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cudgy

1,424 karma · joined November 8, 2020

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cudgy··on How to protect your phone and data privacy at the US border
Seems like it’s just as bad in Europe, even when not crossing borders

https://www.politico.eu/article/police-can-access-mobile-pho...

cudgy··on OpenAI Says It's "Over" If It Can't Steal All Your Copyrighted Work
It’s yet to be proven that AI will increase economic output. Some might argue that reducing the economic benefits for the many in order to maximize the output of the whole may backfire horribly over the long-term.
cudgy··on Claude can now search the web
AI results typically blow away Google results in both quality and definitely speed.

For example, when searching for product information, Google results in top 50 to 100 listed items titled “the 10 best …“ full of vapid articles that provide little to no insight beyond what is provided in a manufacturers product sheet. Many times I have to add “Reddit” to my search to try and find real opinions about a product or give up and go to Youtube review videos from trusted sources.

For technical searches like programming questions, AI is basically immediately nailing most basic questions while Google results require scanning numerous somewhat related results from technical discussion forums, many of which are outdated.

cudgy··on Claude can now search the web
Artificial intelligence is definitely better at avoiding voluntary biases such as this. Most people that are highly political/tribal demonstrate this bias very effectively. Examples such as this make a great case for AI being used for high level decisions and evaluations in high-noise, emotional, and political areas.
cudgy··on Claude can now search the web
Isn’t the investment to avoid a revolution? To avoid those that cannot find work from dismantling and tearing down everything around them so they can get what they need. Some might consider that to be a benefit to taxpayers and not a poor investment.
cudgy··on Nonprofit's Leader Convicted of Siphoning Off $240M in Federal Food Aid
Existing career auditors have been ineffective for whatever reasons. New people taking a look at things seems reasonable. Whether DOGE is part of the answer remains to be seen.
cudgy··on FOSS infrastructure is under attack by AI companies
Good thing law firms are overflowing with the desire to make large amounts of cash from contingency based cases.
cudgy··on FOSS infrastructure is under attack by AI companies
“… he complained that LLM companies were crawling data without respecting robosts.txt“

Maybe that is the problem? They misspelled robots.txt

cudgy··on US deports Venezuelans despite court order
The “discussion” seems one-sided and any dissent is downvoted to oblivion. Maybe that is why these are flagged by people. They are not discussions.
cudgy··on People are just as bad as my LLMs
The ability to create novel solutions without a priori knowledge.
cudgy··on Volkswagen seeks to counter rivals with budget EV model
Electric vanagon? Or the ID.Buzz might work.

https://soymotor.com/sites/default/files/usuarios/redaccion/...

cudgy··on Age and cognitive skills: Use it or lose it
Why not buy out of money options in companies that you know with spare money? Better odds and good payouts if you hit it right.
cudgy··on The Demoralization is just Beginning
“There’s two simple steps to restore American greatness:

1) Brain drain the world. Work visas for every person who can produce more than they consume. I’m talking doubling the US population, bringing in all the factory workers, farmers, miners, engineers, literally anyone who produces value. Can we raise the average IQ of America to be higher than China?

2) Back the dollar by gold (not socially constructed crypto), and bring major crackdowns to finance to tie it to real world value. Trading is not a job. Passive income is not a thing. Instead, go produce something real and exchange it for gold.”

The first step has been in existence for decades in the US. Also, it is not sustainable potentially destabilizes other countries. The second step may have some merit, but I seriously doubt it will turn things around by itself.

China has largely built domination over the US and manufacturing by a combination of the hollowing out of US manufacturing and other capabilities due to short term profit goals of US companies and unfair trading practices, primarily due to imbalanced environmental policies, labor policy, and currency manipulation by China.

Many free traders lambast protectionist policies, but protectionist policies are largely what made China what it is today.

cudgy··on The Housing Theory of Everything (2021)
> Obviously, it doesn't make any sense to say that a city wants something that its people do not want.

Is it really so obvious? So many policies are implemented by government that people as a majority do not want like wars and tax cuts for the wealthy or not implemented by government that people as a majority do want like healthcare or rational immigration policy. The idea that the representatives of the people are acting in the people’s interest is quite naïve to be honest.

cudgy··on Penn to reduce graduate admissions, rescind acceptances amid research cuts
Uh … basic deduction and simple set theory.

Because donations are made for tax purposes and virtue signaling … someone is going to get this money. Many of the donors are alumni and will donate money to the school. It was already targeted to the university athletic departments. It’s not a big stretch for it to be donated to another university department that has a direct academic role.

cudgy··on Florida insurers steered money to investors while claiming losses, study says
Are you saying that the insurance companies are paying 4 to 5 times cost to repair roof, but then at the same time saying that adjusters are only paying out 50 to 90% of the actual cost?

That doesn’t make sense. The former which you were claiming is fraud seems unlikely to be approved by an insurance company. The cost to replace roofs is well known. Why would they pay 4 to 5 times the amount? The latter point regarding adjusters only paying 50-90% of the actual cost sounds more like the real insurance companies that I’ve ever dealt with.

