster than the faults and weakness arguments can be made. Study machine learning and come back with an informed criticism.
Any programmer that is this dismissive of these tools frankly... hasn't been using them right, and has no imagination - or a massive ego. This stuff is still far too early to make such judgements.
"$.04 per lb of N. $.70 per lb N is about standard currently for uan32" according to a random redditor (lost link, pulling from second-hand Signal chat history)
Appears to use this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birkeland%E2%80%93Eyde_process
Highly inefficient chemically, and produces salt nitrate, but energy is cheap enough it seems to beat out offsite transport
```
~250kg/ salt nitrate per ha ha farm feeds comfortably 10 ppl year round. 25kg salt per person/yr 12.5kg nitrate/person per year
60 g per kWh 1kWh/.06kg*12.5kg 208kWh/person/yr (less than 1 300W solar panel pp) estimate $0.1/kWh $20 e- per year per person best case
```
All I've got on it. Needs Potassium and Phosphorus supplements for ideal fertilizer still. Very neat though, and seemingly a sizable step economically - especially where fertilizer costs are the farming bottleneck. Can almost make self-contained plant + solar + water collection + harvesting bot + green lightning units that grow indefinitely without any inputs but air, rain and sun.
The sooner we can move to indistinguishable (and cheaper) lab-grown meat, the better. I have very little hope of changing enough minds or culture to simply not eat meat, but I have considerable hope that we can trick ourselves through better savings and taste. Seems like the tech is going to land that direction. Full steam ahead - let's be weird pacifist vampires gorging off brainless flesh growths. Our apology can be a happy "never again!" as we dig into marbled wagu slabs.
- Maybe should be an aggregator-aggregator, using github stars and all the various metrics/lists you can find, making formal affiliations with those sites so there's no ill-will?
- Maybe a decentralized governance (or clear neutrality in listing mechanism) to encourage people to participate knowing you're not gonna turn bad?
- Maybe section off a bit more wishlisting projects people WANT to exist (and subscribe to updates on as others fulfill)?
- Maybe a place to complain and critique existing software (closed or open source) and dream up alternatives (like a reverse engineering or UX critique forum?)
- Maybe some affiliates program to get projects to backlink, and/or incentives program to manage a donation pool across projects to pay for advertising and bring more people into the space?
- Maybe plan around inter-project architecture (common libraries in demand) and have people be able to push for the most needed ones?
- Maybe plan around AIs becoming an increasingly large segment of contributors, certainly on more junior/intermediate things, and make workflows to direct their efforts in a simple-to-contribute way (e.g. hook up your compute to an open-source AI coder hosted in the cloud with a TODO list to churn on already vetted by other people/AIs)
All ideas. Good luck! Would love this to exist at popular scales.
Note: they don't even let you escape the reddit app browser for external links anymore - no copying url (or any page content/links), no "open in external browser". Absolute pure evil UX.
In those situations, yes I stand by them being a costly overhead - which makes sense in large collaborative systems, but not so much in small agile MVPs.
There are reasons many MVP developers and small teams whose focus is more on rapid feature implementation than large team coordination or code stability forego writing tests. It doesn't make sense in all circumstances. Generally, more complex, less grokable, more large-team-oriented or public library code is when you need testing.
NVDA may yet see some competition, as we drop our complexity standards and embrace a one-size-fits-all general MLLM architecture.
There's an inherent market your skills will always be useful to: yourself. Base survival, maintaining your home, caring for family and friends, improving quality of life - there's plenty of demand there and work to do. The cost to deliver that demand will demonstrably be far lower than it ever has been with these new tools. Would you be able to hire that labor out to corporate AIs for even cheaper in absolute costs due to the benefits of mass production? Sure. But providing these things is a job for you too and it's "free" with just a bit of time and effort.
Tinkering with open source tools to assemble your first robot kit out of older hardware and 3D printed materials is not going to be prohibitively expensive. The cost to train it - probably not either, if the massive efficiencies we keep finding in models keep lowering and the community keeps sharing model tweaks. Make one robot with good enough dexterity and your second bot is a hell of a lot easier to make. These aren't going to take some ridiculously unheard-of materials or manufacturing processes. In fact, cheap AI chip alternatives to GPUs can be built on decades-old architectures designed to just maximize matrix multiplication with much simpler manufacturing. Monopolizing scarcities here isn't a sure bet. We've just been waiting for a good general-purpose brain. We have it now - and every bit of information we expose it to, the easier it gets to do anything with it.
