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aeternum

5,656 karma · joined August 22, 2019

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aeternum··on Micron Announces Exit from Crucial Consumer Business
Seems foolish, I've been a long-term shareholder in Micron but this seems aimed at short-term profit maximization. So I guess I'll be a short-term shareholder now.
aeternum··on Sycophancy is the first LLM "dark pattern"
You could have the models output a confidence alongside next-token then weight the penalty by the confidence.
aeternum··on Peter Thiel's Apocalyptic Worldview Is a Dangerous Fantasy
So nothing to worry about now that Alex Soros in control instead of George?
aeternum··on Sycophancy is the first LLM "dark pattern"
Hallucinations are also trained by the incentive structure: reward for next-token prediction, no penalty for guessing.
aeternum··on Sycophancy is the first LLM "dark pattern"
1) More of an emergent behavior than a dark pattern. 2) Imma let you finish but hallucinations was first.
aeternum··on Norway wealth fund to vote for human rights report at Microsoft, against Nadella
IMO it's not different, I've been at multiple companies shaken down by these kinds of groups. It goes like this:

1) A) Shareholder proposal bullied through via questionable means like buying votes from index-fund vote providers (or endowment/pension/wealth funds) that put other interests ahead of fiduciary interests. (and/or) B) Weak but expensive-to-fight lawsuit

2) But don't worry, we have a consulting arm that will do the reports for you. If you pay them, we can guarantee it satisfies the shareholder proposal, and we will drop the lawsuit.

Sometimes human rights, sometimes ADA, sometimes environmental, the playbook is basically the same.

aeternum··on Atlas Shrugged (2024)
Strong disagree, the true villains have always been those attempting to convince you that human ingenuity and invention is bad. Without even mostly unknown inventions like the Haber process, over half of humanity would be starving right now.

Industrialists and inventors are the great heroes of our time.

aeternum··on Atlas Shrugged (2024)
It didn't have to be a mythical engine that ignores the most basic laws of physics. Just like with Rearden's steel, a more optimized version is often sufficient to change the world.

Both Elon and Bezos have significantly decreased cost to orbit and are very close to full reusability. This is alongside their other feats like a global logistic network that gets pretty much any product in the world to your doorstep in 1-2 days, self-driving cars, neural implants that enable mind-controlled computing. If that were in the novel, no one would believe it.

aeternum··on Atlas Shrugged (2024)
I believed this quote when I first read it.

I now see that both the heroes and villains in Atlas Shrugged turned out to be far more real that I could have imagined (the engine was still unnecessary BS though).

aeternum··on Norway wealth fund to vote for human rights report at Microsoft, against Nadella
Europe in general has become the world leader in tech company extortion. If you run a tech company, be very careful about selling into that market. You should generally have an army of lawyers before making the leap.
aeternum··on The 'S&P 493' reveals a different U.S. economy
Different than when the railroads dominated the market, or the industrials dominance in the 20s and 30s, or the nifty fifty, or the communication dominance in the late 90s?

Does the S&P 493 reveal a different economy or does it reveal that the author published an article based on feelings instead of research?

aeternum··on How wealth dies
Seems more correct to say with different choices rather than the right choices.

For example plenty of energy likely means far more nuclear reactors, and the unfortunately truth is that most can be used to breed plutonium, so while we could be living with energy abundance, we also at least slightly increase the chance of global nuclear war. (IMO probably still worth it but it's no longer a super clear right/wrong).

With food, the problem is not producing it, it's the distribution. You aren't going to get it distributed in many countries that need it without overthrowing governments which will include lots of killing and bombing. Now it being the right choice to feed everyone is much murkier.

aeternum··on One mile on bike is a 42¢ economic gain to society, a mile driving is a 20¢ loss
Not really because reducing car usage makes it worse. Less car congestion means higher potential and actual speed deltas. Increased likelihood of hitting a ped/bike rather than another car.
aeternum··on One mile on bike is a 42¢ economic gain to society, a mile driving is a 20¢ loss
That person will get hit by the car and all their economic value will be lost.
aeternum··on OpenAI says dead teen violated TOS when he used ChatGPT to plan suicide
TOS in their current form should be made illegal.

