284 karma · joined August 17, 2010
I'm well aware that people upvoted it because they agreed with the sentiment. I was trying to say that this is not a good thing, and that the name-calling (not just "caustic wording" mind you, name-calling is a different beast) should have stopped any upvoting in spite of any agreement. I'm sure many on HN would disagree, since people mostly voted those comments up.
But now put yourself in the author's shoes. Then suddenly you can see how direct the comment really was, calling you a "fucking asshole". Not exactly the height of discourse here on HN. Calling names is a far cry from writing a one-sided article. It was only inflammatory in that he disagreed with most people, and said people are horribly sensitive about this topic.
If you must use beta users as a metric, be very conservative and realize that most of those signed up will probably not even use the beta, let alone buy the product (this varies by industry and product of course, among many other factors). In your case, you might think 1 in 100 signups will become customers, or 1 in 1000, or 1 in 10. Since we don't know what the product/market/marketing methods etc are, you're the best one to make the guess.
But yeah, you should talk to real potential customers.