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cycomanic

12,427 karma · joined March 27, 2019

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cycomanic··on Why SpaceX 2040 Revenue FCST $4.3T in highly unlikely
Like what? Seriously, nobody thought shouting rockets into space was impossible. Landing a rocket again nobody had thought it impossible. Sure they brought down prices, again nobody thought it impossible. The question is actually is it desirable. Rocket launches are pretty much the worst one can do in terms of greenhouse gas emissions, but somehow all technerds are falling all over themselves how great it is.
cycomanic··on Claude Fable 5
It certainly is true in physics and engineering that a PhD student at least half way through their PhD should know more than there supervisor about their topic (and usually much earlier). Even a Masters thesis project student should understand the intricacies of their project better than their supervisor. I'm speaking as someone who has supervised a significant number of both PhD and Masters students.
cycomanic··on Surprise, pay $1000
Can someone explain this statements:

> While amusingly as of June 8 Blacksmith’s terms implied that their right to bill you is contingent on you providing payment information, a SaaS app certainly could have terms that obligate users to pay for unexpected overage when on a free trial.

> And let’s be clear: our agents run a lot of CI jobs, so we did expect to hit the limits of the free plan. We used the service and got value for it. So it’s not inherently dishonest, just surprising. My read is that they can do this.

So I read this that the terms say "blacksmith will only bill you if you provide payment information" but then they say that blacksmith can bill you if you don't provide payment information. That seems to contradict the terms, which I would assume underlie the "contract" that you agree to when agreeing to the terms.

cycomanic··on Switzerland wil have a referendum to cap population at 10M
Yeah it's much better to make your money by enabling the worlds worst dictators to steal money from their populations. In fact it's all the other countries taxes that are paying for the swiss social security, because of all the aid money being funneled into swiss bank accounts.
cycomanic··on Wind and solar generated more power than gas globally in April 2026
That doesn't really make sense, you need the ability for significant overproduction before you start thinking about storage. The other way around is just wasting money. We are just starting to get there, but still have significant fossil fuels that we can replace even by just building out solar more and just having more over production.
cycomanic··on Pluto.jl 1.0 release – reactive notebook for Julia
It's interesting, I'm not a big notebook user myself, but others (and myself rarely) often take advantage of that feature, because it allows you to e.g. get data from an instrument, but then continue exploring the data using different cells in different orders, e.g. trying different ways of analysing things, e.g. I can cell that gets the data a cell that runs a moving average and a cell that does analyses. When debugging the analysis I can choose if I want to run the moving average data or the normal data, just by choosing I run this or that preceding cell.

Once you take away this way of working, I might as well not work in a notebook at all (which admittedly is my default way of working anyway).

cycomanic··on The Pirate Bay Remains Resilient, 20 Years After the Raid
That's not what the link says. In fact it is specifically saying it should be working in stereo but tdolby surround has missing channels.
cycomanic··on Erin Brockovich made a map to track data centers around the country
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cycomanic··on Erin Brockovich made a map to track data centers around the country
That's a strawman, nobody is saying that the datacenters are directly turning the water brown. But if adding a single customer (the datacenters) causes the supply not being able to meet the demand and the water turns brown, then yes the datacenters was the cause. Saying it's a supply issue is like if I come to a party at your house and load all the drinks into my car and saying that there's no drinks left is a supply issue
cycomanic··on Mullvad exit IPs are surprisingly identifying
Why? If I was an intelligence agency and designing a VPN I would simply log all the IPs connecting to my VPN and not rely on statistics on exit nodes to identify the users, even more so because they rely on the users to pick different servers.
cycomanic··on The Whole Anthropic Kerfuffle
It's funny how silicon valley bros always talk like making real world things is essentially impossible. I mean walmart or aldi are serving > 200 million customers a week, how do they manage that I can tell you that's much harder than customer support for an online product.

As a side note, how do you make up that billion user number? Claude has 10 million users.

cycomanic··on Silverback Imfura took a chance, and ended up alone
You emphasised the key word yourself, "apparently". And the proof is in the pudding, they left. Now the researchers didn't ask the females obviously, but they would have a lot of experience with the behaviour of the gorillas and know that the females don't like instability and unsureness of the leadership (hinted in the article), so the obvious conclusion is that the instability of moving around caused the females to loose trust.

