585 karma · joined August 3, 2022
And France (nuclear powered, no particular huge investment in a green transition) beats them easily in both price and carbon.
What's the common element between these successes?
The number of passengers dropped after nationalizations, and exploded after privatisation (despite taxpayer money investment logically dropping)
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:GBR_rail_passengers_...
I don't find it very courteous to say that you're steelmanning someone's argument. Sutton is certainly smart enough to have steelmanned his argument himself. Steelmanning : do it in your head, don't say it!
So now I will remember it a bit better and for longer
Hackernews is actually like Anki cards for nerd (and in this case useless) Internet stuff
I think AI hallucination rate is already below my own hallucination rate, especially in a boring/unknown domain
Marvelous ability to convolute the simple message "rightholders told us to fuck off"
Antoine de Saint Exupéry (author of The Little Prince), in Citadelle
Here are the metrics by which the author defines this plateau: "limited by their inability to maintain coherent context across sessions, their lack of persistent memory, and their stochastic nature that makes them unreliable for complex multi-step reasoning."
If you try to benchmark any proxy of the points above, for instance "can models solve problems that require multi steps in agentic mode" (PlanBench, BrowseComp, I've even built custom benchmarks), the progress between models is very clear, and shows no sign of slowing down.
And this does convert to real-world tasks : yesterday, I had GPT-5 build me complex react charts in one-shot, whereas previous models needed more constant supervision.
I think we're moving goalposts too fast for LLMs, that's what can lead us to believe they've plateaued : but just try using past models for your current tasks (you can use use open models to be sure they were not updated) and see them struggle.
- "[AI is] far away from being substantially being better than MCTs"
^ pick only one
Using the model to generate synthetic data also allows to distil its reasoning power into other models that you train, which is very powerful.
On top of these, Qwen's technical reports follow model releases by some time, they're generally very information rich. For instance, check this report for Qwen Omni, it's really good: https://huggingface.co/papers/2503.20215
Are you suggesting to attack Russia, based on absolute thin air?