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avs733

5,626 karma · joined October 6, 2015

ex semiconductor engineer, social science researcher, entrepreneurship researcher, quantitative geek, serial founder, engineering professor.
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avs733··on Sandwich Bill of Materials
Now do something something soup something

https://soup.gua-le-ni.com/

avs733··on US labels SpaceX a common carrier by air, will regulate firm under railway law
A work to rule union would probably do more damage to space x than a strike…
avs733··on CISA’s acting head uploaded sensitive files into public version of ChatGPT
Whoever needs to to do their job. And you put in security controls (e.g. part A and part B). Also compensate your people well and don’t publicize who they are.

Semiconductor does this all the time…engineers on team A know only about their process critical gate materials step. Engineers on team B know about their lithography step. They are trained not to disclose and people respect that.

avs733··on CISA’s acting head uploaded sensitive files into public version of ChatGPT
The question isn’t whether they want it is whether they have a business need, as with any employee.

The CEO of vocal cola has no business need to know the secret formula. Giving it to him has no upside only downside, so you don’t.

avs733··on Tesla ending Models S and X production
Regular car factories with a fancy name.
avs733··on Germany Forces Lexus to Remotely Kill Car Heating in Dead of Winter
That is a wildly misleading headline…
avs733··on The Nobel Prize and the Laureate Are Inseparable
I’ve started to refer to it as the “Tony Soprano presidency”. It fits so much of the logic.
avs733··on Texas first state to end American bar association oversight of law schools
again, this change has nothing to do with the bar exam. It is who is allowed to take the bar exam.
avs733··on Texas first state to end American bar association oversight of law schools
they aren't doing that...they are just changing who is in charge of the trade group.
avs733··on Texas first state to end American bar association oversight of law schools
This is not about the Bar exam (the test), this is about accreditation of law degrees. The issue is about here is about who determines whether a legal education is sufficient to trust that a lawyer who passes the test is prepared for practice. This issue is the opposite of being completely test-based. The ABA also creates the most common bar exam (the MBE or multistate bar exam) but some states like California use a different exam. The legal profession does not, but many have long argued should, have a practice requirement for independent licensure to practice.

It is akin to ABET (previously Accreditation Board of Engineering and Technology) in engineering. having an ABET accredited engineering degree has long been a component (alongside testing and mentored practice) for being a licensed engineer who can stamp drawings (e.g., structural plans for buildings). There are two tests (FE and PE) but they are not created by ABET they are created by an organization called NCEES - The National Council of Examiners for Engineering and Surveying.

ABET and NCEES are different organizations, part of the confusion here is that ABA is both the accreditor and the tester in many states. The difference in path between accreditor -> testing -> licensure is:

ABA accredited degree -> ABA (MBE) or other (non-ABA) Bar exam -> Lawyer

ABET accredited degree -> FE exam (made by NCEES) -> mentored work experience -> PE exam (made by NCEES) -> Professional Engineer

avs733··on A school locked down after AI flagged a gun. It was a clarinet
“School resource officers” shoot kids (and themselves) with terrifying frequency, the kids typically unarmed and often autistic/neurodivergent.

(The worlds laziest lit review) https://letmegooglethat.com/?q=school+resource+office+shoots...

avs733··on How wealth dies
I kept having my bad vibes meter triggered by the italics so thanks for making the connection for me.
avs733··on Digital ID, a new way to create and present an ID in Apple Wallet
I've had state government (including both cops and clerks) refuse to acknowledge my digital ID in my state.
avs733··on The Department of War just shot the accountants and opted for speed
Tomato / tomato

Feature / bug

avs733··on LLMs are steroids for your Dunning-Kruger
you are not the only one. There was a paper covering this exact topic in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences a few years back [0].

Passive learning (lecture) scored better on:

* Student Enjoyment

* Feeling of Learning

* Instructor effectiveness

* I wish all my courses where taught this way

Active Learning (i.e., not lecture) scored better on:

* Actual learning

The differences are not small.

[0] https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1821936116

avs733··on Collins Aerospace: Sending text messages to the cockpit with test:test
I would guess it limits their ability to be accused of anythign to pick a plane, flight, and time that meets at least three criteria:

1) no passengers on board - you can't be accussed of endangering passengers

2) long past - you can't be accused of anything that happened recently

3) the plan literally no longer exists - you can't be accussed of damaging a plane

avs733··on Public Montessori programs strengthen learning outcomes at lower costs: study
As someone who has worked in education for about a decade now, I use this quote a lot:

You can’t understand Google unless you know that both Larry and Sergey were Montessori kids. — Marissa Mayer

avs733··on AWS multiple services outage in us-east-1
i'll bet there are a large number of systems that are dependent on multiple cloud platforms being up without even knowing it. They run on AWS, but rely on a tool from someone else that runs on GCP or on Azure and they haven't tested what happens if that tools goes down...

Common Cause Failures and false redundancy are just all over the place.

avs733··on Did Space Debris Hit A United Flight Over The Rockies Thursday?
1) if this was big enough to get picked up on a 737 radar I think we would be having a very different conversation...

2) even if it did... rentry velocity is like miles per second, that would give you on the order of single digit seconds to recognize something on an intersecting trajectory and take action...

3) even then, I would bet that an object on this trajectory and speed would get filtered out as noise by aircraft radar because it is so antithetical to the types of things an airliner needs to inform pilots of.

avs733··on Legal Contracts Built for AI Agents
I interpreted the comment as worrying about drift across many contracts not one contract changing.

Imagine I create a new agreement with a customer once a week. I’m no lawyer so might not notice the impact of small wording changes on the meaning or interpretation of each sequential contract.

