asperous

You paid “rent” to the bank in terms of interest.

I found this article BLS article on the definition of a labor shortage interesting:

https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/1999/03/art2full.pdf

The definition they settled on is "when the number of workers available (the supply) increases less rapidly than the number demanded at the salaries paid in the recent past".

According to this graph:

https://www.careerwatch.co/blog/electrician

Wages have gone up about 1.9% over the last 20 years which is just under inflation. That leads me to believe that there may not be a severe shortage. Are they just talking about this year? In which case I think every industry has claimed a shortage.

I think it's a serious threat, especially with LLMs now because people can make believable packages at scale. Not everyone vets their packages thoroughly

Here is a link for context:

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/02/03/craig-wrights-u...

I wrote the original wikipedia article for this! I haven't read the book just thought it was notable.

It was a little tough getting past the editors (the section referencing all those news articles they made me put in to reach notability). I also got called a shill for the publisher.

If he actually received $20,000 that still seems like a lot? Especially in a world where freelance writing is $0.01-$0.50 (pre-GPT3). And it sounds like at the time it was good money for the artist.

I get that he feels like he was given a small amount relative to the great success of Minecraft, but I would hope he also realizes that it was risk free cash.

Chromium has 63,438 open bugs in its bug tracker so the theory remains true, but maybe the broader point is that strong abstractions have enabled us to reach great levels of complexity. Testing, staffing, and programming best practices probably go a long way in making software like Chrome appear to work flawlessly from the outside.

An analogy would be the craftsman-factory. A craftsman knows and performs every step of the process, and the end product depends on the skill of the craftsman. While a factory each worker is limited to a specific job and the combined effort of factory workers allows products well beyond the reach of any craftsman.

The issue with the water analogy is that the "water" that the men receive is from the same source as for women therefore is just as salty.

But the broader point is true that dating sucks for everyone, men end up feeling undesirable and women feel objectified and dehumanized.

The issue here is that Russia and China have recognized that the internet is a powerful channel to introduce propaganda, sow distrust in democratic institutions, and so on [1].

I'm curious what commenters here think should be done about this, if anything?

[1] https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE10...

2% that of humans? Doesn't seem like that much.

That also means if more then 1 in 50 people decide to have a pet instead of another child it's a good trade.

[1] https://klima.com/blog/how-to-cut-your-pet-carbon-footprint-...

[2] https://www.nature.org/en-us/get-involved/how-to-help/carbon....

All of the members of this industry board have conflicts of interest being from industry, but having read the reports here:

nscai.gov

I thought the reports were good and I'm not sure how the conflicts would come through. Most of the advice would seem common sense to people on here.

Here was a case like this in the us where the courts said that the term “engineer” was allowed in non-commercial contexts:

https://ij.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Jarlstorm-opinion....

> On the contrary, there are many different types of engineers. Courts have long recognized that the term “engineer” has a generic meaning separate from “professional engineer,” and that the term has enjoyed “widespread usage in job titles in our society to describe positions which require no professional training.” […] “Engineer is synonymous with such terms as conductor, driver, handler, operator, and pilot.”

This article and many of the commenters are talking about “cost plus” pricing strategy, is perhaps it is more like a comparative-plus-cost strategy.

Consider instead a “value” strategy, specifically you can price yourself high and see if you can get engagements. If not, lower your price until you can. Or start low and raise until you can’t get engagements. Either way you are letting the market set your rate.

The truth is there is a variety of factors that control your pricing power… marketing, supply/demand, availability, quality perception, risk, fire-ability, and so on.

I would be interested to see what would happen if they blinded professor interviews to alma mater. Because that might help determine how much of it is bias-- 100%?

The inverse correlation would be that people who end up being professors attended those colleges. Maybe they were more likely to get in or are more interested in academia so focused applying to those colleges.

At least in Oregon this is already a thing

https://www.oregon.gov/ode/learning-options/HomeSchool/Pages...

That doesn't implement the algorithm nor does it meet the problem because you were able to evaluate all options and not one at a time (whereas you would need to make a irreversible decision on the spot).

It's actually simpler then that

    hi = len(a) if hi is None else hi

One way is to rely on others. If you look up citations of a paper, you can see what other papers say about it.

Look especially for meta analysis, where other scientists have gone through and critically evaluated a result, aggregated similar experiments, and checked publication bias.

"Discovery orders such as these typically cannot be appealed before final judgment is issued. However, contempt-of-court sanctions for violating a discovery order can be appealed. The request for a so-called “friendly” contempt-of-court order is designed to allow ShotSpotter to effectively appeal the discovery order by appealing the contempt order."

I agree; why not do the work to show that it scales better? It violates scientific integrity to have a hypothesis, run the experiment, find that your hypothesis was wrong but then say it is probably right regardless

I think because the moral of the story is the same, which is the airforce switched to customizable controls to support the range instead of over focusing on a single “average”.

There's quite a bit of discussion on GHG emissions of food, especially red meat. One video is here [1]

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1Hq8eVOMHs

Economics is about dividing up scarce resources "dismal science". You can't have the real purchasing power of the average person go up without there being more stuff to divide up (more efficient production, more production, etc).

You can make things more or less equal, but inflation by itself doesn't cause this to happen.

Just to dispel any confusion. AI (and specifically deep mind's reinforcement learning) can help with any task the same way computers in general can... you still have to set up the task, inputs, reward function, and so on. It's not AGI which is still science fiction. The jump between the two is very large.

Another point adding on to this, is what if strong AI does reach the level of human intelligence, but is simply very slow? Such that a billion dollar machine is needed to match the thinking speed of one person? Perhaps this wouldn't be the case forever but I would say is a possibility for it at least at first.

This doesn't mention AGI, which seems to be the prerequisite to this being a possibility. Despite impressive advances in "weak" ai, strong ai is not a simple extension of weak ai, and it's hard to tell if it will arrive within our lifetime.

It is interesting to contrast this with the ableton push or the launchpad, which basically does the opposite; gives you a physical controller tied to a digital interface.

You can do this across the whole index if you want already, and many sources do report annual changes only: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FPCPITOTLZGUSA

As for why a moving average isn't used for this one price, if they did it that way prices would be 12 months old and wouldn't reflect the most up-to-date economic conditions.

This comment section is another reason why Hacker News is not like real life :) Shopping carts are wildly popular where I live.

I wonder if shopping carts became popular alongside the rise of the car, thus you were more likely to get a “cars worth of groceries.” Another innovation in the early 20th century was the rise of bare-bones, almost-at-cost grocers outside of town that you had to drive to which during the Great Depression was were people were starting to go more often, instead of the local market.

The disappointing thing to me is all the time spent on this case: lawyers, administrators, jury members, and so on that could be doing something different, hopefully more meaningful to society.

People blame the hospitals but this the game they have to play in order to cover their costs [1]. Just seems like a tremendous waste of resources and social cost.

https://truecostofhealthcare.org/hospital_financial_analysis...