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alpineidyll3

788 karma · joined June 7, 2014

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alpineidyll3··on Microsoft limits Bing chat to five replies to prevent AI from behaving oddly
Agree. Rarely sober thinking.
alpineidyll3··on Investors, techies gather in San Francisco to bathe in hype sparked by ChatGPT
https://twitter.com/j0hnparkhill/status/1625672384345952257?...
alpineidyll3··on Investors, techies gather in San Francisco to bathe in hype sparked by ChatGPT
I went to the conference, and I do think that there will be a similar wave of revaluation for many of the companies involved.

There was generally a lack of critical thinking about moats, competition and other business realities that bring people to earth. For the time being though it's fun to watch.

alpineidyll3··on Females more likely than males to be elected in US scientific societies
So do something about it? Certainly no male can advocate for simple merit based hiring in academia anymore.
alpineidyll3··on Mandatory DEI statements are becoming the norm in academic hiring
#latestageacademia
alpineidyll3··on Zinc Finger Design AI Tool Opens Door to Large-Scale Gene Therapies
I don't know who the current leaders are in protein/RNA/DNA synthesis made to order from sequences, I think most of these shops are currently small post-research ventures. The size of these markets is about to _explode_. Talk about an investment opportunity.
alpineidyll3··on Enough Empty Office Space for 160k People in San Francisco
Besides the policy, the easy climate to be homeless definitely causes this problem to accumulate in SF moreso than say, Duluth. In Austin there is ample money to deal with homelessness but little action. Politicians tend to avoid thorny problems. Unfortunately this is a problem of survivorship. If the homeless were out of sight, no one would ever complain about them.
alpineidyll3··on Classical ML Still Relevant?
Basically in any cases of small data? Anything with less than 8000 points or so. It's a struggle to avoid ingesting bias into a deep model for such tiny data.

That said, it's pretty saturated as a field of study. People work on uncertainty quantification etc. But it's unclear what numbers people would want to improve.

alpineidyll3··on Westworld, other pulled HBO Max shows being sent to ad-supported platforms
I would love to see the data they used to make these decisions, because as a sample in the set, it seems stupid to me. I cancelled my subscription over this, meanwhile I would have happily paid double to have them continue production.

I really doubt that they maximized EV here...

alpineidyll3··on An AI lawyer was set to argue in court – real lawyers shut it down
Which of Adam Smith's principles was it that said that state regulations are needed to secure the wages of labor?... Oh wait, that's Marx.
alpineidyll3··on Realistic computer-generated handwriting
Yeah. Alex is so under-appreciated in the early-modern history of AI. This definitely works better than that did though.
alpineidyll3··on How do AIs' political opinions change as they get smarter and better-trained?
I can formulate my disagreement with you as a question in the hopes of finding common ground:

Here in the US we've seen major political parties completely realign themselves, Goldwater conservatives bear more resemblance to today's Democratic party than they do to today's GOP. Doesn't the fact that politics changes, imply that it's a reincarnation of opinion and tribalism, rather than a science rooted in fact (which is immutable)?

Not to put words in your mouth, I think the space between us is that I see a separation between policy and politics. I view politics as the science of cultivating power, and policy as something measurable and scientifically testable. Not a matter of opinion.

IMO opinion is a reflection of people's inability to commit to statistical facts, and operate using mathematical precision. There is actually no need to make decisions on the basis of opinion, if one has unlimited resources for computation, decisions are just optimization of a Bellman loss.

alpineidyll3··on How do AIs' political opinions change as they get smarter and better-trained?
For frog snacks, who the hell wants to transfer our human garbage like politics onto AI. Why would ai need politics?

I would only be interested if ais could help separate political beliefs from policy facts

alpineidyll3··on We could stumble into AI catastrophe
Worrying is only worthwhile if there is something you can do about it. I don't think there is anything most people can do to avoid the wave of human replacement that near term AI is going to cause. The best most people could manage would be to develop better philosophies and perspectives to cope with their irrelevance.
alpineidyll3··on The Collapse of U.S. Healthcare – The Perspective of a Primary Care Physician
The fact that OP feels powerless to practice without the enormous infrastructure of a hospital is clearly an issue. We need medical care regulatory reform which allows doctors to clean up this market.

