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cellis

3,116 karma · joined July 18, 2007

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cellis··on Audiobooks vs. Printed Books: a debate as a reader and an author
Audiobooks are just a far superior experience to me. It's like reading someone's blog vs their podcast. I probably won't read the Huberman blog.
cellis··on Canadian math prodigy allegedly stole $65M in crypto
It may not pass muster with a judge in some backwater, but with one in the Northern District of California or a jury of their HN peers, it might. Laws are what we make them.
cellis··on What if your website had business hours? (2022)
Depends on what you're selling. Patek Phillipe, Vacheron watches? Never mind business hours, it's "By Appointment only". A USB-c to USB-a adapter that I need tomorrow? Yeah you better be open buddy, or prime will.
cellis··on US appeals court rules AI generated art cannot be copyrighted
How is that any different than a prompt engineer other than the degree to which "...actively participates in the performance and creation"?
cellis··on The model is the product
Exactly, as I've said upthread, DeepSeek + Together.ai, Mistral, Meta + Grok...there are too many opensource + infra teams for this "sealed model" strategy to ever work.
cellis··on The model is the product
Cursor uses both Anthropic and OpenAI and benefits from both. Would <FoundationalProvider> be able to build CursorKiller and be competitive with Cursor without <OtherFoundationalProvider>? Without a multiple of current model performance, which don't think is a stretch to say is unlikely, I don't think they can.
cellis··on The model is the product
I just saw a billboard sign for “deepseek on together.ai” on the 101 a couple days ago, and thought “that’s a very good idea”. As long as there are infra players like together.ai and truly open source crack research teams like DeepSeek and Meta (no one can monopolize research(ers)) I don’t think this “gated model” thesis holds. Which means that OpenAI and Anthropic are competing with every other token output wrapper, and somewhat poorly as they aren’t able to offer competing models where theirs may be lacking. Cursor defines this dilemma for the foundational providers.
cellis··on Show HN: Willpayforthis.com – Ideas people will pay for
Maybe we need a "What would you pay for?" thread on HN every month.
cellis··on DeepSeek Open Infra: Open-Sourcing 5 AI Repos in 5 Days
Resources still need to be allocated. Even by the AI itself. At some point a group of neurons will “argue” for more resources, and then within that group a subgroup will, and so forth. Hence the paperclip maximizes…
cellis··on Troubled electric truck maker Nikola files for bankruptcy
“The stock is the product!”
cellis··on A Language Server for Postgres
Can we get an (easy to use) vscode debugger for plpgsql next?
cellis··on Don't Be Frupid
Was nodding along until "...consolidating databases into a single underpowered behemoth...". Nothing worse than race conditions and stale data between multiple disparate datastores. I'd rather have one database and more ram for as long as possible, tyvm. Some of the latest nights I've had debugging were at companies with mission critical data spread across multiple databases. I know it's orthogonal to the point, but this one really didn't land with me.
cellis··on The leading AI models are now good historians
Also so little training data from that era. Like, exponentially more data was created after, say, <year when most records become digitized = 1970>
cellis··on TikTok preparing for U.S. shut-off on Sunday
Exactly. There was a blog post a couple years ago called “The Tyranny of the marginal user” that states this principle succinctly. If it’s anymore effort than a thumb swipe, you’re losing users in a hurry.
cellis··on 41% of Employers Worldwide Say They'll Reduce Staff by 2030 Due to AI
How many “executives” does meta need vs trad media companies in the 1900s - 2010. Those companies and by extension the execs that ran them have been entirely replaced by automation and AI. That’s just one example. I could name dozens of industries affected in this way. If you want to make a lot of money, look for something that’s really hard that only an “executive” does. Here’s another one: allocating capital. Investing is now increasingly run by ETFs and automated managers, not the corporate raiders of the 80s and 90s. Those people still may have monetary wealth, but not the means of production.
cellis··on 41% of Employers Worldwide Say They'll Reduce Staff by 2030 Due to AI
I disagree. In fact they’ll be the FIRST to be replaced, as that is the richest target for replacement. Think about it. You wouldn’t build a robot (R+D costs) to do the job of someone cheap unless you can build many many robots and amortize the cost over millions.