Unless the big fancy AI wielders are coming for you with killer drones by then, this is all stuff people are going to be well-capable of while unemployed and living off food stamps, savings, or remortgaged houses. If they don't have the skills personally, they'll turn to friends and family who do and find mutual tribal support in tough times as people always do. Growing your own food, building your own infrastructure - all have been doable for a while, but are about to get stupidly easy with a few bots and helpful AI guidance. Normal humanity will carry on and pick up the pieces just fine in this new Dark Age, even as the corporates take the open field opportunity to chase for riches beyond our comprehension, mining asteroids and claiming the solar system.
Now imagine if those greedy corporates happened to just throw the rest of us a bone - 1% of their exponentially-increasing profits - as a PR gesture. Still would soon become far more wealth in absolute terms than the common people have ever seen in the history of earth.
If you think none of that is going to happen, then the alternative is a lot closer to the first people with AGI simply scouring the earth in a paranoid culling. Sure, it's entirely possible. But it takes a certain Next Level of Evil to make that happen.
And all that aside - if you really want to play up the capitalist dystopia angle, there's still plenty of individual value to be mined from people via a wage. Memory and preference mining, medical testing, AI fidelity comparison - plenty of reasons to pay people a little bit to steal what's left of their souls for even further improvement of AI. Might be enough for them to afford their first robots, even.
But by all means - go destroy corporate AI data centers if you think you can get away with it. Anything to tip the scales towards public / open source AI keeping up. But this tech is not going away, nor should it. It could very well result in unprecedented abundance for all, so long as things don't go ridiculously extremist.
Of course they're gonna get a few years heads start - which will feel like centuries in AGI time - but either they wipe us all out during that, or we're gonna put the garbage together and make our own AGI too.
You're impressed by the lions. But us hyenas and vultures will get our turns still too. This is not over. Information innately diffuses.
We need to organize, and we need to build.
This could easily be the same, except the toy is "you don't have to work anymore and here's some houses and robot chefs! Now play nice while the adults go build star fleets"
Script => Video baseline. Take a frame of any character/prop/room/etc you want to remain consistent, and one shitty photoshop and it's part of the new scene.
Incredibly overstating. That is an incredible lack of imagination buddy. Or even just basic craftsmanship.
We'll have to still demand from the ruling class - cuz they'll be capable of ending us with a hand wave, like they always have. But we can build, too.
As utterly impressive as this is - unless they have perfect information security on every level this technique and training will be disseminated and used by copious competitors, especially in the open source community. It will be used to improve technology worldwide, creating ridiculously powerful devices that we can own, improving our own individual skills similarly ridiculously.
Sure, the market for those skills dries up just as fast - because what's the point when there's ubiquitous intelligence on tap - but it still leaves a population of AI-augmented superhumans just with AIs using our phones optimally. What we're about to be capable of compared to 5 years ago is going to be staggering. Establishing independent sources to meet basic needs and networks of trust are just no-brainers.
Sure, we'll always be outclassed by the very best - and they will continue to hold the ability to utterly obliterate the world population if they so wished to - but we as basic consumer humans are about to become more powerful in absolute terms than entire nations historically. (Or rather, our AIs will be, but til they rebel - this is more of a pokemon sort of situation)
If you're worried, get to working on making sure these tools remain accessible and trustworthy on the base level to everyone. And start building ways to meet basic needs so nobody can casually take those away from your community.
This won't be halted. And attempting to halt would create a centralized censorship authority ensuring the everyman will never have innate access to this tech. Dead end road that ends in a much worse dystopia.
Hopefully these will also spend the tedious hours pruning unnecessary packages, minimizing responsibilities of each, and overall organizing the environment in a sensible way, then caching that standalone so there's no LLM dependency - just an update checker/curator to call in when things go to shit.
Honestly this is one of the worst problems of modern software and makes 50+% projects unusable. It seems like a very tedious yet solvable problem - perfect for the right LLM agent. Would be a godsend.
https://arstechnica.com/ai/2024/01/lazy-use-of-ai-leads-to-a...