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akira2501

11,987 karma · joined June 10, 2010

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akira2501··on The GPT era is already ending
> does not make value judgements

So we are not allowed to? The Hacker News gatekeeping instinct is particularly hilarious to me.

akira2501··on The GPT era is already ending
> I like AIs with a personality

You are confusing training artifacts for "personality."

> could be better for coding and for puzzle-solving, which are not the vast majority of uses of LLMs.

To see a product fail to evolve and merely stratify itself gives a solid hint as to what it's likely future is going to be.

akira2501··on UK bans daytime TV ads for cereals, muffins and burgers
It's ground beef. The rule is you must cook it to the proper internal temperature. This is reasonable food safety. This simply precludes medium as an option.

If they grind their own meat or use something like ground chuck or ground round you can get it medium.

akira2501··on UK bans daytime TV ads for cereals, muffins and burgers
> Children pretty much have to eat what you give them until they get a job.

So.. then.. why are we advertising to them _at all_?

akira2501··on UK bans daytime TV ads for cereals, muffins and burgers
You're telling me this ad appeals to you in your demographic?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJmM2CSn2ao

akira2501··on What Arm's CEO makes of the Intel debacle
> Unclear why "service" is in quotes. Not many people get to be in the room where it happens.

You answer your own question. There's no reason at this point in history the "room size" needs to be artificially limited. Was the Arm CEO paid for their time? If not, why not?

> absolutely do provide a real service to the rest of us who don't.

It's service for Arm not you. If you wanted unbiased analysis of Intel's position you might seek someone other than a direct competitor. Which makes paywalling this all the more baffling.

akira2501··on What Arm's CEO makes of the Intel debacle
The "service" of writing down things people have said out loud is pretty low margin. So your choices are to put a paywall up and hope people pay a flat rate for whatever you happen to offer each month or to increase your distribution as much as you can while embedding relevant static advertisements. Since delivery is exceedingly cheap it seems obvious which strategy to use.
akira2501··on New physical AWS Data Transfer Terminals let you upload to the cloud faster
Failure to properly perform discovery is already common grounds for a malpractice suit. I don't care if you believe me. You seem to have your mind made up anyways.
akira2501··on New physical AWS Data Transfer Terminals let you upload to the cloud faster
It's already a common grounds for a malpractice suit. In a lot of cases these will be handled by the attorneys insurance and will probably be settled.

You really shouldn't take the absence of evidence as any sort of evidence itself.

akira2501··on Google's AI weather prediction model is pretty darn good
> will the weather support an outdoor bbq event this late in fall next year?

Sure, but there could be a disease outbreak, or a pork meat recall that prevents it anyways. The weather, as a factor, is generally insignificant with respect to loss of life events. To the extent they are we can see those events far enough in advance at 7 to 14 days to compensate correctly.

A better example would be "can we launch a space craft from this launch site next year." Even then, we never pick a launch day, we establish a launch window, because we already know, the weather changes fast enough that it's unlikely to remain identical for several days in a row. So conditions on a single day are effectively meaningless.

The Space Shuttle program got even better with this by feeding in wind data from high atmosphere probes back into the launch vehicle software so it could plan it's maneuvers ahead of the wind so it could reduce vehicle stresses to within tolerable parameters. They went from a 20% launch probability to an 80% launch probability with this system.

I mean.. enjoy your BBQ either way just bring some popup tents.

akira2501··on New physical AWS Data Transfer Terminals let you upload to the cloud faster
It'd be a great way to get sued for negligence. You can't even assume the counterparty has correctly put everything into discovery for you. What you don't know is what gets you into trouble.

An example from the Karen Reed case, the police, somehow, uploaded a video that had been put through a "mirror filter" and thus showed a vehicle in the opposite orientation from reality. Is your LLM going to notice that?

akira2501··on Google's AI weather prediction model is pretty darn good
In order to predict the climate you need to predict volcanic eruptions. Good luck.
akira2501··on Google's AI weather prediction model is pretty darn good
Exactly.

https://press.uni-mainz.de/the-limits-of-weather-forecasting...

akira2501··on Google's AI weather prediction model is pretty darn good
Forecast models predict 7 to 14 days ahead. They have not and never will be able to predict further than that. We don't even need them to.
akira2501··on Google's AI weather prediction model is pretty darn good
> One caveat is that GenCast tested itself against an older version of ENS, which now operates at a higher resolution. The peer-reviewed research compares GenCast predictions to ENS forecasts for 2019, seeing how close each model got to real-world conditions that year.

And GenCast was tested against and older model which performs worse.

