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alangibson

5,523 karma · joined January 6, 2017

https://twitter.com/handheld
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alangibson··on Tesla Profits Drop 55%
If that were true they would have worked on the model 2 instead of the Cybertruck. As it turned out the model 2 is shelved in favor of robotaxis.

TBH, it doesn't matter too much what their intent is because they can't make a cheap car. Battery prices have not dropped fast enough.

alangibson··on Tesla Profits Drop 55%
We're going to find out soon. I think it totally depends where we are in the AI hype cycle.
alangibson··on Tesla Profits Drop 55%
My cynical take on them cancelling the model 2 in favor of robotaxis is that they've (temporarily?) given up on being a car company. They're hoping a new influx of capital after going all in on AI hype will keep them afloat.

Given that the Cybertruck is a laughing stock and growth/profits from China are in bad shape, they may actually be doing the right thing if the only goal is to stay in business for one more quarter.

alangibson··on Why you should not apply to YC
I came here to point this out.

I'm automatically skeptical when this came from the author of one of the dumbest tweets I've ever read.

alangibson··on [dead]
This. The firestorm was over how horrible the horrible tweet was.
alangibson··on Humane AI – Pico Laser Projection – AI Twist on an Old Scam (2023)
This thing is just such a manifestly bad idea. You'd have a much more functional solution if you added a camera to a Jawbone, with all the AI stuff running as an app on your phone. The laser projector is such nonsense that it can easily be deleted.
alangibson··on End of the Line? Saudi Arabia to scale back plans for desert megacity
How are we pumping the water if the power is out?

I guess they're would be diesel generators for that in reality. We need an engineer to calculate the flow needed because given how far away the far end is from the water that could end up behind one huge generator, not to mention the size of the pipes.

It's worth mentioning that they don't seem to be burying any massive water pipes so this isn't likely to be done in reality.

alangibson··on End of the Line? Saudi Arabia to scale back plans for desert megacity
I want to see someone seriously analyze what would happen if there was a power loss to the Line. Hundreds of thousands of people in a glass box in 50C weather with no AC sounds like a recipe for a record breaking mass casualty event.
alangibson··on End of the Line? Saudi Arabia to scale back plans for desert megacity
The likely reason they want to do NEOM, besides basic hubris, is to jump start a modern economy. All the insane projects bring in foreign engineers, manufacturers, etc. At first your local industry feeds materials and labor into them, but in time you work your way up the value chain and replace them.

It's a time tested strategy. The main problem is SA is doing it in the most useless and bloody way possible.

alangibson··on Dali owner file petition to cap liability in Baltimore bridge collapse at $43.7M
Some form of this "but what about the consumer" argument is rolled out every time a corporation screws up. It's an incredibly effective way of deflecting responsibility by claiming to be acting in someone else's interest.

My rebuttal is "moral hazard." Why should Boeing bother making planes that stay in the air if they can always count on a slap on the wrist and, in the worst case, a bailout.

alangibson··on Ask HN: 57 sales totaling $1,539 for micro-SaaS? Is the idea dead?
It feels like you just falsified AI.
alangibson··on Rise of fast-fashion Shein, Temu roils global air cargo industry
I buy a lot online from Austria. Amazon.de is essentially an abstraction over AliExpress. The products are largely the same. The only difference is if you want to wait 30 days and maybe have to pay import duty or not.
alangibson··on Did fermented foods fuel brain growth?
You dont even need to take it that far. Leave anything with sugars out for a few days and you'll get fermentation. I'd bet that humans developed intentional alcohol production before language. Leave foraged fruit in a depression in a rock and you'll have wine in a few weeks.
alangibson··on Alexei Navalny has died
To be fair, a nuclear state did fail. The US launched a program to help secure nuclear material and it more or less worked out.

You could argue that if the Russian state failed then a group of nations could literally just buy their nukes from whatever gangsters ever up in charge.

alangibson··on Google slips as OpenAI said to be working on search product: report
I use Kagi too. Buy there's just no universe where selling subscriptions to search is going to generate FAANG level revenues.
alangibson··on Google slips as OpenAI said to be working on search product: report
I'm long GOOG (horizon of 3 years) as 1) their current profits are stratospheric and growing 2) the companies that make money off of AI will already have a strong cloud offering. My thesis is that B2B is where the money is at. B2C is trash unless you can insert ads. B2C subscriptions for something like search isn't even with talking about.