Furthermore, building permits and requiring licensed contractors to repair the roof and replace the roof are not only to protect you, but to protect any poor person that comes to buy your home from having to deal with shoddy repairs from well-meaning homeowners.

cudgy··on Florida insurers steered money to investors while claiming losses, study says
The actual report with the findings had the following interesting statement at the bottom of page 3. Seems convenient to claim fraud as a trade secret, which apparently prevents this report from exposing those companies.

“A number of the documents utilized were filed with the Office by an insurer as a “Trade Secret”. As such, information regarding any of the individual companies discussed in the Appendixes to this report may not be released without approval of the Director.”

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25540452-affiliated-...

cudgy··on Despite sticker prices, the real cost of getting a degree has been going down
This article has turned itself into gas-lit pretzels, trying to make excuses for the current horrible state of college education. It reads like a propaganda piece directly written by the lobbyist organizations for private and public colleges.
cudgy··on It is no longer safe to move our governments and societies to US clouds
Why has it taken this author so long to finally realize this? It was never “safe” to have government data managed and stored in another country.

Sounds more like they just don’t like the current administration in the United States. This dislike somehow has woken them up to the reality that storing their sensitive data in another country was never a good idea.

cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
Sorry, but your statements are inaccurate.

I posted this link separately and it fully demonstrates what I would expect: more jobs in the US to compensate for the increased cost to import. In this case, the jobs were provided by existing manufacturers like LG and Samsung; however, these jobs could also be produced by new competitors entering the space.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/higher-prices-extra-jobs-less...

cudgy··on Penn to reduce graduate admissions, rescind acceptances amid research cuts
Sorry, but I just don’t feel like you have the authority or knowledge to make that statement. How could you possibly know whether direct cuts will only worsen things? This is the type of issue that is argued between people inside of an organization that are fully aware of all of the factors at play.
cudgy··on Penn to reduce graduate admissions, rescind acceptances amid research cuts
Sure, rhetoric matters for style points, but the act supersedes stylish rhetoric. I’ll take proper action with clumsy rhetoric over inaction or improper action backed up with eloquent rhetoric, which is what most politicians provide.
cudgy··on Penn to reduce graduate admissions, rescind acceptances amid research cuts
No. The law is not being broken. That act does not require the president or the administrative agencies to spend all of the amount budgeted.

There’s a process to handle scenarios, where the administrative branch feels that more money is not needed to be spent for the purposes that the money was initially allocated for. At the very least, there is a 45 day process starting from the point that it is determined to be a “deferral of the budget process” (continuous days that Congress is in session) that is allowed for Congress to pass a rescission bill. I don’t believe Trump’s been in office long enough for that process to even have taken place.

cudgy··on Penn to reduce graduate admissions, rescind acceptances amid research cuts
Really? Then why do they charge students athletic fees? Why do stadiums and athletic centers receive government grants and subsidies?

Here is a huge list of donations from various groups to an athletic endowment at the University of Alabama. Much of this money could have and would have been donated to schools directly for research and academic purposes instead the athletic foundations.

Alabama is one of the most successful Division 1 football programs in the nation. If these programs are so profitable, why do they need so much money for these endowments? And why all the money from governments and grants? Doesn’t add up.

https://crimsontidefoundation.org/ways-to-support/Endowments...

cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
“Imports did decline. Washing machine imports fell by about 33% the first year the tariffs were in effect and stayed below pre-tariff levels through 2022. During that time, Samsung began producing washing machines at a US factory in South Carolina, and LG opened a plant in Tennessee. Whirlpool also increased domestic production and hired more workers. All told, new domestic production may have accounted for between 1,700 and 2,000 new jobs.“

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/higher-prices-extra-jobs-less...

Prices went up in short term, but imports went down and jobs increased due to manufacturers bringing jobs to the United States. Seems like it worked.

cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
Sure, but how is this any different than the income tax system where companies receive tax credits, reduced tax rates, accelerated depreciation, schedules, subsidies to build factories, and direct cushy (high margin and sometimes fraudulent) contracts from government divisions.
cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
But your view is too shortsighted as I’ve said, in other comments. There will be a reaction to these increases in prices and increases in margins. Small startups and even large companies will enter the space to take advantage of the increased margins. It’s not a static system. However, it does not happen immediately and it takes some time.
cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
Of course it takes time for domestic competition to arrive. Decision decisions cannot only be made because the benefits are not immediately realized. It’s taken decades to get to the point that we are with the outsourcing and oversees manufacturing that has emptied the ability of the US to manufacture basic products. The bottom line is that the products these CEOs are selling need to have a higher price. They’re being subsidized by slave labor and foreign subsidies. The prices will increase. The margins will increase and new domestic competitors will emerge to take advantage of the increased margins, but it takes time. And dismissing it because it takes time is a self-defeating policy.
cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
Unfortunately, the vast majority of jobs and manufacturing is in The lower value manufacturing chain. So by chasing only the high value chain, you abandon the manufacturing operations that actually hire workers, thereby hollowing out the middle class of your country and reducing the consumers of the products that you sell. A counterproductive and shortsighted strategy.
cudgy··on DigiKey's Tariff Resources
“And the US manufacturers in the space that WERE still selling products despite the international competition will just increase their prices now that competition is more expensive.”

And an industrial entrepreneur, such as yourself, might start a new business, making these products at a cheaper price in the US due to the new inefficiencies of simply raising prices by existing manufacturers. It takes time for these things to move through the system.

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