devnulll

I'm probably in the Minority here, but I prefer the franchised dealer model over Tesla's for 2 reasons:

1. When I've a Tesla problem, they simply don't respond. They don't answer emails. They don't answer the phone. They don't return calls. It's literally impossible to remedy a problem. It took 6 months of unbelievable frustration to resolve an obviously incorrect lease issue ("You owe X.", "No, I already paid. Here are the receipts."). This same issue with a BMW, Porsche, or Lexus is resolved in 2 minutes in a normal model.

2. The franchise model - at a maco level - keeps more money locally. I like money staying local, seeing kids sports teams sponsored by Bob's Ford, and generally support anything that promotes a broader distribution of wealth. The extraction of wealth out of a community and simply concentrated up to the already mega-wealthy disturbing. This is Standard Oil putting local gas stations out of business by price dumping, only to later swoop in unchallenged.

> larger hurdle than scaling things after everything is in production

The relevant data points we have on this are from Tesla. Elon has been beating the "scaling production is the hardest thing" drum. His callouts around the cost of design vs manufacturing are quite interesting.

Now Toyota has been in the at-scale manufacturing game a long time, so perhaps they're just better at this. Either way battery capacity will hold them back for a decade.

The investments we're seeing in batteries (LG, Philips, Tesla, VW) are 10x+ what Toyota is doing. I don't see how this results in Toyota able to ship cars in volume as the transition to electric accelerates.

This isn't speculation. :)

GM and LG are partnering to make a battery plant for GM's cars: https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1126298_gm-lg-chem-anno...

Porsche is piggybacking on VW's battery ventures: "For high-volume models, Porsche will source batteries from its Volkswagen Group parent, which is building an extensive network of battery plants."

Like Tesla, VW is holding "Battery Day" events: https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/15/22325813/vw-volkswagen-po...

"One way Volkswagen plans to boost production of battery-powered vehicles is through a massive expansion of its manufacturing footprint. The automaker plans to have six battery cell production plants operating in Europe by 2030, which it will build alone or with partners.

The first two plants will be in Salzgitter, Germany, and Skelleftea, Sweden; a third plant will be established either in Spain, Portugal, or France; and the fourth factory will be based in Eastern Europe. The plants will have a production capacity of 240 gigawatt-hours a year, Schmall said."

The groups missing from this discussion: Ford BMW Toyota Mercedes Honda

Some of them will be able to piggyback LG and Panasonic, but realistically there will be a huge battery shortage for the next decade. The only ones with investments that look ready "soon" are Tesla, LG and Panasonic. Of those 3, LG and Panasonic seem far too small. Only Tesla seems poised to have supply in the near term.

That means companies w/o batteries are going to be shipping ICE cars, or forced to pay a premium in some way to those with battery supplies.

The Mach E, Taycan, and F150 Lighting are all amazing. They will not be able to make many simply due to battery constraints.

There's another way to think of this. Let's use Starlink as an example, which is ~1300 today growing to 40k satellites in LEO.

If each of these had a high-grade commercial camera lens pointed towards earth, you could have real-time viewing of the entire planet with just a little bit of math. With a bit more fun (and for each click of optics improvements), you could "Bullet Time" view a great number of things...

If each of these had a high-grade commercial lens pointing outwards, what could that be used to capture? At scale, it seems like doing diff's against all the images would reveal a huge number of previously unidentified asteroids and other near-earth objects.

What if you put "very good" optics on them? Or a radio antenna pointed out? Could you make earth sized optical or radio telescopes? Seems like you could.

It's increasingly looking like the assumption each one needs to drive the state of the art, and each one needs to be "space grade at 100x the cost" is a fallacy simply because launching was historically so expensive.

Tesla owns the near term EV space simply due to battery output. Nobody else has, or is making, those investments at sufficient scale.

If Tesla realizes it's more profitable to sell skateboards to BMW, then they'll happily do that. They're a basic capitalist company in that regard.

To what degree will existing automakers get national level protections in order to protect global interests? Germany certainly won't sit by while BMW & MB go under; they'll take some action even if it's forcing Tesla Germany to sell skateboards to BMW. Japan will do something similar to preserve Toyota & Honda, as will China and South Korea.

Disruption will be very interesting in how it plays out...

Inflation is part of the problem here. It appears to be getting worse. Soon enough, inflation will make strangers of us all...

> I definitely strongly recommend against using anything UniFi based

As a counter point, mine works beautifully. UDM Pro, multiple Access Points, access point roaming, 2.4 and 5ghz networks, and all the goodness. Everything works flawlessly and it's been quite reliable.

They seem to really enjoy spending money moving my cheese on the web site admin interface, and a few unexpected features seem to have vanished, but overall... there's nothing as good or centrally integrated. Everything else is a collection of point solutions, which is more than many (including myself) have the time for...

I've done a similar setup at home with a full Unifi setup, PiHole, DNS over TLS, Let's Encrypt certs for internal devices, multiple wifi networks and other "It's COVID and I'm bored" goodness.

I've had to turn most of it off.

PiHole means every single web site issue for any user on the WiFi ends up on my plate immediately. Wifi network segments mean Minecraft doesn't "Just work" for the kids and their friends. IOT networks means Airplay doesn't find devices. SDDP doesn't work, etc.

Having a functional home network turns out to be more important than having a secure home network.

> I don't know if we're coming at it from the same angle if we're lumping Minecraft in with alcohol and cigarettes.

My belief is that's a reasonable debate with very valid points on both sides. At a personal level, kids 2-12 are Addicted to games (Minecraft, Roblox, etc). Taking the games away has the same impact as taking away narcotics from an addict.

The unregulated ability of these platforms to target children (and they do), seems very analogous to pre-regulated cigarettes, drug, and alcohol marketing.

I wager more psychological studies are done on driving MAU, rapid viral adoption, and upping Click Through Rates than were done for nicotine.

At a high level, think of how much money Amazon pours into AWS, Microsoft spends on Azure or O365, or Google spends on their GCP & Internal systems.The dollar amounts spent are staggering, yet all major systems continue to have outages that usually boil down to "Human Error".

The stability of the mainframes may be misleading, as the older isolated systems are different than the networked systems.

I would postulate that for a general purpose computer, software stability is directly proportional to connectivity.

This was written in 1985. That's 36 year ago. The more things change, the more they have stayed the same.

> Even in a high availability system, hardware is a minor contributor to system outages.

[...]

> By applying the concepts of fault-tolerant hardware to software construction, software MTBF can be raised by several orders of magnitude.

[...]

> Dealing with system configuration, operations, and maintenance remains an unsolved problem.

There are all sorts of things governments express control over, even at home.

The obvious scenarios are alcohol, nicotine & drugs. As a parent of young children, there are addition parallels between Minecraft / Roblox / Alcohol / Cigarettes.

To a real degree, more effort is put into making gaming deliberately additive - although flavored vaping (bubble gum, cotton candy, etc) would like to enter the conversation.

Have any companies had significant fines levied? Certainly nothing large enough to change behavior.

The OPM leak remains the most significant overall of which I'm aware. The Experian leak tops my commercial data leak list, although they get bonus points for then selling people their own data protection service(s).

I use 1Password, and migrated over to their subscription service some time ago. A password manager seems like the best overall option at this time.

However, given they have all the password for many people, how are they not one of the biggest targets in the world? In their old Dropbox model, I understood the security model. In the service model it's moved to "Just Trust Us".

Is there anyone who can help me understand how this model is secure?