Can I try and prompt engineer this out? Yeah sure. Do I as a non lawyer know I have fixed it - not to a high level of confidence.

avs733··on OpenAI's hunger for computing power
Which means it will be made into a terrible outcome for everyone.
avs733··on A Postmark backdoor that’s downloading emails
This is unfair. It presumes a universal understanding of something largely because it is obvious to us. Most computer users have little to know detailed understanding of how any computer technology works, and because they are invisible and abstract, even less understanding of the risks they expose themselves to.

The answer to you gun analogy is false because it assumes basic knowledge of a gun. This is part of why so many kids shoot themselves or family members with guns - because they don’t know if you pull the trigger something violent will happen until they are taught it.

avs733··on In Maine, prisoners are thriving in remote jobs
This is the result of the dehumanization effort. It highlights OPs point in attempting to refute it
avs733··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
I’ve had this conversation with friends for a while…the idea that capitalism has crossed over from a theory of economics to an epistemological perspective.

To me the end game if this is incredibly dark because it is substituting something that can be fought for and won and acquired through malevolent means as a basis for making truth.

avs733··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
Quite a while back the exponent podcast did an episode that has stuck with me for a long time about what they called “principal stacks” as an analogue to protocol stacks.

The idea that I left with was to look at the hierarchy of principles not just the set of or claimed principles.

At this point it seems as if the top of the principal stack for those in power isn’t even more power anymore, it’s just grift.

avs733··on Bringing fully autonomous rides to Nashville, in partnership with Lyft
and RAPIDLY growing in Atlanta from what I see as I wander the city. I just saw one of their new Geely based vehicles today for the first time.

I will say as someone who is suspicious of self driving cars...they are not really worse than Atlanta drivers as a typical pedestrian. They are dangerous in different ways...but not necessarily more or less.

avs733··on US High school students' scores fall in reading and math
They used to look up to professional athletes.

It is more statistically realistic for them to want to be a successful influencer than it is for them to be a professional athlete.

avs733··on US High school students' scores fall in reading and math
> Just looking at the picture triggered me. Why are the students sitting in groups and cutting paper with scissors?

So, I'm going to flag this as a perfect example of legibility vs. legitimacy[0]. You, probably AP's writers, and much of the public perceive learning as ocurring in a certain way. That isn't the way that 'the best' learning occurs, its the way that most closely resembles where we think learning occurs. Going further, it is much easier to interpret a lecture hall as a learning activity because it is easy to perceive what is being 'learned'. You sort of say it yourself. you are asking a why question about what is being learned - it is less legibile - and that is leveraged into an inference that less is being learned - i.e., it is less legitimate.

The problem is that the comparison you are making is false - but deeply embedded in our minds. Students *feel* like they learn more in lectures than in 'active learning' classes.However, when their actual knowledge is tested the oppostie is actually true. The students perception and actual learning are at odds and mediated by the environment[1]. It is, again, easy to sit in a lecture and overstate (i.e., feel like) you're learning because you are watching someone who is an expert talk about something. No metacognitive monitoring is required on the student's part. In contrast, it is really easy to perceive yourself as struggling in a class where your learning process and your failures in that process become visible. Students are taught to view failures/wrong answers as bad - so they view their process of learning as evidence of not learning.

Pedantically, no one in the picture you reference is cutting paper with scissors. There are scissors on the table, no one is cutting. You made an inference - inferences are important but difficult to test. They are working in groups to learn with peers (a science based best practice). I don't know exactly but I can infer it is related to math, possible learning to calculate area and estimate. Making that tangible, creating and measuring simple then more complex shapes helps them learn - its not arts and crafts. It leads to better conceptual understanding than an abstract explanation.

It may look different, but my hobby horse problem with US education is that everyone's vibes are treated as equivalent to actual scientific evidence. We regularly crator efforts to fix these problems simply because they don't look like the school that the parents went to. We had one parent try and ban school provided laptops (which are used for 20minutes / week) from my daughter's preK class because her kids are zero screen time. I can't imagine a parent in Japan or China even trying that.

[0] https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2010/07/26/a-big-little-idea-call...

[1] https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1821936116

As a CODA - measuring learning is shockingly hard. As an analogy, it is not deterministic it is quantum. Data tells us that if I ask demographic questions before a test, certain groups score lower than if I ask them at the end. If I ask a math question using a realistic scenario, students show higher conceptual understanding than if I ask them a fully abstracted question. If a student is hungry or tired that day, they will score lower. None of those are measuring the latent construct (e.g., math ability) that we need to estimate, even if it is a high variability measure.

avs733··on We hacked Burger King: How auth bypass led to drive-thru audio surveillance
We’ll use an influencer for example. A false dmca claim has costs for them. Immediate costs in time, demonetizing, and reputation. It also has longer term risks - e.g., copyright strikes become bans. They are incentivized to pushback but have limited tools to do so.

When dealing with a company whose business is filing dmca complaints using an automated system, the business model isn’t a lawsuit - it’s a settlement where the influencer is made whole and you get paid. The risk to the company is existential if you have enough clients using you to push back and risking them getting a platform ban or an injunction against them filing automated dmca complaints. Say they file a thousand complaints a day against a thousand YouTube channels. If even 50 of those channels file a counter claim it’s going to set off alarm bells.

All that being said the most toxic part of this is the company calling itself a cyber security company and trying to obfuscate seemingly pretty responsible disclosures using dmca.

avs733··on We hacked Burger King: How auth bypass led to drive-thru audio surveillance
Someone should see if YC will fund an ai-first company to help individuals and companies fight back against DMCA abuse and seek compensation
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