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cft

8,581 karma · joined December 14, 2010

https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=cft
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cft··on SEC has not approved Bitcoin ETFs [fixed]
And so is economic growth by printing USDs. Let's see which one collapses first.
cft··on Alaska Airlines grounds Boeing 737 Max 9 planes after mid-air window blowout
Number one reason is lack of meaningful competition (political buying decision Boeing vs Airbus) and industry monopolization. In the 1960s there were Douglas, Convair, Lockheed, Boeing domestically
cft··on San Francisco’s rent prices have never returned to pre-2020 levels
That was the 1950-70s I am told
cft··on San Francisco’s rent prices have never returned to pre-2020 levels
Used to be called War Zone, echoing its street names: Russia, Italy, etc
cft··on Hacker News Activity Analysis with GPT-4 Agent
Very interesting, 2012 marks an inflection point, a change of the regime. I noticed that at that time the discourse shifted from the founder's concerns to that of the employees and became less interesting for me.
cft··on The changing face of post-pandemic New York City
Not sure how you drew that conclusion, from the original write-up:

"The median wage of those who left the city in 2022 was $49,000, which was 18% less than those who left in 2021.

Among those who left the city in 2022, 64% were non-White, which was higher than the 58% in 2021 and the 62% in 2019 and 2018."

cft··on Lithium “shortage” bubble implodes again
Since the end of the USD as the world reserve currency is imminent, the wisest thing US government can do is promote and favor Bitcoin. It's better to have a world reserve currency that no one controls, than CNY.
cft··on China is building nuclear reactors faster than any other country
It may seem counterintuitive, but in 100 years, the West may economically choke under the burden of overregulation and central planning, while China, tired of the CCP, could become a free enterprise economy.
cft··on USB DNA micro sequencer for $1k
Do you see a way to simplify this? Say you want to engineer useful bacteria or something, and avoid dealing with the large human genome and regulation?
cft··on OpenAI researchers warned board of AI breakthrough ahead of CEO ouster
This post was sunk by HN algorithm or by manual intervention
cft··on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO
Sutskever says there's a "phase transition" at the order of 9 bn neurons, after which LLMs begin to become really useful. I don't know much here, but wouldn't the monomodels become overfit, because they don't have enough data for 9+bn parameters?
cft··on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO
Ilya won't stick around for long probably. It will be interesting what he can do independently. Probably not a lot.
cft··on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO
You are forgetting about the end of the Moore's law. The costs for running a large scale AI won't drop dramatically. Any optimizations will require non-trivial expensive PhD Bell Labs level research. Running intelligent LLMs will be financially accessible only to a few mega corps in the US and China (and perhaps to the European government). The AI "safety" teams will control the public discourse. Traditional search engines that blacklist websites with dissenting opinions will be viewed as the benevolent free speech dinosaurs of the past.
cft··on SEC charges Kraken for operating as an unregistered securities exchange
The point is that majority mining is disassociated with the majority ownership of the underlying crypto in the pow case
cft··on SEC charges Kraken for operating as an unregistered securities exchange
Also Ethereum switched to proof of stake. Which means that the "stakeholders" (shareholders) are voting what transactions go into the ledger. Bitcoin is proof of work still.
cft··on Friendster Tech Stack?
"When it launched, the service was powered by a Java back end running on Apache Tomcat servers with a MySQL database."

https://www.infoworld.com/article/2668567/friendster-scales-...

cft··on OpenAI negotiations to reinstate Altman hit snag over board role
If Steve can make him stay and remain productive, he's a real business genius
cft··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
This should be upvoted as the comment of the year.
cft··on LockBit says it's leaked 50GB of stolen Boeing files after ransom fails to land
That can replace PCI compliance then. Sounds like a better option
cft··on No bar exam required to practice law in Oregon starting next year
So now we will have prosecutors and judges who didn't pass the bar exam?
cft··on The Humane AI Pin Launches Its Campaign to Replace Phones
The new SV bubble is inflating! Say hi to real estate price increases.
cft··on Is AI the next crypto? Insights from HN comments
The most negative argument about GPT-like AI for me is that it has summed up all world's information into only one "correct" opinion. Bing chat for example terminates the conversation and offers you to apologize when you reply that it's incorrect and you don't like its biases. With the old search engines, at least, in theory, you could get links to websites with different points of view.
cft··on Starlink achieves cash-flow breakeven, says SpaceX CEO Musk
Probably one of the best uses of taxpayers money. Better than the wars. By the way, Fairchild Semiconductor, the first chip company, the predecessor of Intel was also supported by taxpayers money, because its largest orders came from the Apollo program and the military.
cft··on Why banks are suddenly closing down customer accounts
That started only recently, around 2020ish. If you don't use the data (basic plan) and access your sms and vms via a web page using a VPN, you are ok (first hand experience, expat in EU)
cft··on Why banks are suddenly closing down customer accounts
Eventually more and more use cases for Bitcoin will emerge, as the government becomes less competent and more reckless with its fiat. It costs $35,000 for a reason.
cft··on Pixel 8 Pro
Pro starts from $1000. First Android phone 's HTC Dream launch price was $180 (with a 2y contract), the phone had a physical keyboard, a physical trackball, a replaceable battery, it was a real work tool.
cft··on Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro
Pro starts from $1000. First Android phone 's HTC Dream launch price was $180 (with a 2y contract), the phone had a physical keyboard, a physical trackball, a replaceable battery, it was a real work tool.
cft··on Striking auto workers want a 40% pay increase–the same rate their CEOs’ pay grew
During the same time, the US automakers worldwide market share shrunk from 30% to about 10%.
cft··on Colorado peak linked to 1864 atrocity has been renamed Mount Blue Sky
Same thing was done by the Bolsheviks and French revolutionaries (regardless of the merit). French even renamed the calendar months, but then reverted on everything. Russians didn't revert. Let's see where this goes here.
cft··on People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time
Also Japan's tobacco consumption rank is 33, while the US' is 68, and yet it's average life expectancy is much longer (4 vs 58)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tobacco_consumption_by_count...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_ex...

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