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aurareturn

8,551 karma · joined November 14, 2022

aurareturn@proton.me
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aurareturn··on M5 Ultra Mac Studio Review
M6 got another prompt processing boost. Likely no M6 Ultra though because Apple is reportedly going all in on AI performance in M7 generation.
aurareturn··on Far-left party wins Berlin election, pledging to nationalise housing
Subsidizing housing... money will have to come from somewhere - usually the middle class.

I shouldn't have to subsidize my neighbor's rental just because they chose to live in my city.

aurareturn··on Far-left party wins Berlin election, pledging to nationalise housing
Define "needed". Those luxury condos will still have people living in them whether it's a renter or owner.
aurareturn··on Far-left party wins Berlin election, pledging to nationalise housing
If I'm an entity that has 3000 or more apartments, I would have sold long ago to get to 2999. Basically as soon as I heard rumors of this law, I would have started selling.
aurareturn··on Far-left party wins Berlin election, pledging to nationalise housing

  They do want to pay landlords, though below current (very high) rates.
In San Francisco, NIMBYs secretly support laws like this. This basically guarantees that many builders will do the math and conclude that it doesn't make sense to build housing in San Francisco.

New large condo buildings have to sell 30% of the units at below market rate. This causes many viable projects to never get built.

So laws like this are sold to renter voters as a way to lower housing costs, but NIMBYs secretly love it. Over time, renters pay more in rent because there is less supply due to builders not building. However, a lucky few renters who were here early will get below market rents.

Perfect examples of voters voting for a short term fix but pay more in long term. And voting for themselves while screwing future renters.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Yes, agreed. I think just about everyone who replied to my post said something else other than personal fear, but I think personal fear is the primary reason. They just won't admit it.
aurareturn··on Burned Out and Unemployed, Young People in China Are Launching AI Startups
So are young people around the world everywhere. I think AI is a great equalizer because you can launch a company with 1-2 people while previously, you needed 10-20.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
This is a very honest post.

I think people here have stated a variety of reasons. Many go at it from an economics standpoint saying they are anti-AI because they don't think AI will make a profit because it isn't/won't be that smart.

Yet, you are saying something complete opposite. You're saying that AI could become so smart that it makes many people unemployable.

I think your reason is completely different than just about everyone's here. I think it's more honest. I think people here who hate AI for different reasons actually have the same fear inside but they don't want to admit it for some reason.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
That's great that he doesn't feel threatened.

I also don't feel threatened. I think AI is going to either create even more tech jobs or make tech jobs stay flat.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
I'd love to see numbers on dirty fossil fuel energy, how long this is needed until nuclear (and hopefully fusion) take over.

Also, since AI demand is so high, what do you suggest we do? Not do the buildout and just let people fight over tiny capacity?

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
What is the government going to do? Bail out Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, Meta? Why? They're all extremely profitable companies. At worse, they lose a year or two of profits. Who cares.

  No, it is not getting too smart. Moving too fast means exactly the opposite, they are doing idiotic and destructive things because the models are not as smart as they want us to think
The ability to do destructive things suggests that AI's capabilities are increasing.

Do you have good faith discussion? You haven't acknowledged anything that is a pro of AI.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
It isn't going to go below what it was in 2022. AI has added too much productivity since.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Their 401k and index funds have been very happy since AI buildout.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets

  1) i write code for a living.
Aligns with my reason #1 and probably #3.

  Let the VC fuckers starve to death before they use MY retirement fund without my consent because they bribe regulator to include them in protected indexes even if they have not followed the process
Probably aligns with #2. They probably will buy the dip.

  3) fuck me if i identify myself with my job, and only my job.
Aligns with #1 and #3.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
We haven’t even seen their S1 yet and we don’t know what index.

I’m personally going to invest in Anthropic and/or OpenAI outside of index funds. I’m not concerned personally.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Did the federal government bail out dotcom burst? Why and how do you think the government can bail out an AI burst?

Too fast? So it’s getting too smart too fast to you. But at the same time, they are going to need a bailout to you.

I don’t think they’re tricking anyone at all. Most normal people don’t care. They just use AI when it’s helpful to them. It’s only people who are on HN or X who care.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
1. We waste a lot of land and water on many less productive things. For example, building massive golf courses that need acres of land and water. What is the threshold for you?

2. Personally, I think the people who say LLMs are stochastic parrots are themselves stochastic parrots. They heard this term from someone online once and now they keep repeating it. Anyways, I’d love to see your math on why you think AI can’t make a profit.

3. You must be new to tech if you think it’s only AI. Many tech CEOs have always been out of touch. I personally don’t care too much about the CEOs. If AI CEOs had better PR, would you be less anti AI?

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
No. Do you?
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
So you hate AI buildout because of what Nasdaq did with SpaceX.

I’m wondering if you are just trolling.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
I’ve been engaging with every single reply.

But instead of attacking me, why don’t you engage with me.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Nuclear has been reinvigorated. HN was extremely pro Nuclear before ChatGPT hit. Now we are finally heavily investing in it again.

Fusion has been given a ton of money since AI.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
So basically all 3 reason I listed.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Elon has been scamming investors with Tesla for years.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
AI is the sole reason why stocks have gone up since 2022.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
Yes, I mentioned SpaceX a few minutes ago before your post. I didn’t like that but that’s only one company and it is Elon. He’s been scamming investors well before SpaceX.

I think Anthropic is postponing their IPO because OpenAI is killing it.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
I’m not surprised there is. I even spelled out why I think there are so many who are opposed.

There is something very contradictory about these posts.

For example, you seem to suggest that it doesn’t benefit people but AI is can also replace workers. So which is it? AI is very useful to people to a point that one person can do the job of many? Or AI is useless?

Do we have mass unemployment because of AI? No. Our unemployment rate has been very low since ChatGPT.

aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
You mean SpaceX? That’s just one. And it’s Elon. He’s been doing that before AI.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
We are building more energy now than ever. AI has forced that. If this AI bubble collapses, we will have plenty of cheap electricity.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
That’s only if they buy in now. If they don’t believe in AI, they wouldn’t buy in now.
aurareturn··on Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300B AI exposure off balance sheets
If this is true, then you can just hire them and beat out the businesses that erroneously laid off valuable workers.
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