Note I didn't ask the researchers either and am only deducing this from the text.

cycomanic··on The hypocrisy of cyberlibertarianism
> The Declaration was right, it was just naively optimistic and severely underestimated its opponent + incorrectly presumed digital natives would automatically be on the "right" side. Now we are where we are. And it's just the beginning of the pendulum's counterswing.

I think you're completely ignoring the premise of the articles argument (as I understand it). The failure of the declaration was a feature not a flaw. In otherw words it was never about the freedom of the individual but the freedom of large corporations.

In the end governments (even totalitarian ones in a limited sense), are vehicles of the people. Unregulated spaces will favor the person with the most resources and thus lead to more concentration of power. It's essentially a information centric continuation of Reaganomics. The article argues that this could have been (and was, e.g. by Winner) anticipated in the 90s, and that in fact this was the intention of Barlow and co.

cycomanic··on Pinocchio is weirder than you remembered
The other aspect to this is that children's stories were typically highly moralistic essentially telling the kids to always obey their elders, Struwwelpeter is the perfect example, but also the Grimm stories (the tales of 1001 nights maybe less so, but I might be misremembering). I'd argue that this continued well into the 20th century. That's why pipi longstockings became such a success, here is a story about a girl (even), that is super strong, independent and generally self sufficient. It gave kids their own agency which resonated with kids and I guess the time was right that parents did not forbid reading it.

An interesting anecdote, in France Pipi Longstockings was heavily censored until the 90s because it was viewed as promoting disobedience. Naturally that made it so dull that nobody wanted to read it, so French people (at least those who were children then) generally don't know pipi. I only found out about all this when we moved to Sweden and my French partner had never heard of pipi, which I couldn't believe.

cycomanic··on Inkscape 1.4.4
Have you tried saving in one of the different SVG formats. I forgot what inkscape calls them, but IMO there are 2 or 3 different SVG formats one can choose when saving. I know I needed that a long time ago, because chrome could not deal with the advanced features in regular inkscape SVG.
cycomanic··on Investors pile into clean energy as Iran war drives push for energy security
We can thank the big oil and western governments for that. For years they have been working against stable democratic governments in these places, because it's easier to get cheap resources from corrupt governments than from stable democratic governments with functioning legal systems and limited corruption. It's something we can see all over the world, pretty much all resource rich countries in the world have been destabilised systematically.
cycomanic··on Investors pile into clean energy as Iran war drives push for energy security
Importantly, it used to be Germany which had all the expertise, until the CDU government destroyed much of the German solar industry over night. It's funny how everyone always talks about Germany stopping Nuclear energy but nobody ever talks about the fact that subsequent German governments destroyed the renewables industry twice (and they are talking about it again), largely due to lobbying from the coal, Nuclear and car industries. Definitely an interesting what if
cycomanic··on The USB Situation
One of my pet peeves with USB C is that many laptop manufacturers went "great less space occupied we can push the porta closer together to make space for something else", but many USB C devices (particularly USB Sticks ...) have inherited the dimensions of USB A. So there is not enough space for a plug and cable, e.g. I can't use my yubi key while my monitor is connected to the laptop.
cycomanic··on The smelly baby problem
If you look at many other cultures, e.g. African mothers carrying their babies on the back. They don't have need for diapers. What many people in the west where we have been so trained on diapers don't know is that babies can be potty trained very early (<3 month). There are quite a few resources on this (search for infant potty training).
cycomanic··on Flickr: The first and last great photo platform
No comment on your photos, but I think this abomination of a cookie selection banner is all on needs to see to decide on the current state of Flickr. It's literally several pages long!
cycomanic··on The Joy of Folding Bikes
I still think the strida folding bikes are the ones with the highest nerd quotient. Never ridden one myself, but been tempted a couple of times. In particular the low weight compared to any other folding bike is appealing. Unfortunately they are difficult to find for test rides and they look quirky enough that I'd want to do a test ride before buying
cycomanic··on Niri 26.04: Scrollable-tiling Wayland compositor
I was a tiling user for quite a while.similar setup to you (used awesome then qtile, short stind with xmonad and ended up with i3 and then switching to Wayland with sway, but tried hyprland for a bit as well). One thing I always ran into was that I generally found that more than three windows are horizontally just doesn't work and vertical splits very often make windows to small either. On the other hand I would often find that I wanted a new window next to something I was reading or working on, or e.g. I'd have some terminals open and wanting to plot from ipython. That always caused quite a bit of friction, i.e. I'd have to either collect some windows into a stacked layout before opening the new window. Or moving some of the windows is want side by side to a new workspace. That for me meant I had to think about what I was doing when window managing, taking my focus away from my actual task.

