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alecco

11,355 karma · joined August 11, 2008

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alecco··on LLMs Are Complicated Now
Yeah, not a great apples-to-apples comparison.

I think the point stands: MoE, a myriad of complex attention approaches, shared layers, you name it. And making it all work together well is a huge trial-and-error pain even for small models, never mind getting to efficient hardware utilization.

alecco··on LLMs Are Complicated Now
Grammarly and GPTZero say 0% AI.
alecco··on Barret Zoph is out at OpenAI again after just five months
He was "VP of Research (Post-Training) at OpenAI".
alecco··on Google Is Using Nvidia's Playbook to Build a Rival AI Chip Business
https://x.com/jukan05/status/2067865844689056191

> "Some neo-clouds worry that they can’t stray from buying Nvidia’s full stack of hardware for fear of being put in “Jensen jail,” meaning they might lose their allocations of Nvidia chips, said Adam Fisher, a partner at Bessemer Venture Partners."

> It seems Jensen Huang is effectively threatening neo-clouds implying that Nvidia could cut their chip allocations if they don’t buy Nvidia’s full stack.

alecco··on Noam Shazeer Joins OpenAI
Allegedly OpenAI is struggling to jump to bigger models and had serious issues in the past (4.5) and also allegedly Shazeer is just the right guy for that. OpenAI is having issues hiring talent as most SF-style people want to go to Anthropic. Shazeer seems more politically aligned with OpenAI. But it's all speculation.
alecco··on Europe Scales Down AI Ambitions with Smaller Data Center Tender
https://www.threads.com/@stockmktnewz/post/DZui-v1ipMV/the-e...

The European Union downsized plans for data centers to support AI, outlining a call for tenders that includes smaller-scale facilities than originally envisioned.

The EU is seeking bids to build 4 data centers with at least 25,000 GPUs and 3 with at least 40,000 processors in the first phase.

The original concept called for as many as five data centers, each with 100,000 advanced chips - Bloomberg

alecco··on I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle
As a story, yes. But Terminator failed on a basic premise: Skynet becoming self-aware.

The future seems more like Blindsight [1]: hyper-intelligent, completely unconscious systems outperform, out-manipulate, and out-compete human beings purely through automated efficiency.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blindsight_(Watts_novel)

alecco··on I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle
But it's not like "shoving the logs into CNC machines". You have to understand what they are doing and point them into the right direction. LLMs very often lack common sense once you move out of easy things.
alecco··on I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle
Why is it bittersweet? Carpenters probably didn't cry when their tools improved.

It will be bittersweet when there's no human needed at the wheel but IMHO we are far, far from that. These models/agents are just mimicking human text and need guidance because they often get lost or stuck.

alecco··on I need your clothes, your boots, and your motorcycle
A perfect example of a coding agent guided by a human with domain knowledge.
alecco··on Leaked financial docs show OpenAI is losing billions of dollars a year
Yet another Ars article adding nothing to Ed Zitron's post 2 days ago and the corresponding Financial Times article.

"Exclusive: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, With Spending Hitting $34 Billion" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48550465 (188 points, 2 days ago, 108 comments)

https://www.wheresyoured.at/exclusive-openai-financials/

Please stop posting Ars. It's just blogspam, sad as that is. We need to let it go.

alecco··on U.S. science is in chaos
"The Cost of Excess" The American Council of Trustees and Alumni (ACTA) (2021) https://www.goacta.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/The-Cost-o...

"How Much Is Too Much? Controlling Administrative Costs through Effective Oversight" (2017) https://www.goacta.org/wp-content/uploads/ee/download/contro...

For the past 20 years the budgets ballooned out of control (alongside the student debt). Yes, this WH admin is anti-science but US academia is due some introspection.

Disclaimer: I'm not from US

alecco··on GLM-5.2 is the new leading open weights model on Artificial Analysis
Would that align with their VC-backed incentives?
alecco··on GLM-5.2 is the new leading open weights model on Artificial Analysis
Consider using decrementing score order (best on top)
alecco··on 4× RTX Pro 6000 Blackwell on Water, and the One Card That Wouldn't Behave
> 4× RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell Workstation (GB202, 96 GB GDDR7, 600 W)

Those are SM120 so no tmem/tcgen05 and lack of support in main libraries (it's like everybody is focusing on B300/SM100).

For that money I'd buy a single B300, similar total AI TOPS, similar GPU bandwidth aggregated, and only 25% less total memory (probably saved in less implementation complexity), half the energy consumption...

Also by having all SMs local they have the special L1-level interconnect. SMs can collaborate on the same GEMM. And a bunch of other nice features.

