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cloche

466 karma · joined April 20, 2021

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cloche··on A flawed paper in management science has been cited more than 6k times
> Because published articles frequently omit key details

This is a frustrating aspect of studies. You have to contact the authors for full datasets. I can see why it would not be possible to publish them in the past due to limited space in printed publications. In today's world though every paper should be required to have their full datasets published to a website for others to have access to in order to verify and replicate.

cloche··on American importers and consumers bear the cost of 2025 tariffs: analysis
> But why? Why would a US citizen want to be snapping mobile phones together for 6-12 hours every day?

I live in the US and don't support the tariffs but I'll give my best shot at answering.

The US is fairly poorly educated on the whole. In order for people to survive, there need to be an abundance of low skilled jobs. AI and automation is threatening to remove these jobs. What are the poorly educated going to do? Decades ago, someone could work in a factory for their whole life. Yes it was monotonous work but it would provide a living and allow someone to buy a house and life their life. I know because my grandparents came over from Europe after WWII and did this. They spoke poor English but could work in a factory and have a house and a car and live a good life. That's not the case anymore. With further automation and the pace of change increasing, it worries a lot of these types of people. If you have no education and your factory closes, there are not many other options for you.

The idea isn't to bring just one manufacturing plant for snapping phones together. It's to bring many, many plants back to provide these jobs for the poorly educated. So instead of just having one plant in your town, you have several. That means there will be competition for workers and wages will rise.

That's the idea anyway. Do I think it's possible to rollback to that time? No, I don't. But this is what people, mainly in rural areas, want to hear.

Part of the problem is that the US doesn't want to invest in education as a whole. Education would be a better long-term solution. Instead, this leads to the visa situation where the US needs to import a lot of technically skilled workers rather than developing them locally.

cloche··on Why Is Greenland Part of the Kingdom of Denmark? A Short History
The leader of the US was actually supposed to function as a king. Washington was offered the role of king for the new country however he rejected it which ended up leading to the presidential role.

It's strange how much reverence Americans place in the presidential role as if it were actually a king.

cloche··on When someone says they hate your product
Taken from the Donald Trump School of Leadership I'm sure :)
cloche··on Founder Mode
Thanks! That totally makes sense when you think about it.
cloche··on Founder Mode
> On the flip side you can hire Michael Jordan and screw everything else up and still win

Unless your company is a baseball team

cloche··on Founder Mode
Really interesting response. So if hiring from the outside isn't ideal and promoting from within isn't ideal, what is the solution? Going back 3 years ago, what would you have done instead?
cloche··on Ask HN: What is the best financial advice someone has ever given you?
https://thetaoofwealth.wordpress.com/2013/02/17/harry-browne...

  1. Your career provides your wealth
  2. Don't assume you can replace your wealth
  3. Recognize the difference between investing and speculating
  4. No one can predict the future
  5. No one can move you in and out of investments consistently with precise and profitable timing
  6. No trading system will work as well in the future as it did in the past
  7. Don't use leverage
  8. Don't let anyone make your decisions
  9. Don't ever do anything you don't understand
  10. Don’t depend on any one investment, institution, or person for your safety
  11. Create a bulletproof portfolio for protection
  12. Speculate only with money you can afford to lose
  13. Keep some assets outside the country in which you live
  14. Beware of tax-avoidance schemes
  15. Ask the right questions
  16. Enjoy yourself with a budget for pleasure
  17. Whenever you’re in doubt about a course of action, it is always better to err on the side of safety
cloche··on Ask HN: How to Become a Billionare?
Get lucky by being born at the right time so that when a technological revolution starts, you're able to build up a monopoly-like position in the market. Ideally, you've prepared for this by working or studying the field for several years prior to it taking off. You have well-connected parents who are able to open doors for you and give you seed money so you can take risks without worrying about becoming destitute.
cloche··on Hell is other people: performance management at Big Tech
It's also not a good analogy because it compares across positions. Someone in marketing would not be compared against an engineer.
cloche··on Who profits most from America's baffling health-care system?
There's always winners and losers with any type of change. Look at COVID. Some companies thrived and had their best years ever and others went bankrupt and closed down.

