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aeternum

5,656 karma · joined August 22, 2019

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aeternum··on SpaceX S-1
Have you used Claude Code and you still believe AI doesn't pay for itself?
aeternum··on SpaceX S-1
No need to worry because bubbles can't exist in space
aeternum··on SpaceX S-1
Looks like it's gonna be closer to 2 trilly
aeternum··on FiveThirtyEight articles on the Internet Archive
Did FiveThirtyEight really get that much right other than the 2016 election?

I remember thinking they were the best data journalists out there, and they had some nice visualizations but did their other predictions actually hold up?

aeternum··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
> Every battleship is a hospital not built

It's sad that this is believed when it's most often the opposite. Especially in this case we have a literal historical example. You'll never guess what Henry Kaiser built before creating Kaiser, the largest set of hospitals in CA.

aeternum··on Tesla's lithium refinery discharges 231,000 gallons of polluted wastewater a day
A state investigator visited on February 12, sampled the water flowing from Tesla’s outfall pipe, ran the standard panel of conventional pollutants: dissolved solids, chlorides, sulfates, oil and grease, temperature, dissolved oxygen. Everything in that panel came back inside the bounds of Tesla’s permit. TCEQ approved its investigation report on March 20, finding no permit violation.

The article then proceeds to explain how they did all kinds of non-standard tests and still found nothing above the federal drinking water standard nor in violation of the permit. Yes Tesla is still evil and responsible because supposedly some nearby town is having a drought and people are "running out of water."

Shit like this and we wonder why the US is dependent on China for all rare earths.

aeternum··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
The value of the first Mars colony may be zero depending on how you value it just as the value of the first Wright flier was 'precisely zero' or even negative. It didn't carry cargo and it killed or injured many of those that dared to fly on it.

Assigning zero long term value however to another entire planet worth of resources just seems like a failure of imagination.

You can't get to the 777 without the Wright Flyer.

aeternum··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
'..it might be assumed that the flying machine which will really fly might be evolved by the combined and continuous efforts of mathematicians and mechanicians in from one million to ten million years- provided, of course, we can meanwhile eliminate such little drawbacks and embarrassments as the existing relation between weight and strength in inorganic materials. No doubt the problem has attractions for those it interests, but to the ordinary man it would seem as if effort might be employed more profitably.' Oct 9 1903
aeternum··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
It was official, he amended the lawsuit to codify it, read it for yourself: https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Musk-...
aeternum··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
Interestingly, during the trial he promised to donate any potential financial winnings to OpenAI's charity.

A move that surprisingly didn't get much press.

aeternum··on Two EA-18 fighter jets collide at Mountain Home airshow, pilots ejected safely
EA-18s are real, the things you speak of only exist in the imagination.
aeternum··on The Protein Shortage Is Coming
The beauty of capitalism is that there is now incentive for producers to produce way more whey.
aeternum··on Bill to block publishers from killing online games advances in California
California is really trying to become Europe with regulation as their primary GDP.
aeternum··on Kickstarter is forced to ban adult content by payment processors
Depends on what you mean by fraud. Chargebacks are known to be high in this area just because of the spouse effect, IE "Hey, honey what is this adult-content charge on our credit card statement?" "Oh obviously must be a mistake, I'll call to have them remove it".

To get around this, some sites use less obvious or vague names, but that creates its own category of chargebacks.

aeternum··on When life gives you lemons, write better error messages
Hopefully but seems unlikely. The example good error message wix-ux provides still has near zero context.
aeternum··on The tipping point: what happens when deaths outnumber births?
False, higher inequality actually boosts fertility. And it's a surprisingly strong correlation. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11620411/
aeternum··on Why most product tours get skipped
In some countries engineers wear a ring on their pinky to remind them of their obligation to ethics, safety and humility in engineering practice.

In the US engineers don't get that ring and they implement product tours.

aeternum··on California high-speed rail price tag jumps to $231B, nearly 7x 2008 estimate
The value of that continuous tract of land along California could easily make all the money back.
aeternum··on New research suggests people can communicate and practice skills while dreaming
It seems to me that this is the purpose of nightmares. I especially noticed this after having kids. They are not by default scared of snakes and such but if they see a nature documentary of a snake biting something or even a cartoon bad guy, it's enough to trigger bad dreams which reinforce the fear and it's far stronger the next day.

IMO this is under-appreciated in current AI models. RL is not very effective in avoiding crocodiles for example, by the time like 5 of your tribe-mates are eaten it's far too late. You need some mechanism that ensures the danger is learned after just a single incident.

aeternum··on California high-speed rail price tag jumps to $231B, nearly 7x 2008 estimate
Cancel it and sell what is built to the highest bidder, you can be assured that some company will buy it and complete it.
aeternum··on Our principles
Remember this one of OpenAI's principles?

> We are concerned about late-stage AGI development becoming a competitive race without time for adequate safety precautions. Therefore, if a value-aligned, safety-conscious project comes close to building AGI before we do, we commit to stop competing with and start assisting this project. We will work out specifics in case-by-case agreements, but a typical triggering condition might be “a better-than-even chance of success in the next two years.”

What do people think is the probability that OpenAI would ever actually do this?

aeternum··on 'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarket bet
I would like to see France ban the tourist scammers before they worry about fools willingly making stupid polymarket bets on a single sensor. Also good luck banning polymarket, isn't that the one that trades using crypto?
aeternum··on 'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win $34,000 Polymarket bet
And as a result we should gain stronger epistemology. How many cities base their official temperature readings on just a few sensors rather than a widespread network?

Sure you might argue, maybe this was an issue with Polymarket choosing a weak source rather than the gov, but is that really true? If you question measurements like this you quickly get labeled an climate denier.

IMO this is good for the world, temp measurements should be based on thousands of sensors not just one. And if cloud seeding works, all the better for humanity, it's likely a key to terraforming future planets.

aeternum··on SpaceX says it has agreement to acquire Cursor for $60B
Hopefully all of it. If Starship succeeds, and that seems incredibly likely given the tests thus far, it will create an entire industry.

People underestimate how much ships changed the world. It will happen again, the only question is when.

aeternum··on TX Tesla driver narrowly avoids disaster when autopilot engages at RR crossing
Did he have it on Mad Max mode? Because if so you could argue..
aeternum··on Helium is hard to replace
Once we have the tech to cross the world's oceans in luxury, I think we will be long beyond the point of desperately needing to transport oil in ocean liner sized ships to do such crazy trips.
aeternum··on Helium Is Hard to Replace
“Not within a thousand years will man ever fly”
aeternum··on Helium is hard to replace
Helium luckily is the second most abundant element in the universe. A good reason to go to the stars.
aeternum··on Veracrypt project update
Ah so the iron law of oligarchy becomes our salvation

if only it were so simple

aeternum··on Microsoft terminated the account VeraCrypt used to sign Windows drivers
A core tenet of Truecrypt + Veracrypt (developer guarantee) has always been no backdoors, even if requested by government.

If in a democratic society, the majority agrees that government should have backdoors (with the correct oversight). Then it follows that Veracrypt should be illegal as its use is not in alignment with the will of the majority.

I personally don't agree with the majority here but can you fault the logic?

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