Monetization of AI hasn't even really started yet so I could be tragically wrong. It'll be an interesting ride no matter what.

alangibson··on Dean of Engineering at University of Nevada wrote a paper that’s bad
You might want to change that to "lead in a war?" There's a bunch of high level people at the Pentagon that are glorified procurement officers.
alangibson··on Dean of Engineering at University of Nevada wrote a paper that’s bad
You left off the part that answers your question:

> (something nearly all university presidents have)

So yea, it looks like it would normally be a disqualifier. I'd imagine it's for the same reason that not being a part of a union means you can't be leader of the union.

Or why Boeing should probably have had a signification number of engineers at the top levels over the last decades.

EDIT: There's a peculiar meme that I first noticed in the early 2010s that it's actually good to not know anything about what you're doing because you can "innovate" and "disrupt" better. I remember first hearing it explicitly stated by the founder of B.S. startup uBeam. Wonder how that's turning out...

alangibson··on Lifestance: A mental health rollup headed for a breakdown
Looks like a trash business but I'm not so sure it's a good short. Extractive, value negative businesses can go on a long time eating up profits from like locusts from real businesses.
alangibson··on New GitHub Copilot research finds 'downward pressure on code quality'
Whoever said it was right. One of the dumbest public figures of our time was elected president as a direct result of the reach and amplification provided by the internet.

Qanon was purely a creation of the internet. Now go take a look at how many people believe one, many or all of the various Qanon alternative facts.

alangibson··on Boeing whistleblower: MAX 9 production line has "enormous volume of defects"
> Thatcher eliminated all this feather bedding and the UK was better for it.

You might want to catch up on the last few decades of UK history. To say it's unraveling would be generous. The once mighty British navy can hardly even build working ships anymore.

alangibson··on Google Cuts Jobs in Engineering and Other Divisions
They sold one to me since OnePlus fell off.
alangibson··on Google Cuts Jobs in Engineering and Other Divisions
Are there any examples of companies successfully enforcing non-competes against rank and file employees? (I'm excluding high value targets like Jeff Dean here where it might actually make sense to put millions in lawyers behind a suit).
alangibson··on Google Cuts Jobs in Engineering and Other Divisions
You're both right. To be fair, it reads like he was saying

> Your job is NOT safe.

in service of

> Take their fucking money, build a big emergency fund, save, invest, and focus on the rest of your life outside of work.

alangibson··on Turtles, a Shelly/Zigbee home automation tool in Elixir
I love HA for it's stability. However, I've written several HA integrations and I've got to say that their component API is insane. Inheritance based, vaguely documented, shifting terminology, etc. I'm working on my own use-case based API just to rationalize it a bit.
alangibson··on Turtles, a Shelly/Zigbee home automation tool in Elixir
HA is phasing out yaml integration config. They'll only accept core integrations with UI based setup now.

AFAIK you still need to do everything else in yaml tho.

alangibson··on Ask HN: Favorite Podcast Episodes of 2023?
Stalin's defeat of the Kwantung Army in Manchuria is what finally convinced them there was no way forward. That the Soviet Union actually defeated the Japanese is obviously not a popular opinion in the west.

Begin quote:

Even the second atomic bomb had not dissuaded them from continuing the war. But when reports from the Kwantung Army began to arrive, reporting significant Soviet penetration in Manchuria and the situation as “obscure,” objections to surrender were far less convincing.

The Soviets’ Manchurian Campaign, August Storm, destroyed the last vestige of Japanese military power outside Japan, and put the final nail in the coffin of those Japanese militarists who, even after suffering two atomic attacks, intended to continue the war to the death.

https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/article/the-soviet-invasio...

alangibson··on The Downfall of Amazon: Top Ranking Electrical Fuses Show Dangerous Results [video]
Are you saying they were fake? I've started getting all power electronics from Digikey, Mouser, RS, Pollin etc. because of paranoia over a crap power supply or SSR.
alangibson··on The Downfall of Amazon: Top Ranking Electrical Fuses Show Dangerous Results [video]
The inventory comingling is just insane. It creates such a strong incentive for counterfeiting.
alangibson··on The Downfall of Amazon: Top Ranking Electrical Fuses Show Dangerous Results [video]
Reminds me how Amazon is fundamentally a logistics company. Their merchandising is basically non-existent. Pretty much indestinguishable from AliExpress + fast shipping.
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