Users don't/can't read them and service providers know it. There's no actual agreement because anything (kid, bot, dog) could click the button.

aeternum··on We stopped roadmap work for a week and fixed bugs
Except they often don't.
aeternum··on We stopped roadmap work for a week and fixed bugs
It's the right lesson because the difficulty of the bug often depends on the dev. For example it might take one dev weeks to figure out that a hang due to a sleep(.001) call within asyncio whereas another can identify it with a glance at the code.
aeternum··on 'Suddenly exposed' DOGE employees fear prosecution after Musk abandoned them
Seems like a non-story, why wouldn't trump simply pardon them? These would be some of the more obvious pardons to hand out, and there's clearly no longer a precedent by either party to hand out pardons sparingly.
aeternum··on Gabe Newell: "We don't worry about Piracy" (2009) [video]
For me, he was incredibly right. Steam is so much easier than pirating games, you generally did need accounts to pirate, monthly subscription to either rapidshare/gator equivalent or a VPN to torrent.

The vast majority of steam games run just fine when not started via steam. A few AAA titles might require it but in many years of running steam I've never encountered it as an issue.

Family sharing works fine, and how is steam going to prevent you from giving your acct to your kids? You're okay with violating copyright law but not the steam TOS? Pirated/Cracked games also often had a limited lifetime, updating would break them as cracks were highly version-dependent. Steam with cloud saves, auto-updates, built-in workshop, and the many sales is overall a much better user experience.

aeternum··on Google Antigravity
Product leaders that apply world-changing technology breakthrough names to their yet-another cloned SaaS product deserve more shame.

Antigravity would be a world-changing technology. This isn't.

aeternum··on Project Gemini
Too many things are named Gemini
aeternum··on USDA head says 'everyone' on SNAP will now have to reapply
Could it be because we are subsidizing that soda and garbage via SNAP? Especially in low income areas?

As the great Charlie M used to say: "Show me the incentives and I'll show you the outcome"

but we can't change it because that means we are making poor people miserable

aeternum··on USDA head says 'everyone' on SNAP will now have to reapply
So why not reform it? It seems like an easy way to get bipartisan support and compromise. To put the numbers in perspective, the US only had 3000 deaths due to starvation (almost all of which are mental health issues rather than lack of access to food). This is compared to 280k-500k deaths due to overeating.

Cut the 25% and keep the 75% that is spent on normal food. By the other comments you can see that even that seems quite unpopular as it is seen as policing food for poor people?

aeternum··on Checkout.com hacked, refuses ransom payment, donates to security labs
This is the closest I've seen (pretty new): https://github.com/WICG/email-verification-protocol
aeternum··on Checkout.com hacked, refuses ransom payment, donates to security labs
I'm not sure this is very fair because humans are often not given the right tools to make a good decision. For example:

To gift to a 529 regardless of the financial institution, you go to some random ugift529.com site and put in a code plus all your financial info. This is considered the gold standard.

To get a payout from a class-action lawsuit that leaked your data, you must go to some other random site (usually some random domain name loosely related to the settlement recently registered by kroll) and enter basically more PII than was leaked in the first place.

To pay your fed taxes with a credit card, you must verify your identity with some 3rd party site, then go to yet another 3rd party site to enter your CC info.

This is insane and forces/trains people to perform actions that in many other scenarios lead to a phishing attack.

aeternum··on Zohran Mamdani wins the New York mayoral race
Note that they don't have to be a monopoly to cause a problem. Usually the way things go is these state-run grocery stores get subsidies. The goal is to provide food in food deserts, not to be profitable. Over time the subsidy inevitably grows meaning higher taxes for non-gov grocery stores. This leads to a cycle where the state-run stores pushes out the corp-run stores with the thinnest margins.

Ultimately only the bougie grocery stores remain in rich neighborhoods and now you have to really hope that you can continue funding those state-run stores or you just made the food desert problem a whole lot worse.

aeternum··on Zohran Mamdani wins the New York mayoral race
Here's him talking about it for those that want to form their own opinion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggV2SeiGrVw
aeternum··on Zohran Mamdani wins the New York mayoral race
China found a way around this by manufacturing all their civilian ships to military standards.

Maybe guns or butter is a false dichotomy. Or perhaps the even tougher lesson: a country with an information economy ends up with neither.

aeternum··on The problem with farmed seafood
Why can't the bait fish eat the fly larva?
aeternum··on Addiction Markets
Nice try MGM Grand.
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