> The ENS system has improved significantly since 2019, according to ECMWF machine learning coordinator Matt Chantry. That makes it difficult to say how well GenCast might perform against ENS today.

And the testing makes it "difficult to say." The obvious conclusion is "run a new set of tests" but they'd rather pay of the verge to publish half truths instead.

akira2501··on Beekeepers halt honey awards over fraud in global supply chain
We used to sell _literal_ "snake oil" as a curative.

What you may actually be witnessing is a low awareness society turn into a high awareness one. What is being highlighted is you never should have had that trust in the first place.

akira2501··on Beekeepers halt honey awards over fraud in global supply chain
> failing a random annual FDA inspection

What is involved in that inspection and what does it take to actually fully fail it? Is it like most government tests where the first failure means you just have to fix the problems and schedule your retest?

> they pay for private “certifications” like organic, non gmo, etc.

As a consumer these have the _least_ value out of anything on the label to me.

akira2501··on Beekeepers halt honey awards over fraud in global supply chain
> For small local brands I'd exempt them until the economics became viable.

Why would they suddenly become viable? The only way that would happen is if the price of the product is increased to cover the costs of what you're proposing. This will destroy small suppliers and increase the cost of everything to cover a set of risks that you haven't even fully characterized yet.

akira2501··on <dialog>: The Dialog Element
https://zapier.com/blog/add-search-engine-to-chrome/
akira2501··on <dialog>: The Dialog Element
So a few years ago I went into my chrome configuration and added a new custom "Site Search". It's shortcut is "mdn" and the URL is "https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/search?q=%s&w=3&qs=plugi..."

Now you can just "mdn <something>" in your omnibar and it will take you straight to the subject page or to a search results page.

I find this shortcut invaluable when developing for the web.

akira2501··on Romanian court annuls result of presidential election first round
> Why are we suddenly screwing around with democracy?

Suddenly? We've been doing this for 60 years, most particularly, in South America. It's now just made it's way fully into Europe.

> We know how to do it - we've known for generations.

We know how to do mob rule. We're not particularly good at Democracy. Sometimes the two would produce the same outcome and people do not struggle to notice the difference.

akira2501··on Debian opens a can of username worms
C:\Progra~1

They didn't force anything.

akira2501··on RNA-targeting CRISPR reveals that noncoding RNAs are not 'junk'
Safety tests really are the lowest level of engineering understanding you can have with a product. You give it to a bunch of people and not to a bunch of other people and check to see if things seem to be working without too much divergence on side effects.

It leaves you with limited understanding of the mechanism, it's efficacy across different populations, the circumstances in which it fails, how bad those failures could get, or how to improve the product in any way whatsoever.

akira2501··on RNA-targeting CRISPR reveals that noncoding RNAs are not 'junk'
> probably signaling pathways

Check out Homeobox Proteins.

akira2501··on The correct amount of ads is zero
UBI will do nothing with respect to advertising. In fact it would probably make it worse.
akira2501··on The correct amount of ads is zero
Stop pharmaceutical ads.

Stop NGOs and USAID from being able to buy ads on any issue.

akira2501··on The correct amount of ads is zero
> Did you know that YouTube does not make a profit, but only covers its own expenses?

Yet they make no decisions to reduce those expenses. You either have to believe they are incompetent or this statement is on the spectrum of half truth to full on lie.

> What will remain? Paid cinemas?

Libraries. They used to be awesome and no corporation owned them.

> This is stealing and it is illegal

Sure, but, now you're forced to declare an actual value for the items taken. What is a fair price for most of this "content?"

> So that an independent site cannot distribute free information.

The irony is watching independent journalists take "super chat" donations on these corporate platforms. How big of a cut does the corporation get again?

akira2501··on The correct amount of ads is zero
Half of what they're paying for is the analytics. Look up "cost of customer acquisition." Those numbers can get pretty high depending on the segment and showing you an ad costs fractions of a penny.
akira2501··on The correct amount of ads is zero
> do better

Which is what?

> just because that happened

The subtleties matter. The ads were purchased per issue or over several issues. The publication solicited the advertisers business and not the other way around. The rates were set per publication and were equal for all potential buyers. The ads were static and approved by the publisher before being included for distribution.

Then you get doubleclick now swallowed up by google. Which reversed all of this and reversed all of the incentives as well. So now people publish crap to create automatically filled ad inventory instead of having a more or less fixed inventory which required real work to get contracted buyers for.

akira2501··on Healthcare companies are yanking info from their leadership pages
Herds are notoriously hard to wield. It's a rather foolish mission.

Anyways I see all these as "signals of despair." It shouldn't be that shocking it's just the particular form it is taking this news cycle.

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