With niri I just open another window and it's where I need it and all other windows are still to the left and right so I just "scroll" there. Now I'd say my workflow is messier now, but I think that's actually a good thing. Tiling window managers require (but also make it reasonably easy) to be organised. With niri I don't have to be organised. Sometimes it you can't find a window immediately, but you can just use overview (and I also have a window search rofi). Initially I still had some named workspaces similar to my sway tags, mainly because I found I was still switching to them out of habit. Nowadays I don't use them any longer.

cycomanic··on DeepSeek v4
At some point I saw an analysis that looked at the policy/political differences between the different fractions of the Chinese communist party and compared them to the spread in a western parliament (I don't remember which one I think US or UK). They found that the spread was very similar. With that I'm not saying that the Chinese system is better, just that these statements are not as straight-forward as one things.

I think a much better metric is suppression of dissent, human rights records etc., not (the illusion of) choice at the poll booth once every 4 years.

cycomanic··on Claude Code to be removed from Anthropic's Pro plan?
So you're saying software should never change or you're happy with A testing, but not A/B testing
cycomanic··on How a subsea cable is repaired (2021)
I think that's the previous posters point. The OP argued that countries were better off in the long run with British colonialism than without. I think China vs India is the counter example.
cycomanic··on Google broke its promise to me – now ICE has my data
No the government can't just revoke a visa because Trump doesn't like your face, the reasons must be based in law and there is the pesky thing called due process that needs to be followed. I am honestly flabbergasted that people think the government can just do willy billy.
cycomanic··on Google broke its promise to me – now ICE has my data
It's fascinating to watch the absolute dishonesty/mental gymnastics of all the free speech absolutists who were crying that they could not say what they want on other people's platforms just a few years ago. Now they are justifying actions by the state (against whom the free speech protection was designed), with reasons like there were people at the protests who hurt a police officers feelings by shouting something mean. Let's remember this is the regime which pardoned people actively engaging in violence at the Capitol.
cycomanic··on Small models also found the vulnerabilities that Mythos found
From the article: >At AISLE, we've been running a discovery and remediation system against live targets since mid-2025: 15 CVEs in OpenSSL (including 12 out of 12 in a single security release, with bugs dating back 25+ years and a CVSS 9.8 Critical), 5 CVEs in curl, over 180 externally validated CVEs across 30+ projects spanning deep infrastructure, cryptography, middleware, and the application layer.

They have been doing it (and likely others as well), but they are not anthropic which a million dollar marketing budget and a trillion dollar hype behind it, so you just didn't hear about it.

cycomanic··on Small models also found the vulnerabilities that Mythos found
So you can't imagine anything between bruteforce scan the whole codebase and cut everything up in small chunks and scan only those?

You don't think that security companies (and likely these guys as well) develop systems for doing this stuff?

I'm not a security researcher and I can imagine a harness that first scans the codebase and describes the API, then another agent determines which functions should be looked at more closely based on that description, before handing those functions to another small llm with the appropriate context. Then you can even use another agent to evaluate the result to see if there are false positives.

I would wager that such a system would yield better results for a much lower price.

Instead we are talking about this marketing exercise "oohh our model is so dangerous it can't be released, and btw the results can't be independently verified either"

cycomanic··on Small models also found the vulnerabilities that Mythos found
From the article:

>At AISLE, we've been running a discovery and remediation system against live targets since mid-2025: 15 CVEs in OpenSSL (including 12 out of 12 in a single security release, with bugs dating back 25+ years and a CVSS 9.8 Critical), 5 CVEs in curl, over 180 externally validated CVEs across 30+ projects spanning deep infrastructure, cryptography, middleware, and the application layer.

So there is pretty good evidence that yes you can use this approach. In fact I would wager that running a more systematic approach will yield better results than just bruteforcing, by running the biggest model across everything. It definitely will be cheaper.

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