A lot of negotiators talk about win-win agreements which may be true with just two parties. I think once you get beyond that, no true win-win agreement is possible and some people are going to lose out. Trying to appease every single interest group is what leads to a lack of progress.

cloche··on Ask HN: I found that I often have a lazy day after productive day
On productive days do you work too much? Have you tried setting limits on your work on those days?
cloche··on Former VP Claims Salesforce Lied About Software Capabilities: 'It Was All a Lie'
Yes I am struggling with this exact situation. A person on my team fits this profile. They can do the work. It's just that their output is below average except for the times when we've had serious discussions about their performance. They will improve for maybe a month or two before regressing back to their previous level.
cloche··on Do you find mentoring and code review boring?
I can relate. This was pre-pandemic but I was a mentor of a junior who I quickly identified as someone who was struggling. To compensate I spent a lot of time with them, meeting multiple times per week. Looking back after two years I can't honestly say I saw any improvement and think I just wasted all that time. I used to hear about companies that require junior devs to reach a certain level within 2 years or they're let go and think that was harsh. Now I think it's necessary. If someone hasn't shown improvement in 2 years, it's highly unlikely they'll change. I think I also learned the lesson that if you need to spend time on people, spend it on the people who are worth spending it on.
cloche··on Are daily standups hurting your team?
It's not micromanagement when the manager is trying to understand what is happening on the team. That's part of their job. If they were asking for updates from you every 5 minutes, that would be micromanagement.

How long do you think your manager should go without knowing what you're doing?

cloche··on Daylight saving time is 'not helpful' and has 'no upsides,' experts say
Agree. I lived in Japan which doesn't change clocks. In the summer the sun rises at 4:30am but it's only light out until maybe just before 8pm.
cloche··on My Emotions as a CEO
I've worked for a couple single founder businesses (not with OP though). I'll never do it again. I think it's much healthier when they have someone on equal footing that can tell them when they're being unreasonable and going in the wrong direction. As a single founder with all the control, it's too easy to just dismiss concerns that employees raise. I guess that's where the arrogance comes from. Absolute power corrupts and all that...
cloche··on Ask HN: What is your strongest contrarian opinion?
The South should have been allowed to secede from the Union.

The US would be much better off today although that would have come at the expense of the new country.

cloche··on Ask HN: What is your strongest contrarian opinion?
> D - I love the US and what it stands for, but if there hadn’t been a revolution then no big deal, we’d probably be in the same place more or less.

You could say this about most revolutions, and wars too for that matter. They accomplish little in the long run.

cloche··on Ask HN: What is your strongest contrarian opinion?
Pair Programming is always suggested by the worst programmers.
cloche··on Ask HN: What is your strongest contrarian opinion?
> Immigrants (like me in UK) should not have a right to vote until they get citizenship. This is the proof that you actually understand the country you live in.

This is how it is in the US. As a non-citizen immigrant I can understand this point of view. On the other hand, it's taxation without representation which is what Americans originally fought for.

cloche··on What I Learnt Becoming a Tech Lead
Haha, this also happened to me.

Although in my defense, I was actually thinking of leaving the company before becoming lead. In fact I probably stayed longer than I would have otherwise due to the opportunity.

cloche··on 20 years after 9/11: Will we ever stop taking our shoes off at airports?
Doesn't really answer the question
cloche··on 20 years after 9/11: Will we ever stop taking our shoes off at airports?
In a suddenly chaotic situation how does the distributed security communicate and know they're on the same side and not treat each other as the enemy?
cloche··on Ask HN: Do software engineers have leverage?
I don't know if those types of articles have any effect. Salaries are much higher in SE than other fields. That has a much larger impact of driving people towards CS than any articles could have.
cloche··on Ask HN: Do software engineers have leverage?
I've wondered why software engineers don't get royalties similar to Hollywood writers. If a writer writes a hit show/movie that is still played 10 years down the road, they receive royalties. Why isn't software the same? If I write code that is still producing value for the company after 10 years, shouldn't I get royalties for that?

I disagree about the open source effect. I think the rise of open source has been a great catalyst for advancing the industry. If every company had to do everything themselves, the Internet would still be stuck in the 1990's.

cloche··on Ask HN: What huge mistake did you make early in your career?
Stayed in Canada too long.

It had always been in the back of my mind to move to the US for work but I never did due to not being confident enough.

I realized in my mid-30's that I was approaching a "now or never" scenario and finally made the move to the Bay Area. I really wish I had done it right away at the start of my career rather than spending time at small companies working on small projects.

I know it's better late than never but I know I would have been so much further along in my career by now had I followed my instincts.

cloche··on Ask HN: What huge mistake did you make early in your career?
Same experience here. I always considered myself poor at interviews even though I've done well wherever I worked.

This time around, I put in 6 months of preparation and it paid off. It's the first job in my 10+ year career where I've felt like I got to choose the job I wanted rather than just accepting what was offered. Although the difference with me is that I feel like this is the first job where I have a strong possibility of staying for more than 4 years.

cloche··on Ask HN: What huge mistake did you make early in your career?
Not sure if that's the right lesson. After all, the 1 stakeholder did show up. It would have been a slight to them if you had called off the meeting (basically saying to them that they're not the important one).

I think a better lesson would have been to make sure to check in with the other 2 stakeholders soon after the meeting and provide them with the minutes so they were in the loop.

cloche··on Survey shows people no longer believe working hard will lead to a better life
Most renters are not renting "New US homes" and rent does not buy a house. It's a pretty poor comparison.
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