10,404 karma · joined May 23, 2010
Email: c@corincole.com
(Yes please change to swores)
(As a Brit, I'm pleasantly surprised how smoothly our vaccine roll out is going so far!)
Equally, any EU member state could have chosen to go their own way. The EU didn't force them to collectively bargain to (successfully) get better value deals.
Maybe the EU will do a worse job distributing, but it's too early to say.
However, there is not yet any evidence I've seen that the vaccine can cause Bell's Palsy. There's not conclusive evidence it can't, but the FDA says: "The observed frequency of reported Bell’s palsy in the vaccine group is consistent with the expected background rate in the general population."
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/covid-vaccine-bells-palsy/
(Please do correct me if I'm out of date and there's anything showing statistical significance, but I don't see anything new from a quick Google.)
When you vaccinate a lot of people, some of them will develop medical problems that would have developed regardless of the vaccine. It's not impossible you will be proven right once there is more data, but until then it is spreading misinformation to say that the vaccine did cause the problem.
The traditional way (as used by the Oxford/Astrazenica covid vaccine, and others) is to show the body what the virus looks like by giving it non-harmful bits of protein that look like the bit of the virus the immune system will need to recognise.
The mRNA ones (like Pfizer's or Moderna's) use mRNA code to tell your body to create those harmless proteins, and then the rest is the same - your immune system learns to recognise them, which is good because it will be more likely to recognise the real virus.
The mRNA technique is just moving the "create these harmless things" from the lab to inside the body. It doesn't change how your body fights the virus compared to traditional vaccine methods.
(mRNA vaccines have also been undergoing safety tests for years, these ones for covid are the first approved but not because previous/ongoing ones were shown to be unsafe.)
e.g. info from CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/different...
But based on past vaccines for other viruses and the way they and the covid vaccines help your body be better prepared to fight the virus, it's a reasonable guess that they may well at least limit spread, perhaps even close to prevent it.
So you're right to point out that it's not a sure thing, but I (admittedly, not an expert, but basing on views of experts) also think it would be more surprising if the vaccines didn't slow spread at all, the bigger question will be to what extent (both with and without current protective tools like masks and social distancing).
To frame it like the person you replied to did, as working class people vs. elite artists, is incredibly shortsighted.
Obviously there can be cases of companies being misleading or completely fraudulent. But generally speaking you aren't testing every cosmetic, food, clothing etc. to be sure that they're made the way they claim, why would water filters be different? Legislate certification for them if needed, rather than worry about how hard it is for a single person to test at home.
That doesn't tell you anything useful about them vs. placebo though? And "all (except maybe the best one)" seems to be entirely gut instinct not logic. You don't need to even try the surgeries to know that either all, some, or none will be better than placebo.
If both types of surgery perform the same, they could both be better, both be worse than, or both be the same as placebo. If one type is better than the other then maybe they're both better than placebo in different amounts, maybe both worse in different amounts, maybe one better the other worse than placebo, maybe one is same as placebo and other better, or one the same and other worse.
Knowing that two surgical approaches give different results gives no hint as to where placebo would perform in comparison, just that it can't be the same as both of them. It can still be better than both, or worse than both, with no reason to suspect one more than the other without other priors or actually testing vs. placebo.
No doubt they, like Beethoven, would be much more able to compose some if not all in their heads than i would be, but it doesn't mean they don't still find useful, at least sometimes, basic stuff that amateur composers do.
Then again, despite being a professional singer when I was young and then attempting to study composing I discovered I have no skill for it - so composing even a simple orchestral piece without being deaf seems complex to me.
So it could well be that he would have preferred to use the organ's range earlier but just not wanted that instrument in his music. And that's not necessarily an insult to pipe organs - I think they sound lovely, watching somebody play well can be as enjoyable as almost any other instrument, and I'm a big fan of them in their place. But their place is pretty niche really - there's lots of lovely (but religious) choral works that use one, due to churches historically, and there are nice things written for organ. But it's pretty rare for organ to be the keyboard instrument of choice in orchestral music, chamber music, etc
The majority conclusion I've seen in Europe about why earlier death rates were so high in some places was that the hospitals were overloaded and therefore didn't have enough capacity (staff, equipment, etc) and therefore some died due to there not being enough ventilators.
This isn't my field of expertise so I'm very open to finding out that my impression is wrong, but my gut feeling is that your comment is not accurate.
So yes, it's not binary between normally being infinate and now not, but it's also a bit too reductive to make that point without also being clear that Covid has caused more and worse triaging than usual. (But someone needed to make your portion of that point and you did it much better than I could have, so thanks!)
I'm very much onboard with what you wrote, but I too saw this post and wondered what it was about him that took his death to HN's front page.
There are NHS vaccination reminder cards which you'll be given at your first appointment and recommended to keep in your wallet - with sticker(s) of what dates you had / will have jabs, and a little info about how to find out more info.
This is standard NHS practise for vaccinations that require multiple spaced out injections - I've had two cards pretty much identical to the photo I've seen of the covid ones in the last few years, for other vaccines from the NHS.
The UK's Health Minister confirmed to Sky News yesterday morning that they are not for providing proof you've been vaccinated, and that they do not need to be kept after your final injection.
UK is getting this vaccine first because MHRA approved it before EMA did (and any EU country is allowed to use this shortcut that MHRA is so far the only one to have used), not because we have a deal to get it first.