Soldiers for instance are EXTREMELY expensive; so in modern theaters they’re being replaced with drones and missiles.

And executives are being replaced with automation in that there are less and less of them and the ones that remain have much higher leverage.

cellis··on Salesforce will hire no more software engineers in 2025, says Marc Benioff
What they really meant by this is: “Competing products [at peer companies]”.

This is still in effect, however the primary competing products at peer rivals is now “foundational ai”, and they need far less people and mostly people of a very specific skill sets of ML research, Inference Scaling, Hardware R&D, AI prompt engineering research. Also the cost to play is 10 billion minimum.

So Salesforce will perform rent seeking as long as their moat allows rather than gamble on foundational ai.

cellis··on Ask HN: What are your 90% / 50% / 10% predictions for 2025 and beyond?
90% Massive wildfires in Northern California the likes of which has never been seen. Hope I’m wrong.

50% Ukraine ceasefire but no peace treaty, negotiated by France + US

10% a new social movement sweeps the globe

cellis··on Gamblers behind half of abusive posts to tennis stars
I guess you'll also need to ban the stock market and cryptocurrencies as well, especially options and memecoins.
cellis··on Shaderblocks: Block-based image editing
You can do all that with comfyui now
cellis··on Launch HN: Codebuff (YC F24) – CLI tool that writes code for you
Have an upvote! I've been trying it out, it's quite nice. What I like about this vs CoPilot and Cursor is that I feel like (especially with CoPilot) I'm always "racing" the editor. Also Cursor conflicts with some longstanding keybindings I have, vs this which is just the terminal. Having worked on a similar system before, I know it's difficult to implement some of these things, but I am concerned about security. For instance, how well does it handle sensitive files like dot.env or gitignored files. At some point an audit, given that you're closed source would go a long way.
cellis··on Show HN: BladeEvader – a game you play by moving your real head
Ha! That's fun. Mediapipe api + threejs?
cellis··on VC Fund gives money back, says the market for mature startups is too weak
Right, better to give the money back and preserve IRR/ reputation than try to simply earn carry.
cellis··on AI Companions Reduce Loneliness
I could make the same argument for every form of entertainment. Sure, we should all be hunter gatherers and only have sex to procreate. It's not realistic.
cellis··on How to succeed in MrBeast production (Leaked PDF)
Because of switching costs. If you start a new thing this is definitely the case. It’s often said that a new product (startup), can’t be a marginal improvement; it needs to be 10x better. 95 percentile is not 10x
cellis··on Ask HN: Why is Pave legal?
> Uber is objectively worse for every single party involved.

Wrong on at least one count. I've never been refused service while black from Uber. The taxi industry was brought out of the dark ages of discrimination by Uber et al. Taxis (around the world) have tried to rip me off almost half the time I've used them, with no accountability.

cellis··on Dynamicland 2024
He has delivered on many things, and not delivered on many other ideas. It’s just that the things he didn’t deliver ( the vision ) helped him sell stocks as well as cars, via fame.
cellis··on Dynamicland 2024
Elon Musk has certainly been made very rich from ideas alone.
cellis··on Ask HN: Where to find domain experts for 1:1 tutoring?
And way before that, there was this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_Answers
cellis··on Show HN: Isoflow.io – Text-to-Diagram v1
Love the idea and isometric style! I played with it, I think the dragging needs some work...

Edit:

  * Enter should leave the editing modal with the updated title reflected on the "node"
  * I want to drag my "nodes" around but it's not clear how to do that.
  * Can't edit or delete the nodes ( maybe with an authenticated account? )
  * Wishlist: right click context menu to do the above
  * Wishlist: should be able to drag the scene without needing to select the hand icon
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