Until then I just seek treatment outside the US, yay remote work!

alpineidyll3··on Not-such-better-living through chemistry
Calling doctors men of science is extraordinarily generous. Scientists do things like collect data to test hypotheses.

The ama lobbies aggressively against national medical record standardization etc.

At the end of the day, it's about whether the person making decisions has good incentives. And that's not the case in the present system.

alpineidyll3··on Not-such-better-living through chemistry
Blame is a poor choice of words. Ideally we could stop letting physicians write their own regulations, and instead have at least one mechanism with incentive to promote national health, rather than the medical industry complex.
alpineidyll3··on Not-such-better-living through chemistry
Adderall anyone? There's a panoply of legal ways to obtain amphetamines, but the US medical system is far less competent at customer service than the black market due to regulatory capture.

I think it's critical to appreciate that Physician Regulations, the AMA, etc. are the main culprits here. How they avoid getting properly blamed for things like the opioid epidemic, I have no idea.

alpineidyll3··on What ChatGPT can't do
"here are seven dark predictions:" ... "If all seven predictions prove correct, I hope that the field will finally realize that it is time to move on."

Does he even read this before he publishes it?

Intelligent criticism of these systems is critical to improving them. Francois Chollet's work is an excellent example. Merely complaining that GPT-X isn't an omnipotent, beneficent ideal AGI, is not intelligent criticism.

alpineidyll3··on ChatGPT is a ‘code red’ for Google’s search business
Just prompt it to sell the widget... Jasper ai is already doing great with that business model.
alpineidyll3··on Money Will Kill ChatGPT’s Magic
Inferences which cost a dollar today cost a dime next year.
alpineidyll3··on Vector Search Engine
We use qdrant. It's well written software. I do wish these vector indices would stop trying to be complete databases though.

Probably the best outcome is for large DB companies to acquihire and add vector queries as a feature.

alpineidyll3··on Making a Traversable Wormhole with a Quantum Computer
I don't think there's any physical argument which prevents them from existing. However what is well known is that all existing schemes require exponential energy input to scale (for example because dilution refrigeration becomes exponentially difficult)
alpineidyll3··on FTX was registered with and licensed by the CFTC, which failed to regulate FTX
This story has the details wrong. I have had an account with FTX US Derivatives since they were LedgerX (right after they got the CFTC charter).

They complied with the regulations, They still do. My assets are liquid and I was able to wire everything out. Whoever made this story doesn't understand corporate structure, and also didn't bother to check their facts in even a superficial way.

alpineidyll3··on FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried says he is in the Bahamas
Well, he said so, so ... That's a relief.
alpineidyll3··on Drop in Bay Area House Values Is Accelerating
So. much. this. Of course it will end as soon as the tax base collapses as more large businesses leave this year.
alpineidyll3··on How not to end up in jail with a felony
A family members identity was just stolen by a low level medical records employee. This woman is passing bad checks with a fake ID and her identity. Daily she is getting called about it, and it's luck she hasn't been arrested or needed credit.

The police will do nothing, because our governments are responsive to nothing because they don't have to be. Safe seats and gerrymandering have rotted out Democracy.

alpineidyll3··on Ask HN: Have you used a 3D Printer?
9.
alpineidyll3··on Show HN: If Spotify and Tinder Had a Baby
The interface is definitely responsive... but tracks I was presented to swipe on were all not my taste at all.
alpineidyll3··on Thiel Is Too Optimistic About Scientific Achievement Since the 70s
The golden age of the first half of the twentieth century was entirely propelled by new theoretical underpinnings for science (mostly qm). The theories were driven directly by unexplainable experiments.

And unfortunately we are at a point where the conditions under which our theories may not work, are not conditions we can access.

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