Or, you know, rent it.

alecco··on I admire Fabrice Bellard. He is almost certainly a better overall programmer
Bellard seems to be at the extreme tail of the distribution of talent x grit/perseverance.
alecco··on Feds freaked over Fable 5 after simple 'fix this code' prompt, not jailbreak
Could be that the generated regression tests create actionable exploit code.
alecco··on DeepSeek raises $7B at $50B valuation
They are hands down the best at serving their model via API. Currently due to caching and their special Engram technology.
alecco··on DeepSeek raises $7B at $50B valuation
Good summary:

https://xcancel.com/jukan05/status/2066752564809605584

DeepSeek Completes First External Funding Round, Raising $7.4 Billion

- DeepSeek has completed its first external fundraising round, raising more than RMB 50 billion (approximately $7.4 billion). The company was reportedly valued at over $50 billion.

- Investors are investing through a limited partnership (LP) managed by CEO Liang Wenfeng, rather than directly into DeepSeek itself. This structure allows Liang [CEO/founder] to maintain absolute control over the company.

- The China National AI Industry Investment Fund is the sole exception, investing directly in DeepSeek and receiving voting rights. The fund has committed RMB 1 billion.

- Ordinary investors receive no voting rights, but gain access to financial information and priority rights in future financing rounds. All investor stakes are subject to a five-year lock-up period, designed to discourage short-term profit-taking.

- Major investors include Liang Wenfeng (RMB 20 billion), Tencent (RMB 10 billion), CATL (RMB 5 billion), JD.com, NetEase, and IDG Capital (RMB 3 billion each).

- DeepSeek’s management reportedly conducts *due diligence* on the identities of LPs backing investment funds, aiming to prevent the entry of unwanted investors.

- DeepSeek had previously operated without external funding, but rising compute costs and intensifying competition for AI talent have increased the need for capital.

alecco··on Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
They pick random top-k next token based on their amazing 4chan/reddit training data, duh.
alecco··on Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
Another CEO with AI psychosis [1]. LLMs are not true AI, they lack common sense (or whatever it's properly called). LLM-based systems still need somebody with deep domain knowledge at the wheel to keep them from doing stupid things. It's like an alien-made bicycle that gets you to the speed of sound if you are an Olympic cyclist.

Still, LLMs are extremely powerful pseudo-AI [2] and will bring a pseudo-singularity. But the impact is still scary if a tiny fraction of humans are augmented 1000x. And as better models become exponentially more costly, only the money people will be able to afford the new models. This is a very likely scenario and scares me to the point I dropped all my projects to work on affordable LLM-based tools to make the difference at most 10x instead of 1000x.

To my elder relatives I explain it like: imagine we are farmers in the 17th century and suddenly out of nowere John Deere tractors, combines, etc. become available. But they cost more to run than all you and your fellow farmers have, so only a tiny handful of rich people take over everything.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chatbot_psychosis

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_room

alecco··on Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
DNNs/LLMs can only predict next tokens based on training data. They often make big direction mistakes as they are particularly bad at common sense. Kind of like the Paperclip Maximizer scenario. They need a human with deep knowledge to drive them and to catch them when they go off the rails.
alecco··on John Carmack on Fabrice Bellard
The smart path: Find good mentors (and return the favor); use LLMs not to do the work but to help you learn and exercise your brain: make them test you, using something aking to teacher/Socratic method, make mistakes and get the mentor/LLM to review in a way you figure out the answer.
alecco··on I admire Fabrice Bellard. He is almost certainly a better overall programmer
I just found this comment from 15y ago on the ffmpeg/libav drama: https://www.reddit.com/r/linux/comments/vvdxn/comment/c57zdk...

I don't know ffmpeg but this resonates with my experience with other open source projects.

alecco··on EU AI: the fables we told ourselves (written by famous French AI researcher)
I know there were several similar posts in the front page, but this one is much better than all the ones I read so far.
alecco··on Can Europe train a frontier AI model on the compute it owns?
> 1. In order to build competitive models, you need to offer competitive salaries and equity.

FWIW, for the equity part there's a proposal expected to pass for next year: https://www.eu-inc.org/ (but it doesn't address taxes, cross-border employment, or anything significant so it's mostly moot). The main goal is to attract native VCs.

AFAIK it's designed by lawyers and old money, with little to no input from tech entrepreneurs.

alecco··on Apple Foundation Models
Even their own employees get frustrated if they can't use Claude or Codex. 6-9 months is a big difference and I think it's closer to 9 than 6. And never mind the harness etc are also many months behind.
alecco··on Apple Foundation Models
When you say "Pro" territory, do you include Fable?
alecco··on Apple Foundation Models
In spite of their deeper pockets, massive datacenters, colosal amounts of user data, and hundreds of thousands of top developers, even Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google are well behind.

I think Evans is completely wrong. There are only 2 truly frontier models. (at least for now). And Anthropic seems to be leaving OpenAI behind so there might be only 1 in the near future. (which is scary/dangerous)

alecco··on EU Commission looking at practical consequences of Anthropic decision
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48529685
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